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+{"normal": [[1554755877.991584, {"predictions": [{"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.6 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["419315 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 07, 418250 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": true, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": true, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Alexander's upstairs neighbour is currently playing league"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5913043478260869, "night": true, "probability": 0.5913043478260869, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 1 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 47, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5427305523675702, "night": true, "probability": 0.5427305523675702, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 04:23 and 16:24, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 20:37 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 1712 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": true, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. 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Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Apparently we are banned from just-eat. We therefore have no clue."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.28, "night": false, "probability": 0.28, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.09531852344412212, "night": false, "probability": 0.09531852344412212, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 19:59 and 07:24, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 21:08 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 16217 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.533134226591358, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.5125, "night": true}], [1554759498.907015, {"predictions": [{"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 1.8 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["355085 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 07, 355968 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8886226851851852, "night": true, "probability": 0.8886226851851852, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 2.67 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8586236871662734, "night": true, "probability": 0.8586236871662734, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:26 and 02:39, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 21:38 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 14371 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5913043478260869, "night": true, "probability": 0.5913043478260869, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -1 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 47, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": true, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Apparently we are banned from just-eat. We therefore have no clue."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.18000000000000005, "night": false, "probability": 0.18000000000000005, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.5873788933481288, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.5581521739130434, "night": true}], [1554761318.970883, {"predictions": [{"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Apparently we are banned from just-eat. We therefore have no clue."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.27, "night": false, "probability": 0.27, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.042145593869732045, "night": false, "probability": 0.042145593869732045, "reasons": ["Because average for daytime is 7.0 and average for nighttime is 3.4, but the current average is 3.4"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": true, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["320371 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 07, 319848 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.867662037037037, "night": true, "probability": 0.867662037037037, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 3.18 hours!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5826086956521739, "night": true, "probability": 0.5826086956521739, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 0 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 48, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5264709309607005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5264709309607005, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 06:02 and 18:05, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 22:08 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 1060 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.48490693812663693, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.5125, "night": false}], [1554763130.282801, {"predictions": [{"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.0 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["296426 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 07, 292750 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": true, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8466782407407407, "night": true, "probability": 0.8466782407407407, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 3.68 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.72, "night": true, "probability": 0.72, "reasons": ["Your phone is dying, so it's bedtime soon?"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5826086956521739, "night": true, "probability": 0.5826086956521739, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 4 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 48, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": true, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.18148617038545817, "night": false, "probability": 0.18148617038545817, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 22:07 and 09:24, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 22:38 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 12764 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.6058974255648644, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.6513043478260869, "night": true}], [1554764946.998833, {"predictions": [{"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.09999999999999998, "night": false, "probability": 0.09999999999999998, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": -0.6339869281045751, "night": false, "probability": -0.6339869281045751, "reasons": ["Because average for daytime is 7.0 and average for nighttime is 3.4, but the current average is 5.9"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": true, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["276457 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 07, 274753 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.9476801711186564, "night": true, "probability": 0.9476801711186564, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 15:38 and 04:43, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 23:09 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 17940 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": true, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8256712962962963, "night": true, "probability": 0.8256712962962963, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 4.18 hours!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6, "night": true, "probability": 0.6, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 7 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 46, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.4816133782758648, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.5625, "night": false}], [1554766761.250829, {"predictions": [{"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["264826 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 07, 274753 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": true, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8046527777777778, "night": true, "probability": 0.8046527777777778, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 4.69 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6036595578161548, "night": true, "probability": 0.6036595578161548, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 07:50 and 19:59, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 23:39 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 4154 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6, "night": true, "probability": 0.6, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 9 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 46, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.51, "night": true, "probability": 0.51, "reasons": ["Battery level's getting low, so it's probably around dinnertime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": true, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": -0.15740740740740722, "night": false, "probability": -0.15740740740740722, "reasons": ["Because average for daytime is 7.0 and average for nighttime is 3.4, but the current average is 4.2"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.5250750773488772, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.5625, "night": true}], [1554768576.211397, {"predictions": [{"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["263464 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 07, 274753 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": true, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.87, "night": true, "probability": 0.87, "reasons": ["Your phone is dying, so it's bedtime soon?"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.7836574074074074, "night": true, "probability": 0.7836574074074074, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 5.19 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.7300033353026608, "night": true, "probability": 0.7300033353026608, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 00:20 and 11:27, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 00:09 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 9217 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6, "night": true, "probability": 0.6, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 9 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 46, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": true, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["Because 9.1 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 7.0 is the expected number for daytime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.576971395225839, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.6650016676513304, "night": true}], [1554770392.082948, {"predictions": [{"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["273914 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 07, 274753 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.9642880723571516, "night": true, "probability": 0.9642880723571516, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 17:47 and 06:44, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 00:39 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 18606 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": true, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.7626273148148148, "night": true, "probability": 0.7626273148148148, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 5.70 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6, "night": true, "probability": 0.6, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 7 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 46, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": true, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.09999999999999998, "night": false, "probability": 0.09999999999999998, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["Because 8.3 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 7.0 is the expected number for daytime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.5305759489309972, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.5625, "night": true}], [1554772208.313822, {"predictions": [{"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Apparently we are banned from just-eat. We therefore have no clue."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.48, "night": false, "probability": 0.48, "reasons": ["Battery level's getting low, so it's probably around dinnertime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": -0.7361111111111109, "night": false, "probability": -0.7361111111111109, "reasons": ["Because average for daytime is 7.0 and average for nighttime is 3.4, but the current average is 6.2"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": true, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["292970 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 07, 292750 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.7416203703703703, "night": true, "probability": 0.7416203703703703, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 6.20 hours!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6805437171117963, "night": true, "probability": 0.6805437171117963, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 09:37 and 21:53, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 01:10 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 7235 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6086956521739131, "night": true, "probability": 0.6086956521739131, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 2 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 45, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.4420620523787474, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.5125, "night": false}], [1554774024.530804, {"predictions": [{"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Apparently we are banned from just-eat. We therefore have no clue."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.27, "night": false, "probability": 0.27, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": -0.5432098765432096, "night": false, "probability": -0.5432098765432096, "reasons": ["Because average for daytime is 7.0 and average for nighttime is 3.4, but the current average is 5.6"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": true, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["315452 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 07, 315836 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.7205902777777777, "night": true, "probability": 0.7205902777777777, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 6.71 hours!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6387565150524988, "night": true, "probability": 0.6387565150524988, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 02:35 and 13:35, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 01:40 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 5560 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5826086956521739, "night": true, "probability": 0.5826086956521739, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -2 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 48, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.4332284676616034, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.5125, "night": false}], [1554775839.976489, {"predictions": [{"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Apparently we are banned from just-eat. We therefore have no clue."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.16000000000000003, "night": false, "probability": 0.16000000000000003, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": -0.11111111111111094, "night": false, "probability": -0.11111111111111094, "reasons": ["Because average for daytime is 7.0 and average for nighttime is 3.4, but the current average is 4.0"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": true, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["344130 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 07, 344506 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8810483607200629, "night": true, "probability": 0.8810483607200629, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 19:51 and 08:40, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 02:10 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 15270 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6995833333333333, "night": true, "probability": 0.6995833333333333, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 7.21 hours!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5826086956521739, "night": true, "probability": 0.5826086956521739, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -5 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 48, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.47851043988287156, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.5125, "night": false}], [1554777654.387545, {"predictions": [{"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 2.3 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["374460 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 07, 375601 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6785763888888889, "night": true, "probability": 0.6785763888888889, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 7.71 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.63, "night": true, "probability": 0.63, "reasons": ["Battery level's getting low, so it's probably around dinnertime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5826086956521739, "night": true, "probability": 0.5826086956521739, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -4 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 48, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": true, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Apparently we are banned from just-eat. We therefore have no clue."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.2421090445170726, "night": false, "probability": 0.2421090445170726, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 11:26 and 23:48, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 02:40 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 10334 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.5552741774215113, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.5538043478260869, "night": true}], [1554779469.286956, {"predictions": [{"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 1.3 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["392577 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 07, 390901 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6575694444444444, "night": true, "probability": 0.6575694444444444, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 8.22 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5826086956521739, "night": true, "probability": 0.5826086956521739, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -5 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 48, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5437390664978425, "night": true, "probability": 0.5437390664978425, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 04:55 and 15:49, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 03:11 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 1752 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": true, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Apparently we are banned from just-eat. We therefore have no clue."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.32999999999999996, "night": false, "probability": 0.32999999999999996, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.5536594338828718, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.5343695332489212, "night": true}], [1554781285.310236, {"predictions": [{"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.5 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["404226 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 07, 406677 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.7995364608909825, "night": true, "probability": 0.7995364608909825, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 21:53 and 10:33, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 03:41 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 12003 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6365393518518518, "night": true, "probability": 0.6365393518518518, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 8.72 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5826086956521739, "night": true, "probability": 0.5826086956521739, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -5 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 48, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": true, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Apparently we are banned from just-eat. We therefore have no clue."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.36, "night": false, "probability": 0.36, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.575723375699584, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.5538043478260869, "night": true}], [1554783102.234862, {"predictions": [{"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.3 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["427844 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 06, 429296 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.74, "night": true, "probability": 0.74, "reasons": ["Your phone is dying, so it's bedtime soon?"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6155324074074073, "night": true, "probability": 0.6155324074074073, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 9.23 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5913043478260869, "night": true, "probability": 0.5913043478260869, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -10 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 47, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": true, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Apparently we are banned from just-eat. We therefore have no clue."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.16435584939952458, "night": false, "probability": 0.16435584939952458, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:14 and 01:44, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 04:11 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 13450 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.5534323837194183, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.5581521739130434, "night": true}], [1554784916.371037, {"predictions": [{"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.2 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["466176 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 06, 467800 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6086956521739131, "night": true, "probability": 0.6086956521739131, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -13 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 45, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.594525462962963, "night": true, "probability": 0.594525462962963, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 9.73 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5525536519179967, "night": true, "probability": 0.5525536519179967, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 07:15 and 18:07, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 04:41 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 2106 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": true, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Apparently we are banned from just-eat. We therefore have no clue."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.16000000000000003, "night": false, "probability": 0.16000000000000003, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.5371475639212394, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.5387768259589982, "night": true}], [1554786731.318826, {"predictions": [{"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.1 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["481077 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 06, 481003 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.84, "night": true, "probability": 0.84, "reasons": ["Your phone is dying, so it's bedtime soon?"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6434782608695653, "night": true, "probability": 0.6434782608695653, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -18 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 41, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5735185185185185, "night": true, "probability": 0.5735185185185185, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 10.24 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": true, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Apparently we are banned from just-eat. We therefore have no clue."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.28025733238017425, "night": false, "probability": 0.28025733238017425, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 23:51 and 12:25, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 05:12 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 8806 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.5722708426473548, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.5492592592592592, "night": true}], [1554788552.474861, {"predictions": [{"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.1 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["485582 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 06, 486296 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8200000000000001, "night": true, "probability": 0.8200000000000001, "reasons": ["Your phone is dying, so it's bedtime soon?"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6695652173913044, "night": true, "probability": 0.6695652173913044, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -21 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 38, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5524305555555555, "night": true, "probability": 0.5524305555555555, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 10.74 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": true, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Apparently we are banned from just-eat. We therefore have no clue."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.08606886552729565, "night": false, "probability": 0.08606886552729565, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 15:04 and 03:40, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 05:42 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 16588 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.554838386539513, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.5387152777777777, "night": true}], [1554790369.298859, {"predictions": [{"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.1 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["490272 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 06, 489629 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": true, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6695652173913044, "night": true, "probability": 0.6695652173913044, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -21 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 38, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6478092950390273, "night": true, "probability": 0.6478092950390273, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 09:32 and 20:24, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 06:12 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 5923 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.531423611111111, "night": true, "probability": 0.531423611111111, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 11.25 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.51, "night": true, "probability": 0.51, "reasons": ["Battery level's getting low, so it's probably around dinnertime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": true, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.6082328436284535, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.5896164530750692, "night": true}], [1554792185.798878, {"predictions": [{"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.1 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["503798 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 06, 505329 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": true, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6608695652173913, "night": true, "probability": 0.6608695652173913, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -20 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 39, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5103935185185184, "night": true, "probability": 0.5103935185185184, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 11.75 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": true, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.43000000000000005, "night": false, "probability": 0.43000000000000005, "reasons": ["Battery level's getting low, so it's probably around dinnertime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.3578502522248882, "night": false, "probability": 0.3578502522248882, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 01:47 and 14:13, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 06:43 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 5696 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.5749257779967332, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.5176967592592592, "night": true}], [1554794001.190874, {"predictions": [{"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.489375, "night": false, "probability": 0.489375, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 12.25 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.18000000000000005, "night": false, "probability": 0.18000000000000005, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.00587050197402017, "night": false, "probability": 0.00587050197402017, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 16:55 and 05:40, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 07:13 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 19802 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["519396 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 521831 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": true, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.2 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": true, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6869565217391305, "night": true, "probability": 0.6869565217391305, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -16 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 36, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.44184983530942923, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.3696875, "night": false}], [1554795816.58679, {"predictions": [{"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.2 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": true, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.7436422618936919, "night": true, "probability": 0.7436422618936919, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 11:49 and 22:44, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 07:43 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 9763 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6347826086956522, "night": true, "probability": 0.6347826086956522, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -14 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 42, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.62, "night": true, "probability": 0.62, "reasons": ["Battery level's getting low, so it's probably around dinnertime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": true, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.4683680555555556, "night": false, "probability": 0.4683680555555556, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 12.76 hours!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["539584 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 536380 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.5338990771787416, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.5725, "night": true}], [1554797632.9029, {"predictions": [{"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.45999999999999996, "night": false, "probability": 0.45999999999999996, "reasons": ["Battery level's getting low, so it's probably around dinnertime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.44734953703703695, "night": false, "probability": 0.44734953703703695, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 13.26 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.4355061175487256, "night": false, "probability": 0.4355061175487256, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 03:42 and 16:02, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 08:13 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 2584 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["563196 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 563194 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": true, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.2 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": true, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6086956521739131, "night": true, "probability": 0.6086956521739131, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -13 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 45, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.4909622755633063, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.45367476851851846, "night": false}], [1554799448.014991, {"predictions": [{"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.4263310185185185, "night": false, "probability": 0.4263310185185185, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 13.77 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.38, "night": false, "probability": 0.38, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.07791701004152474, "night": false, "probability": 0.07791701004152474, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 18:51 and 07:42, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 08:44 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 16914 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["579595 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 582210 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": true, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.2 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": true, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6347826086956522, "night": true, "probability": 0.6347826086956522, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -14 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 42, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.4549188864379746, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.40316550925925926, "night": false}], [1554801265.182848, {"predictions": [{"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.44999999999999996, "night": false, "probability": 0.44999999999999996, "reasons": ["Battery level's getting low, so it's probably around dinnertime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.4053240740740741, "night": false, "probability": 0.4053240740740741, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 14.27 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.16330407758315857, "night": false, "probability": 0.16330407758315857, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 14:00 and 01:01, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 09:14 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 13493 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["586074 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 586017 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.2 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": true, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6608695652173913, "night": true, "probability": 0.6608695652173913, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -17 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 39, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.43912447640621866, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.32766203703703706, "night": false}], [1554803080.390642, {"predictions": [{"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.4874982514260839, "night": false, "probability": 0.4874982514260839, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 05:36 and 17:50, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 09:44 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 501 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.38430555555555557, "night": false, "probability": 0.38430555555555557, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 14.78 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.040000000000000036, "night": false, "probability": 0.040000000000000036, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["593754 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 592212 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.2 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": true, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6608695652173913, "night": true, "probability": 0.6608695652173913, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -19 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 39, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.4302224476832526, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.3171527777777778, "night": false}], [1554804896.274915, {"predictions": [{"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.42000000000000004, "night": false, "probability": 0.42000000000000004, "reasons": ["Battery level's getting low, so it's probably around dinnertime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.363287037037037, "night": false, "probability": 0.363287037037037, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 15.28 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.16197251727148176, "night": false, "probability": 0.16197251727148176, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 20:48 and 09:47, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 10:14 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 13546 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.09090909090909091, "night": false, "probability": 0.09090909090909091, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is currently open.", "We conclude from this, that there is 0.09090909090909091% chance of it being night outside"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["612911 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 611489 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.2 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6608695652173913, "night": true, "probability": 0.6608695652173913, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -19 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 39, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.3647528508695834, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.249998, "night": false}], [1554806711.68707, {"predictions": [{"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.34226851851851847, "night": false, "probability": 0.34226851851851847, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 15.79 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.09090909090909091, "night": false, "probability": 0.09090909090909091, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is currently open.", "We conclude from this, that there is 0.09090909090909091% chance of it being night outside"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.07277849606074976, "night": false, "probability": 0.07277849606074976, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 16:08 and 03:15, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 10:45 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 17120 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["646068 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 652559 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.1 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.7, "night": true, "probability": 0.7, "reasons": ["Your phone is dying, so it's bedtime soon?"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6434782608695653, "night": true, "probability": 0.6434782608695653, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -18 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 41, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.377452530529827, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.249998, "night": false}], [1554808527.22288, {"predictions": [{"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.44999999999999996, "night": false, "probability": 0.44999999999999996, "reasons": ["Battery level's getting low, so it's probably around dinnertime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.41073027783860405, "night": false, "probability": 0.41073027783860405, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 07:30 and 19:37, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 11:15 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 3577 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.32125000000000004, "night": false, "probability": 0.32125000000000004, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 16.29 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.09090909090909091, "night": false, "probability": 0.09090909090909091, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is currently open.", "We conclude from this, that there is 0.09090909090909091% chance of it being night outside"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["687625 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 699489 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.2 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6086956521739131, "night": true, "probability": 0.6086956521739131, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -12 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 45, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.38013175174346736, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.285625, "night": false}], [1554810342.924365, {"predictions": [{"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.3002314814814815, "night": false, "probability": 0.3002314814814815, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 16.79 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.09090909090909091, "night": false, "probability": 0.09090909090909091, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is currently open.", "We conclude from this, that there is 0.09090909090909091% chance of it being night outside"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["729903 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 719116 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.1 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.77, "night": true, "probability": 0.77, "reasons": ["Your phone is dying, so it's bedtime soon?"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.7510878524661266, "night": true, "probability": 0.7510878524661266, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 22:49 and 11:57, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 11:45 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 10062 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5826086956521739, "night": true, "probability": 0.5826086956521739, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -8 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 48, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.4312360933757394, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.27511574074074074, "night": false}], [1554812159.25502, {"predictions": [{"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.2792245370370371, "night": false, "probability": 0.2792245370370371, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 17.30 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.09090909090909091, "night": false, "probability": 0.09090909090909091, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is currently open.", "We conclude from this, that there is 0.09090909090909091% chance of it being night outside"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.01620687060751852, "night": false, "probability": 0.01620687060751852, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 18:10 and 05:24, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 12:16 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 19388 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["778817 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 777380 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.1 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.99, "night": true, "probability": 0.99, "reasons": ["Your phone's practically dead, so it's probably around four in the morning."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5826086956521739, "night": true, "probability": 0.5826086956521739, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -5 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 48, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.38657876618381837, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.249998, "night": false}], [1554813975.463286, {"predictions": [{"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.33408653145221356, "night": false, "probability": 0.33408653145221356, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 09:24 and 21:25, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 12:46 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 6648 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.2581944444444444, "night": false, "probability": 0.2581944444444444, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 17.80 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.09090909090909091, "night": false, "probability": 0.09090909090909091, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is currently open.", "We conclude from this, that there is 0.09090909090909091% chance of it being night outside"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.07999999999999996, "night": false, "probability": 0.07999999999999996, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["823769 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 826993 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.1 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5826086956521739, "night": true, "probability": 0.5826086956521739, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -6 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 48, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.3354828968714936, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.249998, "night": false}], [1554815790.878333, {"predictions": [{"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.33878248602910765, "night": false, "probability": 0.33878248602910765, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 00:54 and 14:11, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 13:16 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 6460 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.30000000000000004, "night": false, "probability": 0.30000000000000004, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.23719907407407403, "night": false, "probability": 0.23719907407407403, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 18.31 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.09090909090909091, "night": false, "probability": 0.09090909090909091, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is currently open.", "We conclude from this, that there is 0.09090909090909091% chance of it being night outside"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's night-time in Australia, so it must be day-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["858041 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 858280 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.1 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5826086956521739, "night": true, "probability": 0.5826086956521739, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -9 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 48, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.2691246122220372, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.24359753703703702, "night": false}], [1554817605.39496, {"predictions": [{"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.47, "night": false, "probability": 0.47, "reasons": ["Battery level's getting low, so it's probably around dinnertime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.21619212962962964, "night": false, "probability": 0.21619212962962964, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 18.81 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.1009148479360546, "night": false, "probability": 0.1009148479360546, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 20:07 and 07:32, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 13:46 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 15993 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.09090909090909091, "night": false, "probability": 0.09090909090909091, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is currently open.", "We conclude from this, that there is 0.09090909090909091% chance of it being night outside"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's night-time in Australia, so it must be day-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["880539 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 879112 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": true, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.1 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6347826086956522, "night": true, "probability": 0.6347826086956522, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -14 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 42, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.29523288976420226, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.23309406481481482, "night": false}], [1554819420.926813, {"predictions": [{"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.2569112146540188, "night": false, "probability": 0.2569112146540188, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 11:18 and 23:13, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 14:17 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 9741 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.1951736111111111, "night": false, "probability": 0.1951736111111111, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 19.32 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.09090909090909091, "night": false, "probability": 0.09090909090909091, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is currently open.", "We conclude from this, that there is 0.09090909090909091% chance of it being night outside"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's night-time in Australia, so it must be day-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["878279 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 879112 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.1 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6869565217391305, "night": true, "probability": 0.6869565217391305, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -16 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 36, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.54, "night": true, "probability": 0.54, "reasons": ["Battery level's getting low, so it's probably around dinnertime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.28749553653444593, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.22258480555555554, "night": false}], [1554821237.294987, {"predictions": [{"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.4320491074684104, "night": false, "probability": 0.4320491074684104, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 03:05 and 16:29, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 14:47 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 2723 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.30000000000000004, "night": false, "probability": 0.30000000000000004, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.17415509259259254, "night": false, "probability": 0.17415509259259254, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 19.82 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.09090909090909091, "night": false, "probability": 0.09090909090909091, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is currently open.", "We conclude from this, that there is 0.09090909090909091% chance of it being night outside"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's night-time in Australia, so it must be day-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["853581 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 853739 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.1 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6869565217391305, "night": true, "probability": 0.6869565217391305, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -16 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 36, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.2803388177257687, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.212498, "night": false}], [1554823052.875348, {"predictions": [{"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.18312940787129667, "night": false, "probability": 0.18312940787129667, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 22:02 and 09:34, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 15:17 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 12698 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.153136574074074, "night": false, "probability": 0.153136574074074, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 20.32 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.09090909090909091, "night": false, "probability": 0.09090909090909091, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is currently open.", "We conclude from this, that there is 0.09090909090909091% chance of it being night outside"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's night-time in Australia, so it must be day-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["806556 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 806961 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.1 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6869565217391305, "night": true, "probability": 0.6869565217391305, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -16 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 36, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6799999999999999, "night": true, "probability": 0.6799999999999999, "reasons": ["Battery level's getting low, so it's probably around dinnertime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.2895106328827993, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.17906470393564833, "night": false}], [1554824868.649682, {"predictions": [{"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.1321296296296296, "night": false, "probability": 0.1321296296296296, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 20.83 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.09090909090909091, "night": false, "probability": 0.09090909090909091, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is currently open.", "We conclude from this, that there is 0.09090909090909091% chance of it being night outside"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's night-time in Australia, so it must be day-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["752732 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 750968 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.1 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8205291941179292, "night": true, "probability": 0.8205291941179292, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:13 and 01:01, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 15:47 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 12845 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6608695652173913, "night": true, "probability": 0.6608695652173913, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -15 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 39, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.3028694566561701, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.212498, "night": false}], [1554826684.695041, {"predictions": [{"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.47201699107603984, "night": false, "probability": 0.47201699107603984, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 05:21 and 18:50, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 16:18 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 1121 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.14, "night": false, "probability": 0.14, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.09090909090909091, "night": false, "probability": 0.09090909090909091, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is currently open.", "We conclude from this, that there is 0.09090909090909091% chance of it being night outside"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's night-time in Australia, so it must be day-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["690665 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 699489 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.2 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": true, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Alexander's upstairs neighbour is currently playing league"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6869565217391305, "night": true, "probability": 0.6869565217391305, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -16 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 36, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.3224898836436884, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.212498, "night": false}], [1554828500.409332, {"predictions": [{"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.09090909090909091, "night": false, "probability": 0.09090909090909091, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is currently open.", "We conclude from this, that there is 0.09090909090909091% chance of it being night outside"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's night-time in Australia, so it must be day-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["644010 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 652559 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.2 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.88, "night": true, "probability": 0.88, "reasons": ["Your phone is dying, so it's bedtime soon?"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": true, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Alexander's upstairs neighbour is currently playing league"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.7363660972584571, "night": true, "probability": 0.7363660972584571, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 23:55 and 11:33, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 16:48 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 9472 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6608695652173913, "night": true, "probability": 0.6608695652173913, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -17 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 39, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.40401172944874497, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.249998, "night": false}], [1554830316.250596, {"predictions": [{"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.09090909090909091, "night": false, "probability": 0.09090909090909091, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is currently open.", "We conclude from this, that there is 0.09090909090909091% chance of it being night outside"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's night-time in Australia, so it must be day-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["600664 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 598957 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.3 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8990066781846859, "night": true, "probability": 0.8990066781846859, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 15:10 and 02:51, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 17:18 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 15990 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": true, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Alexander's upstairs neighbour is currently playing league"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6608695652173913, "night": true, "probability": 0.6608695652173913, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -20 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 39, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.61, "night": true, "probability": 0.61, "reasons": ["Battery level's getting low, so it's probably around dinnertime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.39506511119259735, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.249998, "night": false}], [1554832134.242884, {"predictions": [{"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.3757525565318772, "night": false, "probability": 0.3757525565318772, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 07:39 and 21:10, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 17:48 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 4979 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.09090909090909091, "night": false, "probability": 0.09090909090909091, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is currently open.", "We conclude from this, that there is 0.09090909090909091% chance of it being night outside"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's night-time in Australia, so it must be day-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["561197 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 561828 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. 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Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.4 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": true, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": true, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Alexander's upstairs neighbour is currently playing league"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6575935735891133, "night": true, "probability": 0.6575935735891133, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 01:45 and 13:30, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 18:19 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 6315 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6347826086956522, "night": true, "probability": 0.6347826086956522, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -25 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 42, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.4151976818570638, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.275, "night": false}], [1554835771.651056, {"predictions": [{"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.4 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["503823 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 06, 505329 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.9774561556726253, "night": true, "probability": 0.9774561556726253, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 17:06 and 04:41, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 18:49 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 19134 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": true, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": true, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Alexander's upstairs neighbour is currently playing league"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6608695652173913, "night": true, "probability": 0.6608695652173913, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -24 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 39, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.30000000000000004, "night": false, "probability": 0.30000000000000004, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's night-time in Australia, so it must be day-time here."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.5273601434075014, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.48043478260869565, "night": true}], [1554837586.694995, {"predictions": [{"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.2805767737544041, "night": false, "probability": 0.2805767737544041, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 09:57 and 23:26, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 19:19 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 8793 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.24, "night": false, "probability": 0.24, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's night-time in Australia, so it must be day-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.4 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["471735 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 06, 472136 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": true, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": true, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Alexander's upstairs neighbour is currently playing league"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6608695652173913, "night": true, "probability": 0.6608695652173913, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -22 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 39, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.4642868615809829, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.265288386877202, "night": false}], [1554839402.76391, {"predictions": [{"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.4 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.11096316023080337}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["444319 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 06, 444908 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.11096316023080337}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": true, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": 0.11096316023080337}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.9087731481481481, "night": true, "probability": 0.9087731481481481, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 2.19 hours!"], "contribution": 0.11096316023080337}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6608695652173913, "night": true, "probability": 0.6608695652173913, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -19 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 39, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.11096316023080337}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.580765982036825, "night": true, "probability": 0.580765982036825, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 03:33 and 15:24, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 19:50 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 3236 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": 0.11096316023080337}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": -0.0011096316023080338}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.055481580115401684}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05570350643586329}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.35, "night": false, "probability": 0.35, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": -0.11096316023080337}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's night-time in Australia, so it must be day-time here."], "contribution": -0.11096316023080337}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.5377640632183968, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.580765982036825, "night": true}], [1554841226.094938, {"predictions": [{"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": 0.11096316023080337}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.5 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.11096316023080337}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": true, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": 0.11096316023080337}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8877083333333333, "night": true, "probability": 0.8877083333333333, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 2.69 hours!"], "contribution": 0.11096316023080337}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6699999999999999, "night": true, "probability": 0.6699999999999999, "reasons": ["Battery level's getting low, so it's probably around dinnertime."], "contribution": 0.11096316023080337}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6608695652173913, "night": true, "probability": 0.6608695652173913, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -15 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 39, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.11096316023080337}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": -0.0011096316023080338}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.055481580115401684}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05570350643586329}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.058433304556382515, "night": false, "probability": 0.058433304556382515, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 19:03 and 06:33, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 20:20 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 17695 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": -0.11096316023080337}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["415972 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 416027 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": -0.11096316023080337}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.5174552002824643, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.6608695652173913, "night": true}], [1554843051.24008, {"predictions": [{"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.7 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["384578 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 07, 385741 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": true, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8098495369242772, "night": true, "probability": 0.8098495369242772, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 12:10 and 01:34, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 20:50 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 12417 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": true, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Alexander's upstairs neighbour is currently playing league"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5913043478260869, "night": true, "probability": 0.5913043478260869, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -10 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 47, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.26, "night": false, "probability": 0.26, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.587595823729197, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.6956521739130435, "night": true}], [1554844866.791445, {"predictions": [{"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 1.1 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["357248 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 07, 358519 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": true, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.86, "night": true, "probability": 0.86, "reasons": ["Your phone is dying, so it's bedtime soon?"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": true, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Alexander's upstairs neighbour is currently playing league"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5826086956521739, "night": true, "probability": 0.5826086956521739, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -9 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 48, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5046762667838642, "night": true, "probability": 0.5046762667838642, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 05:20 and 17:16, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 21:21 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 187 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.6114400802030032, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.691304347826087, "night": true}], [1554846681.062825, {"predictions": [{"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 1.1 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["330502 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 07, 331291 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": true, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": true, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Alexander's upstairs neighbour is currently playing league"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5826086956521739, "night": true, "probability": 0.5826086956521739, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -9 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 48, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.16000000000000003, "night": false, "probability": 0.16000000000000003, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.14070609599213513, "night": false, "probability": 0.14070609599213513, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 21:06 and 08:28, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 21:51 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 14398 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.5227758993036924, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.41630434782608694, "night": true}], [1554848495.966854, {"predictions": [{"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.0 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["304333 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 07, 307968 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": true, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.9029267673404906, "night": true, "probability": 0.9029267673404906, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 14:28 and 03:45, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 22:21 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 16147 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": true, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Alexander's upstairs neighbour is currently playing league"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5826086956521739, "night": true, "probability": 0.5826086956521739, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -7 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 48, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.20999999999999996, "night": false, "probability": 0.20999999999999996, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.5904609552493887, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.691304347826087, "night": true}], [1554850320.494792, {"predictions": [{"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.0 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["282121 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 07, 274753 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": true, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": true, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Alexander's upstairs neighbour is currently playing league"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5826086956521739, "night": true, "probability": 0.5826086956521739, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -6 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 48, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5716180905994623, "night": true, "probability": 0.5716180905994623, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 07:07 and 19:09, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 22:52 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 2870 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": true, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.06000000000000005, "night": false, "probability": 0.06000000000000005, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.5795185655209697, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.5771133931258181, "night": true}], [1554852141.463248, {"predictions": [{"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.38, "night": false, "probability": 0.38, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.2233609969883814, "night": false, "probability": 0.2233609969883814, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 23:08 and 10:24, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 23:22 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 11086 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.00793650793650802, "night": false, "probability": 0.00793650793650802, "reasons": ["Because average for daytime is 7.0 and average for nighttime is 3.4, but the current average is 3.6"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": true, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["186965 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 07, 274753 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": true, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": true, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Alexander's upstairs neighbour is currently playing league"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5826086956521739, "night": true, "probability": 0.5826086956521739, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -3 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 48, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.4944918500480886, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.45249999999999996, "night": false}], [1554853955.542863, {"predictions": [{"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 3.2 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["145167 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 07, 274753 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.98975658963049, "night": true, "probability": 0.98975658963049, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 16:36 and 05:46, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 23:52 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 19626 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.96, "night": true, "probability": 0.96, "reasons": ["Your phone's practically dead, so it's probably around four in the morning."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.9153009259259259, "night": true, "probability": 0.9153009259259259, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 2.03 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": true, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5826086956521739, "night": true, "probability": 0.5826086956521739, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -2 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 48, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": true, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.6989718509340491, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.912650462962963, "night": true}], [1554855770.798906, {"predictions": [{"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["210648 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 07, 274753 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": true, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8942939814814814, "night": true, "probability": 0.8942939814814814, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 2.54 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6480239197123379, "night": true, "probability": 0.6480239197123379, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 08:54 and 21:02, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 00:22 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 5932 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6, "night": true, "probability": 0.6, "reasons": ["Battery level's getting low, so it's probably around dinnertime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5826086956521739, "night": true, "probability": 0.5826086956521739, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 0 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 48, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": true, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["Because 7.7 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 7.0 is the expected number for daytime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.5554102164038327, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.5913043478260869, "night": true}], [1554857585.41492, {"predictions": [{"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["256273 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 07, 274753 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": true, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8732986111111112, "night": true, "probability": 0.8732986111111112, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 3.04 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.77, "night": true, "probability": 0.77, "reasons": ["Your phone is dying, so it's bedtime soon?"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6883586617731844, "night": true, "probability": 0.6883586617731844, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 01:21 and 12:26, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 00:53 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 7548 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5826086956521739, "night": true, "probability": 0.5826086956521739, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 0 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 48, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": true, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.042145593869732045, "night": false, "probability": 0.042145593869732045, "reasons": ["Because average for daytime is 7.0 and average for nighttime is 3.4, but the current average is 3.4"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.5747006302005168, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.6354836787126792, "night": true}], [1554859400.370903, {"predictions": [{"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["286980 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 07, 292750 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.9215286815321859, "night": true, "probability": 0.9215286815321859, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 18:46 and 07:47, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 01:23 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 16892 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8522916666666667, "night": true, "probability": 0.8522916666666667, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 3.54 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5826086956521739, "night": true, "probability": 0.5826086956521739, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -4 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 48, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": true, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Apparently we are banned from just-eat. We therefore have no clue."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.19999999999999996, "night": false, "probability": 0.19999999999999996, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": -0.06837606837606836, "night": false, "probability": -0.06837606837606836, "reasons": ["Because average for daytime is 7.0 and average for nighttime is 3.4, but the current average is 3.8"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.5015040812895798, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.5125, "night": true}], [1554861215.862803, {"predictions": [{"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 2.7 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["313081 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 07, 313745 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8312615740740741, "night": true, "probability": 0.8312615740740741, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 4.05 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.7249488410583369, "night": true, "probability": 0.7249488410583369, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 10:42 and 22:57, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 01:53 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 9014 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6599999999999999, "night": true, "probability": 0.6599999999999999, "reasons": ["Battery level's getting low, so it's probably around dinnertime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5826086956521739, "night": true, "probability": 0.5826086956521739, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -8 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 48, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": true, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Apparently we are banned from just-eat. We therefore have no clue."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.6107345925653821, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.6213043478260869, "night": true}], [1554863032.238909, {"predictions": [{"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 2.6 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["341041 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 07, 340842 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.88, "night": true, "probability": 0.88, "reasons": ["Your phone is dying, so it's bedtime soon?"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8102546296296296, "night": true, "probability": 0.8102546296296296, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 4.55 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5973833112325457, "night": true, "probability": 0.5973833112325457, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 03:35 and 14:33, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 02:23 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 3902 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5913043478260869, "night": true, "probability": 0.5913043478260869, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -11 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 47, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": true, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Apparently we are banned from just-eat. We therefore have no clue."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.6174115240573552, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.5943438295293163, "night": true}], [1554864847.418007, {"predictions": [{"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 2.0 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["366958 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 07, 366210 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.89, "night": true, "probability": 0.89, "reasons": ["Your phone is dying, so it's bedtime soon?"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8376218032749607, "night": true, "probability": 0.8376218032749607, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 20:52 and 09:44, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 02:54 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 13530 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.7892361111111111, "night": true, "probability": 0.7892361111111111, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 5.06 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6086956521739131, "night": true, "probability": 0.6086956521739131, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -13 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 45, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": true, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Apparently we are banned from just-eat. We therefore have no clue."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.6379624638799988, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.6989658816425122, "night": true}], [1554866662.563192, {"predictions": [{"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.8 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["381152 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 07, 380728 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.77, "night": true, "probability": 0.77, "reasons": ["Your phone is dying, so it's bedtime soon?"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.7682291666666666, "night": true, "probability": 0.7682291666666666, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 5.56 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6347826086956522, "night": true, "probability": 0.6347826086956522, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -14 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 42, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": true, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Apparently we are banned from just-eat. We therefore have no clue."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.1977968136784895, "night": false, "probability": 0.1977968136784895, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 12:30 and 00:52, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 03:24 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 12110 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.575067049086734, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.579891304347826, "night": true}], [1554868478.116603, {"predictions": [{"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.4 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["392865 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 07, 390901 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.747199074074074, "night": true, "probability": 0.747199074074074, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 6.07 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.73, "night": true, "probability": 0.73, "reasons": ["Your phone is dying, so it's bedtime soon?"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6347826086956522, "night": true, "probability": 0.6347826086956522, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -14 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 42, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5033782589081961, "night": true, "probability": 0.5033782589081961, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 05:54 and 16:46, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 03:54 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 135 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": true, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Apparently we are banned from just-eat. We therefore have no clue."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.5954463284731601, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.579891304347826, "night": true}], [1554870294.60279, {"predictions": [{"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.2 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Your phone's practically dead, so it's probably around four in the morning."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["427514 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 06, 429296 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.7559731980661102, "night": true, "probability": 0.7559731980661102, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 22:53 and 11:38, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 04:24 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 10258 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.7261921296296296, "night": true, "probability": 0.7261921296296296, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 6.57 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6869565217391305, "night": true, "probability": 0.6869565217391305, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -16 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 36, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": true, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Apparently we are banned from just-eat. We therefore have no clue."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.6415931541195725, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.7065743256843801, "night": true}], [1554872114.103195, {"predictions": [{"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.1 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["453497 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 06, 454175 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.76, "night": true, "probability": 0.76, "reasons": ["Your phone is dying, so it's bedtime soon?"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.7051388888888889, "night": true, "probability": 0.7051388888888889, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 7.08 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6434782608695653, "night": true, "probability": 0.6434782608695653, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -18 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 41, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": true, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Apparently we are banned from just-eat. We therefore have no clue."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.12059016278716295, "night": false, "probability": 0.12059016278716295, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 14:17 and 02:46, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 04:55 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 15204 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.5632669427121347, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.5842391304347826, "night": true}], [1554873930.19485, {"predictions": [{"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.1 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["459526 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 06, 458805 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6841203703703704, "night": true, "probability": 0.6841203703703704, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 7.58 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6608695652173913, "night": true, "probability": 0.6608695652173913, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -20 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 39, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5913838029227919, "night": true, "probability": 0.5913838029227919, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 08:12 and 19:01, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 05:25 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 3662 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5700000000000001, "night": true, "probability": 0.5700000000000001, "reasons": ["Battery level's getting low, so it's probably around dinnertime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": true, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Apparently we are banned from just-eat. We therefore have no clue."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.5863641448758795, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.580691901461396, "night": true}], [1554875745.574538, {"predictions": [{"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Apparently we are banned from just-eat. We therefore have no clue."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.3234831297949444, "night": false, "probability": 0.3234831297949444, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 00:52 and 13:29, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 05:55 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 7073 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["462898 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 463493 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": true, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.1 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.69, "night": true, "probability": 0.69, "reasons": ["Battery level's getting low, so it's probably around dinnertime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6631134259259259, "night": true, "probability": 0.6631134259259259, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 8.09 hours!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6608695652173913, "night": true, "probability": 0.6608695652173913, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -22 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 39, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.4889551767448551, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.5125, "night": false}], [1554877561.490552, {"predictions": [{"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.1 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["471174 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 06, 472136 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": true, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6608695652173913, "night": true, "probability": 0.6608695652173913, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -22 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 39, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6420717592592593, "night": true, "probability": 0.6420717592592593, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 8.59 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": true, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.30000000000000004, "night": false, "probability": 0.30000000000000004, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.041986233176440124, "night": false, "probability": 0.041986233176440124, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 16:07 and 04:44, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 06:26 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 18354 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.5487436298044243, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.5835358796296296, "night": true}], [1554879378.415133, {"predictions": [{"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.1 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["485565 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 06, 486296 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": true, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.687966569669746, "night": true, "probability": 0.687966569669746, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 10:32 and 21:20, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 06:56 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 7532 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6695652173913044, "night": true, "probability": 0.6695652173913044, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -21 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 38, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6210532407407408, "night": true, "probability": 0.6210532407407408, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 9.09 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": true, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.18000000000000005, "night": false, "probability": 0.18000000000000005, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.5915484189834825, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.6453092290660225, "night": true}], [1554881194.930857, {"predictions": [{"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.1 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["503257 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 06, 505329 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": true, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.85, "night": true, "probability": 0.85, "reasons": ["Your phone is dying, so it's bedtime soon?"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6608695652173913, "night": true, "probability": 0.6608695652173913, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -19 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 39, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6000462962962962, "night": true, "probability": 0.6000462962962962, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 9.60 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": true, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.40194952214731805, "night": false, "probability": 0.40194952214731805, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 02:49 and 15:18, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 07:26 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 3929 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.6210717819717505, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.6304579307568438, "night": true}], [1554883010.002778, {"predictions": [{"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.31000000000000005, "night": false, "probability": 0.31000000000000005, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.03887999856348673, "night": false, "probability": 0.03887999856348673, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 17:58 and 06:41, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 07:56 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 18479 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["522867 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 521831 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.1 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": true, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6869565217391305, "night": true, "probability": 0.6869565217391305, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -16 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 36, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5789467592592592, "night": true, "probability": 0.5789467592592592, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 10.11 hours!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.43373160663015636, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.28, "night": false}], [1554884831.687002, {"predictions": [{"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Apparently we are banned from just-eat. We therefore have no clue."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.28, "night": false, "probability": 0.28, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.21750651284418515, "night": false, "probability": 0.21750651284418515, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 12:47 and 23:37, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 08:27 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 11320 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["543037 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 543866 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.1 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6347826086956522, "night": true, "probability": 0.6347826086956522, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -14 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 42, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5579398148148147, "night": true, "probability": 0.5579398148148147, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 10.61 hours!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.4058520780295543, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.265, "night": false}], [1554886654.350897, {"predictions": [{"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Battery level's getting low, so it's probably around dinnertime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Apparently we are banned from just-eat. We therefore have no clue."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.4784302203322787, "night": false, "probability": 0.4784302203322787, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 04:42 and 17:05, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 08:57 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 864 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["557095 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 556795 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.1 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5913043478260869, "night": true, "probability": 0.5913043478260869, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -11 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 47, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5368518518518519, "night": true, "probability": 0.5368518518518519, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 11.12 hours!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.44054853500085145, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.4892151101661394, "night": false}], [1554888466.623029, {"predictions": [{"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Apparently we are banned from just-eat. We therefore have no clue."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.1195794303140138, "night": false, "probability": 0.1195794303140138, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 19:51 and 08:42, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 09:27 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 15245 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["563292 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 563194 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": true, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.2 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5913043478260869, "night": true, "probability": 0.5913043478260869, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -10 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 47, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.55, "night": true, "probability": 0.55, "reasons": ["Battery level's getting low, so it's probably around dinnertime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5158680555555555, "night": true, "probability": 0.5158680555555555, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 11.62 hours!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.4422289861413047, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.5079340277777777, "night": false}], [1554890279.574858, {"predictions": [{"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Apparently we are banned from just-eat. We therefore have no clue."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.4948842592592593, "night": false, "probability": 0.4948842592592593, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 12.12 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.18999999999999995, "night": false, "probability": 0.18999999999999995, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.12364981219970783, "night": false, "probability": 0.12364981219970783, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 15:00 and 01:55, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 09:58 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 15082 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["573804 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 572177 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.2 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5913043478260869, "night": true, "probability": 0.5913043478260869, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -10 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 47, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.3816528682737545, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.249998, "night": false}], [1554892092.134917, {"predictions": [{"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Apparently we are banned from just-eat. We therefore have no clue."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.473912037037037, "night": false, "probability": 0.473912037037037, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 12.63 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.4434189465895434, "night": false, "probability": 0.4434189465895434, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 06:39 and 18:54, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 10:28 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 2267 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["595197 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 597090 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.2 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.64, "night": true, "probability": 0.64, "reasons": ["Battery level's getting low, so it's probably around dinnertime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5826086956521739, "night": true, "probability": 0.5826086956521739, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -8 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 48, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.44332797327322954, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.4586654918132902, "night": false}], [1554893905.65494, {"predictions": [{"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Apparently we are banned from just-eat. We therefore have no clue."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.4529282407407408, "night": false, "probability": 0.4529282407407408, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 13.13 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.20451451049454128, "night": false, "probability": 0.20451451049454128, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 21:48 and 10:49, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 10:58 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 11841 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.09999999999999998, "night": false, "probability": 0.09999999999999998, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["629208 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 623425 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": true, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.2 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5826086956521739, "night": true, "probability": 0.5826086956521739, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -8 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 48, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.4058372872406213, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.3514641203703704, "night": false}], [1554895718.168834, {"predictions": [{"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Apparently we are banned from just-eat. We therefore have no clue."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.4319328703703703, "night": false, "probability": 0.4319328703703703, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 13.63 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.14, "night": false, "probability": 0.14, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.03051019089009016, "night": false, "probability": 0.03051019089009016, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 17:11 and 04:13, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 11:28 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 18814 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["675548 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 652559 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": true, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.2 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5826086956521739, "night": true, "probability": 0.5826086956521739, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -5 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 48, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.3929206464093862, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.34096643518518516, "night": false}], [1554897532.510914, {"predictions": [{"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Apparently we are banned from just-eat. We therefore have no clue."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.4108912037037037, "night": false, "probability": 0.4108912037037037, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 14.14 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.3664213745143359, "night": false, "probability": 0.3664213745143359, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 08:33 and 20:42, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 11:58 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 5353 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.17000000000000004, "night": false, "probability": 0.17000000000000004, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["724465 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 719116 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.2 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5826086956521739, "night": true, "probability": 0.5826086956521739, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -3 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 48, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.39249310615585115, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.30821068725716794, "night": false}], [1554899349.522834, {"predictions": [{"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Apparently we are banned from just-eat. We therefore have no clue."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.2910149088673668, "night": false, "probability": 0.2910149088673668, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 23:48 and 12:58, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 12:29 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 8375 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["775241 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 777380 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.2 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.81, "night": true, "probability": 0.81, "reasons": ["Your phone is dying, so it's bedtime soon?"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": true, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Alexander's upstairs neighbour is currently playing league"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5826086956521739, "night": true, "probability": 0.5826086956521739, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -3 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 48, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.4719683003766284, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.3955074544336834, "night": false}], [1554901185.793707, {"predictions": [{"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Apparently we are banned from just-eat. We therefore have no clue."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.05482711091761616, "night": false, "probability": 0.05482711091761616, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 19:07 and 06:18, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 12:59 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 17840 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["819190 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 817829 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.2 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.85, "night": true, "probability": 0.85, "reasons": ["Your phone is dying, so it's bedtime soon?"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": true, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Alexander's upstairs neighbour is currently playing league"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6, "night": true, "probability": 0.6, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 7 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 46, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.45706859257646804, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.375, "night": false}], [1554903004.134853, {"predictions": [{"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Apparently we are banned from just-eat. We therefore have no clue."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.31999999999999995, "night": false, "probability": 0.31999999999999995, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.2919108420966521, "night": false, "probability": 0.2919108420966521, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 10:23 and 22:27, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 13:30 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 8339 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's night-time in Australia, so it must be day-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["858186 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 858280 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.1 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": true, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Alexander's upstairs neighbour is currently playing league"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6, "night": true, "probability": 0.6, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 7 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 46, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.349325570174721, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.27095542104832604, "night": false}], [1554904816.766851, {"predictions": [{"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Apparently we are banned from just-eat. We therefore have no clue."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.37567907392408995, "night": false, "probability": 0.37567907392408995, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 01:47 and 15:04, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 14:00 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 4982 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.07999999999999996, "night": false, "probability": 0.07999999999999996, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's night-time in Australia, so it must be day-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["871659 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 870733 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.1 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": true, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Alexander's upstairs neighbour is currently playing league"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5913043478260869, "night": true, "probability": 0.5913043478260869, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 6 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 47, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.3355816184791814, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.249998, "night": false}], [1554906630.174152, {"predictions": [{"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Apparently we are banned from just-eat. We therefore have no clue."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.18000000000000005, "night": false, "probability": 0.18000000000000005, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.14098921200176062, "night": false, "probability": 0.14098921200176062, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 21:07 and 08:27, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 14:30 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 14387 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's night-time in Australia, so it must be day-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["858766 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 858280 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.1 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": true, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Alexander's upstairs neighbour is currently playing league"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5826086956521739, "night": true, "probability": 0.5826086956521739, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 4 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 48, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.32363282563782786, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.21499800000000002, "night": false}], [1554908443.46341, {"predictions": [{"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Apparently we are banned from just-eat. We therefore have no clue."], "contribution": 0.1147842056932966}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's night-time in Australia, so it must be day-time here."], "contribution": 0.1147842056932966}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["820024 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 817829 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.1147842056932966}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.08034894398530762}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.0576216712580349}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.0573921028466483}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001147842056932966}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.1 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.1147842056932966}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.9, "night": true, "probability": 0.9, "reasons": ["Your phone's practically dead, so it's probably around four in the morning."], "contribution": -0.1147842056932966}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.7858049184848535, "night": true, "probability": 0.7858049184848535, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 12:19 and 00:15, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 15:00 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 11453 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": -0.1147842056932966}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6086956521739131, "night": true, "probability": 0.6086956521739131, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 2 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 45, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.1147842056932966}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.4067724155144333, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.25, "night": false}], [1554910262.5989, {"predictions": [{"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Apparently we are banned from just-eat. We therefore have no clue."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.4682727055932054, "night": false, "probability": 0.4682727055932054, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 03:56 and 17:22, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 15:31 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 1271 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's night-time in Australia, so it must be day-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["765326 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 777380 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.2 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.885011574074074, "night": true, "probability": 0.885011574074074, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 2.76 hours!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6086956521739131, "night": true, "probability": 0.6086956521739131, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 2 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 45, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6, "night": true, "probability": 0.6, "reasons": ["Battery level's getting low, so it's probably around dinnertime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.39516466098676606, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.3591363527966027, "night": false}], [1554912075.926654, {"predictions": [{"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Apparently we are banned from just-eat. We therefore have no clue."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.28, "night": false, "probability": 0.28, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.22428549138220277, "night": false, "probability": 0.22428549138220277, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 23:04 and 10:30, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 16:01 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 11049 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's night-time in Australia, so it must be day-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["707425 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 699489 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.2 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8640277777777777, "night": true, "probability": 0.8640277777777777, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 3.26 hours!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6086956521739131, "night": true, "probability": 0.6086956521739131, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 2 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 45, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.34641707677782446, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.249998, "night": false}], [1554913887.906506, {"predictions": [{"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Apparently we are banned from just-eat. We therefore have no clue."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's night-time in Australia, so it must be day-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["652517 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 652559 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.3 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8634078208725122, "night": true, "probability": 0.8634078208725122, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 14:14 and 02:03, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 16:31 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 14563 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8430324074074074, "night": true, "probability": 0.8430324074074074, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 3.77 hours!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6086956521739131, "night": true, "probability": 0.6086956521739131, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 2 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 45, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.53, "night": true, "probability": 0.53, "reasons": ["Battery level's getting low, so it's probably around dinnertime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.4187609900378194, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.375, "night": false}], [1554915702.878832, {"predictions": [{"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Apparently we are banned from just-eat. We therefore have no clue."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.47, "night": false, "probability": 0.47, "reasons": ["Battery level's getting low, so it's probably around dinnertime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.4351115298095511, "night": false, "probability": 0.4351115298095511, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 06:12 and 19:44, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 17:01 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 2600 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's night-time in Australia, so it must be day-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["609673 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 609003 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.3 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8219212962962963, "night": true, "probability": 0.8219212962962963, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 4.27 hours!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5913043478260869, "night": true, "probability": 0.5913043478260869, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -1 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 47, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.3748610978276612, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.3425557649047756, "night": false}], [1554917525.938844, {"predictions": [{"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Apparently we are banned from just-eat. We therefore have no clue."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's night-time in Australia, so it must be day-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["576259 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 576129 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.3 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.99, "night": true, "probability": 0.99, "reasons": ["Your phone's practically dead, so it's probably around four in the morning."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8009490740740741, "night": true, "probability": 0.8009490740740741, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 4.78 hours!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6950880048893382, "night": true, "probability": 0.6950880048893382, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 00:56 and 12:30, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 17:32 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 7818 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5826086956521739, "night": true, "probability": 0.5826086956521739, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -4 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 48, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.43738681455129885, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.375, "night": false}], [1554919337.925721, {"predictions": [{"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Apparently we are banned from just-eat. We therefore have no clue."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's night-time in Australia, so it must be day-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["546493 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 545771 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.3 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.9410625770249113, "night": true, "probability": 0.9410625770249113, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 16:10 and 03:52, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 18:02 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 17675 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.81, "night": true, "probability": 0.81, "reasons": ["Your phone is dying, so it's bedtime soon?"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.7799768518518518, "night": true, "probability": 0.7799768518518518, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 5.28 hours!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5826086956521739, "night": true, "probability": 0.5826086956521739, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -8 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 48, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.44113701037741143, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.375, "night": false}], [1554921150.386988, {"predictions": [{"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Apparently we are banned from just-eat. We therefore have no clue."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.33839178038996715, "night": false, "probability": 0.33839178038996715, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 08:30 and 22:05, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 18:32 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 6476 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.13, "night": false, "probability": 0.13, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's night-time in Australia, so it must be day-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.4 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["518429 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 06, 516839 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.7589814814814815, "night": true, "probability": 0.7589814814814815, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 5.78 hours!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6086956521739131, "night": true, "probability": 0.6086956521739131, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -13 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 45, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.4180054095037801, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.2941958901949836, "night": false}], [1554922964.557803, {"predictions": [{"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Apparently we are banned from just-eat. We therefore have no clue."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's night-time in Australia, so it must be day-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.4 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["482513 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 06, 482232 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.7379976851851852, "night": true, "probability": 0.7379976851851852, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 6.29 hours!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6608695652173913, "night": true, "probability": 0.6608695652173913, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -15 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 39, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6145860056548282, "night": true, "probability": 0.6145860056548282, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 02:49 and 14:30, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 19:02 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 4592 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.53, "night": true, "probability": 0.53, "reasons": ["Battery level's getting low, so it's probably around dinnertime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.4769541046714504, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.515, "night": false}], [1554924782.57487, {"predictions": [{"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Apparently we are banned from just-eat. We therefore have no clue."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.07999999999999996, "night": false, "probability": 0.07999999999999996, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's night-time in Australia, so it must be day-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.5 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["444361 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 06, 444908 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.9776560838243789, "night": true, "probability": 0.9776560838243789, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 18:08 and 05:43, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 19:33 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 19142 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.7169444444444444, "night": true, "probability": 0.7169444444444444, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 6.79 hours!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6608695652173913, "night": true, "probability": 0.6608695652173913, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -15 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 39, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.46795550779051787, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.375, "night": false}], [1554926596.186848, {"predictions": [{"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.5 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["417972 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 07, 418250 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.7588032489909274, "night": true, "probability": 0.7588032489909274, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 10:51 and 00:25, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 20:03 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 10371 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6959722222222222, "night": true, "probability": 0.6959722222222222, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 7.30 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6086956521739131, "night": true, "probability": 0.6086956521739131, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -13 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 45, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Apparently we are banned from just-eat. We therefore have no clue."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.050000000000000044, "night": false, "probability": 0.050000000000000044, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.5244555936155886, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.5543478260869565, "night": true}], [1554928407.850856, {"predictions": [{"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.7 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["388364 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 07, 390901 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": true, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Alexander's upstairs neighbour is currently playing league"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.65, "night": true, "probability": 0.65, "reasons": ["Battery level's getting low, so it's probably around dinnertime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6086956521739131, "night": true, "probability": 0.6086956521739131, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -12 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 45, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5358711589002758, "night": true, "probability": 0.5358711589002758, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 04:39 and 16:27, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 20:33 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 1437 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Apparently we are banned from just-eat. We therefore have no clue."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.5645469009228491, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.5722834055370944, "night": true}], [1554930220.102848, {"predictions": [{"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.9 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["366301 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 07, 366210 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.89, "night": true, "probability": 0.89, "reasons": ["Your phone is dying, so it's bedtime soon?"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": true, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Alexander's upstairs neighbour is currently playing league"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5826086956521739, "night": true, "probability": 0.5826086956521739, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -9 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 48, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Apparently we are banned from just-eat. We therefore have no clue."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.10428312430130587, "night": false, "probability": 0.10428312430130587, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 20:10 and 07:38, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 21:03 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 15858 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.5464073183294567, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.5413043478260869, "night": true}], [1554932031.646836, {"predictions": [{"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 1.1 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["346756 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 07, 348194 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8570711244455158, "night": true, "probability": 0.8570711244455158, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:16 and 02:44, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 21:33 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 14309 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": true, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Alexander's upstairs neighbour is currently playing league"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5826086956521739, "night": true, "probability": 0.5826086956521739, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -8 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 48, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Apparently we are banned from just-eat. We therefore have no clue."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.09999999999999998, "night": false, "probability": 0.09999999999999998, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.5433063183414741, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.5413043478260869, "night": true}], [1554933844.330209, {"predictions": [{"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 1.7 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["319910 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 07, 319848 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": true, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Alexander's upstairs neighbour is currently playing league"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5826086956521739, "night": true, "probability": 0.5826086956521739, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -8 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 48, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5426640020812723, "night": true, "probability": 0.5426640020812723, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 06:28 and 18:24, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 22:04 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 1709 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Apparently we are banned from just-eat. We therefore have no clue."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.27, "night": false, "probability": 0.27, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.5312723914777872, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.5213320010406362, "night": true}], [1554935660.694911, {"predictions": [{"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.0 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["296428 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 07, 292750 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.88, "night": true, "probability": 0.88, "reasons": ["Your phone is dying, so it's bedtime soon?"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": true, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Alexander's upstairs neighbour is currently playing league"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5826086956521739, "night": true, "probability": 0.5826086956521739, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -7 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 48, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Apparently we are banned from just-eat. We therefore have no clue."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.18798868794248014, "night": false, "probability": 0.18798868794248014, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 22:15 and 09:35, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 22:34 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 12503 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.5525494486328878, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.5413043478260869, "night": true}], [1554937479.85486, {"predictions": [{"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["275059 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 07, 274753 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.98, "night": true, "probability": 0.98, "reasons": ["Your phone's practically dead, so it's probably around four in the morning."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.9493783125906907, "night": true, "probability": 0.9493783125906907, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 15:32 and 04:53, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 23:04 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 18008 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": true, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Alexander's upstairs neighbour is currently playing league"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5826086956521739, "night": true, "probability": 0.5826086956521739, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -6 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 48, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Apparently we are banned from just-eat. We therefore have no clue."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": -0.32275132275132257, "night": false, "probability": -0.32275132275132257, "reasons": ["Because average for daytime is 7.0 and average for nighttime is 3.4, but the current average is 4.8"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.5141026404576285, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.5413043478260869, "night": true}], [1554939291.494837, {"predictions": [{"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Apparently we are banned from just-eat. We therefore have no clue."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": -0.5432098765432096, "night": false, "probability": -0.5432098765432096, "reasons": ["Because average for daytime is 7.0 and average for nighttime is 3.4, but the current average is 5.6"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["260287 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 07, 274753 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.97, "night": true, "probability": 0.97, "reasons": ["Your phone's practically dead, so it's probably around four in the morning."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": true, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Alexander's upstairs neighbour is currently playing league"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6196014016059521, "night": true, "probability": 0.6196014016059521, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 08:16 and 20:18, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 23:34 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 4793 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5826086956521739, "night": true, "probability": 0.5826086956521739, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -3 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 48, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.467416351726243, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.5413043478260869, "night": false}], [1554941109.786829, {"predictions": [{"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 3.3 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["254184 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 07, 274753 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.9004861111111111, "night": true, "probability": 0.9004861111111111, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 2.39 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.727156646806269, "night": true, "probability": 0.727156646806269, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 00:22 and 11:32, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 00:05 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 9103 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.72, "night": true, "probability": 0.72, "reasons": ["Your phone is dying, so it's bedtime soon?"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5913043478260869, "night": true, "probability": 0.5913043478260869, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 1 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 47, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Apparently we are banned from just-eat. We therefore have no clue."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.5932452588119556, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.6556521739130434, "night": true}], [1554942921.394834, {"predictions": [{"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Apparently we are banned from just-eat. We therefore have no clue."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.15000000000000002, "night": false, "probability": 0.15000000000000002, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["Because 16.7 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 7.0 is the expected number for daytime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["253519 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 07, 274753 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.9584191689842576, "night": true, "probability": 0.9584191689842576, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 17:48 and 06:59, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 00:35 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 18371 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8795023148148148, "night": true, "probability": 0.8795023148148148, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 2.89 hours!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6086956521739131, "night": true, "probability": 0.6086956521739131, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 3 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 45, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.4813844279977488, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.375, "night": false}], [1554944734.846898, {"predictions": [{"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Apparently we are banned from just-eat. We therefore have no clue."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.29000000000000004, "night": false, "probability": 0.29000000000000004, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": -0.8518518518518516, "night": false, "probability": -0.8518518518518516, "reasons": ["Because average for daytime is 7.0 and average for nighttime is 3.4, but the current average is 6.7"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["262046 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 07, 274753 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8584027777777777, "night": true, "probability": 0.8584027777777777, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 3.40 hours!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6962218553921384, "night": true, "probability": 0.6962218553921384, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 10:03 and 22:12, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 01:05 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 7863 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5913043478260869, "night": true, "probability": 0.5913043478260869, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 6 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 47, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.39700609409534593, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.395, "night": false}], [1554946558.250834, {"predictions": [{"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Apparently we are banned from just-eat. We therefore have no clue."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.18999999999999995, "night": false, "probability": 0.18999999999999995, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.042145593869732045, "night": false, "probability": 0.042145593869732045, "reasons": ["Because average for daytime is 7.0 and average for nighttime is 3.4, but the current average is 3.4"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["280704 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 07, 274753 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8374189814814814, "night": true, "probability": 0.8374189814814814, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 3.90 hours!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6394209087440392, "night": true, "probability": 0.6394209087440392, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 02:33 and 13:34, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 01:35 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 5587 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5913043478260869, "night": true, "probability": 0.5913043478260869, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 6 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 47, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.456690485993445, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.375, "night": false}], [1554948370.918965, {"predictions": [{"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 2.5 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["313996 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 07, 313745 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.873385095252862, "night": true, "probability": 0.873385095252862, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 19:54 and 08:57, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 02:06 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 14963 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8163657407407408, "night": true, "probability": 0.8163657407407408, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 4.41 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5913043478260869, "night": true, "probability": 0.5913043478260869, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 5 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 47, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": true, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Apparently we are banned from just-eat. We therefore have no clue."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.36, "night": false, "probability": 0.36, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.5975875986516408, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.5581521739130434, "night": true}], [1554950189.01079, {"predictions": [{"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 2.9 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["346889 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 07, 348194 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.7953935185185185, "night": true, "probability": 0.7953935185185185, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 4.91 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.63, "night": true, "probability": 0.63, "reasons": ["Battery level's getting low, so it's probably around dinnertime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5826086956521739, "night": true, "probability": 0.5826086956521739, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 4 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 48, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": true, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Apparently we are banned from just-eat. We therefore have no clue."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.22717155546465417, "night": false, "probability": 0.22717155546465417, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 11:50 and 00:06, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 02:36 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 10933 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.5637641474696122, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.5538043478260869, "night": true}], [1554952001.478875, {"predictions": [{"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 2.3 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["369576 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 07, 369566 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.7744097222222222, "night": true, "probability": 0.7744097222222222, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 5.41 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5913043478260869, "night": true, "probability": 0.5913043478260869, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 1 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 47, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5474151379372216, "night": true, "probability": 0.5474151379372216, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 04:49 and 15:43, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 03:06 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 1900 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": true, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Battery level's getting low, so it's probably around dinnertime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Apparently we are banned from just-eat. We therefore have no clue."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.5785937673321275, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.5362075689686108, "night": true}], [1554953813.862874, {"predictions": [{"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.9 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["381026 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 07, 380728 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8200000000000001, "night": true, "probability": 0.8200000000000001, "reasons": ["Your phone is dying, so it's bedtime soon?"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.7883329974855942, "night": true, "probability": 0.7883329974855942, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 22:02 and 10:55, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 03:36 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 11554 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.7534259259259259, "night": true, "probability": 0.7534259259259259, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 5.92 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5826086956521739, "night": true, "probability": 0.5826086956521739, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 0 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 48, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": true, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Apparently we are banned from just-eat. We therefore have no clue."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.6228636349219745, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.6680173107890499, "night": true}], [1554955627.242958, {"predictions": [{"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.6 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["401315 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 07, 401461 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.7324537037037038, "night": true, "probability": 0.7324537037037038, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 6.42 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5913043478260869, "night": true, "probability": 0.5913043478260869, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -1 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 47, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": true, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Apparently we are banned from just-eat. We therefore have no clue."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.14900214376488474, "night": false, "probability": 0.14900214376488474, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:39 and 02:03, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 04:07 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 14066 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.06000000000000005, "night": false, "probability": 0.06000000000000005, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.505229682941223, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.5125, "night": true}], [1554957438.986826, {"predictions": [{"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.2 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["437210 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 06, 435124 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.97, "night": true, "probability": 0.97, "reasons": ["Your phone's practically dead, so it's probably around four in the morning."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.7114699074074073, "night": true, "probability": 0.7114699074074073, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 6.92 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5826086956521739, "night": true, "probability": 0.5826086956521739, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -2 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 48, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.549329567839724, "night": true, "probability": 0.549329567839724, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 07:12 and 17:59, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 04:37 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 1976 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": true, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Apparently we are banned from just-eat. We therefore have no clue."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.611950347574942, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.565969131745949, "night": true}], [1554959255.506821, {"predictions": [{"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.1 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["454854 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 06, 454175 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": true, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Your phone is dying, so it's bedtime soon?"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6904513888888889, "night": true, "probability": 0.6904513888888889, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 7.43 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5826086956521739, "night": true, "probability": 0.5826086956521739, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -4 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 48, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": true, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Apparently we are banned from just-eat. We therefore have no clue."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.2938044750346862, "night": false, "probability": 0.2938044750346862, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 00:05 and 12:49, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 05:07 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 8263 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.5747383799646457, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.5538043478260869, "night": true}], [1554961068.30683, {"predictions": [{"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Apparently we are banned from just-eat. We therefore have no clue."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0704572775332516, "night": false, "probability": 0.0704572775332516, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 15:28 and 04:00, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 05:37 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 17213 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["461440 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 463493 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": true, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.1 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Your phone's practically dead, so it's probably around four in the morning."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6694675925925926, "night": true, "probability": 0.6694675925925926, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 7.93 hours!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5826086956521739, "night": true, "probability": 0.5826086956521739, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -8 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 48, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.4877107971481682, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.5125, "night": false}], [1554962881.007344, {"predictions": [{"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.1 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["466541 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 06, 467800 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.9299999999999999, "night": true, "probability": 0.9299999999999999, "reasons": ["Your phone's practically dead, so it's probably around four in the morning."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6484953703703704, "night": true, "probability": 0.6484953703703704, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 8.44 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6470533947038272, "night": true, "probability": 0.6470533947038272, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 09:35 and 20:19, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 06:08 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 5893 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5913043478260869, "night": true, "probability": 0.5913043478260869, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -11 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 47, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": true, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Apparently we are banned from just-eat. We therefore have no clue."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.6122374260750237, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.6191788712649571, "night": true}], [1554964693.463187, {"predictions": [{"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.2 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["479192 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 06, 479234 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.73, "night": true, "probability": 0.73, "reasons": ["Your phone is dying, so it's bedtime soon?"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6347826086956522, "night": true, "probability": 0.6347826086956522, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -14 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 42, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6275231481481482, "night": true, "probability": 0.6275231481481482, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 8.94 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": true, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Apparently we are banned from just-eat. We therefore have no clue."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.3745857081787877, "night": false, "probability": 0.3745857081787877, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 02:06 and 14:41, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 06:38 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 5025 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.5747406220852157, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.5762615740740741, "night": true}], [1554966505.765846, {"predictions": [{"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.011390570929569521, "night": false, "probability": 0.011390570929569521, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 17:19 and 06:00, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 07:08 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 19581 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["492928 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 491189 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": true, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.2 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": true, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.76, "night": true, "probability": 0.76, "reasons": ["Your phone is dying, so it's bedtime soon?"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6608695652173913, "night": true, "probability": 0.6608695652173913, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -17 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 39, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6065393518518518, "night": true, "probability": 0.6065393518518518, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 9.44 hours!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.49823295733323436, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.5657696759259259, "night": false}], [1554968321.630831, {"predictions": [{"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.2 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": true, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.9, "night": true, "probability": 0.9, "reasons": ["Your phone's practically dead, so it's probably around four in the morning."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.7457205718762028, "night": true, "probability": 0.7457205718762028, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 11:57 and 22:41, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 07:38 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 9847 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6434782608695653, "night": true, "probability": 0.6434782608695653, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -18 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 41, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5855208333333333, "night": true, "probability": 0.5855208333333333, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 9.95 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": true, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["513227 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 514301 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.5678929721732584, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.6144995471014493, "night": true}], [1554970141.17882, {"predictions": [{"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.45296613974469324, "night": false, "probability": 0.45296613974469324, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 04:03 and 16:31, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 08:09 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 1884 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["534082 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 532803 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.2 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": true, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6608695652173913, "night": true, "probability": 0.6608695652173913, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -19 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 39, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5644097222222222, "night": true, "probability": 0.5644097222222222, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 10.45 hours!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.4598534522653589, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.3514830698723466, "night": false}], [1554971960.822865, {"predictions": [{"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.22999999999999998, "night": false, "probability": 0.22999999999999998, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.09076260176131323, "night": false, "probability": 0.09076260176131323, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 19:11 and 07:58, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 08:39 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 16400 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["551931 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 550616 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.3 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": true, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6434782608695653, "night": true, "probability": 0.6434782608695653, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -18 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 41, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5433912037037036, "night": true, "probability": 0.5433912037037036, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 10.96 hours!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.42480233886121516, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.249998, "night": false}], [1554973777.170832, {"predictions": [{"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.16091131749789017, "night": false, "probability": 0.16091131749789017, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 14:10 and 00:58, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 09:09 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 13588 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.09090909090909091, "night": false, "probability": 0.09090909090909091, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is currently open.", "We conclude from this, that there is 0.09090909090909091% chance of it being night outside"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["558508 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 559902 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": true, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.2 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.85, "night": true, "probability": 0.85, "reasons": ["Your phone is dying, so it's bedtime soon?"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6608695652173913, "night": true, "probability": 0.6608695652173913, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -17 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 39, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5223842592592594, "night": true, "probability": 0.5223842592592594, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 11.46 hours!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.4429225194069693, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.3861921296296297, "night": false}], [1554975592.686882, {"predictions": [{"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.46996058722943534, "night": false, "probability": 0.46996058722943534, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 05:57 and 18:18, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 09:39 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 1203 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.09090909090909091, "night": false, "probability": 0.09090909090909091, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is currently open.", "We conclude from this, that there is 0.09090909090909091% chance of it being night outside"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["567025 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 567069 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": true, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.2 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6869565217391305, "night": true, "probability": 0.6869565217391305, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -16 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 36, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.54, "night": true, "probability": 0.54, "reasons": ["Battery level's getting low, so it's probably around dinnertime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5013657407407408, "night": true, "probability": 0.5013657407407408, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 11.97 hours!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.4432656617181998, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.4856631639850881, "night": false}], [1554977408.319036, {"predictions": [{"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.4803356481481481, "night": false, "probability": 0.4803356481481481, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 12.47 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.28, "night": false, "probability": 0.28, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.17280191260930416, "night": false, "probability": 0.17280191260930416, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 21:04 and 10:01, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 10:10 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 13112 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.09090909090909091, "night": false, "probability": 0.09090909090909091, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is currently open.", "We conclude from this, that there is 0.09090909090909091% chance of it being night outside"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["580869 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 582210 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": true, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.2 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6608695652173913, "night": true, "probability": 0.6608695652173913, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -15 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 39, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.3929093514069945, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.265, "night": false}], [1554979225.674825, {"predictions": [{"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.45903935185185185, "night": false, "probability": 0.45903935185185185, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 12.98 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.09090909090909091, "night": false, "probability": 0.09090909090909091, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is currently open.", "We conclude from this, that there is 0.09090909090909091% chance of it being night outside"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.06789425963220447, "night": false, "probability": 0.06789425963220447, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 16:21 and 03:15, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 10:40 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 17316 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["609699 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 609003 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.1 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6608695652173913, "night": true, "probability": 0.6608695652173913, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -15 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 39, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5900000000000001, "night": true, "probability": 0.5900000000000001, "reasons": ["Battery level's getting low, so it's probably around dinnertime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.37905902230087823, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.249998, "night": false}], [1554981066.002805, {"predictions": [{"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.4380208333333333, "night": false, "probability": 0.4380208333333333, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 13.49 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.3955720636699642, "night": false, "probability": 0.3955720636699642, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 07:47 and 20:03, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 11:11 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 4184 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.15000000000000002, "night": false, "probability": 0.15000000000000002, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.09090909090909091, "night": false, "probability": 0.09090909090909091, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is currently open.", "We conclude from this, that there is 0.09090909090909091% chance of it being night outside"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["646902 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 652559 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.2 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6869565217391305, "night": true, "probability": 0.6869565217391305, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -16 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 36, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.3701212091376266, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.249998, "night": false}], [1554982881.729591, {"predictions": [{"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.41699074074074083, "night": false, "probability": 0.41699074074074083, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 13.99 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.2526273172664524, "night": false, "probability": 0.2526273172664524, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 22:56 and 12:00, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 11:41 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 9913 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.09090909090909091, "night": false, "probability": 0.09090909090909091, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is currently open.", "We conclude from this, that there is 0.09090909090909091% chance of it being night outside"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["693323 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 699489 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.2 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.77, "night": true, "probability": 0.77, "reasons": ["Your phone is dying, so it's bedtime soon?"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6347826086956522, "night": true, "probability": 0.6347826086956522, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -14 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 42, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.4037754798009947, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.2513136586332262, "night": false}], [1554984697.814954, {"predictions": [{"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.3959837962962963, "night": false, "probability": 0.3959837962962963, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 14.50 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.09090909090909091, "night": false, "probability": 0.09090909090909091, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is currently open.", "We conclude from this, that there is 0.09090909090909091% chance of it being night outside"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.018883301288131704, "night": false, "probability": 0.018883301288131704, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 18:20 and 05:20, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 12:11 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 19280 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["742761 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 750968 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.2 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.63, "night": true, "probability": 0.63, "reasons": ["Battery level's getting low, so it's probably around dinnertime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5913043478260869, "night": true, "probability": 0.5913043478260869, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -11 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 47, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.3672563780266338, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.249998, "night": false}], [1554986513.334854, {"predictions": [{"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.3749768518518518, "night": false, "probability": 0.3749768518518518, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 15.00 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.31884734776857804, "night": false, "probability": 0.31884734776857804, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 09:42 and 21:50, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 12:41 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 7259 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.09090909090909091, "night": false, "probability": 0.09090909090909091, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is currently open.", "We conclude from this, that there is 0.09090909090909091% chance of it being night outside"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["794930 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 802699 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.1 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6699999999999999, "night": true, "probability": 0.6699999999999999, "reasons": ["Battery level's getting low, so it's probably around dinnertime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5826086956521739, "night": true, "probability": 0.5826086956521739, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -4 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 48, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.39311149884847457, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.284423673884289, "night": false}], [1554988328.530845, {"predictions": [{"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Battery level's getting low, so it's probably around dinnertime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.3539583333333334, "night": false, "probability": 0.3539583333333334, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 15.50 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.33915073094662257, "night": false, "probability": 0.33915073094662257, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 00:56 and 14:09, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 13:12 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 6446 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.09090909090909091, "night": false, "probability": 0.09090909090909091, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is currently open.", "We conclude from this, that there is 0.09090909090909091% chance of it being night outside"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's night-time in Australia, so it must be day-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["837716 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 835475 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.1 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5826086956521739, "night": true, "probability": 0.5826086956521739, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 0 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 48, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.2955519042367684, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.249998, "night": false}], [1554990143.894847, {"predictions": [{"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.332951388888889, "night": false, "probability": 0.332951388888889, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 16.01 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.20999999999999996, "night": false, "probability": 0.20999999999999996, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.10690326453142529, "night": false, "probability": 0.10690326453142529, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 20:22 and 07:33, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 13:42 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 15753 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.09090909090909091, "night": false, "probability": 0.09090909090909091, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is currently open.", "We conclude from this, that there is 0.09090909090909091% chance of it being night outside"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's night-time in Australia, so it must be day-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["872124 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 870733 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.1 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6086956521739131, "night": true, "probability": 0.6086956521739131, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 3 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 45, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.2524546163752765, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.19249999999999998, "night": false}], [1554991959.368039, {"predictions": [{"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.31194444444444447, "night": false, "probability": 0.31194444444444447, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 16.51 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.09090909090909091, "night": false, "probability": 0.09090909090909091, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is currently open.", "We conclude from this, that there is 0.09090909090909091% chance of it being night outside"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's night-time in Australia, so it must be day-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["882437 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 882575 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.1 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.7579142480831316, "night": true, "probability": 0.7579142480831316, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 11:36 and 23:37, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 14:12 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 10335 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.73, "night": true, "probability": 0.73, "reasons": ["Your phone is dying, so it's bedtime soon?"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5913043478260869, "night": true, "probability": 0.5913043478260869, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 5 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 47, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.34683901093856284, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.249998, "night": false}], [1554993776.018909, {"predictions": [{"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.49, "night": false, "probability": 0.49, "reasons": ["Battery level's getting low, so it's probably around dinnertime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.4284007653149887, "night": false, "probability": 0.4284007653149887, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 03:00 and 16:23, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 14:42 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 2869 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.2909143518518519, "night": false, "probability": 0.2909143518518519, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 17.02 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.09090909090909091, "night": false, "probability": 0.09090909090909091, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is currently open.", "We conclude from this, that there is 0.09090909090909091% chance of it being night outside"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's night-time in Australia, so it must be day-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["862772 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 862913 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.1 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5913043478260869, "night": true, "probability": 0.5913043478260869, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 5 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 47, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.2976270463251682, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.249998, "night": false}], [1554995591.698892, {"predictions": [{"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.26989583333333345, "night": false, "probability": 0.26989583333333345, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 17.52 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.1915835125740038, "night": false, "probability": 0.1915835125740038, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 22:20 and 09:39, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 15:13 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 12359 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.09090909090909091, "night": false, "probability": 0.09090909090909091, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is currently open.", "We conclude from this, that there is 0.09090909090909091% chance of it being night outside"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's night-time in Australia, so it must be day-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["817570 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 817829 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.1 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.97, "night": true, "probability": 0.97, "reasons": ["Your phone's practically dead, so it's probably around four in the morning."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5826086956521739, "night": true, "probability": 0.5826086956521739, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 4 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 48, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.3154160943723835, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.2207897562870019, "night": false}], [1554997408.166816, {"predictions": [{"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.09090909090909091, "night": false, "probability": 0.09090909090909091, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is currently open.", "We conclude from this, that there is 0.09090909090909091% chance of it being night outside"], "contribution": 0.11096316023080337}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's night-time in Australia, so it must be day-time here."], "contribution": 0.11096316023080337}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["756742 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 750968 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.11096316023080337}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05570350643586329}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.055481580115401684}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.0011096316023080338}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.2 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.11096316023080337}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.84, "night": true, "probability": 0.84, "reasons": ["Your phone is dying, so it's bedtime soon?"], "contribution": -0.11096316023080337}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8341880857948497, "night": true, "probability": 0.8341880857948497, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:29 and 01:24, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 15:43 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 13392 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": -0.11096316023080337}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": true, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Alexander's upstairs neighbour is currently playing league"], "contribution": -0.11096316023080337}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5826086956521739, "night": true, "probability": 0.5826086956521739, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 4 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 48, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.11096316023080337}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.4229728974869195, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.25, "night": false}], [1554999239.259758, {"predictions": [{"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.48309844562321536, "night": false, "probability": 0.48309844562321536, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 05:04 and 18:34, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 16:14 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 677 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.09090909090909091, "night": false, "probability": 0.09090909090909091, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is currently open.", "We conclude from this, that there is 0.09090909090909091% chance of it being night outside"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's night-time in Australia, so it must be day-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["696018 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 699489 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.2 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": true, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Alexander's upstairs neighbour is currently playing league"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6799999999999999, "night": true, "probability": 0.6799999999999999, "reasons": ["Battery level's getting low, so it's probably around dinnertime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5913043478260869, "night": true, "probability": 0.5913043478260869, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 1 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 47, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.3604423236965328, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.249998, "night": false}], [1555001059.796166, {"predictions": [{"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.09090909090909091, "night": false, "probability": 0.09090909090909091, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is currently open.", "We conclude from this, that there is 0.09090909090909091% chance of it being night outside"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's night-time in Australia, so it must be day-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["649159 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 652559 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.2 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Your phone's practically dead, so it's probably around four in the morning."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": true, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Alexander's upstairs neighbour is currently playing league"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.7294875705838523, "night": true, "probability": 0.7294875705838523, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 00:11 and 11:36, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 16:44 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 9196 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5826086956521739, "night": true, "probability": 0.5826086956521739, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 0 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 48, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.4069167797620931, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.249998, "night": false}], [1555002880.166845, {"predictions": [{"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.48, "night": false, "probability": 0.48, "reasons": ["Battery level's getting low, so it's probably around dinnertime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.09090909090909091, "night": false, "probability": 0.09090909090909091, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is currently open.", "We conclude from this, that there is 0.09090909090909091% chance of it being night outside"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's night-time in Australia, so it must be day-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["607355 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 606741 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.3 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.9094672740192742, "night": true, "probability": 0.9094672740192742, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 15:21 and 03:09, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 17:14 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 16409 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": true, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Alexander's upstairs neighbour is currently playing league"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5826086956521739, "night": true, "probability": 0.5826086956521739, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -3 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 48, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.37858175504837827, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.249998, "night": false}], [1555004696.670832, {"predictions": [{"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.3908278601355042, "night": false, "probability": 0.3908278601355042, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 07:14 and 20:50, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 17:44 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 4375 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.09090909090909091, "night": false, "probability": 0.09090909090909091, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is currently open.", "We conclude from this, that there is 0.09090909090909091% chance of it being night outside"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's night-time in Australia, so it must be day-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["576040 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 576129 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.3 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": true, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Alexander's upstairs neighbour is currently playing league"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5826086956521739, "night": true, "probability": 0.5826086956521739, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -8 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 48, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.52, "night": true, "probability": 0.52, "reasons": ["Battery level's getting low, so it's probably around dinnertime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.33869513722473077, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.249998, "night": false}], [1555006514.574846, {"predictions": [{"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's night-time in Australia, so it must be day-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["546885 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 545771 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": true, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.4 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": true, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": true, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Alexander's upstairs neighbour is currently playing league"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6488000624262868, "night": true, "probability": 0.6488000624262868, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 02:04 and 13:36, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 18:15 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 5963 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6086956521739131, "night": true, "probability": 0.6086956521739131, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -13 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 45, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.55, "night": true, "probability": 0.55, "reasons": ["Battery level's getting low, so it's probably around dinnertime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.4622909762166833, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.5375, "night": false}], [1555008329.646833, {"predictions": [{"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.18999999999999995, "night": false, "probability": 0.18999999999999995, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's night-time in Australia, so it must be day-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["522430 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 521831 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": true, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.3 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.9871761022792902, "night": true, "probability": 0.9871761022792902, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 17:16 and 04:58, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 18:45 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 19523 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": true, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": true, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Alexander's upstairs neighbour is currently playing league"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6434782608695653, "night": true, "probability": 0.6434782608695653, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -18 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 41, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.4633875302624046, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.38749999999999996, "night": false}], [1555010148.370858, {"predictions": [{"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.3 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["494603 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 06, 495851 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": true, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": true, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Alexander's upstairs neighbour is currently playing league"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.73, "night": true, "probability": 0.73, "reasons": ["Your phone is dying, so it's bedtime soon?"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6695652173913044, "night": true, "probability": 0.6695652173913044, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -21 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 38, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": true, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.29549041562089917, "night": false, "probability": 0.29549041562089917, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 09:30 and 23:09, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 19:15 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 8195 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's night-time in Australia, so it must be day-time here."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.5362543027510169, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.5972826086956522, "night": true}], [1555011963.846842, {"predictions": [{"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.4 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["467460 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 06, 467800 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": true, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": true, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Alexander's upstairs neighbour is currently playing league"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6347826086956522, "night": true, "probability": 0.6347826086956522, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -25 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 42, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.56950816923096, "night": true, "probability": 0.56950816923096, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 03:55 and 15:34, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 19:46 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 2785 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.41000000000000003, "night": false, "probability": 0.41000000000000003, "reasons": ["Battery level's getting low, so it's probably around dinnertime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's night-time in Australia, so it must be day-time here."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.5003572314938843, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.48975408461548003, "night": true}], [1555013778.51501, {"predictions": [{"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.4 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["438567 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 06, 440082 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": true, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": true, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Alexander's upstairs neighbour is currently playing league"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6173913043478261, "night": true, "probability": 0.6173913043478261, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -26 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 44, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.43999999999999995, "night": false, "probability": 0.43999999999999995, "reasons": ["Battery level's getting low, so it's probably around dinnertime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.06773204330935345, "night": false, "probability": 0.06773204330935345, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 19:13 and 06:49, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 20:16 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 17323 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.5429266123047649, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.528695652173913, "night": true}], [1555015593.194957, {"predictions": [{"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.6 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["406931 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 07, 406677 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": true, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8200000000000001, "night": true, "probability": 0.8200000000000001, "reasons": ["Your phone is dying, so it's bedtime soon?"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8021496687996126, "night": true, "probability": 0.8021496687996126, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 11:51 and 01:29, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 20:46 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 12108 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": true, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Alexander's upstairs neighbour is currently playing league"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6347826086956522, "night": true, "probability": 0.6347826086956522, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -25 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 42, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.6372440231246054, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.8010748343998063, "night": true}], [1555017409.075332, {"predictions": [{"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.6 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["374737 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 07, 375601 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": true, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": true, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Alexander's upstairs neighbour is currently playing league"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6608695652173913, "night": true, "probability": 0.6608695652173913, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -24 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 39, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5800000000000001, "night": true, "probability": 0.5800000000000001, "reasons": ["Battery level's getting low, so it's probably around dinnertime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5090888280582733, "night": true, "probability": 0.5090888280582733, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 05:44 and 17:31, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 21:16 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 364 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.5949961994396388, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.6204347826086957, "night": true}], [1555019224.339146, {"predictions": [{"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 1.6 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["347339 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 07, 348194 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": true, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": true, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Alexander's upstairs neighbour is currently playing league"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.75, "night": true, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["Your phone is dying, so it's bedtime soon?"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6521739130434783, "night": true, "probability": 0.6521739130434783, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -23 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 40, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.1482576124369272, "night": false, "probability": 0.1482576124369272, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 21:13 and 08:41, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 21:47 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 14096 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.5783689604567005, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.7010869565217391, "night": true}], [1555021041.36511, {"predictions": [{"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.0 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["319008 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 07, 319848 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": true, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.896583693177724, "night": true, "probability": 0.896583693177724, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 14:10 and 03:43, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 22:17 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 15893 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": true, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Alexander's upstairs neighbour is currently playing league"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6695652173913044, "night": true, "probability": 0.6695652173913044, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -21 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 38, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.06000000000000005, "night": false, "probability": 0.06000000000000005, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.584678742547419, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.7347826086956522, "night": true}], [1555022860.593452, {"predictions": [{"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.0 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["296723 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 07, 292750 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": true, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.89, "night": true, "probability": 0.89, "reasons": ["Your phone is dying, so it's bedtime soon?"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": true, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Alexander's upstairs neighbour is currently playing league"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6608695652173913, "night": true, "probability": 0.6608695652173913, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -20 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 39, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5861285486481361, "night": true, "probability": 0.5861285486481361, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 07:32 and 19:25, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 22:47 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 3451 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.627249509488794, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.7304347826086957, "night": true}], [1555024677.362803, {"predictions": [{"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 1.9 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["276156 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 07, 274753 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": true, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": true, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Alexander's upstairs neighbour is currently playing league"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.7, "night": true, "probability": 0.7, "reasons": ["Your phone is dying, so it's bedtime soon?"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6608695652173913, "night": true, "probability": 0.6608695652173913, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -17 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 39, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.22961090075033103, "night": false, "probability": 0.22961090075033103, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 23:15 and 10:35, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 23:17 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 10835 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.5817063721639768, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.6804347826086956, "night": true}], [1555026494.010827, {"predictions": [{"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 2.1 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["265803 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 07, 274753 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.9892924013835627, "night": true, "probability": 0.9892924013835627, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 16:27 and 05:53, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 23:48 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 19608 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": true, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": true, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Alexander's upstairs neighbour is currently playing league"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6699999999999999, "night": true, "probability": 0.6699999999999999, "reasons": ["Battery level's getting low, so it's probably around dinnertime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6347826086956522, "night": true, "probability": 0.6347826086956522, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -14 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 42, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.6403392508399346, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.735, "night": true}], [1555028309.818776, {"predictions": [{"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 2.8 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["264465 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 07, 274753 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": true, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.9051041666666666, "night": true, "probability": 0.9051041666666666, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 2.28 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6629494851717948, "night": true, "probability": 0.6629494851717948, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 09:19 and 21:19, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 00:18 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 6530 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5913043478260869, "night": true, "probability": 0.5913043478260869, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -10 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 47, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.14, "night": false, "probability": 0.14, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.574112833305379, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.6271269164989408, "night": true}], [1555030127.199098, {"predictions": [{"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 3.3 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["275664 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 07, 274753 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": true, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8840162037037037, "night": true, "probability": 0.8840162037037037, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 2.78 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.87, "night": true, "probability": 0.87, "reasons": ["Your phone is dying, so it's bedtime soon?"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6872772196208439, "night": true, "probability": 0.6872772196208439, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 01:19 and 12:29, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 00:48 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 7505 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5826086956521739, "night": true, "probability": 0.5826086956521739, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -6 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 48, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.6344915099147268, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.7786386098104219, "night": true}], [1555031948.058804, {"predictions": [{"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["295853 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 07, 292750 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.9202004487348241, "night": true, "probability": 0.9202004487348241, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 18:39 and 07:57, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 01:19 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 16839 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8629976851851852, "night": true, "probability": 0.8629976851851852, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 3.29 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.62, "night": true, "probability": 0.62, "reasons": ["Battery level's getting low, so it's probably around dinnertime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5826086956521739, "night": true, "probability": 0.5826086956521739, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -2 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 48, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Apparently we are banned from just-eat. We therefore have no clue."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": -0.11111111111111094, "night": false, "probability": -0.11111111111111094, "reasons": ["Because average for daytime is 7.0 and average for nighttime is 3.4, but the current average is 4.0"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.5045576432050893, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.5413043478260869, "night": true}], [1555033764.10688, {"predictions": [{"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 3.0 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["318122 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 07, 317976 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8419560185185185, "night": true, "probability": 0.8419560185185185, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 3.79 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.7388775386876234, "night": true, "probability": 0.7388775386876234, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 11:06 and 23:12, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 01:49 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 9573 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5826086956521739, "night": true, "probability": 0.5826086956521739, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 0 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 48, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Apparently we are banned from just-eat. We therefore have no clue."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.549453187738193, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.5413043478260869, "night": true}], [1555035581.178873, {"predictions": [{"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 2.7 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["345936 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 07, 344506 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8209375, "night": true, "probability": 0.8209375, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 4.30 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.73, "night": true, "probability": 0.73, "reasons": ["Your phone is dying, so it's bedtime soon?"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6007704435122482, "night": true, "probability": 0.6007704435122482, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 03:28 and 14:29, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 02:19 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 4038 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5913043478260869, "night": true, "probability": 0.5913043478260869, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 1 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 47, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Apparently we are banned from just-eat. We therefore have no clue."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.576917357611528, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.5960373956691676, "night": true}], [1555037396.818834, {"predictions": [{"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 1.4 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["372099 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 07, 370983 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8332563817866794, "night": true, "probability": 0.8332563817866794, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 20:49 and 09:58, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 02:49 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 13355 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.7999189814814814, "night": true, "probability": 0.7999189814814814, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 4.80 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5913043478260869, "night": true, "probability": 0.5913043478260869, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 1 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 47, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.52, "night": true, "probability": 0.52, "reasons": ["Battery level's getting low, so it's probably around dinnertime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Apparently we are banned from just-eat. We therefore have no clue."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.5770396425911873, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.5556521739130434, "night": true}], [1555039212.926875, {"predictions": [{"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Apparently we are banned from just-eat. We therefore have no clue."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.18439247684665844, "night": false, "probability": 0.18439247684665844, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 12:53 and 01:06, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 03:20 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 12647 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.15000000000000002, "night": false, "probability": 0.15000000000000002, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 1.1 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["385874 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 07, 385741 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.778912037037037, "night": true, "probability": 0.778912037037037, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 5.31 hours!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5913043478260869, "night": true, "probability": 0.5913043478260869, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 1 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 47, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.4903837384758152, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.375, "night": false}], [1555041028.210825, {"predictions": [{"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.6 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["398302 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 07, 396138 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.7578935185185185, "night": true, "probability": 0.7578935185185185, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 5.81 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6599999999999999, "night": true, "probability": 0.6599999999999999, "reasons": ["Battery level's getting low, so it's probably around dinnertime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5826086956521739, "night": true, "probability": 0.5826086956521739, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 0 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 48, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5107348384727074, "night": true, "probability": 0.5107348384727074, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 05:42 and 16:35, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 03:50 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 430 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Apparently we are banned from just-eat. We therefore have no clue."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.55760275438695, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.5466717670624406, "night": true}], [1555042843.381345, {"predictions": [{"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Apparently we are banned from just-eat. We therefore have no clue."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.30000000000000004, "night": false, "probability": 0.30000000000000004, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.25140001906997567, "night": false, "probability": 0.25140001906997567, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 22:56 and 11:55, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 04:20 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 9962 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["425544 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 425491 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.3 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.7368981481481481, "night": true, "probability": 0.7368981481481481, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 6.31 hours!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5826086956521739, "night": true, "probability": 0.5826086956521739, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 0 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 48, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.4209085719058581, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.27570000953498786, "night": false}], [1555044658.662829, {"predictions": [{"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Apparently we are banned from just-eat. We therefore have no clue."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.33999999999999997, "night": false, "probability": 0.33999999999999997, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.10725126707019139, "night": false, "probability": 0.10725126707019139, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 14:40 and 03:01, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 04:51 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 15739 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.2 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["455314 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 06, 454175 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.7158796296296297, "night": true, "probability": 0.7158796296296297, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 6.82 hours!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5826086956521739, "night": true, "probability": 0.5826086956521739, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -2 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 48, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.49381129936266627, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.42, "night": false}], [1555046475.026812, {"predictions": [{"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Apparently we are banned from just-eat. We therefore have no clue."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["462730 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 463493 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.1 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6948611111111112, "night": true, "probability": 0.6948611111111112, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 7.32 hours!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6, "night": true, "probability": 0.6, "reasons": ["Battery level's getting low, so it's probably around dinnertime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5826086956521739, "night": true, "probability": 0.5826086956521739, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -6 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 48, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5823875906796165, "night": true, "probability": 0.5823875906796165, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 08:00 and 18:46, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 05:21 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 3301 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.4699877831202418, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.5411937953398083, "night": false}], [1555048290.946814, {"predictions": [{"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": 0.11096316023080337}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.1 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.11096316023080337}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["471479 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 06, 472136 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.11096316023080337}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6737847222222222, "night": true, "probability": 0.6737847222222222, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 7.83 hours!"], "contribution": 0.11096316023080337}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5913043478260869, "night": true, "probability": 0.5913043478260869, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -10 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 47, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.11096316023080337}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": -0.0011096316023080338}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.055481580115401684}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05570350643586329}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Apparently we are banned from just-eat. We therefore have no clue."], "contribution": -0.11096316023080337}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.3328118161767496, "night": false, "probability": 0.3328118161767496, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 00:58 and 13:48, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 05:51 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 6700 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": -0.11096316023080337}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.31999999999999995, "night": false, "probability": 0.31999999999999995, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": -0.11096316023080337}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.5384451714750054, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.5, "night": true}], [1555050111.782884, {"predictions": [{"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.1 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["483530 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 06, 483498 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.69, "night": true, "probability": 0.69, "reasons": ["Battery level's getting low, so it's probably around dinnertime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6608695652173913, "night": true, "probability": 0.6608695652173913, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -15 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 39, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6527662037037036, "night": true, "probability": 0.6527662037037036, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 8.33 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": true, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Apparently we are banned from just-eat. We therefore have no clue."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.030398164574822195, "night": false, "probability": 0.030398164574822195, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 16:27 and 04:56, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 06:21 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 18819 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.5470024944579931, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.5888831018518518, "night": true}], [1555051926.574909, {"predictions": [{"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.1 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["499204 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 06, 495851 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.78, "night": true, "probability": 0.78, "reasons": ["Your phone is dying, so it's bedtime soon?"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6766824140422215, "night": true, "probability": 0.6766824140422215, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 10:19 and 21:00, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 06:52 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 7080 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6434782608695653, "night": true, "probability": 0.6434782608695653, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -18 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 41, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6317592592592594, "night": true, "probability": 0.6317592592592594, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 8.84 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": true, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Apparently we are banned from just-eat. We therefore have no clue."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.6051596611809205, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.6376187600644123, "night": true}], [1555053742.211179, {"predictions": [{"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.2 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["519041 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 06, 516839 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": true, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6608695652173913, "night": true, "probability": 0.6608695652173913, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -24 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 39, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6106712962962964, "night": true, "probability": 0.6106712962962964, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 9.34 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.48, "night": false, "probability": 0.48, "reasons": ["Battery level's getting low, so it's probably around dinnertime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.4134311102908596, "night": false, "probability": 0.4134311102908596, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 02:58 and 15:40, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 07:22 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 3469 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.562913997650379, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.5453356481481482, "night": true}], [1555055564.178806, {"predictions": [{"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.049060251317045445, "night": false, "probability": 0.049060251317045445, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 18:16 and 06:52, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 07:52 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 18071 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["541338 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 543866 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.2 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.94, "night": true, "probability": 0.94, "reasons": ["Your phone's practically dead, so it's probably around four in the morning."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": true, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6173913043478261, "night": true, "probability": 0.6173913043478261, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -27 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 44, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5896527777777778, "night": true, "probability": 0.5896527777777778, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 9.85 hours!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.4821750277868874, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.4198263888888889, "night": false}], [1555057382.894842, {"predictions": [{"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.22894040661587983, "night": false, "probability": 0.22894040661587983, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 12:35 and 23:15, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 08:23 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 10862 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["560166 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 559902 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.2 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": true, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6173913043478261, "night": true, "probability": 0.6173913043478261, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -30 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 44, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5686111111111112, "night": true, "probability": 0.5686111111111112, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 10.35 hours!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.51, "night": true, "probability": 0.51, "reasons": ["Battery level's getting low, so it's probably around dinnertime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.4595782351729014, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.38, "night": false}], [1555059199.639961, {"predictions": [{"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.2 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": true, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Your phone's practically dead, so it's probably around four in the morning."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": true, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6086956521739131, "night": true, "probability": 0.6086956521739131, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -31 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 45, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5475925925925926, "night": true, "probability": 0.5475925925925926, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 10.86 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.4912075980086119, "night": false, "probability": 0.4912075980086119, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 04:54 and 17:29, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 08:53 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 352 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["574769 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 576129 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.5122909868979265, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.5194000953006023, "night": true}], [1555061014.502844, {"predictions": [{"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.12813141939615075, "night": false, "probability": 0.12813141939615075, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 20:06 and 08:50, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 09:23 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 14902 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.09090909090909091, "night": false, "probability": 0.09090909090909091, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is currently open.", "We conclude from this, that there is 0.09090909090909091% chance of it being night outside"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.010000000000000009, "night": false, "probability": 0.010000000000000009, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["580557 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 582210 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.2 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6173913043478261, "night": true, "probability": 0.6173913043478261, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -30 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 44, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5265625, "night": true, "probability": 0.5265625, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 11.36 hours!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.3377491928877556, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.212498, "night": false}], [1555062831.46323, {"predictions": [{"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.41000000000000003, "night": false, "probability": 0.41000000000000003, "reasons": ["Battery level's getting low, so it's probably around dinnertime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.13282820585162364, "night": false, "probability": 0.13282820585162364, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 14:53 and 01:34, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 09:53 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 14714 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.09090909090909091, "night": false, "probability": 0.09090909090909091, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is currently open.", "We conclude from this, that there is 0.09090909090909091% chance of it being night outside"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["588315 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 586017 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": true, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.2 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5913043478260869, "night": true, "probability": 0.5913043478260869, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -29 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 47, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5055208333333334, "night": true, "probability": 0.5055208333333334, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 11.87 hours!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.3967132064933446, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.33, "night": false}], [1555064649.786854, {"predictions": [{"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.48450231481481476, "night": false, "probability": 0.48450231481481476, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 12.37 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.4310278378665975, "night": false, "probability": 0.4310278378665975, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 06:50 and 19:17, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 10:24 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 2764 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.09090909090909091, "night": false, "probability": 0.09090909090909091, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is currently open.", "We conclude from this, that there is 0.09090909090909091% chance of it being night outside"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["609185 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 609003 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.1 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": true, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Your phone is dying, so it's bedtime soon?"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6086956521739131, "night": true, "probability": 0.6086956521739131, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -28 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 45, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.4245942413137014, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.34051391893329874, "night": false}], [1555066464.950872, {"predictions": [{"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.46349537037037036, "night": false, "probability": 0.46349537037037036, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 12.88 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.20852388795112892, "night": false, "probability": 0.20852388795112892, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 21:58 and 10:50, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 10:54 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 11680 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.09090909090909091, "night": false, "probability": 0.09090909090909091, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is currently open.", "We conclude from this, that there is 0.09090909090909091% chance of it being night outside"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["643294 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 652559 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.1 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6173913043478261, "night": true, "probability": 0.6173913043478261, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -27 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 44, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6, "night": true, "probability": 0.6, "reasons": ["Battery level's getting low, so it's probably around dinnertime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.3883596377982014, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.249998, "night": false}], [1555068280.173451, {"predictions": [{"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.44248842592592585, "night": false, "probability": 0.44248842592592585, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 13.38 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.30000000000000004, "night": false, "probability": 0.30000000000000004, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.09090909090909091, "night": false, "probability": 0.09090909090909091, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is currently open.", "We conclude from this, that there is 0.09090909090909091% chance of it being night outside"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.03825470316514629, "night": false, "probability": 0.03825470316514629, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 17:07 and 03:53, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 11:24 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 18504 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["684678 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 699489 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.1 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6347826086956522, "night": true, "probability": 0.6347826086956522, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -25 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 42, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.3488692357246513, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.249998, "night": false}], [1555070095.506829, {"predictions": [{"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.4214699074074074, "night": false, "probability": 0.4214699074074074, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 13.88 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.3535527674872027, "night": false, "probability": 0.3535527674872027, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 08:46 and 21:05, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 11:54 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 5868 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.09090909090909091, "night": false, "probability": 0.09090909090909091, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is currently open.", "We conclude from this, that there is 0.09090909090909091% chance of it being night outside"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["733507 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 719116 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.1 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.88, "night": true, "probability": 0.88, "reasons": ["Your phone is dying, so it's bedtime soon?"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6521739130434783, "night": true, "probability": 0.6521739130434783, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -23 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 40, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.42317513990393163, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.3017763837436014, "night": false}], [1555071912.678795, {"predictions": [{"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.40043981481481483, "night": false, "probability": 0.40043981481481483, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 14.39 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.31000000000000005, "night": false, "probability": 0.31000000000000005, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.2911615967900817, "night": false, "probability": 0.2911615967900817, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 23:52 and 12:54, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 12:25 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 8369 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.09090909090909091, "night": false, "probability": 0.09090909090909091, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is currently open.", "We conclude from this, that there is 0.09090909090909091% chance of it being night outside"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["784250 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 777380 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.1 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6608695652173913, "night": true, "probability": 0.6608695652173913, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -19 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 39, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.36944800564428154, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.27058079839504084, "night": false}], [1555073730.470794, {"predictions": [{"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.3793981481481482, "night": false, "probability": 0.3793981481481482, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 14.89 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.14, "night": false, "probability": 0.14, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.09090909090909091, "night": false, "probability": 0.09090909090909091, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is currently open.", "We conclude from this, that there is 0.09090909090909091% chance of it being night outside"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.05466073520187137, "night": false, "probability": 0.05466073520187137, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 19:14 and 06:10, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 12:55 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 17846 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["834726 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 835412 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.1 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6086956521739131, "night": true, "probability": 0.6086956521739131, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -12 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 45, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.32947163553608527, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.212498, "night": false}], [1555075547.061961, {"predictions": [{"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.35837962962962966, "night": false, "probability": 0.35837962962962966, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 15.40 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.2771425016885739, "night": false, "probability": 0.2771425016885739, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 10:40 and 22:52, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 13:25 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 8931 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.13, "night": false, "probability": 0.13, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.09090909090909091, "night": false, "probability": 0.09090909090909091, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is currently open.", "We conclude from this, that there is 0.09090909090909091% chance of it being night outside"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's night-time in Australia, so it must be day-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["879234 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 879112 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": true, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.1 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5826086956521739, "night": true, "probability": 0.5826086956521739, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -5 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 48, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.2890863264899557, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.249998, "night": false}], [1555077362.858807, {"predictions": [{"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.37589536235455806, "night": false, "probability": 0.37589536235455806, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 01:49 and 15:01, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 13:56 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 4973 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.3373611111111111, "night": false, "probability": 0.3373611111111111, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 15.90 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.09090909090909091, "night": false, "probability": 0.09090909090909091, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is currently open.", "We conclude from this, that there is 0.09090909090909091% chance of it being night outside"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's night-time in Australia, so it must be day-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["911037 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 913637 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": true, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.1 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5913043478260869, "night": true, "probability": 0.5913043478260869, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 1 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 47, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.30628882601673724, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.25, "night": false}], [1555079178.778874, {"predictions": [{"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.31634259259259256, "night": false, "probability": 0.31634259259259256, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 16.41 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.14374023446159917, "night": false, "probability": 0.14374023446159917, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 21:18 and 08:22, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 14:26 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 14277 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.09090909090909091, "night": false, "probability": 0.09090909090909091, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is currently open.", "We conclude from this, that there is 0.09090909090909091% chance of it being night outside"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's night-time in Australia, so it must be day-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["923065 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 922197 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": true, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.1 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.83, "night": true, "probability": 0.83, "reasons": ["Your phone is dying, so it's bedtime soon?"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5913043478260869, "night": true, "probability": 0.5913043478260869, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 6 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 47, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.33352435548244747, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.249998, "night": false}], [1555080994.06398, {"predictions": [{"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.29533564814814817, "night": false, "probability": 0.29533564814814817, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 16.91 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.09090909090909091, "night": false, "probability": 0.09090909090909091, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is currently open.", "We conclude from this, that there is 0.09090909090909091% chance of it being night outside"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's night-time in Australia, so it must be day-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["912948 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 913637 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.2 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.92, "night": true, "probability": 0.92, "reasons": ["Your phone's practically dead, so it's probably around four in the morning."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.7995780548199187, "night": true, "probability": 0.7995780548199187, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 12:34 and 00:39, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 14:56 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 12005 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6, "night": true, "probability": 0.6, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 9 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 46, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.36548489948976315, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.249998, "night": false}], [1555082817.340847, {"predictions": [{"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.4624675795780133, "night": false, "probability": 0.4624675795780133, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 03:49 and 17:11, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 15:26 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 1504 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.15000000000000002, "night": false, "probability": 0.15000000000000002, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.09090909090909091, "night": false, "probability": 0.09090909090909091, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is currently open.", "We conclude from this, that there is 0.09090909090909091% chance of it being night outside"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's night-time in Australia, so it must be day-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["883931 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 883678 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.2 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": true, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Alexander's upstairs neighbour is currently playing league"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6, "night": true, "probability": 0.6, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 12 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 46, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.31528105587392535, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.212498, "night": false}], [1555084642.955767, {"predictions": [{"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.22697939151296898, "night": false, "probability": 0.22697939151296898, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 23:15 and 10:26, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 15:57 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 10941 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.09090909090909091, "night": false, "probability": 0.09090909090909091, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is currently open.", "We conclude from this, that there is 0.09090909090909091% chance of it being night outside"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's night-time in Australia, so it must be day-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["837644 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 835475 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.2 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": true, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Alexander's upstairs neighbour is currently playing league"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.61, "night": true, "probability": 0.61, "reasons": ["Battery level's getting low, so it's probably around dinnertime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6086956521739131, "night": true, "probability": 0.6086956521739131, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 14 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 45, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.33471501121633107, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.23848769575648449, "night": false}], [1555086458.062843, {"predictions": [{"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.09090909090909091, "night": false, "probability": 0.09090909090909091, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is currently open.", "We conclude from this, that there is 0.09090909090909091% chance of it being night outside"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.030000000000000027, "night": false, "probability": 0.030000000000000027, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's night-time in Australia, so it must be day-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["785477 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 777380 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.2 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8746977996500876, "night": true, "probability": 0.8746977996500876, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 14:26 and 02:24, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 16:27 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 15016 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": true, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Alexander's upstairs neighbour is currently playing league"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6086956521739131, "night": true, "probability": 0.6086956521739131, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 13 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 45, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.34035821189442433, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.212498, "night": false}], [1555088273.774964, {"predictions": [{"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Battery level's getting low, so it's probably around dinnertime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.4486844607000035, "night": false, "probability": 0.4486844607000035, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 05:53 and 19:23, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 16:57 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 2056 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.09090909090909091, "night": false, "probability": 0.09090909090909091, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is currently open.", "We conclude from this, that there is 0.09090909090909091% chance of it being night outside"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's night-time in Australia, so it must be day-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["735343 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 750968 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.3 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": true, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Alexander's upstairs neighbour is currently playing league"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6086956521739131, "night": true, "probability": 0.6086956521739131, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 13 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 45, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.3440237669819173, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.249998, "night": false}], [1555090090.530961, {"predictions": [{"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.22999999999999998, "night": false, "probability": 0.22999999999999998, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.09090909090909091, "night": false, "probability": 0.09090909090909091, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is currently open.", "We conclude from this, that there is 0.09090909090909091% chance of it being night outside"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's night-time in Australia, so it must be day-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["686712 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 699489 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.4 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8995833333333334, "night": true, "probability": 0.8995833333333334, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 2.41 hours!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6891250992370483, "night": true, "probability": 0.6891250992370483, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 01:12 and 12:31, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 17:28 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 7579 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6, "night": true, "probability": 0.6, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 12 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 46, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.34913446028995604, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.239998, "night": false}], [1555091916.678835, {"predictions": [{"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.09090909090909091, "night": false, "probability": 0.09090909090909091, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is currently open.", "We conclude from this, that there is 0.09090909090909091% chance of it being night outside"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's night-time in Australia, so it must be day-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["636357 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 623425 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": true, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.4 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.9505839819441206, "night": true, "probability": 0.9505839819441206, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 16:18 and 04:10, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 17:58 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 18057 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8785416666666667, "night": true, "probability": 0.8785416666666667, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 2.92 hours!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.75, "night": true, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["Your phone is dying, so it's bedtime soon?"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6, "night": true, "probability": 0.6, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 8 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 46, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.44166922829332317, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.38749999999999996, "night": false}], [1555093732.37093, {"predictions": [{"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.3579900078261138, "night": false, "probability": 0.3579900078261138, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 08:01 and 21:38, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 18:28 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 5691 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's night-time in Australia, so it must be day-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["601708 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 598957 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": true, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.6 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": true, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8575347222222223, "night": true, "probability": 0.8575347222222223, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 3.42 hours!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5826086956521739, "night": true, "probability": 0.5826086956521739, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 4 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 48, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.52, "night": true, "probability": 0.52, "reasons": ["Battery level's getting low, so it's probably around dinnertime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.43817745214170917, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.4389950039130569, "night": false}], [1555095550.002832, {"predictions": [{"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.09999999999999998, "night": false, "probability": 0.09999999999999998, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's night-time in Australia, so it must be day-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["570722 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 572177 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": true, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.6 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": true, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8364814814814815, "night": true, "probability": 0.8364814814814815, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 3.92 hours!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6091097489710915, "night": true, "probability": 0.6091097489710915, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 03:04 and 14:30, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 18:59 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 4372 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5913043478260869, "night": true, "probability": 0.5913043478260869, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -1 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 47, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.4230742981898883, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.38749999999999996, "night": false}], [1555097366.902855, {"predictions": [{"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.30000000000000004, "night": false, "probability": 0.30000000000000004, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.02955879908889031, "night": false, "probability": 0.02955879908889031, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 18:13 and 05:58, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 19:29 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 18852 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's night-time in Australia, so it must be day-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["537401 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 536380 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.7 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": true, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8154745370370371, "night": true, "probability": 0.8154745370370371, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 4.43 hours!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5826086956521739, "night": true, "probability": 0.5826086956521739, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -8 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 48, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.3598031693148418, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.249998, "night": false}], [1555099182.590977, {"predictions": [{"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.49, "night": false, "probability": 0.49, "reasons": ["Battery level's getting low, so it's probably around dinnertime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.2635850991982577, "night": false, "probability": 0.2635850991982577, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 10:14 and 23:56, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 19:59 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 9474 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's night-time in Australia, so it must be day-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.9 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["506844 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 06, 505329 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": true, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.7942939814814814, "night": true, "probability": 0.7942939814814814, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 4.94 hours!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6086956521739131, "night": true, "probability": 0.6086956521739131, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -13 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 45, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.478880894404471, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.37679254959912883, "night": false}], [1555101014.16284, {"predictions": [{"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.8 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["476942 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 06, 476052 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": true, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.7732407407407407, "night": true, "probability": 0.7732407407407407, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 5.44 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6434782608695653, "night": true, "probability": 0.6434782608695653, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -18 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 41, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5309766626359265, "night": true, "probability": 0.5309766626359265, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 04:53 and 16:26, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 20:30 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 1241 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.51, "night": true, "probability": 0.51, "reasons": ["Battery level's getting low, so it's probably around dinnertime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.587307638687186, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.5872274617527459, "night": true}], [1555102829.91884, {"predictions": [{"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.6 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Your phone's practically dead, so it's probably around four in the morning."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["446647 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 06, 444908 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": true, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.7522337962962963, "night": true, "probability": 0.7522337962962963, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 5.95 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6695652173913044, "night": true, "probability": 0.6695652173913044, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -21 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 38, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.10616871574641262, "night": false, "probability": 0.10616871574641262, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 20:07 and 07:46, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 21:00 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 15782 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.5931636441195011, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.7108995068438003, "night": true}], [1555104652.190947, {"predictions": [{"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.6 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": true, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8276861228235469, "night": true, "probability": 0.8276861228235469, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 12:25 and 02:09, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 21:30 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 13132 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.7311342592592592, "night": true, "probability": 0.7311342592592592, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 6.45 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6608695652173913, "night": true, "probability": 0.6608695652173913, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -24 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 39, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.35, "night": false, "probability": 0.35, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["415077 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 416027 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.5133071622750165, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.5054347826086956, "night": true}], [1555106468.878812, {"predictions": [{"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.9 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["383503 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 07, 385741 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": true, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.7100925925925926, "night": true, "probability": 0.7100925925925926, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 6.96 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6347826086956522, "night": true, "probability": 0.6347826086956522, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -25 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 42, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5471325765133153, "night": true, "probability": 0.5471325765133153, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 06:42 and 18:22, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 22:01 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 1888 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.41000000000000003, "night": false, "probability": 0.41000000000000003, "reasons": ["Battery level's getting low, so it's probably around dinnertime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.57433364815013, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.5909575926044837, "night": true}], [1555108288.254936, {"predictions": [{"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.0 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["353958 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 07, 353552 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.99, "night": true, "probability": 0.99, "reasons": ["Your phone's practically dead, so it's probably around four in the morning."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": true, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6890277777777778, "night": true, "probability": 0.6890277777777778, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 7.46 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6173913043478261, "night": true, "probability": 0.6173913043478261, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -26 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 44, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.18416620587324567, "night": false, "probability": 0.18416620587324567, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 22:03 and 09:35, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 22:31 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 12657 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.5892151073332375, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.6532095410628019, "night": true}], [1555110110.754805, {"predictions": [{"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 1.0 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["326923 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 07, 327542 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.9213953036667306, "night": true, "probability": 0.9213953036667306, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 14:41 and 04:23, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 23:01 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 16887 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": true, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.667962962962963, "night": true, "probability": 0.667962962962963, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 7.97 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6347826086956522, "night": true, "probability": 0.6347826086956522, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -25 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 42, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.020000000000000018, "night": false, "probability": 0.020000000000000018, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.5695114062771122, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.6513727858293076, "night": true}], [1555111927.17083, {"predictions": [{"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 1.0 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["303077 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 07, 307968 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": true, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6799999999999999, "night": true, "probability": 0.6799999999999999, "reasons": ["Battery level's getting low, so it's probably around dinnertime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6521739130434783, "night": true, "probability": 0.6521739130434783, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -23 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 40, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6469097222222222, "night": true, "probability": 0.6469097222222222, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 8.47 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6240616572522079, "night": true, "probability": 0.6240616572522079, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 08:30 and 20:17, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 23:32 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 4971 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.5994284410431591, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.6495418176328502, "night": true}], [1555113745.510814, {"predictions": [{"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 1.2 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["293756 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 07, 292750 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": true, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6608695652173913, "night": true, "probability": 0.6608695652173913, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -20 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 39, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6258912037037037, "night": true, "probability": 0.6258912037037037, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 8.98 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.39, "night": false, "probability": 0.39, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.263597300084079, "night": false, "probability": 0.263597300084079, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 00:02 and 11:24, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 00:02 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 9473 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.5441961724170978, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.5079456018518518, "night": true}], [1555115565.894925, {"predictions": [{"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 1.6 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["297710 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 07, 292750 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": true, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6869565217391305, "night": true, "probability": 0.6869565217391305, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -16 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 36, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.604837962962963, "night": true, "probability": 0.604837962962963, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 9.48 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.10999999999999999, "night": false, "probability": 0.10999999999999999, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.016218794200479947, "night": false, "probability": 0.016218794200479947, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 16:56 and 06:36, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 00:32 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 19387 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.5006674399085478, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.4274189814814815, "night": true}], [1555117380.590972, {"predictions": [{"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 1.9 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["312644 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 07, 311736 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": true, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.700761694089092, "night": true, "probability": 0.700761694089092, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 10:17 and 22:10, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 01:03 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 8045 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5913043478260869, "night": true, "probability": 0.5913043478260869, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -11 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 47, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5838310185185185, "night": true, "probability": 0.5838310185185185, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 9.99 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.31999999999999995, "night": false, "probability": 0.31999999999999995, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.5654910883694748, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.5875676831723027, "night": true}], [1555119195.574885, {"predictions": [{"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 2.3 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["341385 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 07, 340842 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": true, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6542133736309002, "night": true, "probability": 0.6542133736309002, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 02:05 and 13:18, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 01:33 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 6180 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5826086956521739, "night": true, "probability": 0.5826086956521739, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -7 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 48, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5628240740740742, "night": true, "probability": 0.5628240740740742, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 10.49 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.54, "night": true, "probability": 0.54, "reasons": ["Battery level's getting low, so it's probably around dinnertime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.5774701786130957, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.572716384863124, "night": true}], [1555121013.151692, {"predictions": [{"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 1.9 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["375201 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 07, 375601 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": true, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8912663253025235, "night": true, "probability": 0.8912663253025235, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 19:16 and 08:44, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 02:03 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 15679 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5826086956521739, "night": true, "probability": 0.5826086956521739, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 0 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 48, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5417824074074074, "night": true, "probability": 0.5417824074074074, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 11.00 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.51, "night": true, "probability": 0.51, "reasons": ["Battery level's getting low, so it's probably around dinnertime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.5929711190301754, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.5621955515297906, "night": true}], [1555122828.606956, {"predictions": [{"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 2.0 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["418427 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 07, 418250 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": true, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.69, "night": true, "probability": 0.69, "reasons": ["Battery level's getting low, so it's probably around dinnertime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5826086956521739, "night": true, "probability": 0.5826086956521739, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 4 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 48, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5207523148148148, "night": true, "probability": 0.5207523148148148, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 11.50 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.22249140658075583, "night": false, "probability": 0.22249140658075583, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 12:04 and 00:05, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 02:33 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 11121 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.550487368087312, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.5516805052334943, "night": true}], [1555124645.463302, {"predictions": [{"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 1.0 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["450978 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 06, 449132 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5913043478260869, "night": true, "probability": 0.5913043478260869, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 6 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 47, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5697513550688068, "night": true, "probability": 0.5697513550688068, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 04:11 and 15:16, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 03:04 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 2795 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Apparently we are banned from just-eat. We therefore have no clue."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.49974537037037037, "night": false, "probability": 0.49974537037037037, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 12.01 hours!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.38, "night": false, "probability": 0.38, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.5183997561054386, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.4998726851851852, "night": true}], [1555126469.813674, {"predictions": [{"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Apparently we are banned from just-eat. We therefore have no clue."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.4786342592592593, "night": false, "probability": 0.4786342592592593, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 12.51 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.44999999999999996, "night": false, "probability": 0.44999999999999996, "reasons": ["Battery level's getting low, so it's probably around dinnertime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["473835 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 472546 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 1.4 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8036268078625659, "night": true, "probability": 0.8036268078625659, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 21:26 and 10:46, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 03:34 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 12167 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6, "night": true, "probability": 0.6, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 7 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 46, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.45935475559348543, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.4643171296296296, "night": false}], [1555128284.742846, {"predictions": [{"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Apparently we are banned from just-eat. We therefore have no clue."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.45761574074074074, "night": false, "probability": 0.45761574074074074, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 13.02 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.31999999999999995, "night": false, "probability": 0.31999999999999995, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.14652425477172715, "night": false, "probability": 0.14652425477172715, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:50 and 01:58, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 04:04 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 14165 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["493489 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 491189 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 1.4 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6, "night": true, "probability": 0.6, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 8 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 46, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.3920113329593723, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.285, "night": false}], [1555130100.530827, {"predictions": [{"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Apparently we are banned from just-eat. We therefore have no clue."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.43660879629629634, "night": false, "probability": 0.43660879629629634, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 13.52 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.15000000000000002, "night": false, "probability": 0.15000000000000002, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.9 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["525321 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 06, 526151 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6, "night": true, "probability": 0.6, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 8 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 46, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5163680429149633, "night": true, "probability": 0.5163680429149633, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 06:20 and 17:16, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 04:35 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 655 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.4902477366009383, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.46830439814814817, "night": false}], [1555131915.778849, {"predictions": [{"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Apparently we are banned from just-eat. We therefore have no clue."], "contribution": 0.11096316023080337}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.4155324074074074, "night": false, "probability": 0.4155324074074074, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 14.03 hours!"], "contribution": 0.11096316023080337}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.33999999999999997, "night": false, "probability": 0.33999999999999997, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": 0.11096316023080337}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.2824130070705063, "night": false, "probability": 0.2824130070705063, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 23:35 and 12:45, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 05:05 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 8719 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.11096316023080337}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["559302 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 559902 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.11096316023080337}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05570350643586329}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.055481580115401684}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.0011096316023080338}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": -0.11096316023080337}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 1.1 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.11096316023080337}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6, "night": true, "probability": 0.6, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 8 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 46, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.11096316023080337}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.4220855831343558, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.33999999999999997, "night": false}], [1555133747.922754, {"predictions": [{"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Apparently we are banned from just-eat. We therefore have no clue."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.3943981481481481, "night": false, "probability": 0.3943981481481481, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 14.53 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.07138704049140487, "night": false, "probability": 0.07138704049140487, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 15:35 and 03:49, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 05:35 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 17176 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["593921 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 592212 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": true, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.9 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6, "night": true, "probability": 0.6, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 7 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 46, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.51, "night": true, "probability": 0.51, "reasons": ["Battery level's getting low, so it's probably around dinnertime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.4254817657199627, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.44719907407407405, "night": false}], [1555135562.574868, {"predictions": [{"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Apparently we are banned from just-eat. We therefore have no clue."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.37337962962962956, "night": false, "probability": 0.37337962962962956, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 15.04 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["626794 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 623425 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": true, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.6 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.79, "night": true, "probability": 0.79, "reasons": ["Your phone is dying, so it's bedtime soon?"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.603570824101091, "night": true, "probability": 0.603570824101091, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 08:29 and 19:18, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 06:06 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 4150 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5913043478260869, "night": true, "probability": 0.5913043478260869, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 5 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 47, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.49068756679640063, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.5125, "night": false}], [1555137378.423994, {"predictions": [{"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Apparently we are banned from just-eat. We therefore have no clue."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.3642812282241399, "night": false, "probability": 0.3642812282241399, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 01:38 and 14:39, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 06:36 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 5438 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.3523263888888889, "night": false, "probability": 0.3523263888888889, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 15.54 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["657522 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 652559 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": true, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.5 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.87, "night": true, "probability": 0.87, "reasons": ["Your phone is dying, so it's bedtime soon?"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6086956521739131, "night": true, "probability": 0.6086956521739131, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 2 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 45, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.47710827244057846, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.43214061411206994, "night": false}], [1555139198.22909, {"predictions": [{"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.33130787037037035, "night": false, "probability": 0.33130787037037035, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 16.05 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.14, "night": false, "probability": 0.14, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.007037350327109559, "night": false, "probability": 0.007037350327109559, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 17:22 and 05:44, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 07:06 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 19755 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["682932 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 699489 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": true, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.4 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": true, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5826086956521739, "night": true, "probability": 0.5826086956521739, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -4 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 48, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.41674582636247115, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.2906539351851852, "night": false}], [1555141013.950843, {"predictions": [{"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.3102893518518518, "night": false, "probability": 0.3102893518518518, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 16.55 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.12, "night": false, "probability": 0.12, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["709444 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 719116 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.3 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": true, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6957083090162064, "night": true, "probability": 0.6957083090162064, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 10:46 and 21:27, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 07:36 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 7843 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6086956521739131, "night": true, "probability": 0.6086956521739131, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -13 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 45, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.44372410942016427, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.2801446759259259, "night": false}], [1555142829.099467, {"predictions": [{"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.44643090163024157, "night": false, "probability": 0.44643090163024157, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 03:41 and 16:33, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 08:07 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 2146 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.2892824074074074, "night": false, "probability": 0.2892824074074074, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 17.06 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["730364 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 719116 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.2 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": true, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.77, "night": true, "probability": 0.77, "reasons": ["Your phone is dying, so it's bedtime soon?"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6695652173913044, "night": true, "probability": 0.6695652173913044, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -21 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 38, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.48043954386907944, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.3678566545188245, "night": false}], [1555144645.166912, {"predictions": [{"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.2681944444444445, "night": false, "probability": 0.2681944444444445, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 17.56 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.14, "night": false, "probability": 0.14, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.08467103222218053, "night": false, "probability": 0.08467103222218053, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 19:10 and 07:40, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 08:37 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 16644 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["742232 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 750968 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.2 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": true, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5913043478260869, "night": true, "probability": 0.5913043478260869, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -29 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 47, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.389513818707726, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.249998, "night": false}], [1555146467.810857, {"predictions": [{"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.24716435185185193, "night": false, "probability": 0.24716435185185193, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 18.07 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.21053121096158867, "night": false, "probability": 0.21053121096158867, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:03 and 23:40, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 09:07 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 11600 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.09090909090909091, "night": false, "probability": 0.09090909090909091, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is currently open.", "We conclude from this, that there is 0.09090909090909091% chance of it being night outside"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["741671 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 750968 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.2 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone 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to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.37227469215803705, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.24858017592592596, "night": false}], [1555148287.294904, {"predictions": [{"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.47462132561316345, "night": false, "probability": 0.47462132561316345, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 05:39 and 18:22, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 09:38 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 1017 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.22611111111111104, "night": false, "probability": 0.22611111111111104, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 18.57 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.18999999999999995, "night": false, "probability": 0.18999999999999995, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.09090909090909091, "night": false, "probability": 0.09090909090909091, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is currently open.", "We conclude from this, that there is 0.09090909090909091% chance of it being night outside"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["733921 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 719116 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.1 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5913043478260869, "night": true, "probability": 0.5913043478260869, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -39 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 47, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.3544118229549543, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.23805355555555552, "night": false}], [1555150102.960983, {"predictions": [{"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.20506944444444442, "night": false, "probability": 0.20506944444444442, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 19.08 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.1615596282035754, "night": false, "probability": 0.1615596282035754, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 20:57 and 09:34, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 10:08 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 13562 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.09090909090909091, "night": false, "probability": 0.09090909090909091, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is currently open.", "We conclude from this, that there is 0.09090909090909091% chance of it being night outside"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["729849 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 719116 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. 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Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": true, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.1 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.9, "night": true, "probability": 0.9, "reasons": ["Your phone's practically dead, so it's probably around four in the morning."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": true, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Alexander's upstairs neighbour is currently playing league"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5913043478260869, "night": true, "probability": 0.5913043478260869, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -39 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 47, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.4606281179105163, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.38749999999999996, "night": false}], [1555153736.234796, {"predictions": [{"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.39580748530774296, "night": false, "probability": 0.39580748530774296, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 07:37 and 20:12, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 11:08 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 4175 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.09090909090909091, "night": false, "probability": 0.09090909090909091, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is currently open.", "We conclude from this, that there is 0.09090909090909091% chance of it being night outside"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["770434 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 777380 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": true, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.1 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": true, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Alexander's upstairs neighbour is currently playing league"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.7, "night": true, "probability": 0.7, "reasons": ["Your phone is dying, so it's bedtime soon?"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5913043478260869, "night": true, "probability": 0.5913043478260869, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -38 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 47, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.4673347436702434, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.4604037426538714, "night": false}], [1555155552.018865, {"predictions": [{"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.24102094733610235, "night": false, "probability": 0.24102094733610235, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 22:47 and 11:33, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 11:39 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 10378 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.09090909090909091, "night": false, "probability": 0.09090909090909091, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is currently open.", "We conclude from this, that there is 0.09090909090909091% chance of it being night outside"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["811263 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 806961 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.1 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": true, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Alexander's upstairs neighbour is currently playing league"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.75, "night": true, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["Your phone is dying, so it's bedtime soon?"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6, "night": true, "probability": 0.6, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -36 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 46, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.4301605031870994, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.249998, "night": false}], [1555157368.67877, {"predictions": [{"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.09090909090909091, "night": false, "probability": 0.09090909090909091, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is currently open.", "We conclude from this, that there is 0.09090909090909091% chance of it being night outside"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.019546031222514915, "night": false, "probability": 0.019546031222514915, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 17:38 and 04:16, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 12:09 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 19254 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["861152 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 860683 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.1 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": true, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Alexander's upstairs neighbour is currently playing league"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6, "night": true, "probability": 0.6, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -32 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 46, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.56, "night": true, "probability": 0.56, "reasons": ["Battery level's getting low, so it's probably around dinnertime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.3958709268443005, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.249998, "night": false}], [1555159183.98, {"predictions": [{"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.3181030937334801, "night": false, "probability": 0.3181030937334801, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 09:33 and 22:00, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 12:39 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 7289 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.09090909090909091, "night": false, "probability": 0.09090909090909091, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is currently open.", "We conclude from this, that there is 0.09090909090909091% chance of it being night outside"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["904922 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 907092 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.2 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.9299999999999999, "night": true, "probability": 0.9299999999999999, "reasons": ["Your phone's practically dead, so it's probably around four in the morning."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": true, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Alexander's upstairs neighbour is currently playing league"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6086956521739131, "night": true, "probability": 0.6086956521739131, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -28 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 45, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.45230865306804036, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.28405154686674006, "night": false}], [1555161006.922862, {"predictions": [{"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.32063782776285055, "night": false, "probability": 0.32063782776285055, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 00:38 and 13:33, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 13:10 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 7187 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.09090909090909091, "night": false, "probability": 0.09090909090909091, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is currently open.", "We conclude from this, that there is 0.09090909090909091% chance of it being night outside"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's night-time in Australia, so it must be day-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["916017 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 915057 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.1 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": true, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Alexander's upstairs neighbour is currently playing league"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6608695652173913, "night": true, "probability": 0.6608695652173913, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -24 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 39, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.2960343736574444, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.212498, "night": false}], [1555162822.678862, {"predictions": [{"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.09090909090909091, "night": false, "probability": 0.09090909090909091, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is currently open.", "We conclude from this, that there is 0.09090909090909091% chance of it being night outside"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.07521312736781383, "night": false, "probability": 0.07521312736781383, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 19:49 and 06:34, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 13:40 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 17023 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's night-time in Australia, so it must be day-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["920264 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 919408 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.2 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": true, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Alexander's upstairs neighbour is currently playing league"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.78, "night": true, "probability": 0.78, "reasons": ["Your phone is dying, so it's bedtime soon?"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6434782608695653, "night": true, "probability": 0.6434782608695653, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -18 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 41, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.3391330399288725, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.212498, "night": false}], [1555164640.376216, {"predictions": [{"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.09090909090909091, "night": false, "probability": 0.09090909090909091, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is currently open.", "We conclude from this, that there is 0.09090909090909091% chance of it being night outside"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's night-time in Australia, so it must be day-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["958265 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 939918 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. 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league"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.7582567047647062, "night": true, "probability": 0.7582567047647062, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 11:27 and 23:46, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 14:10 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 10349 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5913043478260869, "night": true, "probability": 0.5913043478260869, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -10 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 47, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.32670551195832365, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.212498, "night": false}], [1555166456.654402, {"predictions": [{"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.41000000000000003, "night": false, "probability": 0.41000000000000003, "reasons": ["Battery level's getting low, so it's probably around dinnertime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.40311581591468837, "night": false, "probability": 0.40311581591468837, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 02:32 and 15:37, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 14:40 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 3882 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.09090909090909091, "night": false, "probability": 0.09090909090909091, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is currently open.", "We conclude from this, that there is 0.09090909090909091% chance of it being night outside"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's night-time in Australia, so it must be day-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["970007 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 939918 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.2 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": true, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Alexander's upstairs neighbour is currently playing league"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5826086956521739, "night": true, "probability": 0.5826086956521739, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 0 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 48, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.3305524668729961, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.249998, "night": false}], [1555168272.246835, {"predictions": [{"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.16702950715154197, "night": false, "probability": 0.16702950715154197, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 21:57 and 08:50, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 15:11 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 13343 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.09090909090909091, "night": false, "probability": 0.09090909090909091, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is currently open.", "We conclude from this, that there is 0.09090909090909091% chance of it being night outside"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's night-time in Australia, so it must be day-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["957610 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 939918 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": true, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.1 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": true, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Your phone's practically dead, so it's probably around four in the morning."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": true, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Alexander's upstairs neighbour is currently playing league"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5913043478260869, "night": true, "probability": 0.5913043478260869, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 6 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 47, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.3824365788238933, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.249998, "night": false}], [1555170087.858849, {"predictions": [{"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.09090909090909091, "night": false, "probability": 0.09090909090909091, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is currently open.", "We conclude from this, that there is 0.09090909090909091% chance of it being night outside"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's night-time in Australia, so it must be day-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["926645 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 926340 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": true, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.2 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.835134209031718, "night": true, "probability": 0.835134209031718, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:21 and 01:33, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 15:41 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 13430 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": true, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Alexander's upstairs neighbour is currently playing league"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.7, "night": true, "probability": 0.7, "reasons": ["Your phone is dying, so it's bedtime soon?"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6, "night": true, "probability": 0.6, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 11 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 46, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.42133660832840075, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.38749999999999996, "night": false}], [1555171903.841124, {"predictions": [{"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.48831931558328395, "night": false, "probability": 0.48831931558328395, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 04:30 and 17:45, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 16:11 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 468 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.09090909090909091, "night": false, "probability": 0.09090909090909091, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is currently open.", "We conclude from this, that there is 0.09090909090909091% chance of it being night outside"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's night-time in Australia, so it must be day-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["872467 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 870733 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": true, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.2 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Your phone's practically dead, so it's probably around four in the morning."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": true, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Alexander's upstairs neighbour is currently playing league"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6086956521739131, "night": true, "probability": 0.6086956521739131, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 15 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 45, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.41816000488885735, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.36915965779164195, "night": false}], [1555173719.24028, {"predictions": [{"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.09090909090909091, "night": false, "probability": 0.09090909090909091, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is currently open.", "We conclude from this, that there is 0.09090909090909091% chance of it being night outside"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.040000000000000036, "night": false, "probability": 0.040000000000000036, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's night-time in Australia, so it must be day-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["818170 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 817829 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": true, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.3 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": true, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Alexander's upstairs neighbour is currently playing league"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.7438543909312665, "night": true, "probability": 0.7438543909312665, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 00:02 and 11:03, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 16:42 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 9772 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6173913043478261, "night": true, "probability": 0.6173913043478261, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 18 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 44, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.3601792321823486, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.249998, "night": false}], [1555175535.574879, {"predictions": [{"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.44999999999999996, "night": false, "probability": 0.44999999999999996, "reasons": ["Battery level's getting low, so it's probably around dinnertime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.09090909090909091, "night": false, "probability": 0.09090909090909091, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is currently open.", "We conclude from this, that there is 0.09090909090909091% chance of it being night outside"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's night-time in Australia, so it must be day-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["762195 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 750968 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.3 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.9118397917257935, "night": true, "probability": 0.9118397917257935, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 15:16 and 03:20, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 17:12 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 16504 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": true, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Alexander's upstairs neighbour is currently playing league"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6173913043478261, "night": true, "probability": 0.6173913043478261, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 20 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 44, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.37917801558189257, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.249998, "night": false}], [1555177354.515083, {"predictions": [{"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.42436809525819685, "night": false, "probability": 0.42436809525819685, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 06:31 and 19:56, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 17:42 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 3030 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.20999999999999996, "night": false, "probability": 0.20999999999999996, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.09090909090909091, "night": false, "probability": 0.09090909090909091, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is currently open.", "We conclude from this, that there is 0.09090909090909091% chance of it being night outside"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's night-time in Australia, so it must be day-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["720823 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 719116 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.4 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.9095833333333333, "night": true, "probability": 0.9095833333333333, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 2.17 hours!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6173913043478261, "night": true, "probability": 0.6173913043478261, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 20 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 44, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.3276873186540373, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.22999799999999998, "night": false}], [1555179171.574839, {"predictions": [{"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's night-time in Australia, so it must be day-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["688855 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 699489 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.4 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.9299999999999999, "night": true, "probability": 0.9299999999999999, "reasons": ["Your phone's practically dead, so it's probably around four in the morning."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": true, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": true, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Alexander's upstairs neighbour is currently playing league"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6585125221257432, "night": true, "probability": 0.6585125221257432, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 02:01 and 13:10, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 18:12 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 6352 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6173913043478261, "night": true, "probability": 0.6173913043478261, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 18 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 44, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.4663249855394641, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.43369565217391304, "night": false}], [1555180992.542897, {"predictions": [{"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.33999999999999997, "night": false, "probability": 0.33999999999999997, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's night-time in Australia, so it must be day-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["650314 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 652559 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.5 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.9876488866048645, "night": true, "probability": 0.9876488866048645, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 17:09 and 05:06, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 18:43 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 19542 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": true, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": true, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Alexander's upstairs neighbour is currently playing league"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6086956521739131, "night": true, "probability": 0.6086956521739131, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 15 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 45, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.4438617115648981, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.295, "night": false}], [1555182807.966835, {"predictions": [{"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.33460867390679233, "night": false, "probability": 0.33460867390679233, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 08:35 and 22:10, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 19:13 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 6628 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's night-time in Australia, so it must be day-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["608823 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 609003 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.5 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": true, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": true, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Alexander's upstairs neighbour is currently playing league"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.79, "night": true, "probability": 0.79, "reasons": ["Your phone is dying, so it's bedtime soon?"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6, "night": true, "probability": 0.6, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 11 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 46, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.4262170561588994, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.2923043369533962, "night": false}], [1555184623.063963, {"predictions": [{"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.06999999999999995, "night": false, "probability": 0.06999999999999995, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's night-time in Australia, so it must be day-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["574121 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 572177 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.5 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": true, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": true, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Alexander's upstairs neighbour is currently playing league"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6086956521739131, "night": true, "probability": 0.6086956521739131, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 3 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 45, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5754713521761095, "night": true, "probability": 0.5754713521761095, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 03:56 and 15:14, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 19:43 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 3024 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.3870135836958352, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.249998, "night": false}], [1555186440.358918, {"predictions": [{"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.06644568173378729, "night": false, "probability": 0.06644568173378729, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 19:04 and 06:54, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 20:14 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 17374 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["539573 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 536380 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.4 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": true, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": true, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Alexander's upstairs neighbour is currently playing league"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5826086956521739, "night": true, "probability": 0.5826086956521739, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -4 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 48, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.41992086478216345, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.249998, "night": false}], [1555188256.19884, {"predictions": [{"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.4 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["505855 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 06, 505329 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": true, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": true, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Alexander's upstairs neighbour is currently playing league"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.7589305264134721, "night": true, "probability": 0.7589305264134721, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 10:46 and 00:28, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 20:44 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 10376 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.65, "night": true, "probability": 0.65, "reasons": ["Battery level's getting low, so it's probably around dinnertime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6086956521739131, "night": true, "probability": 0.6086956521739131, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -13 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 45, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.6173018482156154, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.7044652632067361, "night": true}], [1555190071.463209, {"predictions": [{"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.5 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["470550 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 06, 472136 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": true, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.86, "night": true, "probability": 0.86, "reasons": ["Your phone is dying, so it's bedtime soon?"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": true, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Alexander's upstairs neighbour is currently playing league"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6608695652173913, "night": true, "probability": 0.6608695652173913, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -17 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 39, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5059878620096516, "night": true, "probability": 0.5059878620096516, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 05:50 and 17:16, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 21:14 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 239 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.6180711189355869, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.7304347826086957, "night": true}], [1555191886.810798, {"predictions": [{"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.5 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["437465 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 06, 435124 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": true, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.9077083333333333, "night": true, "probability": 0.9077083333333333, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 2.22 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.73, "night": true, "probability": 0.73, "reasons": ["Your phone is dying, so it's bedtime soon?"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6521739130434783, "night": true, "probability": 0.6521739130434783, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -23 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 40, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.14427568697343746, "night": false, "probability": 0.14427568697343746, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 21:00 and 08:42, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 21:44 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 14255 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.5853461611125208, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.6910869565217391, "night": true}], [1555193703.289328, {"predictions": [{"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["402179 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 07, 401461 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": true, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8866898148148148, "night": true, "probability": 0.8866898148148148, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 2.72 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8553191881587241, "night": true, "probability": 0.8553191881587241, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:03 and 02:50, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 22:15 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 14239 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6347826086956522, "night": true, "probability": 0.6347826086956522, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -25 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 42, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.28, "night": false, "probability": 0.28, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["Because 12.5 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 7.0 is the expected number for daytime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.520565634305766, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.4573913043478261, "night": true}], [1555195519.638985, {"predictions": [{"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.0 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["371933 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 07, 370983 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": true, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8656712962962962, "night": true, "probability": 0.8656712962962962, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 3.22 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6173913043478261, "night": true, "probability": 0.6173913043478261, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -26 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 44, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5857755548378978, "night": true, "probability": 0.5857755548378978, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 07:41 and 19:15, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 22:45 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 3437 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.52, "night": true, "probability": 0.52, "reasons": ["Battery level's getting low, so it's probably around dinnertime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.5982361796235017, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.6015834295928619, "night": true}], [1555197334.254868, {"predictions": [{"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.6 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["344931 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 07, 344506 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": true, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8445370370370371, "night": true, "probability": 0.8445370370370371, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 3.73 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6173913043478261, "night": true, "probability": 0.6173913043478261, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -26 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 44, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.42000000000000004, "night": false, "probability": 0.42000000000000004, "reasons": ["Battery level's getting low, so it's probably around dinnertime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.2229359070346537, "night": false, "probability": 0.2229359070346537, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 22:57 and 10:32, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 23:15 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 11103 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.5579050207016264, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.518695652173913, "night": true}], [1555199160.1228, {"predictions": [{"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.7 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["326864 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 07, 327542 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.9495266642705631, "night": true, "probability": 0.9495266642705631, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 15:19 and 05:06, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 23:46 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 18014 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": true, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8235300925925926, "night": true, "probability": 0.8235300925925926, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 4.24 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": true, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Your phone is dying, so it's bedtime soon?"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6347826086956522, "night": true, "probability": 0.6347826086956522, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -25 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 42, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.6498196137965673, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.8117650462962963, "night": true}], [1555200974.958862, {"predictions": [{"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 1.0 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["317334 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 07, 317976 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": true, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8025231481481482, "night": true, "probability": 0.8025231481481482, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 4.74 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6635492696270543, "night": true, "probability": 0.6635492696270543, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 09:29 and 21:10, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 00:16 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 6554 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6608695652173913, "night": true, "probability": 0.6608695652173913, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -22 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 39, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.14, "night": false, "probability": 0.14, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.5714114985827161, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.6622094174222228, "night": true}], [1555202789.758921, {"predictions": [{"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.9 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["319990 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 07, 319848 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.97, "night": true, "probability": 0.97, "reasons": ["Your phone's practically dead, so it's probably around four in the morning."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": true, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.7815162037037037, "night": true, "probability": 0.7815162037037037, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 5.24 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6982336150883512, "night": true, "probability": 0.6982336150883512, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 00:55 and 12:20, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 00:46 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 7944 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6608695652173913, "night": true, "probability": 0.6608695652173913, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -20 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 39, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.6417179486674538, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.7398749093960275, "night": true}], [1555204604.946785, {"predictions": [{"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.8 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["338895 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 07, 339244 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.9517866010760954, "night": true, "probability": 0.9517866010760954, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 17:40 and 07:24, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 01:16 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 18105 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": true, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.7605208333333333, "night": true, "probability": 0.7605208333333333, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 5.75 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6799999999999999, "night": true, "probability": 0.6799999999999999, "reasons": ["Battery level's getting low, so it's probably around dinnertime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6608695652173913, "night": true, "probability": 0.6608695652173913, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -15 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 39, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.636931083302235, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.7202604166666666, "night": true}], [1555206419.634805, {"predictions": [{"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.9 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["369986 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 07, 369566 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.9299999999999999, "night": true, "probability": 0.9299999999999999, "reasons": ["Your phone's practically dead, so it's probably around four in the morning."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": true, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.7416263428045853, "night": true, "probability": 0.7416263428045853, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 11:18 and 23:07, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 01:47 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 9683 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.7395023148148148, "night": true, "probability": 0.7395023148148148, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 6.25 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5826086956521739, "night": true, "probability": 0.5826086956521739, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -7 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 48, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.6319777794392978, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.7405643288097, "night": true}], [1555208234.898935, {"predictions": [{"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 1.0 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["412577 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 07, 412530 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": true, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.7184953703703704, "night": true, "probability": 0.7184953703703704, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 6.76 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6164250118995263, "night": true, "probability": 0.6164250118995263, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 02:58 and 14:14, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 02:17 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 4665 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5826086956521739, "night": true, "probability": 0.5826086956521739, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 0 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 48, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.040000000000000036, "night": false, "probability": 0.040000000000000036, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.5456270898268392, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.5995168537758501, "night": true}], [1555210058.002837, {"predictions": [{"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 2.0 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["450945 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 06, 449132 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": true, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8591192095063329, "night": true, "probability": 0.8591192095063329, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 19:57 and 09:34, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 02:47 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 14391 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6973958333333333, "night": true, "probability": 0.6973958333333333, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 7.26 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.69, "night": true, "probability": 0.69, "reasons": ["Battery level's getting low, so it's probably around dinnertime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5913043478260869, "night": true, "probability": 0.5913043478260869, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 6 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 47, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.6189846158888127, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.6936979166666666, "night": true}], [1555211873.503006, {"predictions": [{"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Apparently we are banned from just-eat. We therefore have no clue."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.19999999999999996, "night": false, "probability": 0.19999999999999996, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.18197115559685406, "night": false, "probability": 0.18197115559685406, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:04 and 01:01, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 03:17 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 12745 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 1.5 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["481148 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 06, 481003 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6763773148148149, "night": true, "probability": 0.6763773148148149, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 7.77 hours!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5913043478260869, "night": true, "probability": 0.5913043478260869, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 10 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 47, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.48580406818647964, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.375, "night": false}], [1555213690.171637, {"predictions": [{"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 1.6 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["503188 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 06, 505329 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8200000000000001, "night": true, "probability": 0.8200000000000001, "reasons": ["Your phone is dying, so it's bedtime soon?"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6553587962962963, "night": true, "probability": 0.6553587962962963, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 8.27 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6086956521739131, "night": true, "probability": 0.6086956521739131, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 14 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 45, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5340670915558842, "night": true, "probability": 0.5340670915558842, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 05:01 and 16:08, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 03:48 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 1365 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Apparently we are banned from just-eat. We therefore have no clue."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.5665097950021745, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.5713813718648986, "night": true}], [1555215506.002895, {"predictions": [{"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 1.2 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["529393 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 06, 526151 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.7680950554224092, "night": true, "probability": 0.7680950554224092, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 22:13 and 11:41, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 04:18 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 10743 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6343287037037038, "night": true, "probability": 0.6343287037037038, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 8.78 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6086956521739131, "night": true, "probability": 0.6086956521739131, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 16 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 45, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": true, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Apparently we are banned from just-eat. We therefore have no clue."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.33999999999999997, "night": false, "probability": 0.33999999999999997, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.5734262842750022, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.5668478260869565, "night": true}], [1555217322.062981, {"predictions": [{"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Apparently we are banned from just-eat. We therefore have no clue."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.10530578036741667, "night": false, "probability": 0.10530578036741667, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 14:51 and 02:55, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 04:48 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 15817 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["567491 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 567069 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": true, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 1.0 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6699999999999999, "night": true, "probability": 0.6699999999999999, "reasons": ["Battery level's getting low, so it's probably around dinnertime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6132986111111112, "night": true, "probability": 0.6132986111111112, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 9.28 hours!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6086956521739131, "night": true, "probability": 0.6086956521739131, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 17 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 45, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.4606080036377034, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.5125, "night": false}], [1555219139.961931, {"predictions": [{"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Apparently we are banned from just-eat. We therefore have no clue."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.22999999999999998, "night": false, "probability": 0.22999999999999998, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["610420 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 611489 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": true, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 1.0 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6086956521739131, "night": true, "probability": 0.6086956521739131, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 16 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 45, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5922453703703705, "night": true, "probability": 0.5922453703703705, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 9.79 hours!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5515820177380476, "night": true, "probability": 0.5515820177380476, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 07:09 and 18:07, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 05:19 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 2067 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.45937658669019427, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.5125, "night": false}], [1555220958.654846, {"predictions": [{"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Apparently we are banned from just-eat. We therefore have no clue."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.3189951448627312, "night": false, "probability": 0.3189951448627312, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 00:24 and 13:42, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 05:49 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 7253 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["653428 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 652559 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": true, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 1.0 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6086956521739131, "night": true, "probability": 0.6086956521739131, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 16 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 45, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.571238425925926, "night": true, "probability": 0.571238425925926, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 10.29 hours!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.53, "night": true, "probability": 0.53, "reasons": ["Battery level's getting low, so it's probably around dinnertime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.46324376858021415, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.5125, "night": false}], [1555222773.278844, {"predictions": [{"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Apparently we are banned from just-eat. We therefore have no clue."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.028929067004796694, "night": false, "probability": 0.028929067004796694, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 16:37 and 04:49, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 06:19 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 18878 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["694762 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 699489 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": true, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 1.1 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8200000000000001, "night": true, "probability": 0.8200000000000001, "reasons": ["Your phone is dying, so it's bedtime soon?"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6086956521739131, "night": true, "probability": 0.6086956521739131, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 14 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 45, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5502199074074074, "night": true, "probability": 0.5502199074074074, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 10.79 hours!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.4614867188821764, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.5125, "night": false}], [1555224589.626781, {"predictions": [{"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Apparently we are banned from just-eat. We therefore have no clue."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.030000000000000027, "night": false, "probability": 0.030000000000000027, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["730095 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 719116 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.5 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6400453722638009, "night": true, "probability": 0.6400453722638009, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 09:21 and 20:10, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 06:49 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 5612 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6, "night": true, "probability": 0.6, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 11 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 46, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5292129629629629, "night": true, "probability": 0.5292129629629629, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 11.30 hours!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.414937861268897, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.375, "night": false}], [1555226404.23292, {"predictions": [{"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.4046747563712162, "night": false, "probability": 0.4046747563712162, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 02:33 and 15:40, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 07:20 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 3820 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.18999999999999995, "night": false, "probability": 0.18999999999999995, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["761286 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 750968 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.5 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": true, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5913043478260869, "night": true, "probability": 0.5913043478260869, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 6 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 47, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5081944444444444, "night": true, "probability": 0.5081944444444444, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 11.80 hours!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.44034746238681227, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.3273373781856081, "night": false}], [1555228222.323494, {"predictions": [{"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.49, "night": false, "probability": 0.49, "reasons": ["Battery level's getting low, so it's probably around dinnertime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.48714120370370373, "night": false, "probability": 0.48714120370370373, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 12.31 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.049440142534662335, "night": false, "probability": 0.049440142534662335, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 18:24 and 06:44, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 07:50 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 18056 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["785100 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 777380 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": true, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.3 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": true, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5826086956521739, "night": true, "probability": 0.5826086956521739, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 0 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 48, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.462432170157545, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.48857060185185186, "night": false}], [1555230040.930862, {"predictions": [{"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.2 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": true, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.7310079673328992, "night": true, "probability": 0.7310079673328992, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 11:37 and 22:17, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 08:20 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 9257 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6799999999999999, "night": true, "probability": 0.6799999999999999, "reasons": ["Battery level's getting low, so it's probably around dinnertime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5826086956521739, "night": true, "probability": 0.5826086956521739, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -9 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 48, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": true, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.46608796296296295, "night": false, "probability": 0.46608796296296295, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 12.81 hours!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["805313 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 806961 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.5333083854956696, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.5538043478260869, "night": true}], [1555231861.806846, {"predictions": [{"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.2 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.95, "night": true, "probability": 0.95, "reasons": ["Your phone's practically dead, so it's probably around four in the morning."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": true, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6434782608695653, "night": true, "probability": 0.6434782608695653, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -18 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 41, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": true, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.4860155665059391, "night": false, "probability": 0.4860155665059391, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 04:35 and 17:33, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 08:51 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 560 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.4449884259259259, "night": false, "probability": 0.4449884259259259, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 13.32 hours!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["816386 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 817829 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.5387065211084525, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.5055077832529695, "night": true}], [1555233686.27863, {"predictions": [{"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.4239236111111112, "night": false, "probability": 0.4239236111111112, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 13.83 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.38, "night": false, "probability": 0.38, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.12502795771179315, "night": false, "probability": 0.12502795771179315, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 20:10 and 08:36, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 09:21 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 15027 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.09090909090909091, "night": false, "probability": 0.09090909090909091, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is currently open.", "We conclude from this, that there is 0.09090909090909091% chance of it being night outside"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["810829 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 806961 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.2 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6347826086956522, "night": true, "probability": 0.6347826086956522, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -25 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 42, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.36121993903563726, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.249998, "night": false}], [1555235501.621457, {"predictions": [{"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.4029166666666667, "night": false, "probability": 0.4029166666666667, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 14.33 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.32999999999999996, "night": false, "probability": 0.32999999999999996, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.17761155725862376, "night": false, "probability": 0.17761155725862376, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:51 and 00:26, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 09:51 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 12919 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.09090909090909091, "night": false, "probability": 0.09090909090909091, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is currently open.", "We conclude from this, that there is 0.09090909090909091% chance of it being night outside"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["796444 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 802699 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.2 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6173913043478261, "night": true, "probability": 0.6173913043478261, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -30 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 44, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.35823538493185064, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.249998, "night": false}], [1555237316.463352, {"predictions": [{"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.4338565023271169, "night": false, "probability": 0.4338565023271169, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 06:35 and 19:24, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 10:21 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 2650 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.09090909090909091, "night": false, "probability": 0.09090909090909091, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is currently open.", "We conclude from this, that there is 0.09090909090909091% chance of it being night outside"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["790281 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 802699 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.3 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": true, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Alexander's upstairs neighbour is currently playing league"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.72, "night": true, "probability": 0.72, "reasons": ["Your phone is dying, so it's bedtime soon?"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6, "night": true, "probability": 0.6, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -33 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 46, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.443730132769684, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.34192825116355846, "night": false}], [1555239132.174911, {"predictions": [{"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.31999999999999995, "night": false, "probability": 0.31999999999999995, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.20312055928946027, "night": false, "probability": 0.20312055928946027, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 21:58 and 10:33, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 10:52 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 11897 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.09090909090909091, "night": false, "probability": 0.09090909090909091, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is currently open.", "We conclude from this, that there is 0.09090909090909091% chance of it being night outside"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["794101 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 802699 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.2 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": true, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Alexander's upstairs neighbour is currently playing league"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6086956521739131, "night": true, "probability": 0.6086956521739131, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -35 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 45, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.391893441864372, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.249998, "night": false}], [1555240954.921328, {"predictions": [{"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.09090909090909091, "night": false, "probability": 0.09090909090909091, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is currently open.", "We conclude from this, that there is 0.09090909090909091% chance of it being night outside"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.08300339296469955, "night": false, "probability": 0.08300339296469955, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 16:09 and 02:41, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 11:22 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 16711 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.010000000000000009, "night": false, "probability": 0.010000000000000009, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["821963 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 817829 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.2 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": true, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Alexander's upstairs neighbour is currently playing league"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6, "night": true, "probability": 0.6, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -36 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 46, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.3553257069894825, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.212498, "night": false}], [1555242770.76636, {"predictions": [{"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.3551225223652539, "night": false, "probability": 0.3551225223652539, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 08:33 and 21:13, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 11:52 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 5805 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.09090909090909091, "night": false, "probability": 0.09090909090909091, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is currently open.", "We conclude from this, that there is 0.09090909090909091% chance of it being night outside"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["853425 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 853739 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. 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"Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": true, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Alexander's upstairs neighbour is currently playing league"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.63, "night": true, "probability": 0.63, "reasons": ["Battery level's getting low, so it's probably around dinnertime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6086956521739131, "night": true, "probability": 0.6086956521739131, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the 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currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.28109614328038707, "night": false, "probability": 0.28109614328038707, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 23:46 and 12:30, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 12:23 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 8772 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.09090909090909091, "night": false, "probability": 0.09090909090909091, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is currently open.", "We conclude from this, that there is 0.09090909090909091% chance of it being night outside"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["900944 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 899694 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.3 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": true, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Alexander's upstairs neighbour is currently playing league"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5913043478260869, "night": true, "probability": 0.5913043478260869, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -34 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 47, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.40277546516796375, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.26554807164019356, "night": false}], [1555246402.274866, {"predictions": [{"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.31000000000000005, "night": false, "probability": 0.31000000000000005, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.09090909090909091, "night": false, "probability": 0.09090909090909091, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is currently open.", "We conclude from this, that there is 0.09090909090909091% chance of it being night outside"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.015602926759365143, "night": false, "probability": 0.015602926759365143, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 18:29 and 05:01, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 12:53 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 19412 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["931911 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 932083 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.2 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": true, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Alexander's upstairs neighbour is currently playing league"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6086956521739131, "night": true, "probability": 0.6086956521739131, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -31 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 45, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.3754336391535308, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.249998, "night": false}], [1555248223.506901, {"predictions": [{"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.27735546260472715, "night": false, "probability": 0.27735546260472715, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 10:29 and 23:01, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 13:23 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 8922 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.16000000000000003, "night": false, "probability": 0.16000000000000003, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.09090909090909091, "night": false, "probability": 0.09090909090909091, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is currently open.", "We conclude from this, that there is 0.09090909090909091% chance of it being night outside"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's night-time in Australia, so it must be day-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["962338 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 939918 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.2 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": true, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Alexander's upstairs neighbour is currently playing league"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6173913043478261, "night": true, "probability": 0.6173913043478261, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -27 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 44, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.30213765482180366, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.212498, "night": false}], [1555250042.26281, {"predictions": [{"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.36025604507455655, "night": false, "probability": 0.36025604507455655, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 01:36 and 14:28, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 13:54 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 5600 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.09090909090909091, "night": false, "probability": 0.09090909090909091, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is currently open.", "We conclude from this, that there is 0.09090909090909091% chance of it being night outside"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's night-time in Australia, so it must be day-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["973345 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 939918 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. 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Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.2 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": true, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Alexander's upstairs neighbour is currently playing league"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.7992264474739782, "night": true, "probability": 0.7992264474739782, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 12:23 and 00:47, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 14:54 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 11991 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5826086956521739, "night": true, "probability": 0.5826086956521739, "reasons": ["The 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15:24 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 2357 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.37, "night": false, "probability": 0.37, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.09090909090909091, "night": false, "probability": 0.09090909090909091, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is currently open.", "We conclude from this, that there is 0.09090909090909091% chance of it being night outside"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's night-time in Australia, so it must be day-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["855468 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 855066 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.2 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": true, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Alexander's upstairs neighbour is currently playing league"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6086956521739131, "night": true, "probability": 0.6086956521739131, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 2 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 45, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.33256520757345837, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.249998, "night": false}], [1555257311.626865, {"predictions": [{"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.20109022097165585, "night": false, "probability": 0.20109022097165585, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 22:50 and 09:35, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 15:55 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 11978 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.09090909090909091, "night": false, "probability": 0.09090909090909091, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is currently open.", "We conclude from this, that there is 0.09090909090909091% chance of it being night outside"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's night-time in Australia, so it must be day-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["788388 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 777380 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.3 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": true, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Alexander's upstairs neighbour is currently playing league"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6, "night": true, "probability": 0.6, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 7 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 46, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.51, "night": true, "probability": 0.51, "reasons": ["Battery level's getting low, so it's probably around dinnertime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.32349960932339555, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.22554311048582792, "night": false}], [1555259127.344439, {"predictions": [{"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.09999999999999998, "night": false, "probability": 0.09999999999999998, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.09090909090909091, "night": false, "probability": 0.09090909090909091, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is currently open.", "We conclude from this, that there is 0.09090909090909091% chance of it being night outside"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's night-time in Australia, so it must be day-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["726470 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 719116 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.3 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.876337986914471, "night": true, "probability": 0.876337986914471, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 14:18 and 02:35, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 16:25 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 15081 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": true, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Alexander's upstairs neighbour is currently playing league"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6, "night": true, "probability": 0.6, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 12 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 46, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.34560358981863015, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.212498, "night": false}], [1555260943.37883, {"predictions": [{"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.47497709235199753, "night": false, "probability": 0.47497709235199753, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 05:24 and 18:36, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 16:55 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 1002 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.09090909090909091, "night": false, "probability": 0.09090909090909091, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is currently open.", "We conclude from this, that there is 0.09090909090909091% chance of it being night outside"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's night-time in Australia, so it must be day-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["679812 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 699489 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.4 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.9, "night": true, "probability": 0.9, "reasons": ["Your phone's practically dead, so it's probably around four in the morning."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": true, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Alexander's upstairs neighbour is currently playing league"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6086956521739131, "night": true, "probability": 0.6086956521739131, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 17 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 45, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.3795481529529168, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.249998, "night": false}], [1555262758.753863, {"predictions": [{"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.32999999999999996, "night": false, "probability": 0.32999999999999996, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.09090909090909091, "night": false, "probability": 0.09090909090909091, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is currently open.", "We conclude from this, that there is 0.09090909090909091% chance of it being night outside"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's night-time in Australia, so it must be day-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["640740 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 652559 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.5 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.9132986111111111, "night": true, "probability": 0.9132986111111111, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 2.08 hours!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.7082979594266076, "night": true, "probability": 0.7082979594266076, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 00:57 and 11:50, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 17:26 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 8347 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6260869565217391, "night": true, "probability": 0.6260869565217391, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 21 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 43, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.3623823848307124, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.249998, "night": false}], [1555264574.106241, {"predictions": [{"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.09090909090909091, "night": false, "probability": 0.09090909090909091, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is currently open.", "We conclude from this, that there is 0.09090909090909091% chance of it being night outside"], "contribution": 0.11096316023080337}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's night-time in Australia, so it must be day-time here."], "contribution": 0.11096316023080337}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["610481 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 611489 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.11096316023080337}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05570350643586329}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.055481580115401684}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.0011096316023080338}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.4 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.11096316023080337}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.9526395539121466, "night": true, "probability": 0.9526395539121466, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 16:12 and 04:21, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 17:56 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 18139 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": -0.11096316023080337}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8922337962962963, "night": true, "probability": 0.8922337962962963, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 2.59 hours!"], "contribution": -0.11096316023080337}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6347826086956522, "night": true, "probability": 0.6347826086956522, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 23 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 42, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.11096316023080337}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.54, "night": true, "probability": 0.54, "reasons": ["Battery level's getting low, so it's probably around dinnertime."], "contribution": -0.11096316023080337}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.419596459073926, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.25, "night": false}], [1555266404.487006, {"predictions": [{"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.39114286482398086, "night": false, "probability": 0.39114286482398086, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 07:20 and 20:42, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 18:26 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 4362 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's night-time in Australia, so it must be day-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["582697 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 582210 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.4 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.98, "night": true, "probability": 0.98, "reasons": ["Your phone's practically dead, so it's probably around four in the morning."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": true, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.871099537037037, "night": true, "probability": 0.871099537037037, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 3.09 hours!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6434782608695653, "night": true, "probability": 0.6434782608695653, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 24 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 41, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.45630972189421526, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.32057143241199043, "night": false}], [1555268222.079157, {"predictions": [{"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's night-time in Australia, so it must be day-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["553896 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 554692 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": true, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.4 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": true, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8500462962962962, "night": true, "probability": 0.8500462962962962, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 3.60 hours!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6521739130434783, "night": true, "probability": 0.6521739130434783, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 22 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 40, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6236947987989908, "night": true, "probability": 0.6236947987989908, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 02:55 and 13:56, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 18:57 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 4957 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.62, "night": true, "probability": 0.62, "reasons": ["Battery level's getting low, so it's probably around dinnertime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.4738259173448971, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.5725, "night": false}], [1555270038.926951, {"predictions": [{"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.21999999999999997, "night": false, "probability": 0.21999999999999997, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.029836091948464816, "night": false, "probability": 0.029836091948464816, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 18:05 and 06:06, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 19:27 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 18841 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's night-time in Australia, so it must be day-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.5 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["518477 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 06, 516839 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": true, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8290393518518518, "night": true, "probability": 0.8290393518518518, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 4.10 hours!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6173913043478261, "night": true, "probability": 0.6173913043478261, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 20 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 44, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.4405218956790119, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.249998, "night": false}], [1555271863.463208, {"predictions": [{"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.3054549345297086, "night": false, "probability": 0.3054549345297086, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 09:19 and 22:50, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 19:57 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 7796 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's night-time in Australia, so it must be day-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.7 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["489231 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 06, 489629 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": true, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8078703703703703, "night": true, "probability": 0.8078703703703703, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 4.61 hours!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6086956521739131, "night": true, "probability": 0.6086956521739131, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 15 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 45, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.52, "night": true, "probability": 0.52, "reasons": ["Battery level's getting low, so it's probably around dinnertime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.48600141308949935, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.4127274672648543, "night": false}], [1555273683.574855, {"predictions": [{"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.9 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["457583 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 06, 458805 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": true, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.7868518518518518, "night": true, "probability": 0.7868518518518518, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 5.12 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6, "night": true, "probability": 0.6, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 9 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 46, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5409553234805742, "night": true, "probability": 0.5409553234805742, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 04:50 and 15:59, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 20:28 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 1641 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.040000000000000036, "night": false, "probability": 0.040000000000000036, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.5464835979443688, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.5704776617402871, "night": true}], [1555275498.760897, {"predictions": [{"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.49, "night": false, "probability": 0.49, "reasons": ["Battery level's getting low, so it's probably around dinnertime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.10547243337602091, "night": false, "probability": 0.10547243337602091, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 19:57 and 07:52, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 20:58 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 15810 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["424987 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 425491 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 1.3 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": true, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.7658564814814814, "night": true, "probability": 0.7658564814814814, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 5.62 hours!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6086956521739131, "night": true, "probability": 0.6086956521739131, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 3 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 45, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.4633350472526179, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.37, "night": false}], [1555277314.986794, {"predictions": [{"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 1.1 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["392768 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 07, 390901 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": true, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.7857006563696535, "night": true, "probability": 0.7857006563696535, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 11:25 and 01:06, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 21:28 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 11449 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.7447916666666667, "night": true, "probability": 0.7447916666666667, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 6.12 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6799999999999999, "night": true, "probability": 0.6799999999999999, "reasons": ["Battery level's getting low, so it's probably around dinnertime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5826086956521739, "night": true, "probability": 0.5826086956521739, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -3 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 48, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.6152580848907079, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.7123958333333333, "night": true}], [1555279135.19778, {"predictions": [{"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 1.7 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["361711 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 07, 360869 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": true, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.7237152777777778, "night": true, "probability": 0.7237152777777778, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 6.63 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.63, "night": true, "probability": 0.63, "reasons": ["Battery level's getting low, so it's probably around dinnertime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5913043478260869, "night": true, "probability": 0.5913043478260869, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -10 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 47, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.540930089830353, "night": true, "probability": 0.540930089830353, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 06:44 and 18:02, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 21:59 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 1640 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": true, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.6188288096195181, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.6106521739130435, "night": true}], [1555280954.46324, {"predictions": [{"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.0 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["334028 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 07, 334975 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": true, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": true, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Alexander's upstairs neighbour is currently playing league"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6086956521739131, "night": true, "probability": 0.6086956521739131, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -13 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 45, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.51, "night": true, "probability": 0.51, "reasons": ["Battery level's getting low, so it's probably around dinnertime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": true, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.18154828398600287, "night": false, "probability": 0.18154828398600287, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 21:51 and 09:38, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 22:29 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 12761 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.5866866613466597, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.5668478260869565, "night": true}], [1555282772.486959, {"predictions": [{"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.0 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["309817 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 07, 309598 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": true, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8786151158772966, "night": true, "probability": 0.8786151158772966, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:36 and 03:24, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 22:59 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 15173 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": true, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Alexander's upstairs neighbour is currently playing league"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.76, "night": true, "probability": 0.76, "reasons": ["Your phone is dying, so it's bedtime soon?"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6869565217391305, "night": true, "probability": 0.6869565217391305, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -16 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 36, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": true, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.6721306364680356, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.78, "night": true}], [1555284586.702861, {"predictions": [{"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 3.1 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["290229 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 07, 292750 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": true, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": true, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Alexander's upstairs neighbour is currently playing league"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6608695652173913, "night": true, "probability": 0.6608695652173913, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -19 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 39, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6219780787053651, "night": true, "probability": 0.6219780787053651, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 08:36 and 20:03, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 23:29 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 4888 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": true, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.13, "night": false, "probability": 0.13, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.5960703036602297, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.6414238219613781, "night": true}], [1555286402.47883, {"predictions": [{"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 3.0 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["279530 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 07, 274753 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.9126273148148148, "night": true, "probability": 0.9126273148148148, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 2.10 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": true, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6799999999999999, "night": true, "probability": 0.6799999999999999, "reasons": ["Battery level's getting low, so it's probably around dinnertime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6695652173913044, "night": true, "probability": 0.6695652173913044, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -21 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 38, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": true, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.2596009553918914, "night": false, "probability": 0.2596009553918914, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 23:48 and 11:26, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 00:00 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 9633 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.6218157906331675, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.6747826086956521, "night": true}], [1555288226.110832, {"predictions": [{"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.026802508064719566, "night": false, "probability": 0.026802508064719566, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 15:48 and 05:44, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 00:30 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 18963 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["Because 10.0 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 7.0 is the expected number for daytime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": true, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["276635 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 07, 274753 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": true, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8915740740740741, "night": true, "probability": 0.8915740740740741, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 2.60 hours!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6695652173913044, "night": true, "probability": 0.6695652173913044, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -21 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 38, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.46066148329417483, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.38749999999999996, "night": false}], [1555290042.854834, {"predictions": [{"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Apparently we are banned from just-eat. We therefore have no clue."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.30000000000000004, "night": false, "probability": 0.30000000000000004, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": -0.7361111111111109, "night": false, "probability": -0.7361111111111109, "reasons": ["Because average for daytime is 7.0 and average for nighttime is 3.4, but the current average is 6.2"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": true, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["279993 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 07, 274753 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8704166666666666, "night": true, "probability": 0.8704166666666666, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 3.11 hours!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6990266726667343, "night": true, "probability": 0.6990266726667343, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 10:24 and 21:57, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 01:00 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 7975 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6608695652173913, "night": true, "probability": 0.6608695652173913, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -20 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 39, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.4436831494533068, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.5125, "night": false}], [1555291877.146794, {"predictions": [{"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Apparently we are banned from just-eat. We therefore have no clue."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.040000000000000036, "night": false, "probability": 0.040000000000000036, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["Because 7.1 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 7.0 is the expected number for daytime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": true, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["291559 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 07, 292750 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8493287037037037, "night": true, "probability": 0.8493287037037037, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 3.62 hours!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6648273124168331, "night": true, "probability": 0.6648273124168331, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 01:40 and 13:12, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 01:31 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 6605 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6608695652173913, "night": true, "probability": 0.6608695652173913, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -20 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 39, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.47875179844482735, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.5125, "night": false}], [1555293691.990829, {"predictions": [{"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Apparently we are banned from just-eat. We therefore have no clue."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": -0.8518518518518516, "night": false, "probability": -0.8518518518518516, "reasons": ["Because average for daytime is 7.0 and average for nighttime is 3.4, but the current average is 6.7"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": true, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["310823 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 07, 310363 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.9331375470982721, "night": true, "probability": 0.9331375470982721, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 18:03 and 07:54, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 02:01 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 17357 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.84, "night": true, "probability": 0.84, "reasons": ["Your phone is dying, so it's bedtime soon?"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.828287037037037, "night": true, "probability": 0.828287037037037, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 4.12 hours!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6086956521739131, "night": true, "probability": 0.6086956521739131, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -13 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 45, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.4906886987047809, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.5668478260869565, "night": false}], [1555295511.154862, {"predictions": [{"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Apparently we are banned from just-eat. We therefore have no clue."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.22344030274621973, "night": false, "probability": 0.22344030274621973, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 12:12 and 23:52, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 02:31 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 11083 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.00793650793650802, "night": false, "probability": 0.00793650793650802, "reasons": ["Because average for daytime is 7.0 and average for nighttime is 3.4, but the current average is 3.6"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": true, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["342116 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 07, 340842 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8071875000000001, "night": true, "probability": 0.8071875000000001, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 4.63 hours!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.74, "night": true, "probability": 0.74, "reasons": ["Your phone is dying, so it's bedtime soon?"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5826086956521739, "night": true, "probability": 0.5826086956521739, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -7 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 48, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.49093075052790847, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.5125, "night": false}], [1555297337.155989, {"predictions": [{"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 2.9 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["366327 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 07, 366210 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.7861226851851851, "night": true, "probability": 0.7861226851851851, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 5.13 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.74, "night": true, "probability": 0.74, "reasons": ["Your phone is dying, so it's bedtime soon?"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5913043478260869, "night": true, "probability": 0.5913043478260869, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -1 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 47, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5865744355663319, "night": true, "probability": 0.5865744355663319, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 03:37 and 15:00, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 03:02 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 3469 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": true, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Apparently we are banned from just-eat. We therefore have no clue."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.602833122381467, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.5889393916962093, "night": true}], [1555299153.878889, {"predictions": [{"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.9 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["378444 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 07, 380728 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8410655032980163, "night": true, "probability": 0.8410655032980163, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 20:18 and 10:05, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 03:32 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 13668 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.7650810185185185, "night": true, "probability": 0.7650810185185185, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 5.64 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.73, "night": true, "probability": 0.73, "reasons": ["Your phone is dying, so it's bedtime soon?"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6086956521739131, "night": true, "probability": 0.6086956521739131, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 3 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 45, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": true, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Apparently we are banned from just-eat. We therefore have no clue."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.6229031811658706, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.6693478260869565, "night": true}], [1555300971.363262, {"predictions": [{"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.4 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["394822 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 07, 396138 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.81, "night": true, "probability": 0.81, "reasons": ["Your phone is dying, so it's bedtime soon?"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.7440740740740741, "night": true, "probability": 0.7440740740740741, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 6.14 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6, "night": true, "probability": 0.6, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 9 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 46, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": true, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Apparently we are banned from just-eat. We therefore have no clue."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.14706414396931866, "night": false, "probability": 0.14706414396931866, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:59 and 01:46, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 04:02 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 14143 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.5692611848369494, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.5625, "night": true}], [1555302787.078971, {"predictions": [{"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.3 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["427745 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 06, 429296 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.7230555555555556, "night": true, "probability": 0.7230555555555556, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 6.65 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6, "night": true, "probability": 0.6, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 11 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 46, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5055120274626218, "night": true, "probability": 0.5055120274626218, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 05:38 and 16:53, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 04:33 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 220 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": true, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Apparently we are banned from just-eat. We therefore have no clue."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.07999999999999996, "night": false, "probability": 0.07999999999999996, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.5365469652515148, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.5152560137313109, "night": true}], [1555304604.918992, {"predictions": [{"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.2 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["444709 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 06, 444908 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.7020138888888889, "night": true, "probability": 0.7020138888888889, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 7.15 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.65, "night": true, "probability": 0.65, "reasons": ["Battery level's getting low, so it's probably around dinnertime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6, "night": true, "probability": 0.6, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 12 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 46, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": true, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Apparently we are banned from just-eat. We therefore have no clue."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.25221941947001836, "night": false, "probability": 0.25221941947001836, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 22:36 and 12:16, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 05:03 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 9929 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.5611857756965756, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.5625, "night": true}], [1555306419.87487, {"predictions": [{"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.1 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["450600 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 06, 449132 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6810069444444444, "night": true, "probability": 0.6810069444444444, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 7.66 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.65, "night": true, "probability": 0.65, "reasons": ["Battery level's getting low, so it's probably around dinnertime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6086956521739131, "night": true, "probability": 0.6086956521739131, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 14 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 45, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": true, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Apparently we are banned from just-eat. We therefore have no clue."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.07005797581546425, "night": false, "probability": 0.07005797581546425, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 15:46 and 03:41, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 05:33 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 17229 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.5449797143694851, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.5668478260869565, "night": true}], [1555308236.203945, {"predictions": [{"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.2 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["455766 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 06, 454175 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": true, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6599652777777778, "night": true, "probability": 0.6599652777777778, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 8.16 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6086956521739131, "night": true, "probability": 0.6086956521739131, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 13 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 45, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5776542015666799, "night": true, "probability": 0.5776542015666799, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 07:43 and 18:48, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 06:03 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 3111 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": true, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.16000000000000003, "night": false, "probability": 0.16000000000000003, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.5788592609598642, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.5931749268702965, "night": true}], [1555310057.843458, {"predictions": [{"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.1 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["468024 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 06, 467800 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": true, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6388194444444444, "night": true, "probability": 0.6388194444444444, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 8.67 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6, "night": true, "probability": 0.6, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 12 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 46, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": true, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.43000000000000005, "night": false, "probability": 0.43000000000000005, "reasons": ["Battery level's getting low, so it's probably around dinnertime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.3407060665959759, "night": false, "probability": 0.3407060665959759, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 00:48 and 14:20, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 06:34 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 6383 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.5791267925867016, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.5625, "night": true}], [1555311882.050825, {"predictions": [{"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.2 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["484536 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 06, 484217 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": true, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6177546296296297, "night": true, "probability": 0.6177546296296297, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 9.17 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5913043478260869, "night": true, "probability": 0.5913043478260869, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 10 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 47, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": true, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.010000000000000009, "night": false, "probability": 0.010000000000000009, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.006992428883859092, "night": false, "probability": 0.006992428883859092, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 17:31 and 05:34, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 07:04 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 19757 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.5138372838616313, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.5581521739130434, "night": true}], [1555313707.574878, {"predictions": [{"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.2 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["502153 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 06, 505329 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": true, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.659088736687939, "night": true, "probability": 0.659088736687939, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 09:45 and 20:41, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 07:35 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 6375 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6, "night": true, "probability": 0.6, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 7 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 46, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5966435185185186, "night": true, "probability": 0.5966435185185186, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 9.68 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": true, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.35, "night": false, "probability": 0.35, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.5954773546005381, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.5983217592592593, "night": true}], [1555315526.002806, {"predictions": [{"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.45999999999999996, "night": false, "probability": 0.45999999999999996, "reasons": ["Battery level's getting low, so it's probably around dinnertime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.42661416742075026, "night": false, "probability": 0.42661416742075026, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 02:56 and 16:19, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 08:05 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 2940 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["520934 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 521831 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.1 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": true, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6086956521739131, "night": true, "probability": 0.6086956521739131, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 3 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 45, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.575613425925926, "night": true, "probability": 0.575613425925926, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 10.19 hours!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.4717432704600491, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.4433070837103751, "night": false}], [1555317342.27086, {"predictions": [{"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.08241137270950805, "night": false, "probability": 0.08241137270950805, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 19:16 and 07:26, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 08:35 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 16734 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["539564 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 536380 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.1 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": true, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.76, "night": true, "probability": 0.76, "reasons": ["Your phone is dying, so it's bedtime soon?"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5826086956521739, "night": true, "probability": 0.5826086956521739, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 0 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 48, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5545949074074075, "night": true, "probability": 0.5545949074074075, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 10.69 hours!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.4641342479807575, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.40229745370370373, "night": false}], [1555319161.47884, {"predictions": [{"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.09090909090909091, "night": false, "probability": 0.09090909090909091, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is currently open.", "We conclude from this, that there is 0.09090909090909091% chance of it being night outside"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.010000000000000009, "night": false, "probability": 0.010000000000000009, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["548549 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 550616 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.2 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": true, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Alexander's upstairs neighbour is currently playing league"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.7459975874429177, "night": true, "probability": 0.7459975874429177, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 11:55 and 22:42, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 09:06 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 9858 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5826086956521739, "night": true, "probability": 0.5826086956521739, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -6 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 48, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.4091259478336819, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.249998, "night": false}], [1555320982.1588, {"predictions": [{"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.4889598620889011, "night": false, "probability": 0.4889598620889011, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 05:03 and 18:16, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 09:36 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 442 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.09090909090909091, "night": false, "probability": 0.09090909090909091, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is currently open.", "We conclude from this, that there is 0.09090909090909091% chance of it being night outside"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["555404 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 555889 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.1 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Your phone's practically dead, so it's probably around four in the morning."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": true, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Alexander's upstairs neighbour is currently playing league"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6086956521739131, "night": true, "probability": 0.6086956521739131, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -13 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 45, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.47238005043099207, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.36947993104445054, "night": false}], [1555322800.422826, {"predictions": [{"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.15810955044474945, "night": false, "probability": 0.15810955044474945, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 21:02 and 09:19, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 10:06 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 13701 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.09090909090909091, "night": false, "probability": 0.09090909090909091, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is currently open.", "We conclude from this, that there is 0.09090909090909091% chance of it being night outside"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["567089 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 567069 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.2 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.89, "night": true, "probability": 0.89, "reasons": ["Your phone is dying, so it's bedtime soon?"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": true, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Alexander's upstairs neighbour is currently playing league"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6695652173913044, "night": true, "probability": 0.6695652173913044, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -21 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 38, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.44071498822876204, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.249998, "night": false}], [1555324615.790875, {"predictions": [{"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.1644373735002394, "night": false, "probability": 0.1644373735002394, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 14:08 and 00:47, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 10:36 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 13447 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.09090909090909091, "night": false, "probability": 0.09090909090909091, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is currently open.", "We conclude from this, that there is 0.09090909090909091% chance of it being night outside"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["595176 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 597090 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.2 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": true, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Alexander's upstairs neighbour is currently playing league"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6173913043478261, "night": true, "probability": 0.6173913043478261, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -27 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 44, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5900000000000001, "night": true, "probability": 0.5900000000000001, "reasons": ["Battery level's getting low, so it's probably around dinnertime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.41189448072976304, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.249998, "night": false}], [1555326433.106842, {"predictions": [{"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.40625033439931846, "night": false, "probability": 0.40625033439931846, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 07:07 and 20:10, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 11:07 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 3757 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.09090909090909091, "night": false, "probability": 0.09090909090909091, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is currently open.", "We conclude from this, that there is 0.09090909090909091% chance of it being night outside"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["630748 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 623425 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.2 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": true, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Alexander's upstairs neighbour is currently playing league"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6, "night": true, "probability": 0.6, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -32 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 46, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.53, "night": true, "probability": 0.53, "reasons": ["Battery level's getting low, so it's probably around dinnertime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.42559628544236744, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.32812516719965923, "night": false}], [1555328252.400914, {"predictions": [{"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.23477132086701236, "night": false, "probability": 0.23477132086701236, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 22:48 and 11:14, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 11:37 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 10629 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.09090909090909091, "night": false, "probability": 0.09090909090909091, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is currently open.", "We conclude from this, that there is 0.09090909090909091% chance of it being night outside"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["676159 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 699489 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": true, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.2 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8200000000000001, "night": true, "probability": 0.8200000000000001, "reasons": ["Your phone is dying, so it's bedtime soon?"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": true, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Alexander's upstairs neighbour is currently playing league"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6, "night": true, "probability": 0.6, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -37 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 46, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.46463970098134194, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.38749999999999996, "night": false}], [1555330068.894854, {"predictions": [{"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.09090909090909091, "night": false, "probability": 0.09090909090909091, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is currently open.", "We conclude from this, that there is 0.09090909090909091% chance of it being night outside"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0724044279931837, "night": false, "probability": 0.0724044279931837, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 16:24 and 02:56, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 12:07 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 17135 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["734417 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 719116 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": true, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.1 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": true, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Alexander's upstairs neighbour is currently playing league"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5913043478260869, "night": true, "probability": 0.5913043478260869, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -39 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 47, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.53, "night": true, "probability": 0.53, "reasons": ["Battery level's getting low, so it's probably around dinnertime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.42621782222736343, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.38749999999999996, "night": false}], [1555331886.655153, {"predictions": [{"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Apparently we are banned from just-eat. We therefore have no clue."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.32556282624175314, "night": false, "probability": 0.32556282624175314, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 09:08 and 22:02, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 12:38 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 6990 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["788623 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 777380 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.1 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.83, "night": true, "probability": 0.83, "reasons": ["Your phone is dying, so it's bedtime soon?"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": true, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Alexander's upstairs neighbour is currently playing league"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5913043478260869, "night": true, "probability": 0.5913043478260869, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -39 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 47, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.47723859783898664, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.4127814131208766, "night": false}], [1555333699.475375, {"predictions": [{"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.43999999999999995, "night": false, "probability": 0.43999999999999995, "reasons": ["Battery level's getting low, so it's probably around dinnertime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.31226053318224545, "night": false, "probability": 0.31226053318224545, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 00:36 and 13:10, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 13:08 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 7523 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.09090909090909091, "night": false, "probability": 0.09090909090909091, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is currently open.", "We conclude from this, that there is 0.09090909090909091% chance of it being night outside"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's night-time in Australia, so it must be day-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["831830 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 835412 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.1 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": true, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Alexander's upstairs neighbour is currently playing league"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5913043478260869, "night": true, "probability": 0.5913043478260869, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -39 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 47, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.3262058309931186, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.249998, "night": false}], [1555335515.378845, {"predictions": [{"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.09090909090909091, "night": false, "probability": 0.09090909090909091, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is currently open.", "We conclude from this, that there is 0.09090909090909091% chance of it being night outside"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.025592402025536587, "night": false, "probability": 0.025592402025536587, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 18:45 and 05:13, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 13:38 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 19011 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's night-time in Australia, so it must be day-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["864300 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 863212 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.1 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": true, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Alexander's upstairs neighbour is currently playing league"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6, "night": true, "probability": 0.6, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -37 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 46, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.52, "night": true, "probability": 0.52, "reasons": ["Battery level's getting low, so it's probably around dinnertime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.309708124411219, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.212498, "night": false}], [1555337331.890331, {"predictions": [{"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.09090909090909091, "night": false, "probability": 0.09090909090909091, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is currently open.", "We conclude from this, that there is 0.09090909090909091% chance of it being night outside"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's night-time in Australia, so it must be day-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["869723 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 868951 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.1 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": true, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Alexander's upstairs neighbour is currently playing league"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.7545700961966633, "night": true, "probability": 0.7545700961966633, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 11:09 and 23:52, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 14:08 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 10201 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6, "night": true, "probability": 0.6, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -33 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 46, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.56, "night": true, "probability": 0.56, "reasons": ["Battery level's getting low, so it's probably around dinnertime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.3737895989254795, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.249998, "night": false}], [1555339148.342869, {"predictions": [{"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.3903495299527382, "night": false, "probability": 0.3903495299527382, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 02:24 and 15:07, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 14:39 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 4394 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.09090909090909091, "night": false, "probability": 0.09090909090909091, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is currently open.", "We conclude from this, that there is 0.09090909090909091% chance of it being night outside"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's night-time in Australia, so it must be day-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["851097 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 851099 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.1 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": true, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Alexander's upstairs neighbour is currently playing league"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.61, "night": true, "probability": 0.61, "reasons": ["Battery level's getting low, so it's probably around dinnertime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5913043478260869, "night": true, "probability": 0.5913043478260869, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -29 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 47, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.3468799140573263, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.249998, "night": false}], [1555340967.34681, {"predictions": [{"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.28, "night": false, "probability": 0.28, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": 0.11096316023080337}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.1199008127382607, "night": false, "probability": 0.1199008127382607, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 21:00 and 07:31, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 15:09 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 15232 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.11096316023080337}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.09090909090909091, "night": false, "probability": 0.09090909090909091, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is currently open.", "We conclude from this, that there is 0.09090909090909091% chance of it being night outside"], "contribution": 0.11096316023080337}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's night-time in Australia, so it must be day-time here."], "contribution": 0.11096316023080337}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["805185 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 806961 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.11096316023080337}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05570350643586329}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.055481580115401684}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.0011096316023080338}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.2 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.11096316023080337}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.9044097222222223, "night": true, "probability": 0.9044097222222223, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 2.29 hours!"], "contribution": -0.11096316023080337}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6521739130434783, "night": true, "probability": 0.6521739130434783, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -23 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 40, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.11096316023080337}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.3229445035375502, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.249996, "night": false}], [1555342797.797462, {"predictions": [{"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.09999999999999998, "night": false, "probability": 0.09999999999999998, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.09090909090909091, "night": false, "probability": 0.09090909090909091, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is currently open.", "We conclude from this, that there is 0.09090909090909091% chance of it being night outside"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's night-time in Australia, so it must be day-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["749834 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 750968 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.2 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.883275462962963, "night": true, "probability": 0.883275462962963, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 2.80 hours!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8310799101318792, "night": true, "probability": 0.8310799101318792, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:03 and 01:39, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 15:39 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 13268 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6608695652173913, "night": true, "probability": 0.6608695652173913, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -17 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 39, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.353844169101777, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.212498, "night": false}], [1555344618.273656, {"predictions": [{"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.46732963257779253, "night": false, "probability": 0.46732963257779253, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 04:11 and 17:02, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 16:10 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 1309 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.26, "night": false, "probability": 0.26, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.09090909090909091, "night": false, "probability": 0.09090909090909091, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is currently open.", "We conclude from this, that there is 0.09090909090909091% chance of it being night outside"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's night-time in Australia, so it must be day-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["697212 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 699489 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.2 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.862175925925926, "night": true, "probability": 0.862175925925926, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 3.31 hours!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5826086956521739, "night": true, "probability": 0.5826086956521739, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -7 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 48, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.32858494542208194, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.249998, "night": false}], [1555346439.762798, {"predictions": [{"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.2106504468912057, "night": false, "probability": 0.2106504468912057, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 23:09 and 09:43, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 16:40 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 11595 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.09090909090909091, "night": false, "probability": 0.09090909090909091, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is currently open.", "We conclude from this, that there is 0.09090909090909091% chance of it being night outside"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's night-time in Australia, so it must be day-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["647262 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 652559 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.2 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8411226851851852, "night": true, "probability": 0.8411226851851852, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 3.81 hours!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.83, "night": true, "probability": 0.83, "reasons": ["Your phone is dying, so it's bedtime soon?"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6086956521739131, "night": true, "probability": 0.6086956521739131, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 2 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 45, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.35511448959661623, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.23032322344560285, "night": false}], [1555348255.574895, {"predictions": [{"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.09090909090909091, "night": false, "probability": 0.09090909090909091, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is currently open.", "We conclude from this, that there is 0.09090909090909091% chance of it being night outside"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's night-time in Australia, so it must be day-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["607680 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 606741 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.3 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.9078168269190866, "night": true, "probability": 0.9078168269190866, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 14:58 and 03:25, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 17:10 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 16343 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8201157407407407, "night": true, "probability": 0.8201157407407407, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 4.32 hours!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.7, "night": true, "probability": 0.7, "reasons": ["Your phone is dying, so it's bedtime soon?"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6, "night": true, "probability": 0.6, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 9 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 46, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.3999031382140765, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.249998, "night": false}], [1555350075.618858, {"predictions": [{"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.45251526155502514, "night": false, "probability": 0.45251526155502514, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 06:02 and 19:02, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 17:41 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 1902 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.36, "night": false, "probability": 0.36, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.09090909090909091, "night": false, "probability": 0.09090909090909091, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is currently open.", "We conclude from this, that there is 0.09090909090909091% chance of it being night outside"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's night-time in Australia, so it must be day-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["576817 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 576129 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.4 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.7990162037037037, "night": true, "probability": 0.7990162037037037, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 4.82 hours!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6086956521739131, "night": true, "probability": 0.6086956521739131, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 16 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 45, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.3325943506951444, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.249998, "night": false}], [1555351897.278849, {"predictions": [{"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.08999999999999997, "night": false, "probability": 0.08999999999999997, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's night-time in Australia, so it must be day-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["547971 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 545771 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.4 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": true, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.7779513888888889, "night": true, "probability": 0.7779513888888889, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 5.33 hours!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.697464127403032, "night": true, "probability": 0.697464127403032, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 01:19 and 11:58, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 18:11 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 7913 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6260869565217391, "night": true, "probability": 0.6260869565217391, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 21 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 43, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.398458206067805, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.249998, "night": false}], [1555353714.816472, {"predictions": [{"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.5 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["524015 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 06, 526151 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.9838144809426685, "night": true, "probability": 0.9838144809426685, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 16:51 and 05:11, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 18:41 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 19388 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": true, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.7569097222222222, "night": true, "probability": 0.7569097222222222, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 5.83 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.75, "night": true, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["Your phone is dying, so it's bedtime soon?"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6434782608695653, "night": true, "probability": 0.6434782608695653, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 24 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 41, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's night-time in Australia, so it must be day-time here."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.5603498720028713, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.6967391304347826, "night": true}], [1555355533.325942, {"predictions": [{"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.37108128101948523, "night": false, "probability": 0.37108128101948523, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 07:54 and 21:05, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 19:12 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 5166 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.1147842056932966}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.33999999999999997, "night": false, "probability": 0.33999999999999997, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": 0.1147842056932966}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's night-time in Australia, so it must be day-time here."], "contribution": 0.1147842056932966}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.08034894398530762}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.0576216712580349}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.0573921028466483}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001147842056932966}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.4 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.1147842056932966}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["497309 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 06, 495851 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": -0.1147842056932966}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": true, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": -0.1147842056932966}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6521739130434783, "night": true, "probability": 0.6521739130434783, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 25 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 40, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.1147842056932966}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.45029556309663304, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.33999999999999997, "night": false}], [1555357355.058898, {"predictions": [{"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.5 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["471714 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 06, 472136 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": true, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": true, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Alexander's upstairs neighbour is currently playing league"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6434782608695653, "night": true, "probability": 0.6434782608695653, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 24 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 41, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6079980818970574, "night": true, "probability": 0.6079980818970574, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 03:25 and 14:11, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 19:42 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 4328 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6, "night": true, "probability": 0.6, "reasons": ["Battery level's getting low, so it's probably around dinnertime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's night-time in Australia, so it must be day-time here."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.5201226952305519, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.6039990409485287, "night": true}], [1555359170.622904, {"predictions": [{"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.6 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["436975 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 06, 435124 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": true, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": true, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Alexander's upstairs neighbour is currently playing league"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.69, "night": true, "probability": 0.69, "reasons": ["Battery level's getting low, so it's probably around dinnertime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6260869565217391, "night": true, "probability": 0.6260869565217391, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 21 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 43, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.06148491247599952, "night": false, "probability": 0.06148491247599952, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 18:45 and 06:57, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 20:12 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 17573 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.5639639890831449, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.6580434782608695, "night": true}], [1555360992.226798, {"predictions": [{"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.8 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["406477 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 07, 406677 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": true, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": true, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Alexander's upstairs neighbour is currently playing league"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6086956521739131, "night": true, "probability": 0.6086956521739131, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 15 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 45, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5700000000000001, "night": true, "probability": 0.5700000000000001, "reasons": ["Battery level's getting low, so it's probably around dinnertime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.28767242073805577, "night": false, "probability": 0.28767242073805577, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 09:49 and 23:10, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 20:43 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 8509 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.5713636727426641, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.5893478260869566, "night": true}], [1555362807.463203, {"predictions": [{"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.9 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["374854 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 07, 375601 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": true, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": true, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Alexander's upstairs neighbour is currently playing league"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6, "night": true, "probability": 0.6, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 11 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 46, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5205840035519339, "night": true, "probability": 0.5205840035519339, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 05:27 and 16:21, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 21:13 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 824 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.08999999999999997, "night": false, "probability": 0.08999999999999997, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.5500483336293278, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.5602920017759669, "night": true}], [1555364627.026803, {"predictions": [{"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 1.1 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["346200 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 07, 344506 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": true, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": true, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Alexander's upstairs neighbour is currently playing league"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.71, "night": true, "probability": 0.71, "reasons": ["Your phone is dying, so it's bedtime soon?"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5826086956521739, "night": true, "probability": 0.5826086956521739, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 4 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 48, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.13741851184901982, "night": false, "probability": 0.13741851184901982, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 20:38 and 08:43, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 21:43 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 14530 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.5683352672917661, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.6463043478260869, "night": true}], [1555366442.854835, {"predictions": [{"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.06000000000000005, "night": false, "probability": 0.06000000000000005, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["Because 100.0 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 7.0 is the expected number for daytime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["318854 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 07, 317976 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": true, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": true, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Alexander's upstairs neighbour is currently playing league"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.7995736181341655, "night": true, "probability": 0.7995736181341655, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 11:50 and 01:21, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 22:14 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 12005 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5826086956521739, "night": true, "probability": 0.5826086956521739, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -4 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 48, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.48601485948219497, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.41630434782608694, "night": false}], [1555368259.431241, {"predictions": [{"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.0 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["297153 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 07, 292750 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": true, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.87, "night": true, "probability": 0.87, "reasons": ["Your phone is dying, so it's bedtime soon?"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": true, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Alexander's upstairs neighbour is currently playing league"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6347826086956522, "night": true, "probability": 0.6347826086956522, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -14 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 42, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5655866936108574, "night": true, "probability": 0.5655866936108574, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 07:26 and 18:30, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 22:44 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 2628 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.6216971085255425, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.7173913043478262, "night": true}], [1555370078.84884, {"predictions": [{"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 3.0 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["278198 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 07, 274753 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": true, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": true, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Alexander's upstairs neighbour is currently playing league"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6608695652173913, "night": true, "probability": 0.6608695652173913, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -22 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 39, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.48, "night": false, "probability": 0.48, "reasons": ["Battery level's getting low, so it's probably around dinnertime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.21374115310402303, "night": false, "probability": 0.21374115310402303, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 22:32 and 10:29, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 23:14 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 11471 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.5620505598601179, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.5704347826086956, "night": true}], [1555371897.48687, {"predictions": [{"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.06000000000000005, "night": false, "probability": 0.06000000000000005, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.00793650793650802, "night": false, "probability": 0.00793650793650802, "reasons": ["Because average for daytime is 7.0 and average for nighttime is 3.4, but the current average is 3.6"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["267807 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 07, 274753 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": true, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8889298556677487, "night": true, "probability": 0.8889298556677487, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:54 and 03:35, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 23:44 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 15586 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": true, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Alexander's upstairs neighbour is currently playing league"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6086956521739131, "night": true, "probability": 0.6086956521739131, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -28 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 45, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.4962965013148475, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.42934782608695654, "night": false}], [1555373714.234836, {"predictions": [{"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["267593 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 07, 274753 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.97, "night": true, "probability": 0.97, "reasons": ["Your phone's practically dead, so it's probably around four in the morning."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": true, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": true, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Alexander's upstairs neighbour is currently playing league"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6481414918847974, "night": true, "probability": 0.6481414918847974, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 09:22 and 20:32, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 00:15 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 5936 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5913043478260869, "night": true, "probability": 0.5913043478260869, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -34 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 47, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": -0.32275132275132257, "night": false, "probability": -0.32275132275132257, "reasons": ["Because average for daytime is 7.0 and average for nighttime is 3.4, but the current average is 4.8"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.5230575430799634, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.6197229198554421, "night": true}], [1555375535.85078, {"predictions": [{"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.42000000000000004, "night": false, "probability": 0.42000000000000004, "reasons": ["Battery level's getting low, so it's probably around dinnertime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.2898422373642262, "night": false, "probability": 0.2898422373642262, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 00:26 and 12:15, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 00:45 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 8422 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": -0.8518518518518516, "night": false, "probability": -0.8518518518518516, "reasons": ["Because average for daytime is 7.0 and average for nighttime is 3.4, but the current average is 6.7"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["277092 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 07, 274753 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91125, "night": true, "probability": 0.91125, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 2.13 hours!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": true, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6, "night": true, "probability": 0.6, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -37 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 46, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.41326969879269787, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.3549211186821131, "night": false}], [1555377352.877195, {"predictions": [{"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Apparently we are banned from just-eat. We therefore have no clue."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.01920357454094046, "night": false, "probability": 0.01920357454094046, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 16:00 and 05:53, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 01:15 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 19267 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["Because 7.1 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 7.0 is the expected number for daytime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["292668 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 07, 292750 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8902199074074074, "night": true, "probability": 0.8902199074074074, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 2.63 hours!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6, "night": true, "probability": 0.6, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -37 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 46, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.53, "night": true, "probability": 0.53, "reasons": ["Battery level's getting low, so it's probably around dinnertime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.43495162349569566, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.375, "night": false}], [1555379175.574885, {"predictions": [{"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Apparently we are banned from just-eat. We therefore have no clue."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.17000000000000004, "night": false, "probability": 0.17000000000000004, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["Because 8.3 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 7.0 is the expected number for daytime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["312794 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 07, 313745 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8691203703703704, "night": true, "probability": 0.8691203703703704, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 3.14 hours!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.7279363943273924, "night": true, "probability": 0.7279363943273924, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 11:12 and 22:32, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 01:46 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 9134 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6, "night": true, "probability": 0.6, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -36 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 46, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.4622543970581469, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.375, "night": false}], [1555380992.338853, {"predictions": [{"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Apparently we are banned from just-eat. We therefore have no clue."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": -0.7361111111111109, "night": false, "probability": -0.7361111111111109, "reasons": ["Because average for daytime is 7.0 and average for nighttime is 3.4, but the current average is 6.2"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["339359 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 07, 339244 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.99, "night": true, "probability": 0.99, "reasons": ["Your phone's practically dead, so it's probably around four in the morning."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8480902777777778, "night": true, "probability": 0.8480902777777778, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 3.65 hours!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6335398044853238, "night": true, "probability": 0.6335398044853238, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 02:20 and 14:01, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 02:16 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 5351 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6, "night": true, "probability": 0.6, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -33 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 46, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.45962624759599924, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.55, "night": false}], [1555382809.317801, {"predictions": [{"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["365948 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 07, 366210 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.9240370727398968, "night": true, "probability": 0.9240370727398968, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 18:14 and 08:09, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 02:46 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 16993 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8270601851851852, "night": true, "probability": 0.8270601851851852, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 4.15 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.61, "night": true, "probability": 0.61, "reasons": ["Battery level's getting low, so it's probably around dinnertime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6086956521739131, "night": true, "probability": 0.6086956521739131, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -28 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 45, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Apparently we are banned from just-eat. We therefore have no clue."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.042145593869732045, "night": false, "probability": 0.042145593869732045, "reasons": ["Because average for daytime is 7.0 and average for nighttime is 3.4, but the current average is 3.4"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.5159945419973939, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.5543478260869565, "night": true}], [1555384626.170797, {"predictions": [{"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 1.5 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["380070 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 07, 380728 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8059953703703704, "night": true, "probability": 0.8059953703703704, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 4.66 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6521739130434783, "night": true, "probability": 0.6521739130434783, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -23 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 40, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5800000000000001, "night": true, "probability": 0.5800000000000001, "reasons": ["Battery level's getting low, so it's probably around dinnertime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Apparently we are banned from just-eat. We therefore have no clue."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.19242121430277842, "night": false, "probability": 0.19242121430277842, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:03 and 00:31, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 03:17 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 12326 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.5342155414763856, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.54, "night": true}], [1555386446.002801, {"predictions": [{"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.6 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["391526 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 07, 390901 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.7848958333333333, "night": true, "probability": 0.7848958333333333, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 5.16 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.69, "night": true, "probability": 0.69, "reasons": ["Battery level's getting low, so it's probably around dinnertime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6608695652173913, "night": true, "probability": 0.6608695652173913, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -19 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 39, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5565139485384396, "night": true, "probability": 0.5565139485384396, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 04:15 and 15:48, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 03:47 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 2264 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Apparently we are banned from just-eat. We therefore have no clue."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.5726896122574303, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.6086917568779154, "night": true}], [1555388268.530836, {"predictions": [{"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.3 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["420262 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 07, 418250 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8304709750122536, "night": true, "probability": 0.8304709750122536, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 20:29 and 10:25, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 04:17 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 13243 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.7638425925925926, "night": true, "probability": 0.7638425925925926, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 5.67 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6086956521739131, "night": true, "probability": 0.6086956521739131, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -12 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 45, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Apparently we are banned from just-eat. We therefore have no clue."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.030000000000000027, "night": false, "probability": 0.030000000000000027, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.53441710164823, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.5543478260869565, "night": true}], [1555390088.463249, {"predictions": [{"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.2 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["449747 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 06, 449132 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.84, "night": true, "probability": 0.84, "reasons": ["Your phone is dying, so it's bedtime soon?"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.7427893518518518, "night": true, "probability": 0.7427893518518518, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 6.17 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5826086956521739, "night": true, "probability": 0.5826086956521739, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -4 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 48, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Apparently we are banned from just-eat. We therefore have no clue."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.11551265323549431, "night": false, "probability": 0.11551265323549431, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 14:50 and 02:26, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 04:48 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 15408 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.5384088917282933, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.5413043478260869, "night": true}], [1555391906.75049, {"predictions": [{"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.2 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["456483 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 06, 454175 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.7217708333333334, "night": true, "probability": 0.7217708333333334, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 6.68 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6699999999999999, "night": true, "probability": 0.6699999999999999, "reasons": ["Battery level's getting low, so it's probably around dinnertime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6086956521739131, "night": true, "probability": 0.6086956521739131, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 2 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 45, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5220189941002319, "night": true, "probability": 0.5220189941002319, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 06:13 and 17:37, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 05:18 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 882 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Apparently we are banned from just-eat. We therefore have no clue."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.5585401233006232, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.5653573231370725, "night": true}], [1555393723.718867, {"predictions": [{"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": 0.11096316023080337}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.1 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.11096316023080337}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["460912 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 06, 458805 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.11096316023080337}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.97, "night": true, "probability": 0.97, "reasons": ["Your phone's practically dead, so it's probably around four in the morning."], "contribution": 0.11096316023080337}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.7006712962962962, "night": true, "probability": 0.7006712962962962, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 7.18 hours!"], "contribution": 0.11096316023080337}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5913043478260869, "night": true, "probability": 0.5913043478260869, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 5 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 47, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.11096316023080337}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": -0.0011096316023080338}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.055481580115401684}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05570350643586329}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Apparently we are banned from just-eat. We therefore have no clue."], "contribution": -0.11096316023080337}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.2626281615398661, "night": false, "probability": 0.2626281615398661, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 22:44 and 12:38, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 05:48 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 9512 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": -0.11096316023080337}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.5935999823329318, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.5913043478260869, "night": true}], [1555395546.767192, {"predictions": [{"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.2 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["464144 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 06, 463531 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": true, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6796412037037036, "night": true, "probability": 0.6796412037037036, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 7.69 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6, "night": true, "probability": 0.6, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 8 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 46, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": true, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.08999999999999997, "night": false, "probability": 0.08999999999999997, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.038440489381061205, "night": false, "probability": 0.038440489381061205, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 16:37 and 04:21, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 06:19 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 18496 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.5290064744237304, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.5625, "night": true}], [1555397364.042824, {"predictions": [{"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.2 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["481466 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 06, 481793 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": true, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.658611111111111, "night": true, "probability": 0.658611111111111, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 8.19 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.601635319941261, "night": true, "probability": 0.601635319941261, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 08:12 and 19:27, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 06:49 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 4073 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6, "night": true, "probability": 0.6, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 8 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 46, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.32999999999999996, "night": false, "probability": 0.32999999999999996, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.5650202025876977, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.6008176599706305, "night": true}], [1555399184.01886, {"predictions": [{"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": 0.11096316023080337}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.2 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.11096316023080337}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["499432 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 06, 495851 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.11096316023080337}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": true, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": 0.11096316023080337}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6374768518518519, "night": true, "probability": 0.6374768518518519, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 8.70 hours!"], "contribution": 0.11096316023080337}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6, "night": true, "probability": 0.6, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 8 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 46, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.11096316023080337}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": -0.0011096316023080338}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.055481580115401684}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05570350643586329}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.49, "night": false, "probability": 0.49, "reasons": ["Battery level's getting low, so it's probably around dinnertime."], "contribution": -0.11096316023080337}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.3543147682653134, "night": false, "probability": 0.3543147682653134, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 00:59 and 14:47, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 07:19 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 5838 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": -0.11096316023080337}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.5906170563742877, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.6, "night": true}], [1555401008.16288, {"predictions": [{"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.1 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Your phone's practically dead, so it's probably around four in the morning."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["518111 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 06, 516839 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": true, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.616423611111111, "night": true, "probability": 0.616423611111111, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 9.21 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6, "night": true, "probability": 0.6, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 8 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 46, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.039164223744550586, "night": false, "probability": 0.039164223744550586, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 18:22 and 06:15, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 07:50 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 18467 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.5704653195713051, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.6082118055555554, "night": true}], [1555402824.018908, {"predictions": [{"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.24, "night": false, "probability": 0.24, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["536522 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 536380 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.1 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": true, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6823777320850222, "night": true, "probability": 0.6823777320850222, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 10:13 and 21:19, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 08:20 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 7308 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6, "night": true, "probability": 0.6, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 9 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 46, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5954050925925927, "night": true, "probability": 0.5954050925925927, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 9.71 hours!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.4756482353898012, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.42270254629629633, "night": false}], [1555404642.122853, {"predictions": [{"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.1 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.9299999999999999, "night": true, "probability": 0.9299999999999999, "reasons": ["Your phone's practically dead, so it's probably around four in the morning."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": true, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5913043478260869, "night": true, "probability": 0.5913043478260869, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 6 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 47, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5740162037037038, "night": true, "probability": 0.5740162037037038, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 10.22 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.4453874485996627, "night": false, "probability": 0.4453874485996627, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 03:15 and 16:54, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 08:50 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 2188 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["551688 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 550616 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.5108920000107878, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.5097018261516832, "night": true}], [1555406583.265241, {"predictions": [{"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.10312792224831868, "night": false, "probability": 0.10312792224831868, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 19:55 and 07:47, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 09:23 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 15904 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["558800 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 559902 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.1 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": true, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6086956521739131, "night": true, "probability": 0.6086956521739131, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 3 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 45, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5519097222222222, "night": true, "probability": 0.5519097222222222, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 10.75 hours!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.55, "night": true, "probability": 0.55, "reasons": ["Battery level's getting low, so it's probably around dinnertime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.4503107747203712, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.4, "night": false}], [1555408398.623077, {"predictions": [{"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.28, "night": false, "probability": 0.28, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["570113 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 569069 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.2 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": true, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.7455963446751134, "night": true, "probability": 0.7455963446751134, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 11:44 and 22:51, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 09:53 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 9842 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5826086956521739, "night": true, "probability": 0.5826086956521739, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -2 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 48, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5308912037037037, "night": true, "probability": 0.5308912037037037, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 11.26 hours!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.47742435366924924, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.40544560185185186, "night": false}], [1555410366.575054, {"predictions": [{"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.47072258800754607, "night": false, "probability": 0.47072258800754607, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 03:45 and 17:37, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 10:26 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 1173 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.09090909090909091, "night": false, "probability": 0.09090909090909091, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is currently open.", "We conclude from this, that there is 0.09090909090909091% chance of it being night outside"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["592835 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 592212 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.2 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8200000000000001, "night": true, "probability": 0.8200000000000001, "reasons": ["Your phone is dying, so it's bedtime soon?"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5826086956521739, "night": true, "probability": 0.5826086956521739, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -7 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 48, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5076736111111111, "night": true, "probability": 0.5076736111111111, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 11.82 hours!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.4293258321399935, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.36036129400377304, "night": false}], [1555412282.882942, {"predictions": [{"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.485925925925926, "night": false, "probability": 0.485925925925926, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 12.34 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.15358135804789802, "night": false, "probability": 0.15358135804789802, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 21:13 and 08:54, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 10:58 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 13882 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.09090909090909091, "night": false, "probability": 0.09090909090909091, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is currently open.", "We conclude from this, that there is 0.09090909090909091% chance of it being night outside"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["629937 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 623425 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.1 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6869565217391305, "night": true, "probability": 0.6869565217391305, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -16 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 36, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.65, "night": true, "probability": 0.65, "reasons": ["Battery level's getting low, so it's probably around dinnertime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.3956140747185038, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.249998, "night": false}], [1555414101.782878, {"predictions": [{"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Apparently we are banned from just-eat. We therefore have no clue."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.46486111111111106, "night": false, "probability": 0.46486111111111106, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 12.84 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.20993835882781842, "night": false, "probability": 0.20993835882781842, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 12:42 and 00:01, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 11:28 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 11624 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["662755 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 652559 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.1 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.75, "night": true, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["Your phone is dying, so it's bedtime soon?"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6521739130434783, "night": true, "probability": 0.6521739130434783, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -23 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 40, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.43808078191520067, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.35743055555555553, "night": false}], [1555415917.394831, {"predictions": [{"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Apparently we are banned from just-eat. We therefore have no clue."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.4611088445660983, "night": false, "probability": 0.4611088445660983, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 05:24 and 19:15, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 11:58 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 1558 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.31000000000000005, "night": false, "probability": 0.31000000000000005, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["704768 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 699489 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.1 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": true, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Alexander's upstairs neighbour is currently playing league"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5913043478260869, "night": true, "probability": 0.5913043478260869, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -29 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 47, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.4452007660326821, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.38555442228304915, "night": false}], [1555417730.858863, {"predictions": [{"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.23106114240590553, "night": false, "probability": 0.23106114240590553, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 23:01 and 10:50, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 12:28 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 10777 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.19999999999999996, "night": false, "probability": 0.19999999999999996, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.09090909090909091, "night": false, "probability": 0.09090909090909091, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is currently open.", "We conclude from this, that there is 0.09090909090909091% chance of it being night outside"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["757761 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 750968 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.1 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": true, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Alexander's upstairs neighbour is currently playing league"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6086956521739131, "night": true, "probability": 0.6086956521739131, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -35 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 45, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.38422182379074243, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.24052857120295276, "night": false}], [1555419551.574882, {"predictions": [{"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.24, "night": false, "probability": 0.24, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.12843172756306998, "night": false, "probability": 0.12843172756306998, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 14:44 and 01:54, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 12:59 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 14890 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.09090909090909091, "night": false, "probability": 0.09090909090909091, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is currently open.", "We conclude from this, that there is 0.09090909090909091% chance of it being night outside"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["794892 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 802699 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.1 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": true, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Alexander's upstairs neighbour is currently playing league"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5913043478260869, "night": true, "probability": 0.5913043478260869, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -38 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 47, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.37755343052485396, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.244998, "night": false}], [1555421375.198857, {"predictions": [{"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.3700064938957745, "night": false, "probability": 0.3700064938957745, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 07:39 and 21:23, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 13:29 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 5209 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.09090909090909091, "night": false, "probability": 0.09090909090909091, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is currently open.", "We conclude from this, that there is 0.09090909090909091% chance of it being night outside"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's night-time in Australia, so it must be day-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["806775 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 806961 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.1 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": true, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Alexander's upstairs neighbour is currently playing league"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5913043478260869, "night": true, "probability": 0.5913043478260869, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -41 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 47, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.29435132771924605, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.212498, "night": false}], [1555423190.938904, {"predictions": [{"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.09090909090909091, "night": false, "probability": 0.09090909090909091, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is currently open.", "We conclude from this, that there is 0.09090909090909091% chance of it being night outside"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's night-time in Australia, so it must be day-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["838689 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 835475 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.1 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Your phone's practically dead, so it's probably around four in the morning."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": true, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Alexander's upstairs neighbour is currently playing league"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6931200574649381, "night": true, "probability": 0.6931200574649381, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 00:46 and 12:43, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 13:59 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 7739 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5913043478260869, "night": true, "probability": 0.5913043478260869, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -38 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 47, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.40461079135000966, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.249998, "night": false}], [1555425007.926996, {"predictions": [{"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.09090909090909091, "night": false, "probability": 0.09090909090909091, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is currently open.", "We conclude from this, that there is 0.09090909090909091% chance of it being night outside"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.04608406705523205, "night": false, "probability": 0.04608406705523205, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 16:48 and 03:48, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 14:30 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 18190 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's night-time in Australia, so it must be day-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["855360 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 855066 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.1 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": true, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Alexander's upstairs neighbour is currently playing league"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6599999999999999, "night": true, "probability": 0.6599999999999999, "reasons": ["Battery level's getting low, so it's probably around dinnertime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6086956521739131, "night": true, "probability": 0.6086956521739131, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -35 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 45, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.32380706751151966, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.212498, "night": false}], [1555426825.346533, {"predictions": [{"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.27998891289210615, "night": false, "probability": 0.27998891289210615, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 09:54 and 23:27, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 15:00 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 8816 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.09090909090909091, "night": false, "probability": 0.09090909090909091, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is currently open.", "We conclude from this, that there is 0.09090909090909091% chance of it being night outside"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's night-time in Australia, so it must be day-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["829710 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 828004 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.1 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": true, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Alexander's upstairs neighbour is currently playing league"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.7, "night": true, "probability": 0.7, "reasons": ["Your phone is dying, so it's bedtime soon?"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6086956521739131, "night": true, "probability": 0.6086956521739131, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -31 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 45, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.3466324713312592, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.249998, "night": false}], [1555428653.328724, {"predictions": [{"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.48, "night": false, "probability": 0.48, "reasons": ["Battery level's getting low, so it's probably around dinnertime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.09090909090909091, "night": false, "probability": 0.09090909090909091, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is currently open.", "We conclude from this, that there is 0.09090909090909091% chance of it being night outside"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's night-time in Australia, so it must be day-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["782228 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 777380 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": true, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.2 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": true, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Alexander's upstairs neighbour is currently playing league"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6181225987858414, "night": true, "probability": 0.6181225987858414, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 02:31 and 14:35, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 15:30 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 4733 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6173913043478261, "night": true, "probability": 0.6173913043478261, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -26 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 44, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.3863682495035632, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.365, "night": false}], [1555430475.34689, {"predictions": [{"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.43000000000000005, "night": false, "probability": 0.43000000000000005, "reasons": ["Battery level's getting low, so it's probably around dinnertime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.09090909090909091, "night": false, "probability": 0.09090909090909091, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is currently open.", "We conclude from this, that there is 0.09090909090909091% chance of it being night outside"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.03828659184399735, "night": false, "probability": 0.03828659184399735, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 18:50 and 05:44, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 16:01 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 18503 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's night-time in Australia, so it must be day-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["727524 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 719116 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": true, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.2 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": true, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Alexander's upstairs neighbour is currently playing league"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6608695652173913, "night": true, "probability": 0.6608695652173913, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -22 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 39, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.33750510399753997, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.249998, "night": false}], [1555432292.034805, {"predictions": [{"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.15000000000000002, "night": false, "probability": 0.15000000000000002, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.09090909090909091, "night": false, "probability": 0.09090909090909091, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is currently open.", "We conclude from this, that there is 0.09090909090909091% chance of it being night outside"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's night-time in Australia, so it must be day-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["675464 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 652559 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": true, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.2 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.804332518190183, "night": true, "probability": 0.804332518190183, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 12:00 and 01:24, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 16:31 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 12196 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": true, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Alexander's upstairs neighbour is currently playing league"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6434782608695653, "night": true, "probability": 0.6434782608695653, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -18 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 41, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.3765596558307366, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.249998, "night": false}], [1555434108.918346, {"predictions": [{"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.09090909090909091, "night": false, "probability": 0.09090909090909091, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is currently open.", "We conclude from this, that there is 0.09090909090909091% chance of it being night outside"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.040000000000000036, "night": false, "probability": 0.040000000000000036, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's night-time in Australia, so it must be day-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["635936 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 623425 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": true, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.3 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": true, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Alexander's upstairs neighbour is currently playing league"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6608695652173913, "night": true, "probability": 0.6608695652173913, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -15 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 39, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5419635603179871, "night": true, "probability": 0.5419635603179871, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 04:17 and 16:29, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 17:01 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 1681 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.3469781847037058, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.249998, "night": false}], [1555435926.112017, {"predictions": [{"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.1264119263739294, "night": false, "probability": 0.1264119263739294, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 21:02 and 07:47, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 17:32 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 14971 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.09090909090909091, "night": false, "probability": 0.09090909090909091, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is currently open.", "We conclude from this, that there is 0.09090909090909091% chance of it being night outside"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's night-time in Australia, so it must be day-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["602571 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 605731 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.3 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": true, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Alexander's upstairs neighbour is currently playing league"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5826086956521739, "night": true, "probability": 0.5826086956521739, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -9 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 48, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.56, "night": true, "probability": 0.56, "reasons": ["Battery level's getting low, so it's probably around dinnertime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.3199938094112662, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.212498, "night": false}], [1555437742.898896, {"predictions": [{"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.3 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["471146 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 06, 472136 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": true, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8891189693979785, "night": true, "probability": 0.8891189693979785, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 14:08 and 03:21, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 18:02 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 15593 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.85, "night": true, "probability": 0.85, "reasons": ["Your phone is dying, so it's bedtime soon?"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": true, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Alexander's upstairs neighbour is currently playing league"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5826086956521739, "night": true, "probability": 0.5826086956521739, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -3 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 48, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's night-time in Australia, so it must be day-time here."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.559310305420846, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.691304347826087, "night": true}], [1555439560.319124, {"predictions": [{"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Battery level's getting low, so it's probably around dinnertime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's night-time in Australia, so it must be day-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["515095 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 514301 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.4 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": true, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": true, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Alexander's upstairs neighbour is currently playing league"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6086956521739131, "night": true, "probability": 0.6086956521739131, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 3 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 45, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5344769304023352, "night": true, "probability": 0.5344769304023352, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 06:03 and 18:23, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 18:32 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 1381 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.4194307152146874, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.375, "night": false}], [1555441378.234877, {"predictions": [{"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.42000000000000004, "night": false, "probability": 0.42000000000000004, "reasons": ["Battery level's getting low, so it's probably around dinnertime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.2169394489463553, "night": false, "probability": 0.2169394489463553, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 23:17 and 09:53, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 19:02 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 11343 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's night-time in Australia, so it must be day-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["490725 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 491189 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.3 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": true, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": true, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Alexander's upstairs neighbour is currently playing league"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5913043478260869, "night": true, "probability": 0.5913043478260869, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 10 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 47, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.38485331639770354, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.249998, "night": false}], [1555443196.37106, {"predictions": [{"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.5 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["450228 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 06, 449132 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.9711973785391697, "night": true, "probability": 0.9711973785391697, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 16:11 and 05:14, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 19:33 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 18883 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": true, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": true, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Alexander's upstairs neighbour is currently playing league"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6, "night": true, "probability": 0.6, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 12 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 46, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.30000000000000004, "night": false, "probability": 0.30000000000000004, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's night-time in Australia, so it must be day-time here."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.5217661148782642, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.45, "night": true}], [1555445012.961756, {"predictions": [{"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.5 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["423720 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 07, 423741 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.94, "night": true, "probability": 0.94, "reasons": ["Your phone's practically dead, so it's probably around four in the morning."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": true, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": true, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Alexander's upstairs neighbour is currently playing league"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6086956521739131, "night": true, "probability": 0.6086956521739131, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 13 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 45, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.38880611789634656, "night": false, "probability": 0.38880611789634656, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 07:49 and 20:18, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 20:03 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 4456 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.6106248141725217, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.7043478260869566, "night": true}], [1555446830.190953, {"predictions": [{"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.5 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["393410 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 07, 390901 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": true, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.9003819444444444, "night": true, "probability": 0.9003819444444444, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 2.39 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6895695996909462, "night": true, "probability": 0.6895695996909462, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 01:35 and 12:04, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 20:33 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 7597 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6086956521739131, "night": true, "probability": 0.6086956521739131, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 13 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 45, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.27, "night": false, "probability": 0.27, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.5882202663591086, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.6491326259324297, "night": true}], [1555448645.48096, {"predictions": [{"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 1.0 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["365291 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 07, 366210 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": true, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8793518518518518, "night": true, "probability": 0.8793518518518518, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 2.90 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.76, "night": true, "probability": 0.76, "reasons": ["Your phone is dying, so it's bedtime soon?"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6, "night": true, "probability": 0.6, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 11 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 46, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.05368854643620308, "night": false, "probability": 0.05368854643620308, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 18:14 and 07:05, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 21:04 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 17885 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.5735863665240045, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.6799999999999999, "night": true}], [1555450462.646949, {"predictions": [{"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.8 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["342668 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 07, 343571 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": true, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8583333333333334, "night": true, "probability": 0.8583333333333334, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 3.40 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6699999999999999, "night": true, "probability": 0.6699999999999999, "reasons": ["Battery level's getting low, so it's probably around dinnertime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6, "night": true, "probability": 0.6, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 9 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 46, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.3111660582655049, "night": false, "probability": 0.3111660582655049, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 09:37 and 22:14, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 21:34 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 7567 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.5857912826332365, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.635, "night": true}]], "in_australia": [[1554755877.991584, {"predictions": [{"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.6 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["419315 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 07, 418250 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": true, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": true, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Alexander's upstairs neighbour is currently playing league"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5913043478260869, "night": true, "probability": 0.5913043478260869, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 1 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 47, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5427305523675702, "night": true, "probability": 0.5427305523675702, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 04:23 and 16:24, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 20:37 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 1712 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": true, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.21999999999999997, "night": false, "probability": 0.21999999999999997, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.5911692416828047, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.5670174500968286, "night": true}], [1554755877.991584, {"predictions": [{"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.6 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["419315 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 07, 418250 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": false, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": false, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Alexander's upstairs neighbour is currently playing league"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5913043478260869, "night": false, "probability": 0.5913043478260869, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 1 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 47, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5427305523675702, "night": false, "probability": 0.5427305523675702, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 04:23 and 16:24, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 20:38 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 1712 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": false, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.32999999999999996, "night": true, "probability": 0.32999999999999996, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.5170025750161381, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.533865276183785, "night": false}], [1554755877.991584, {"predictions": [{"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.6 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["419315 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 07, 418250 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": true, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.853073279598958, "night": true, "probability": 0.853073279598958, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:30 and 02:19, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 20:38 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": true, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Alexander's upstairs neighbour is currently playing league"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5913043478260869, "night": true, "probability": 0.5913043478260869, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 1 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 47, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.55, "night": true, "probability": 0.55, "reasons": ["Battery level's getting low, so it's probably around dinnertime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": true, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.6445311356187537, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.6956521739130435, "night": true}], [1554757686.830774, {"predictions": [{"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Apparently we are banned from just-eat. We therefore have no clue."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.09531852344412212, "night": true, "probability": 0.09531852344412212, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 19:59 and 07:24, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 21:08 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 16217 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": false, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 1.2 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["384900 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 07, 385741 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.9096527777777778, "night": false, "probability": 0.9096527777777778, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 2.17 hours!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.83, "night": false, "probability": 0.83, "reasons": ["Your phone is dying, so it's bedtime soon?"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5826086956521739, "night": false, "probability": 0.5826086956521739, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 0 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 48, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.49563133307283946, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.5125, "night": true}], [1554759498.907015, {"predictions": [{"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 1.8 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["355085 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 07, 355968 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8885879629629629, "night": false, "probability": 0.8885879629629629, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 2.67 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8586236871662734, "night": false, "probability": 0.8586236871662734, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:26 and 02:39, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 21:38 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 14371 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5913043478260869, "night": false, "probability": 0.5913043478260869, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -1 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 47, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": false, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Battery level's getting low, so it's probably around dinnertime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Apparently we are banned from just-eat. We therefore have no clue."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.5307093331629436, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.5125, "night": false}], [1554761318.970883, {"predictions": [{"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Apparently we are banned from just-eat. We therefore have no clue."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.36, "night": true, "probability": 0.36, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.042145593869732045, "night": true, "probability": 0.042145593869732045, "reasons": ["Because average for daytime is 7.0 and average for nighttime is 3.4, but the current average is 3.4"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": false, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["320371 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 07, 319848 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8676157407407408, "night": false, "probability": 0.8676157407407408, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 3.18 hours!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5826086956521739, "night": false, "probability": 0.5826086956521739, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 0 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 48, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5264709309607005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5264709309607005, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 06:02 and 18:05, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 22:08 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 1060 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.40906974676861224, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.43, "night": true}], [1554763130.282801, {"predictions": [{"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.0 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["296426 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 07, 292750 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": false, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8466087962962963, "night": false, "probability": 0.8466087962962963, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 3.68 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6, "night": false, "probability": 0.6, "reasons": ["Battery level's getting low, so it's probably around dinnertime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5826086956521739, "night": false, "probability": 0.5826086956521739, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 4 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 48, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": false, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.18148617038545817, "night": true, "probability": 0.18148617038545817, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 22:07 and 09:24, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 22:39 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 12764 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.512558305194494, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.5538043478260869, "night": false}], [1554764946.998833, {"predictions": [{"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.010000000000000009, "night": true, "probability": 0.010000000000000009, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": -0.6339869281045751, "night": true, "probability": -0.6339869281045751, "reasons": ["Because average for daytime is 7.0 and average for nighttime is 3.4, but the current average is 5.9"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": false, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["276457 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 07, 274753 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.9476801711186564, "night": false, "probability": 0.9476801711186564, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 15:38 and 04:43, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 23:09 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 17940 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": false, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8256134259259259, "night": false, "probability": 0.8256134259259259, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 4.19 hours!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6, "night": false, "probability": 0.6, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 7 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 46, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.39077522241166723, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.38749999999999996, "night": true}], [1554766761.250829, {"predictions": [{"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.10999999999999999, "night": true, "probability": 0.10999999999999999, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": -0.15740740740740722, "night": true, "probability": -0.15740740740740722, "reasons": ["Because average for daytime is 7.0 and average for nighttime is 3.4, but the current average is 4.2"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": false, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["264826 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 07, 274753 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": false, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8046064814814815, "night": false, "probability": 0.8046064814814815, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 4.69 hours!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6036595578161548, "night": false, "probability": 0.6036595578161548, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 07:50 and 19:59, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 23:39 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 4154 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6, "night": false, "probability": 0.6, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 9 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 46, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.40840455265751907, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.38749999999999996, "night": true}], [1554768576.211397, {"predictions": [{"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.32999999999999996, "night": true, "probability": 0.32999999999999996, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["Because 9.1 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 7.0 is the expected number for daytime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": false, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["263464 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 07, 274753 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": false, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.783587962962963, "night": false, "probability": 0.783587962962963, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 5.19 hours!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.7300033353026608, "night": false, "probability": 0.7300033353026608, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 00:20 and 11:27, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 00:09 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 9217 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6, "night": false, "probability": 0.6, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 9 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 46, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.44863227485546864, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.42749999999999994, "night": true}], [1554770392.082948, {"predictions": [{"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.050000000000000044, "night": true, "probability": 0.050000000000000044, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["Because 8.3 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 7.0 is the expected number for daytime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": false, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["273914 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 07, 274753 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.9642880723571516, "night": false, "probability": 0.9642880723571516, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 17:47 and 06:44, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 00:40 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 18606 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": false, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.7625694444444444, "night": false, "probability": 0.7625694444444444, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 5.70 hours!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6, "night": false, "probability": 0.6, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 7 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 46, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.443071126400133, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.38749999999999996, "night": true}], [1554772208.313822, {"predictions": [{"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Apparently we are banned from just-eat. We therefore have no clue."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.10999999999999999, "night": true, "probability": 0.10999999999999999, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": -0.7361111111111109, "night": true, "probability": -0.7361111111111109, "reasons": ["Because average for daytime is 7.0 and average for nighttime is 3.4, but the current average is 6.2"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": false, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["292970 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 07, 292750 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.7415625, "night": false, "probability": 0.7415625, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 6.20 hours!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6805437171117963, "night": false, "probability": 0.6805437171117963, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 09:37 and 21:53, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 01:10 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 7235 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6086956521739131, "night": false, "probability": 0.6086956521739131, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 2 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 45, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.3278905631812165, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.375, "night": true}], [1554774024.530804, {"predictions": [{"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Apparently we are banned from just-eat. We therefore have no clue."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.16000000000000003, "night": true, "probability": 0.16000000000000003, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": -0.5432098765432096, "night": true, "probability": -0.5432098765432096, "reasons": ["Because average for daytime is 7.0 and average for nighttime is 3.4, but the current average is 5.6"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": false, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["315452 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 07, 315836 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.7205324074074073, "night": false, "probability": 0.7205324074074073, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 6.71 hours!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6387565150524988, "night": false, "probability": 0.6387565150524988, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 02:35 and 13:35, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 01:40 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 5560 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5826086956521739, "night": false, "probability": 0.5826086956521739, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -2 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 48, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.34072364513073916, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.375, "night": true}], [1554775839.976489, {"predictions": [{"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Apparently we are banned from just-eat. We therefore have no clue."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": -0.11111111111111094, "night": true, "probability": -0.11111111111111094, "reasons": ["Because average for daytime is 7.0 and average for nighttime is 3.4, but the current average is 4.0"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": false, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["344130 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 07, 344506 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8810483607200629, "night": false, "probability": 0.8810483607200629, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 19:51 and 08:40, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 02:10 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 15270 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6995370370370371, "night": false, "probability": 0.6995370370370371, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 7.21 hours!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6799999999999999, "night": false, "probability": 0.6799999999999999, "reasons": ["Battery level's getting low, so it's probably around dinnertime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5826086956521739, "night": false, "probability": 0.5826086956521739, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -5 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 48, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.4385065818581802, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.5125, "night": true}], [1554777654.387545, {"predictions": [{"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Apparently we are banned from just-eat. We therefore have no clue."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.2421090445170726, "night": true, "probability": 0.2421090445170726, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 11:26 and 23:48, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 02:41 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 10334 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.21999999999999997, "night": true, "probability": 0.21999999999999997, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": false, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 2.3 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["374460 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 07, 375601 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6785300925925926, "night": false, "probability": 0.6785300925925926, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 7.72 hours!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5826086956521739, "night": false, "probability": 0.5826086956521739, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -4 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 48, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.43777031939681993, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.375, "night": true}], [1554779469.286956, {"predictions": [{"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Apparently we are banned from just-eat. We therefore have no clue."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.45999999999999996, "night": true, "probability": 0.45999999999999996, "reasons": ["Battery level's getting low, so it's probably around dinnertime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": false, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 1.3 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["392577 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 07, 390901 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.657511574074074, "night": false, "probability": 0.657511574074074, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 8.22 hours!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5826086956521739, "night": false, "probability": 0.5826086956521739, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -5 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 48, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5437390664978425, "night": false, "probability": 0.5437390664978425, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 04:55 and 15:49, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 03:11 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 1752 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.48115461135200754, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.5125, "night": true}], [1554781285.310236, {"predictions": [{"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Apparently we are banned from just-eat. We therefore have no clue."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.22999999999999998, "night": true, "probability": 0.22999999999999998, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": false, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.5 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["404226 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 07, 406677 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.7995364608909825, "night": false, "probability": 0.7995364608909825, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 21:53 and 10:33, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 03:41 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 12003 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6364814814814814, "night": false, "probability": 0.6364814814814814, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 8.72 hours!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5826086956521739, "night": false, "probability": 0.5826086956521739, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -5 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 48, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.48155188650205316, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.5125, "night": true}], [1554783102.234862, {"predictions": [{"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Apparently we are banned from just-eat. We therefore have no clue."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.17000000000000004, "night": true, "probability": 0.17000000000000004, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.16435584939952458, "night": true, "probability": 0.16435584939952458, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:14 and 01:44, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 04:11 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 13450 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": false, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.3 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["427844 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 06, 429296 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6154745370370369, "night": false, "probability": 0.6154745370370369, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 9.23 hours!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5913043478260869, "night": false, "probability": 0.5913043478260869, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -10 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 47, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.4225942278552207, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.375, "night": true}], [1554784916.371037, {"predictions": [{"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Apparently we are banned from just-eat. We therefore have no clue."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.030000000000000027, "night": true, "probability": 0.030000000000000027, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": false, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.2 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["466176 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 06, 467800 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6086956521739131, "night": false, "probability": 0.6086956521739131, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -13 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 45, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5944791666666667, "night": false, "probability": 0.5944791666666667, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 9.73 hours!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5525536519179967, "night": false, "probability": 0.5525536519179967, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 07:15 and 18:07, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 04:42 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 2106 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.44297703922988135, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.5125, "night": true}], [1554786731.318826, {"predictions": [{"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Apparently we are banned from just-eat. We therefore have no clue."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.28025733238017425, "night": true, "probability": 0.28025733238017425, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 23:51 and 12:25, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 05:12 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 8806 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": false, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.1 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["481077 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 06, 481003 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6434782608695653, "night": false, "probability": 0.6434782608695653, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -18 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 41, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5734606481481481, "night": false, "probability": 0.5734606481481481, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 10.24 hours!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.51, "night": false, "probability": 0.51, "reasons": ["Battery level's getting low, so it's probably around dinnertime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.4614326867831573, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.505, "night": true}], [1554788552.474861, {"predictions": [{"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Apparently we are banned from just-eat. We therefore have no clue."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.18000000000000005, "night": true, "probability": 0.18000000000000005, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.08606886552729565, "night": true, "probability": 0.08606886552729565, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 15:04 and 03:40, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 05:42 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 16588 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": false, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.1 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["485582 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 06, 486296 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6695652173913044, "night": false, "probability": 0.6695652173913044, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -21 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 38, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5523726851851851, "night": false, "probability": 0.5523726851851851, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 10.74 hours!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.4181668973419821, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.375, "night": true}], [1554790369.298859, {"predictions": [{"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.1 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["490272 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 06, 489629 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": false, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6695652173913044, "night": false, "probability": 0.6695652173913044, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -21 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 38, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6478092950390273, "night": false, "probability": 0.6478092950390273, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 09:32 and 20:24, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 06:12 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 5923 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5313425925925925, "night": false, "probability": 0.5313425925925925, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 11.25 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": false, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.42000000000000004, "night": true, "probability": 0.42000000000000004, "reasons": ["Battery level's getting low, so it's probably around dinnertime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.5173927587519104, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.5281712962962962, "night": false}], [1554792185.798878, {"predictions": [{"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.1 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["503798 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 06, 505329 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": false, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6608695652173913, "night": false, "probability": 0.6608695652173913, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -20 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 39, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.62, "night": false, "probability": 0.62, "reasons": ["Battery level's getting low, so it's probably around dinnertime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5103356481481482, "night": false, "probability": 0.5103356481481482, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 11.75 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": false, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.3578502522248882, "night": true, "probability": 0.3578502522248882, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 01:47 and 14:13, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 06:43 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 5696 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.507420955465869, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.5176678240740741, "night": false}], [1554794001.190874, {"predictions": [{"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.4893171296296296, "night": true, "probability": 0.4893171296296296, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 12.26 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.00587050197402017, "night": true, "probability": 0.00587050197402017, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 16:55 and 05:40, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 07:13 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 19802 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["519396 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 521831 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": false, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.2 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": false, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.83, "night": false, "probability": 0.83, "reasons": ["Your phone is dying, so it's bedtime soon?"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6869565217391305, "night": false, "probability": 0.6869565217391305, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -16 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 36, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.41267834611189835, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.3696585648148148, "night": true}], [1554795816.58679, {"predictions": [{"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.46829861111111115, "night": true, "probability": 0.46829861111111115, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 12.76 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["539584 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 536380 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": false, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.2 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": false, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.7436422618936919, "night": false, "probability": 0.7436422618936919, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 11:49 and 22:44, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 07:43 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 9763 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.71, "night": false, "probability": 0.71, "reasons": ["Your phone is dying, so it's bedtime soon?"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6347826086956522, "night": false, "probability": 0.6347826086956522, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -14 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 42, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.45805995680837125, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.49664930555555553, "night": true}], [1554797632.9029, {"predictions": [{"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.44729166666666675, "night": true, "probability": 0.44729166666666675, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 13.26 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.4355061175487256, "night": true, "probability": 0.4355061175487256, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 03:42 and 16:02, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 08:14 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 2584 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.13, "night": true, "probability": 0.13, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["563196 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 563194 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": false, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.2 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": false, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6086956521739131, "night": false, "probability": 0.6086956521739131, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -13 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 45, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.38012411969910875, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.3427530587743628, "night": true}], [1554799448.014991, {"predictions": [{"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.42626157407407417, "night": true, "probability": 0.42626157407407417, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 13.77 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.07791701004152474, "night": true, "probability": 0.07791701004152474, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 18:51 and 07:42, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 08:44 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 16914 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["579595 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 582210 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": false, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.2 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": false, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6347826086956522, "night": false, "probability": 0.6347826086956522, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -14 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 42, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.51, "night": false, "probability": 0.51, "reasons": ["Battery level's getting low, so it's probably around dinnertime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.3824130994009376, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.3381307870370371, "night": true}], [1554801265.182848, {"predictions": [{"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.40525462962962966, "night": true, "probability": 0.40525462962962966, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 14.27 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.16330407758315857, "night": true, "probability": 0.16330407758315857, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 14:00 and 01:01, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 09:14 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 13493 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["586074 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 586017 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": true, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.2 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": false, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.87, "night": false, "probability": 0.87, "reasons": ["Your phone is dying, so it's bedtime soon?"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6608695652173913, "night": false, "probability": 0.6608695652173913, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -17 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 39, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.3907853560358483, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.249998, "night": true}], [1554803080.390642, {"predictions": [{"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.4874982514260839, "night": true, "probability": 0.4874982514260839, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 05:36 and 17:50, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 09:44 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 501 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.3842361111111111, "night": true, "probability": 0.3842361111111111, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 14.78 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.32999999999999996, "night": true, "probability": 0.32999999999999996, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["593754 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 592212 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": true, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.2 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": false, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6608695652173913, "night": false, "probability": 0.6608695652173913, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -19 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 39, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.37104999397954885, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.29, "night": true}], [1554804896.274915, {"predictions": [{"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.3632291666666666, "night": true, "probability": 0.3632291666666666, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 15.28 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.24, "night": true, "probability": 0.24, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.16197251727148176, "night": true, "probability": 0.16197251727148176, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 20:48 and 09:47, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 10:15 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 13546 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.09090909090909091, "night": true, "probability": 0.09090909090909091, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is currently open.", "We conclude from this, that there is 0.09090909090909091% chance of it being night outside"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["612911 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 611489 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": true, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.2 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6608695652173913, "night": false, "probability": 0.6608695652173913, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -19 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 39, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.2664146950053859, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.2075, "night": true}], [1554806711.68707, {"predictions": [{"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.34221064814814806, "night": true, "probability": 0.34221064814814806, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 15.79 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.09090909090909091, "night": true, "probability": 0.09090909090909091, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is currently open.", "We conclude from this, that there is 0.09090909090909091% chance of it being night outside"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.07277849606074976, "night": true, "probability": 0.07277849606074976, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 16:08 and 03:15, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 10:45 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 17120 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["646068 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 652559 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": true, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.1 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6434782608695653, "night": false, "probability": 0.6434782608695653, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -18 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 41, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5700000000000001, "night": false, "probability": 0.5700000000000001, "reasons": ["Battery level's getting low, so it's probably around dinnertime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.28328104133229615, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.212498, "night": true}], [1554808527.22288, {"predictions": [{"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.41073027783860405, "night": true, "probability": 0.41073027783860405, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 07:30 and 19:37, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 11:15 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 3577 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.3211921296296296, "night": true, "probability": 0.3211921296296296, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 16.29 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.09090909090909091, "night": true, "probability": 0.09090909090909091, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is currently open.", "We conclude from this, that there is 0.09090909090909091% chance of it being night outside"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["687625 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 699489 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": true, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.2 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.74, "night": false, "probability": 0.74, "reasons": ["Your phone is dying, so it's bedtime soon?"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6086956521739131, "night": false, "probability": 0.6086956521739131, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -12 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 45, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.32096026254593646, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.249998, "night": true}], [1554810342.924365, {"predictions": [{"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.30017361111111107, "night": true, "probability": 0.30017361111111107, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 16.80 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.27, "night": true, "probability": 0.27, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.09090909090909091, "night": true, "probability": 0.09090909090909091, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is currently open.", "We conclude from this, that there is 0.09090909090909091% chance of it being night outside"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["729903 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 719116 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": true, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.1 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.7510878524661266, "night": false, "probability": 0.7510878524661266, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 22:49 and 11:57, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 11:45 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 10062 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5826086956521739, "night": false, "probability": 0.5826086956521739, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -8 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 48, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.3062312708448752, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.249998, "night": true}], [1554812159.25502, {"predictions": [{"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.27915509259259264, "night": true, "probability": 0.27915509259259264, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 17.30 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.09090909090909091, "night": true, "probability": 0.09090909090909091, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is currently open.", "We conclude from this, that there is 0.09090909090909091% chance of it being night outside"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.030000000000000027, "night": true, "probability": 0.030000000000000027, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.01620687060751852, "night": true, "probability": 0.01620687060751852, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 18:10 and 05:24, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 12:16 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 19388 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["778817 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 777380 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": true, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.1 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5826086956521739, "night": false, "probability": 0.5826086956521739, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -5 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 48, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.223239645813448, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.13295454545454544, "night": true}], [1554813975.463286, {"predictions": [{"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.47, "night": true, "probability": 0.47, "reasons": ["Battery level's getting low, so it's probably around dinnertime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.33408653145221356, "night": true, "probability": 0.33408653145221356, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 09:24 and 21:25, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 12:46 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 6648 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.2581365740740741, "night": true, "probability": 0.2581365740740741, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 17.80 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.09090909090909091, "night": true, "probability": 0.09090909090909091, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is currently open.", "We conclude from this, that there is 0.09090909090909091% chance of it being night outside"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["823769 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 826993 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": true, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.1 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5826086956521739, "night": false, "probability": 0.5826086956521739, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -6 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 48, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.28464474100729603, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.249998, "night": true}], [1554815790.878333, {"predictions": [{"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.45999999999999996, "night": true, "probability": 0.45999999999999996, "reasons": ["Battery level's getting low, so it's probably around dinnertime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.33878248602910765, "night": true, "probability": 0.33878248602910765, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 00:54 and 14:11, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 13:16 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 6460 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.23714120370370362, "night": true, "probability": 0.23714120370370362, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 18.31 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.09090909090909091, "night": true, "probability": 0.09090909090909091, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is currently open.", "We conclude from this, that there is 0.09090909090909091% chance of it being night outside"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["858041 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 858280 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": true, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's night-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.1 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5826086956521739, "night": false, "probability": 0.5826086956521739, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -9 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 48, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.3657864563578397, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.249998, "night": true}], [1554817605.39496, {"predictions": [{"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.37, "night": true, "probability": 0.37, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.2161226851851853, "night": true, "probability": 0.2161226851851853, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 18.81 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.1009148479360546, "night": true, "probability": 0.1009148479360546, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 20:07 and 07:32, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 13:46 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 15993 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.09090909090909091, "night": true, "probability": 0.09090909090909091, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is currently open.", "We conclude from this, that there is 0.09090909090909091% chance of it being night outside"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["880539 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 879112 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": false, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's night-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.1 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6347826086956522, "night": false, "probability": 0.6347826086956522, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -14 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 42, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.37022710272716525, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.249998, "night": true}], [1554819420.926813, {"predictions": [{"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.2569112146540188, "night": true, "probability": 0.2569112146540188, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 11:18 and 23:13, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 14:17 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 9741 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.20999999999999996, "night": true, "probability": 0.20999999999999996, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.19510416666666675, "night": true, "probability": 0.19510416666666675, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 19.32 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.09090909090909091, "night": true, "probability": 0.09090909090909091, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is currently open.", "We conclude from this, that there is 0.09090909090909091% chance of it being night outside"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["878279 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 879112 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": true, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's night-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.1 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6869565217391305, "night": false, "probability": 0.6869565217391305, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -16 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 36, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.34332308283074225, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.22999799999999998, "night": true}], [1554821237.294987, {"predictions": [{"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.4320491074684104, "night": true, "probability": 0.4320491074684104, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 03:05 and 16:29, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 14:47 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 2723 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.1740856481481482, "night": true, "probability": 0.1740856481481482, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 19.82 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.09090909090909091, "night": true, "probability": 0.09090909090909091, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is currently open.", "We conclude from this, that there is 0.09090909090909091% chance of it being night outside"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["853581 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 853739 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": true, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's night-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.1 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.92, "night": false, "probability": 0.92, "reasons": ["Your phone's practically dead, so it's probably around four in the morning."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6869565217391305, "night": false, "probability": 0.6869565217391305, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -16 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 36, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.4153330306887317, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.249998, "night": true}], [1554823052.875348, {"predictions": [{"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.32999999999999996, "night": true, "probability": 0.32999999999999996, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.18312940787129667, "night": true, "probability": 0.18312940787129667, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 22:02 and 09:34, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 15:17 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 12698 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.1530787037037037, "night": true, "probability": 0.1530787037037037, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 20.33 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.09090909090909091, "night": true, "probability": 0.09090909090909091, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is currently open.", "We conclude from this, that there is 0.09090909090909091% chance of it being night outside"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["806556 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 806961 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": true, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's night-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.1 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6869565217391305, "night": false, "probability": 0.6869565217391305, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -16 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 36, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.3436724770186018, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.21656270393564833, "night": true}], [1554824868.649682, {"predictions": [{"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.1320717592592593, "night": true, "probability": 0.1320717592592593, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 20.83 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.09090909090909091, "night": true, "probability": 0.09090909090909091, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is currently open.", "We conclude from this, that there is 0.09090909090909091% chance of it being night outside"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["752732 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 750968 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": true, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's night-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.1 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8205291941179292, "night": false, "probability": 0.8205291941179292, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:13 and 01:01, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 15:47 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 12845 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": false, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Your phone is dying, so it's bedtime soon?"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6608695652173913, "night": false, "probability": 0.6608695652173913, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -15 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 39, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.43203130079197255, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.249998, "night": true}], [1554826684.695041, {"predictions": [{"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.47201699107603984, "night": true, "probability": 0.47201699107603984, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 05:21 and 18:50, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 16:18 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 1121 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.09090909090909091, "night": true, "probability": 0.09090909090909091, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is currently open.", "We conclude from this, that there is 0.09090909090909091% chance of it being night outside"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["690665 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 699489 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": true, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's night-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.2 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": false, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Alexander's upstairs neighbour is currently playing league"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.73, "night": false, "probability": 0.73, "reasons": ["Your phone is dying, so it's bedtime soon?"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6869565217391305, "night": false, "probability": 0.6869565217391305, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -16 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 36, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.4549898836436884, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.36100849553801995, "night": true}], [1554828500.409332, {"predictions": [{"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.09999999999999998, "night": true, "probability": 0.09999999999999998, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.09090909090909091, "night": true, "probability": 0.09090909090909091, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is currently open.", "We conclude from this, that there is 0.09090909090909091% chance of it being night outside"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["644010 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 652559 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": true, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's night-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.2 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": false, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Alexander's upstairs neighbour is currently playing league"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.7363660972584571, "night": false, "probability": 0.7363660972584571, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 23:55 and 11:33, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 16:48 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 9472 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6608695652173913, "night": false, "probability": 0.6608695652173913, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -17 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 39, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.4223450627820783, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.249998, "night": true}], [1554830316.250596, {"predictions": [{"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.09090909090909091, "night": true, "probability": 0.09090909090909091, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is currently open.", "We conclude from this, that there is 0.09090909090909091% chance of it being night outside"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["600664 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 598957 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": true, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's night-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.3 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8990066781846859, "night": false, "probability": 0.8990066781846859, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 15:10 and 02:51, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 17:18 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 15990 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": false, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Alexander's upstairs neighbour is currently playing league"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6608695652173913, "night": false, "probability": 0.6608695652173913, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -20 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 39, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.55, "night": false, "probability": 0.55, "reasons": ["Battery level's getting low, so it's probably around dinnertime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.47339844452593066, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.4, "night": true}], [1554832134.242884, {"predictions": [{"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.3757525565318772, "night": true, "probability": 0.3757525565318772, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 07:39 and 21:10, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 17:49 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 4979 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.09090909090909091, "night": true, "probability": 0.09090909090909091, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is currently open.", "We conclude from this, that there is 0.09090909090909091% chance of it being night outside"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.07999999999999996, "night": true, "probability": 0.07999999999999996, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["561197 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 561828 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": true, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's night-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.3 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": false, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Alexander's upstairs neighbour is currently playing league"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6608695652173913, "night": false, "probability": 0.6608695652173913, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -24 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 39, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.39062726772152995, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.249998, "night": true}], [1554833949.48694, {"predictions": [{"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's night-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.4 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": false, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.9, "night": false, "probability": 0.9, "reasons": ["Your phone's practically dead, so it's probably around four in the morning."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": false, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Alexander's upstairs neighbour is currently playing league"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6575935735891133, "night": false, "probability": 0.6575935735891133, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 01:45 and 13:30, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 18:19 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 6315 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6347826086956522, "night": false, "probability": 0.6347826086956522, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -25 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 42, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": true, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["531906 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 532803 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.5485310151903972, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.6461880911423827, "night": false}], [1554835771.651056, {"predictions": [{"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's night-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.4 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["503823 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 06, 505329 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.9774561556726253, "night": false, "probability": 0.9774561556726253, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 17:06 and 04:41, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 18:49 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 19134 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": false, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": false, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Alexander's upstairs neighbour is currently playing league"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6608695652173913, "night": false, "probability": 0.6608695652173913, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -24 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 39, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": true, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.33999999999999997, "night": true, "probability": 0.33999999999999997, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.614026810074168, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.7304347826086957, "night": false}], [1554837586.694995, {"predictions": [{"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's night-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.4 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["471735 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 06, 472136 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": false, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": false, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Alexander's upstairs neighbour is currently playing league"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6608695652173913, "night": false, "probability": 0.6608695652173913, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -22 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 39, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": true, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.2805767737544041, "night": true, "probability": 0.2805767737544041, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 09:57 and 23:26, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 19:19 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 8793 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.050000000000000044, "night": true, "probability": 0.050000000000000044, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.531786861580983, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.47072316948589765, "night": false}], [1554839402.76391, {"predictions": [{"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's night-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.4 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["444319 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 06, 444908 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.96, "night": false, "probability": 0.96, "reasons": ["Your phone's practically dead, so it's probably around four in the morning."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": false, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.9087152777777778, "night": false, "probability": 0.9087152777777778, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 2.19 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6608695652173913, "night": false, "probability": 0.6608695652173913, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -19 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 39, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.580765982036825, "night": false, "probability": 0.580765982036825, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 03:33 and 15:24, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 19:50 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 3236 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": true, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.6416955687526662, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.7847924214975845, "night": false}], [1554841226.094938, {"predictions": [{"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.058433304556382515, "night": true, "probability": 0.058433304556382515, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 19:03 and 06:33, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 20:20 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 17695 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.11096316023080337}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": 0.11096316023080337}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["415972 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 416027 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.11096316023080337}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05570350643586329}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. 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there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": -0.11096316023080337}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8875925925925926, "night": false, "probability": 0.8875925925925926, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 2.70 hours!"], "contribution": -0.11096316023080337}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6608695652173913, "night": false, "probability": 0.6608695652173913, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -15 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 39, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.11096316023080337}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.62, "night": false, "probability": 0.62, "reasons": ["Battery level's getting low, so it's probably around dinnertime."], "contribution": -0.11096316023080337}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.42199013294239696, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.25, "night": true}], [1554843051.24008, {"predictions": [{"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.7 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for 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Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 1.1 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["357248 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 07, 358519 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": false, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": false, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Alexander's upstairs neighbour is currently playing league"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The 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21:21 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 187 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.47644008020300316, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.3773381333919321, "night": true}], [1554846681.062825, {"predictions": [{"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.14070609599213513, "night": true, "probability": 0.14070609599213513, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 21:06 and 08:28, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 21:51 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 14398 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": true, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of 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Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 1.1 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["330502 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 07, 331291 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": false, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": false, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Alexander's upstairs neighbour is currently playing league"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": false, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Your phone is 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[1554848495.966854, {"predictions": [{"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.0 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["304333 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 07, 307968 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": false, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude 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"contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.78, "night": false, "probability": 0.78, "reasons": ["Your phone is dying, so it's bedtime soon?"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5826086956521739, "night": false, "probability": 0.5826086956521739, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -7 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 48, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. 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"weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.5546276219160554, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.681304347826087, "night": false}], [1554850320.494792, {"predictions": [{"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.0 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["282121 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 07, 274753 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": false, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": false, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Alexander's upstairs neighbour is currently playing league"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5826086956521739, "night": false, "probability": 0.5826086956521739, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -6 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 48, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5716180905994623, "night": false, "probability": 0.5716180905994623, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 07:07 and 19:09, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 22:52 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 2870 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.56, "night": false, "probability": 0.56, "reasons": ["Battery level's getting low, so it's probably around dinnertime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": false, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. 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playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 07, 274753 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": false, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.83, "night": false, "probability": 0.83, "reasons": ["Your phone is dying, so it's bedtime soon?"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": false, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Alexander's upstairs neighbour is currently playing league"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5826086956521739, "night": false, "probability": 0.5826086956521739, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -3 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 48, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.44865851671475526, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.38749999999999996, "night": true}], [1554853955.542863, {"predictions": [{"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 3.2 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["145167 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 07, 274753 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, 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closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.61, "night": false, "probability": 0.61, "reasons": ["Battery level's getting low, so it's probably around dinnertime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5826086956521739, "night": false, "probability": 0.5826086956521739, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -2 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 48, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": false, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", 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Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.586467028403185, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.596304347826087, "night": false}], [1554855770.798906, {"predictions": [{"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["Because 7.7 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 7.0 is the expected number for daytime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": false, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["210648 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 07, 274753 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": false, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8942476851851852, "night": false, "probability": 0.8942476851851852, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 2.54 hours!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6480239197123379, "night": false, "probability": 0.6480239197123379, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 08:54 and 21:02, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 00:22 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 5932 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.63, "night": false, "probability": 0.63, "reasons": ["Battery level's getting low, so it's probably around dinnertime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5826086956521739, "night": false, "probability": 0.5826086956521739, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 0 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 48, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.47457302504580806, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.5538043478260869, "night": true}], [1554857585.41492, {"predictions": [{"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.042145593869732045, "night": true, "probability": 0.042145593869732045, "reasons": ["Because average for daytime is 7.0 and average for nighttime is 3.4, but the current average is 3.4"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": false, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["256273 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 07, 274753 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": false, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8732407407407408, "night": false, "probability": 0.8732407407407408, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 3.04 hours!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6883586617731844, "night": false, "probability": 0.6883586617731844, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 01:21 and 12:26, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 00:53 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 7548 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5826086956521739, "night": false, "probability": 0.5826086956521739, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 0 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 48, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.56, "night": false, "probability": 0.56, "reasons": ["Battery level's getting low, so it's probably around dinnertime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.47386247433631923, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.5425, "night": true}], [1554859400.370903, {"predictions": [{"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Battery level's getting low, so it's probably around dinnertime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Apparently we are banned from just-eat. We therefore have no clue."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": -0.06837606837606836, "night": true, "probability": -0.06837606837606836, "reasons": ["Because average for daytime is 7.0 and average for nighttime is 3.4, but the current average is 3.8"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": false, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["286980 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 07, 292750 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.9215286815321859, "night": false, "probability": 0.9215286815321859, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 18:46 and 07:47, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 01:23 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 16892 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8522222222222222, "night": false, "probability": 0.8522222222222222, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 3.55 hours!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5826086956521739, "night": false, "probability": 0.5826086956521739, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -4 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 48, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.4431649609192095, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.5, "night": true}], [1554861215.862803, {"predictions": [{"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 2.7 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["313081 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 07, 313745 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8312037037037037, "night": false, "probability": 0.8312037037037037, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 4.05 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.7249488410583369, "night": false, "probability": 0.7249488410583369, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 10:42 and 22:57, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 01:53 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 9014 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5826086956521739, "night": false, "probability": 0.5826086956521739, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -8 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 48, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": false, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Apparently we are banned from just-eat. We therefore have no clue."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.49, "night": true, "probability": 0.49, "reasons": ["Battery level's getting low, so it's probably around dinnertime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.5132297700345179, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.5125, "night": false}], [1554863032.238909, {"predictions": [{"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 2.6 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["341041 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 07, 340842 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.9299999999999999, "night": false, "probability": 0.9299999999999999, "reasons": ["Your phone's practically dead, so it's probably around four in the morning."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8101851851851852, "night": false, "probability": 0.8101851851851852, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 4.56 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5973833112325457, "night": false, "probability": 0.5973833112325457, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 03:35 and 14:33, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 02:24 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 3902 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5913043478260869, "night": false, "probability": 0.5913043478260869, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -11 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 47, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": false, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Apparently we are banned from just-eat. We therefore have no clue."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.5382390703536515, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.5581521739130434, "night": false}], [1554864847.418007, {"predictions": [{"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Apparently we are banned from just-eat. We therefore have no clue."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.06000000000000005, "night": true, "probability": 0.06000000000000005, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": false, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 2.0 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["366958 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 07, 366210 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8376218032749607, "night": false, "probability": 0.8376218032749607, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 20:52 and 09:44, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 02:54 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 13530 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.7891782407407407, "night": false, "probability": 0.7891782407407407, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 5.06 hours!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6086956521739131, "night": false, "probability": 0.6086956521739131, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -13 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 45, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.48545764134913455, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.5125, "night": true}], [1554866662.563192, {"predictions": [{"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Apparently we are banned from just-eat. We therefore have no clue."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.4, "night": true, "probability": 0.4, "reasons": ["Battery level's getting low, so it's probably around dinnertime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.1977968136784895, "night": true, "probability": 0.1977968136784895, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 12:30 and 00:52, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 03:24 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 12110 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": false, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.8 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["381152 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 07, 380728 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.7681712962962963, "night": false, "probability": 0.7681712962962963, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 5.56 hours!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6347826086956522, "night": false, "probability": 0.6347826086956522, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -14 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 42, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.46089555988920317, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.45, "night": true}], [1554868478.116603, {"predictions": [{"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Apparently we are banned from just-eat. We therefore have no clue."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.43999999999999995, "night": true, "probability": 0.43999999999999995, "reasons": ["Battery level's getting low, so it's probably around dinnertime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": false, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.4 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["392865 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 07, 390901 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.7471412037037037, "night": false, "probability": 0.7471412037037037, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 6.07 hours!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6347826086956522, "night": false, "probability": 0.6347826086956522, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -14 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 42, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5033782589081961, "night": false, "probability": 0.5033782589081961, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 05:54 and 16:46, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 03:54 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 135 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.48794150594229596, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.501689129454098, "night": true}], [1554870294.60279, {"predictions": [{"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.2 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["427514 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 06, 429296 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.7559731980661102, "night": false, "probability": 0.7559731980661102, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 22:53 and 11:38, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 04:25 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 10258 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.7261226851851852, "night": false, "probability": 0.7261226851851852, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 6.57 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6869565217391305, "night": false, "probability": 0.6869565217391305, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -16 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 36, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5800000000000001, "night": false, "probability": 0.5800000000000001, "reasons": ["Battery level's getting low, so it's probably around dinnertime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": false, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Apparently we are banned from just-eat. We therefore have no clue."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.5232540337492021, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.5525, "night": false}], [1554872114.103195, {"predictions": [{"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Apparently we are banned from just-eat. We therefore have no clue."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.12059016278716295, "night": true, "probability": 0.12059016278716295, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 14:17 and 02:46, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 04:55 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 15204 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": false, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.1 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["453497 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 06, 454175 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.7050694444444445, "night": false, "probability": 0.7050694444444445, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 7.08 hours!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6434782608695653, "night": false, "probability": 0.6434782608695653, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -18 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 41, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.43742782234176436, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.375, "night": true}], [1554873930.19485, {"predictions": [{"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Apparently we are banned from just-eat. We therefore have no clue."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.33999999999999997, "night": true, "probability": 0.33999999999999997, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": false, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.1 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["459526 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 06, 458805 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6840625, "night": false, "probability": 0.6840625, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 7.58 hours!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6608695652173913, "night": false, "probability": 0.6608695652173913, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -20 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 39, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5913838029227919, "night": false, "probability": 0.5913838029227919, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 08:12 and 19:01, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 05:25 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 3662 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.4838593223450153, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.5125, "night": true}], [1554875745.574538, {"predictions": [{"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Apparently we are banned from just-eat. We therefore have no clue."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.3234831297949444, "night": true, "probability": 0.3234831297949444, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 00:52 and 13:29, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 05:55 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 7073 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.31999999999999995, "night": true, "probability": 0.31999999999999995, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["462898 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 463493 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": false, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.1 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6630439814814815, "night": false, "probability": 0.6630439814814815, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 8.09 hours!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6608695652173913, "night": false, "probability": 0.6608695652173913, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -22 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 39, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.3747827230411514, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.3217415648974722, "night": true}], [1554877561.490552, {"predictions": [{"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.48, "night": true, "probability": 0.48, "reasons": ["Battery level's getting low, so it's probably around dinnertime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.041986233176440124, "night": true, "probability": 0.041986233176440124, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 16:07 and 04:44, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 06:26 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 18354 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. 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0.1 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["471174 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 06, 472136 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": false, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6608695652173913, "night": false, "probability": 0.6608695652173913, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -22 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 39, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6420138888888889, "night": false, "probability": 0.6420138888888889, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 8.59 hours!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.4804054739402267, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.5025, "night": true}], [1554879378.415133, {"predictions": [{"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.1 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["485565 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 06, 486296 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": false, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.74, "night": false, "probability": 0.74, "reasons": ["Your phone is dying, so it's bedtime soon?"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.687966569669746, "night": false, "probability": 0.687966569669746, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 10:32 and 21:20, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 06:56 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 7532 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6695652173913044, "night": false, "probability": 0.6695652173913044, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -21 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 38, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6209837962962963, "night": false, "probability": 0.6209837962962963, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 9.10 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": false, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.5548759652797789, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.6452745068438004, "night": false}], [1554881194.930857, {"predictions": [{"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.40194952214731805, "night": true, "probability": 0.40194952214731805, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 02:49 and 15:18, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 07:26 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 3929 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.24, "night": true, "probability": 0.24, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": false, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.1 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["503257 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 06, 505329 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": false, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6608695652173913, "night": false, "probability": 0.6608695652173913, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -19 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 39, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5999768518518518, "night": false, "probability": 0.5999768518518518, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 9.60 hours!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.48689932826804677, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.463474761073659, "night": true}], [1554883010.002778, {"predictions": [{"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.03887999856348673, "night": true, "probability": 0.03887999856348673, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 17:58 and 06:41, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 07:57 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 18479 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["522867 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 521831 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": true, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.1 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": false, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6869565217391305, "night": false, "probability": 0.6869565217391305, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -16 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 36, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6699999999999999, "night": false, "probability": 0.6699999999999999, "reasons": ["Battery level's getting low, so it's probably around dinnertime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.578900462962963, "night": false, "probability": 0.578900462962963, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 10.11 hours!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.3803944152721317, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.249998, "night": true}], [1554884831.687002, {"predictions": [{"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Apparently we are banned from just-eat. We therefore have no clue."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.37, "night": true, "probability": 0.37, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.21750651284418515, "night": true, "probability": 0.21750651284418515, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 12:47 and 23:37, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 08:27 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 11320 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["543037 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 543866 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": true, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.1 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6347826086956522, "night": false, "probability": 0.6347826086956522, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -14 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 42, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5578356481481481, "night": false, "probability": 0.5578356481481481, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 10.61 hours!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.33001006414066547, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.249998, "night": true}], [1554886654.350897, {"predictions": [{"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Apparently we are banned from just-eat. We therefore have no clue."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.4784302203322787, "night": true, "probability": 0.4784302203322787, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 04:42 and 17:05, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 08:57 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 864 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.31000000000000005, "night": true, "probability": 0.31000000000000005, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["557095 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 556795 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": true, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.1 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5913043478260869, "night": false, "probability": 0.5913043478260869, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -11 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 47, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5368055555555555, "night": false, "probability": 0.5368055555555555, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 11.12 hours!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.34137801030949344, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.28, "night": true}], [1554888466.623029, {"predictions": [{"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Apparently we are banned from just-eat. We therefore have no clue."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.1195794303140138, "night": true, "probability": 0.1195794303140138, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 19:51 and 08:42, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 09:27 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 15245 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["563292 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 563194 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": false, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.2 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.79, "night": false, "probability": 0.79, "reasons": ["Your phone is dying, so it's bedtime soon?"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5913043478260869, "night": false, "probability": 0.5913043478260869, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -10 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 47, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5158217592592593, "night": false, "probability": 0.5158217592592593, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 11.62 hours!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.37889179478328, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.375, "night": true}], [1554890279.574858, {"predictions": [{"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Apparently we are banned from just-eat. We therefore have no clue."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.49484953703703705, "night": true, "probability": 0.49484953703703705, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 12.12 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.20999999999999996, "night": true, "probability": 0.20999999999999996, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.12364981219970783, "night": true, "probability": 0.12364981219970783, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 15:00 and 01:55, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 09:58 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 15082 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["573804 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 572177 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": true, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.2 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5913043478260869, "night": false, "probability": 0.5913043478260869, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -10 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 47, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.2999833080885693, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.22999799999999998, "night": true}], [1554892092.134917, {"predictions": [{"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Apparently we are banned from just-eat. We therefore have no clue."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.4738657407407407, "night": true, "probability": 0.4738657407407407, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 12.63 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.4434189465895434, "night": true, "probability": 0.4434189465895434, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 06:39 and 18:54, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 10:28 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 2267 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["595197 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 597090 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": true, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.2 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.74, "night": false, "probability": 0.74, "reasons": ["Your phone is dying, so it's bedtime soon?"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5826086956521739, "night": false, "probability": 0.5826086956521739, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -8 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 48, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.36832411524853814, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.3467094732947717, "night": true}], [1554893905.65494, {"predictions": [{"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Apparently we are banned from just-eat. We therefore have no clue."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.4528819444444444, "night": true, "probability": 0.4528819444444444, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 13.13 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.20451451049454128, "night": true, "probability": 0.20451451049454128, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 21:48 and 10:49, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 10:58 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 11841 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["629208 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 623425 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": false, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.2 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6, "night": false, "probability": 0.6, "reasons": ["Battery level's getting low, so it's probably around dinnertime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5826086956521739, "night": false, "probability": 0.5826086956521739, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -8 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 48, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.3641667625492633, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.3514409722222222, "night": true}], [1554895718.168834, {"predictions": [{"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Apparently we are banned from just-eat. We therefore have no clue."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.43188657407407405, "night": true, "probability": 0.43188657407407405, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 13.63 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.03051019089009016, "night": true, "probability": 0.03051019089009016, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 17:11 and 04:13, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 11:28 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 18814 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["675548 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 652559 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": false, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.2 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.89, "night": false, "probability": 0.89, "reasons": ["Your phone is dying, so it's bedtime soon?"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5826086956521739, "night": false, "probability": 0.5826086956521739, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -5 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 48, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.3720834550513615, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.340943287037037, "night": true}], [1554897532.510914, {"predictions": [{"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Apparently we are banned from just-eat. We therefore have no clue."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.4108449074074074, "night": true, "probability": 0.4108449074074074, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 14.14 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.3664213745143359, "night": true, "probability": 0.3664213745143359, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 08:33 and 20:42, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 11:59 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 5353 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["724465 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 719116 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": true, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.2 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.94, "night": false, "probability": 0.94, "reasons": ["Your phone's practically dead, so it's probably around four in the morning."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5826086956521739, "night": false, "probability": 0.5826086956521739, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -3 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 48, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.3733225814644931, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.30821068725716794, "night": true}], [1554899349.522834, {"predictions": [{"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Apparently we are banned from just-eat. We therefore have no clue."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.2910149088673668, "night": true, "probability": 0.2910149088673668, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 23:48 and 12:58, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 12:29 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 8375 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.17000000000000004, "night": true, "probability": 0.17000000000000004, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["775241 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 777380 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": true, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.2 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": false, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Alexander's upstairs neighbour is currently playing league"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5826086956521739, "night": false, "probability": 0.5826086956521739, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -3 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 48, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.33530163370996174, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.249998, "night": true}], [1554901185.793707, {"predictions": [{"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Apparently we are banned from just-eat. We therefore have no clue."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.05482711091761616, "night": true, "probability": 0.05482711091761616, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 19:07 and 06:18, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 12:59 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 17840 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["819190 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 817829 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": true, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.2 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": false, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Alexander's upstairs neighbour is currently playing league"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6, "night": false, "probability": 0.6, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 7 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 46, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5800000000000001, "night": false, "probability": 0.5800000000000001, "reasons": ["Battery level's getting low, so it's probably around dinnertime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.3512352592431347, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.249998, "night": true}], [1554903004.134853, {"predictions": [{"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Apparently we are banned from just-eat. We therefore have no clue."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.2919108420966521, "night": true, "probability": 0.2919108420966521, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 10:23 and 22:27, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 13:30 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 8339 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.15000000000000002, "night": true, "probability": 0.15000000000000002, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["858186 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 858280 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": true, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's night-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.1 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": false, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Alexander's upstairs neighbour is currently playing league"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6, "night": false, "probability": 0.6, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 7 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 46, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.4184922368413877, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.27095542104832604, "night": true}], [1554904816.766851, {"predictions": [{"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Apparently we are banned from just-eat. We therefore have no clue."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.37567907392408995, "night": true, "probability": 0.37567907392408995, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 01:47 and 15:04, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 14:00 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 4982 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.07999999999999996, "night": true, "probability": 0.07999999999999996, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["871659 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 870733 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": true, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's night-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.1 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": false, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Alexander's upstairs neighbour is currently playing league"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5913043478260869, "night": false, "probability": 0.5913043478260869, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 6 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 47, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.41891495181251476, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.312839536962045, "night": true}], [1554906630.174152, {"predictions": [{"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Apparently we are banned from just-eat. We therefore have no clue."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.14098921200176062, "night": true, "probability": 0.14098921200176062, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 21:07 and 08:27, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 14:30 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 14387 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["858766 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 858280 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": true, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's night-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.1 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": false, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Alexander's upstairs neighbour is currently playing league"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.63, "night": false, "probability": 0.63, "reasons": ["Battery level's getting low, so it's probably around dinnertime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5826086956521739, "night": false, "probability": 0.5826086956521739, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 4 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 48, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.4444661589711612, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.375, "night": true}], [1554908443.46341, {"predictions": [{"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Apparently we are banned from just-eat. We therefore have no clue."], "contribution": 0.1147842056932966}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.13, "night": true, "probability": 0.13, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": 0.1147842056932966}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["820024 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 817829 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.1147842056932966}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": true, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.08034894398530762}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.0576216712580349}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.0573921028466483}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001147842056932966}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's night-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": -0.1147842056932966}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.1 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.1147842056932966}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.7858049184848535, "night": false, "probability": 0.7858049184848535, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 12:19 and 00:15, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 15:00 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 11453 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": -0.1147842056932966}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6086956521739131, "night": false, "probability": 0.6086956521739131, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 2 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 45, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.1147842056932966}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.4276815064235242, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.25, "night": true}], [1554910262.5989, {"predictions": [{"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Apparently we are banned from just-eat. We therefore have no clue."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.4682727055932054, "night": true, "probability": 0.4682727055932054, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 03:56 and 17:22, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 15:31 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 1271 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.06000000000000005, "night": true, "probability": 0.06000000000000005, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["765326 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 777380 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": true, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's night-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.2 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8849652777777778, "night": false, "probability": 0.8849652777777778, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 2.76 hours!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6086956521739131, "night": false, "probability": 0.6086956521739131, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 2 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 45, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.433494136295408, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.3591363527966027, "night": true}], [1554912075.926654, {"predictions": [{"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Apparently we are banned from just-eat. We therefore have no clue."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.22428549138220277, "night": true, "probability": 0.22428549138220277, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 23:04 and 10:30, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 16:01 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 11049 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["707425 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 699489 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": true, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's night-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.2 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8639930555555555, "night": false, "probability": 0.8639930555555555, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 3.26 hours!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6599999999999999, "night": false, "probability": 0.6599999999999999, "reasons": ["Battery level's getting low, so it's probably around dinnertime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6086956521739131, "night": false, "probability": 0.6086956521739131, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 2 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 45, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.46141418325930594, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.375, "night": true}], [1554913887.906506, {"predictions": [{"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Apparently we are banned from just-eat. We therefore have no clue."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.17000000000000004, "night": true, "probability": 0.17000000000000004, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["652517 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 652559 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": true, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's night-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.3 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8634078208725122, "night": false, "probability": 0.8634078208725122, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 14:14 and 02:03, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 16:31 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 14563 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8429861111111111, "night": false, "probability": 0.8429861111111111, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 3.77 hours!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6086956521739131, "night": false, "probability": 0.6086956521739131, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 2 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 45, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.4720904653464614, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.375, "night": true}], [1554915702.878832, {"predictions": [{"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Apparently we are banned from just-eat. We therefore have no clue."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.4351115298095511, "night": true, "probability": 0.4351115298095511, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 06:12 and 19:44, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 17:02 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 2600 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.12, "night": true, "probability": 0.12, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["609673 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 609003 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": true, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's night-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.3 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8218865740740741, "night": false, "probability": 0.8218865740740741, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 4.27 hours!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5913043478260869, "night": false, "probability": 0.5913043478260869, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -1 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 47, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.4290248709758093, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.3425557649047756, "night": true}], [1554917525.938844, {"predictions": [{"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Apparently we are banned from just-eat. We therefore have no clue."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["576259 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 576129 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": true, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's night-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.3 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8009143518518519, "night": false, "probability": 0.8009143518518519, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 4.78 hours!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6950880048893382, "night": false, "probability": 0.6950880048893382, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 00:56 and 12:30, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 17:32 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 7818 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6, "night": false, "probability": 0.6, "reasons": ["Battery level's getting low, so it's probably around dinnertime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5826086956521739, "night": false, "probability": 0.5826086956521739, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -4 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 48, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.4882172543661137, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.5413043478260869, "night": true}], [1554919337.925721, {"predictions": [{"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Apparently we are banned from just-eat. We therefore have no clue."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.37, "night": true, "probability": 0.37, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["546493 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 545771 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": true, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's night-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.3 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.9410625770249113, "night": false, "probability": 0.9410625770249113, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 16:10 and 03:52, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 18:02 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 17675 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.7799305555555556, "night": false, "probability": 0.7799305555555556, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 5.28 hours!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5826086956521739, "night": false, "probability": 0.5826086956521739, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -8 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 48, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.48779981901938674, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.435, "night": true}], [1554921150.386988, {"predictions": [{"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's night-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.4 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["518429 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 06, 516839 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.94, "night": false, "probability": 0.94, "reasons": ["Your phone's practically dead, so it's probably around four in the morning."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.7589351851851852, "night": false, "probability": 0.7589351851851852, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 5.79 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6086956521739131, "night": false, "probability": 0.6086956521739131, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -13 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 45, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": true, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Apparently we are banned from just-eat. We therefore have no clue."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.33839178038996715, "night": true, "probability": 0.33839178038996715, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 08:30 and 22:05, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 18:32 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 6476 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.5688348848124221, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.5543478260869565, "night": false}], [1554922964.557803, {"predictions": [{"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's night-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.4 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["482513 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 06, 482232 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.7379282407407408, "night": false, "probability": 0.7379282407407408, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 6.29 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6608695652173913, "night": false, "probability": 0.6608695652173913, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -15 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 39, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6145860056548282, "night": false, "probability": 0.6145860056548282, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 02:49 and 14:30, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 19:02 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 4592 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": true, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Apparently we are banned from just-eat. We therefore have no clue."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.010000000000000009, "night": true, "probability": 0.010000000000000009, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.5169483176344134, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.5572930028274141, "night": false}], [1554924782.57487, {"predictions": [{"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's night-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.5 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["444361 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 06, 444908 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.9776560838243789, "night": false, "probability": 0.9776560838243789, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 18:08 and 05:43, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 19:33 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 19142 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.7168981481481481, "night": false, "probability": 0.7168981481481481, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 6.79 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6608695652173913, "night": false, "probability": 0.6608695652173913, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -15 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 39, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": true, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Apparently we are banned from just-eat. We therefore have no clue."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.42000000000000004, "night": true, "probability": 0.42000000000000004, "reasons": ["Battery level's getting low, so it's probably around dinnertime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.5796183164324932, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.5804347826086956, "night": false}], [1554926596.186848, {"predictions": [{"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Apparently we are banned from just-eat. We therefore have no clue."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": true, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.5 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["417972 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 07, 418250 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.7588032489909274, "night": false, "probability": 0.7588032489909274, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 10:51 and 00:25, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 20:03 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 10371 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6959375, "night": false, "probability": 0.6959375, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 7.30 hours!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.62, "night": false, "probability": 0.62, "reasons": ["Battery level's getting low, so it's probably around dinnertime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6086956521739131, "night": false, "probability": 0.6086956521739131, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -13 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 45, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.4886193667637367, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.5543478260869565, "night": true}], [1554928407.850856, {"predictions": [{"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Apparently we are banned from just-eat. We therefore have no clue."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.19999999999999996, "night": true, "probability": 0.19999999999999996, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": true, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.7 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["388364 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 07, 390901 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": false, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Alexander's upstairs neighbour is currently playing league"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6086956521739131, "night": false, "probability": 0.6086956521739131, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -12 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 45, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5358711589002758, "night": false, "probability": 0.5358711589002758, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 04:39 and 16:27, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 20:33 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 1437 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.44371356758951574, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.375, "night": true}], [1554930220.102848, {"predictions": [{"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Apparently we are banned from just-eat. We therefore have no clue."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.10428312430130587, "night": true, "probability": 0.10428312430130587, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 20:10 and 07:38, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 21:03 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 15858 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": true, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.9 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["366301 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 07, 366210 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": false, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Alexander's upstairs neighbour is currently playing league"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.65, "night": false, "probability": 0.65, "reasons": ["Battery level's getting low, so it's probably around dinnertime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5826086956521739, "night": false, "probability": 0.5826086956521739, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -9 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 48, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.4430739849961233, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.375, "night": true}], [1554932031.646836, {"predictions": [{"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Apparently we are banned from just-eat. We therefore have no clue."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.45999999999999996, "night": true, "probability": 0.45999999999999996, "reasons": ["Battery level's getting low, so it's probably around dinnertime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": true, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 1.1 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["346756 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 07, 348194 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8570711244455158, "night": false, "probability": 0.8570711244455158, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:16 and 02:44, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 21:33 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 14309 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": false, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Alexander's upstairs neighbour is currently playing league"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5826086956521739, "night": false, "probability": 0.5826086956521739, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -8 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 48, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.4899729850081408, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.48, "night": true}], [1554933844.330209, {"predictions": [{"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Apparently we are banned from just-eat. We therefore have no clue."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.22999999999999998, "night": true, "probability": 0.22999999999999998, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": true, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 1.7 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["319910 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 07, 319848 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": false, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Alexander's upstairs neighbour is currently playing league"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5826086956521739, "night": false, "probability": 0.5826086956521739, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -8 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 48, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5426640020812723, "night": false, "probability": 0.5426640020812723, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 06:28 and 18:24, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 22:04 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 1709 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.44460572481112054, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.375, "night": true}], [1554935660.694911, {"predictions": [{"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Apparently we are banned from just-eat. We therefore have no clue."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.18798868794248014, "night": true, "probability": 0.18798868794248014, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 22:15 and 09:35, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 22:34 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 12503 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": true, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.0 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["296428 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 07, 292750 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": false, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Your phone's practically dead, so it's probably around four in the morning."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": false, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Alexander's upstairs neighbour is currently playing league"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5826086956521739, "night": false, "probability": 0.5826086956521739, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -7 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 48, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.4717161152995545, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.375, "night": true}], [1554937479.85486, {"predictions": [{"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Apparently we are banned from just-eat. We therefore have no clue."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": -0.32275132275132257, "night": true, "probability": -0.32275132275132257, "reasons": ["Because average for daytime is 7.0 and average for nighttime is 3.4, but the current average is 4.8"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": true, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["275059 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 07, 274753 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.9493783125906907, "night": false, "probability": 0.9493783125906907, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 15:32 and 04:53, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 23:04 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 18008 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8200000000000001, "night": false, "probability": 0.8200000000000001, "reasons": ["Your phone is dying, so it's bedtime soon?"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": false, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Alexander's upstairs neighbour is currently playing league"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5826086956521739, "night": false, "probability": 0.5826086956521739, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -6 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 48, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.41743597379096187, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.375, "night": true}], [1554939291.494837, {"predictions": [{"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Apparently we are banned from just-eat. We therefore have no clue."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": -0.5432098765432096, "night": true, "probability": -0.5432098765432096, "reasons": ["Because average for daytime is 7.0 and average for nighttime is 3.4, but the current average is 5.6"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": true, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["260287 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 07, 274753 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.96, "night": false, "probability": 0.96, "reasons": ["Your phone's practically dead, so it's probably around four in the morning."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": false, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Alexander's upstairs neighbour is currently playing league"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6196014016059521, "night": false, "probability": 0.6196014016059521, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 08:16 and 20:18, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 23:35 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 4793 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5826086956521739, "night": false, "probability": 0.5826086956521739, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -3 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 48, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.38324968505957635, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.375, "night": true}], [1554941109.786829, {"predictions": [{"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 3.3 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["254184 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 07, 274753 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.98, "night": false, "probability": 0.98, "reasons": ["Your phone's practically dead, so it's probably around four in the morning."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.9004398148148148, "night": false, "probability": 0.9004398148148148, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 2.39 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.727156646806269, "night": false, "probability": 0.727156646806269, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 00:22 and 11:32, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 00:05 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 9103 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5913043478260869, "night": false, "probability": 0.5913043478260869, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 1 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 47, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": true, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Apparently we are banned from just-eat. We therefore have no clue."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.5315747341205975, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.5456521739130434, "night": false}], [1554942921.394834, {"predictions": [{"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Apparently we are banned from just-eat. We therefore have no clue."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["Because 16.7 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 7.0 is the expected number for daytime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": true, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["253519 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 07, 274753 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.9584191689842576, "night": false, "probability": 0.9584191689842576, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 17:48 and 06:59, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 00:35 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 18371 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8794560185185185, "night": false, "probability": 0.8794560185185185, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 2.89 hours!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6086956521739131, "night": false, "probability": 0.6086956521739131, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 3 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 45, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.40638056997305744, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.25, "night": true}], [1554944734.846898, {"predictions": [{"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Apparently we are banned from just-eat. We therefore have no clue."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": -0.8518518518518516, "night": true, "probability": -0.8518518518518516, "reasons": ["Because average for daytime is 7.0 and average for nighttime is 3.4, but the current average is 6.7"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": true, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["262046 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 07, 274753 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8583564814814815, "night": false, "probability": 0.8583564814814815, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 3.40 hours!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6962218553921384, "night": false, "probability": 0.6962218553921384, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 10:03 and 22:12, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 01:05 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 7863 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5913043478260869, "night": false, "probability": 0.5913043478260869, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 6 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 47, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.54, "night": false, "probability": 0.54, "reasons": ["Battery level's getting low, so it's probably around dinnertime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.3345022360706546, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.375, "night": true}], [1554946558.250834, {"predictions": [{"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Apparently we are banned from just-eat. We therefore have no clue."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.042145593869732045, "night": true, "probability": 0.042145593869732045, "reasons": ["Because average for daytime is 7.0 and average for nighttime is 3.4, but the current average is 3.4"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": true, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["280704 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 07, 274753 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8373726851851852, "night": false, "probability": 0.8373726851851852, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 3.90 hours!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8200000000000001, "night": false, "probability": 0.8200000000000001, "reasons": ["Your phone is dying, so it's bedtime soon?"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6394209087440392, "night": false, "probability": 0.6394209087440392, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 02:33 and 13:34, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 01:36 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 5587 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5913043478260869, "night": false, "probability": 0.5913043478260869, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 6 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 47, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.42585329463542027, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.375, "night": true}], [1554948370.918965, {"predictions": [{"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 2.5 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["313996 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 07, 313745 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.92, "night": false, "probability": 0.92, "reasons": ["Your phone's practically dead, so it's probably around four in the morning."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.873385095252862, "night": false, "probability": 0.873385095252862, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 19:54 and 08:57, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 02:06 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 14963 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8163310185185185, "night": false, "probability": 0.8163310185185185, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 4.41 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5913043478260869, "night": false, "probability": 0.5913043478260869, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 5 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 47, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": false, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Apparently we are banned from just-eat. We therefore have no clue."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.5609180384664556, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.5581521739130434, "night": false}], [1554950189.01079, {"predictions": [{"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 2.9 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["346889 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 07, 348194 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.99, "night": false, "probability": 0.99, "reasons": ["Your phone's practically dead, so it's probably around four in the morning."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.7953472222222222, "night": false, "probability": 0.7953472222222222, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 4.91 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5826086956521739, "night": false, "probability": 0.5826086956521739, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 4 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 48, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": false, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. 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2.3 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["369576 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 07, 369566 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.774375, "night": false, "probability": 0.774375, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 5.42 hours!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non 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ISS's location.", "It is currently 03:06 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 1900 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.4652575404802757, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.5125, "night": true}], [1554953813.862874, {"predictions": [{"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.9 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["381026 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 07, 380728 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.83, "night": false, "probability": 0.83, "reasons": ["Your phone is dying, so it's bedtime soon?"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.7883329974855942, "night": false, "probability": 0.7883329974855942, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 22:02 and 10:55, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 03:37 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 11554 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.7533796296296297, "night": false, "probability": 0.7533796296296297, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 5.92 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5826086956521739, "night": false, "probability": 0.5826086956521739, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 0 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 48, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": false, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", 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Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Apparently we are banned from just-eat. We therefore have no clue."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.5403597768972831, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.5538043478260869, "night": false}], [1554955627.242958, {"predictions": [{"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Apparently we are banned from just-eat. 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We therefore have no clue."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.44999999999999996, "night": true, "probability": 0.44999999999999996, "reasons": ["Battery level's getting low, so it's probably around dinnertime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": false, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.2 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["437210 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 06, 435124 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.7113888888888888, "night": false, "probability": 0.7113888888888888, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 6.93 hours!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5826086956521739, "night": false, "probability": 0.5826086956521739, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -2 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 48, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.549329567839724, "night": false, "probability": 0.549329567839724, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 07:12 and 17:59, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 04:37 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 1976 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.48527692936506556, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.5125, "night": true}], [1554959255.506821, {"predictions": [{"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Apparently we are banned from just-eat. We therefore have no clue."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.2938044750346862, "night": true, "probability": 0.2938044750346862, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 00:05 and 12:49, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 05:07 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 8263 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": false, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.1 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["454854 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 06, 454175 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.81, "night": false, "probability": 0.81, "reasons": ["Your phone is dying, so it's bedtime soon?"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6904050925925926, "night": false, "probability": 0.6904050925925926, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 7.43 hours!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5826086956521739, "night": false, "probability": 0.5826086956521739, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -4 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 48, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.4922345219399544, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.5125, "night": true}], [1554961068.30683, {"predictions": [{"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Apparently we are banned from just-eat. We therefore have no clue."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0704572775332516, "night": true, "probability": 0.0704572775332516, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 15:28 and 04:00, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 05:37 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 17213 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["461440 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 463493 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": false, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.1 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.85, "night": false, "probability": 0.85, "reasons": ["Your phone is dying, so it's bedtime soon?"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6694328703703705, "night": false, "probability": 0.6694328703703705, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 7.93 hours!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5826086956521739, "night": false, "probability": 0.5826086956521739, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -8 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 48, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.39187457029631634, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.375, "night": true}], [1554962881.007344, {"predictions": [{"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Apparently we are banned from just-eat. We therefore have no clue."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.20999999999999996, "night": true, "probability": 0.20999999999999996, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": false, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.1 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["466541 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 06, 467800 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.648449074074074, "night": false, "probability": 0.648449074074074, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 8.44 hours!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6470533947038272, "night": false, "probability": 0.6470533947038272, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 09:35 and 20:19, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 06:08 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 5893 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5913043478260869, "night": false, "probability": 0.5913043478260869, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -11 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 47, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.468900234716999, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.5125, "night": true}], [1554964693.463187, {"predictions": [{"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.2 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["479192 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 06, 479234 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.89, "night": false, "probability": 0.89, "reasons": ["Your phone is dying, so it's bedtime soon?"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6347826086956522, "night": false, "probability": 0.6347826086956522, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -14 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 42, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6274768518518519, "night": false, "probability": 0.6274768518518519, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 8.94 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": false, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Apparently we are banned from just-eat. We therefore have no clue."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.3745857081787877, "night": true, "probability": 0.3745857081787877, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 02:06 and 14:41, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 06:38 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 5025 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.5047367640605243, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.5125, "night": false}], [1554966505.765846, {"predictions": [{"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.18999999999999995, "night": true, "probability": 0.18999999999999995, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.011390570929569521, "night": true, "probability": 0.011390570929569521, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 17:19 and 06:00, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 07:08 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 19581 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["492928 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 491189 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": false, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.2 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": false, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6608695652173913, "night": false, "probability": 0.6608695652173913, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -17 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 39, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6064814814814814, "night": false, "probability": 0.6064814814814814, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 9.44 hours!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.36739480146903686, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.249998, "night": true}], [1554968321.630831, {"predictions": [{"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["513227 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 514301 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": false, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.2 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": false, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.7457205718762028, "night": false, "probability": 0.7457205718762028, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 11:57 and 22:41, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 07:38 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 9847 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6434782608695653, "night": false, "probability": 0.6434782608695653, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -18 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 41, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5900000000000001, "night": false, "probability": 0.5900000000000001, "reasons": ["Battery level's getting low, so it's probably around dinnertime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5854629629629631, "night": false, "probability": 0.5854629629629631, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 9.95 hours!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.45872148297572757, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.5552314814814815, "night": true}], [1554970141.17882, {"predictions": [{"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.49, "night": true, "probability": 0.49, "reasons": ["Battery level's getting low, so it's probably around dinnertime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.45296613974469324, "night": true, "probability": 0.45296613974469324, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 04:03 and 16:31, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 08:09 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 1884 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["534082 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 532803 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": true, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.2 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": false, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6608695652173913, "night": false, "probability": 0.6608695652173913, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -19 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 39, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5643518518518518, "night": false, "probability": 0.5643518518518518, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 10.46 hours!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.39651529640116134, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.3514830698723466, "night": true}], [1554971960.822865, {"predictions": [{"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.18000000000000005, "night": true, "probability": 0.18000000000000005, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.09076260176131323, "night": true, "probability": 0.09076260176131323, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 19:11 and 07:58, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 08:39 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 16400 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["551931 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 550616 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": true, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.3 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": false, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6434782608695653, "night": false, "probability": 0.6434782608695653, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -18 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 41, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5433333333333332, "night": false, "probability": 0.5433333333333332, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 10.96 hours!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.337297516330351, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.21499800000000002, "night": true}], [1554973777.170832, {"predictions": [{"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.27, "night": true, "probability": 0.27, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.16091131749789017, "night": true, "probability": 0.16091131749789017, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 14:10 and 00:58, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 09:09 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 13588 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.09090909090909091, "night": true, "probability": 0.09090909090909091, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is currently open.", "We conclude from this, that there is 0.09090909090909091% chance of it being night outside"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["558508 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 559902 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": false, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.2 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6608695652173913, "night": false, "probability": 0.6608695652173913, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -17 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 39, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5223263888888889, "night": false, "probability": 0.5223263888888889, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 11.46 hours!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.31125103020943845, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.249998, "night": true}], [1554975592.686882, {"predictions": [{"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.46996058722943534, "night": true, "probability": 0.46996058722943534, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 05:57 and 18:18, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 09:40 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 1203 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.09090909090909091, "night": true, "probability": 0.09090909090909091, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is currently open.", "We conclude from this, that there is 0.09090909090909091% chance of it being night outside"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["567025 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 567069 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": false, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.2 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.9299999999999999, "night": false, "probability": 0.9299999999999999, "reasons": ["Your phone's practically dead, so it's probably around four in the morning."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6869565217391305, "night": false, "probability": 0.6869565217391305, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -16 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 36, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5013078703703704, "night": false, "probability": 0.5013078703703704, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 11.97 hours!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.39242750585400227, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.3599802936147177, "night": true}], [1554977408.319036, {"predictions": [{"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.4802777777777778, "night": true, "probability": 0.4802777777777778, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 12.47 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.20999999999999996, "night": true, "probability": 0.20999999999999996, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.17280191260930416, "night": true, "probability": 0.17280191260930416, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 21:04 and 10:01, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 10:10 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 13112 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.09090909090909091, "night": true, "probability": 0.09090909090909091, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is currently open.", "We conclude from this, that there is 0.09090909090909091% chance of it being night outside"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["580869 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 582210 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": false, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.2 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6608695652173913, "night": false, "probability": 0.6608695652173913, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -15 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 39, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.3037378622094637, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.22999799999999998, "night": true}], [1554979225.674825, {"predictions": [{"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.4589699074074074, "night": true, "probability": 0.4589699074074074, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 12.98 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.31999999999999995, "night": true, "probability": 0.31999999999999995, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.09090909090909091, "night": true, "probability": 0.09090909090909091, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is currently open.", "We conclude from this, that there is 0.09090909090909091% chance of it being night outside"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.06789425963220447, "night": true, "probability": 0.06789425963220447, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 16:21 and 03:15, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 10:40 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 17316 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["609699 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 609003 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": true, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.1 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6608695652173913, "night": false, "probability": 0.6608695652173913, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -15 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 39, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.2732199019305078, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.212498, "night": true}], [1554981066.002805, {"predictions": [{"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.437962962962963, "night": true, "probability": 0.437962962962963, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 13.49 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.3955720636699642, "night": true, "probability": 0.3955720636699642, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 07:47 and 20:03, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 11:11 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 4184 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.09090909090909091, "night": true, "probability": 0.09090909090909091, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is currently open.", "We conclude from this, that there is 0.09090909090909091% chance of it being night outside"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["646902 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 652559 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": true, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.2 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.95, "night": false, "probability": 0.95, "reasons": ["Your phone's practically dead, so it's probably around four in the morning."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6869565217391305, "night": false, "probability": 0.6869565217391305, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -16 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 36, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.3534497199400957, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.249998, "night": true}], [1554982881.729591, {"predictions": [{"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.4169328703703704, "night": true, "probability": 0.4169328703703704, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 13.99 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.2526273172664524, "night": true, "probability": 0.2526273172664524, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 22:56 and 12:00, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 11:41 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 9913 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.09999999999999998, "night": true, "probability": 0.09999999999999998, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.09090909090909091, "night": true, "probability": 0.09090909090909091, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is currently open.", "We conclude from this, that there is 0.09090909090909091% chance of it being night outside"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["693323 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 699489 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": true, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.2 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6347826086956522, "night": false, "probability": 0.6347826086956522, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -14 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 42, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.26460399060346385, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.212498, "night": true}], [1554984697.814954, {"predictions": [{"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.3959259259259259, "night": true, "probability": 0.3959259259259259, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 14.50 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.09090909090909091, "night": true, "probability": 0.09090909090909091, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is currently open.", "We conclude from this, that there is 0.09090909090909091% chance of it being night outside"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.018883301288131704, "night": true, "probability": 0.018883301288131704, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 18:20 and 05:20, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 12:11 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 19280 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["742761 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 750968 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": true, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.2 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.88, "night": false, "probability": 0.88, "reasons": ["Your phone is dying, so it's bedtime soon?"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5913043478260869, "night": false, "probability": 0.5913043478260869, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -11 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 47, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.3047515554957696, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.212498, "night": true}], [1554986513.334854, {"predictions": [{"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.3749189814814815, "night": true, "probability": 0.3749189814814815, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 15.00 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.35, "night": true, "probability": 0.35, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.31884734776857804, "night": true, "probability": 0.31884734776857804, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 09:42 and 21:50, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 12:42 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 7259 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.09090909090909091, "night": true, "probability": 0.09090909090909091, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is currently open.", "We conclude from this, that there is 0.09090909090909091% chance of it being night outside"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["794930 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 802699 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": true, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.1 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5826086956521739, "night": false, "probability": 0.5826086956521739, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -4 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 48, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.2831066763176104, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.249998, "night": true}], [1554988328.530845, {"predictions": [{"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.38, "night": true, "probability": 0.38, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.35390046296296296, "night": true, "probability": 0.35390046296296296, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 15.51 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.33915073094662257, "night": true, "probability": 0.33915073094662257, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 00:56 and 14:09, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 13:12 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 6446 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.09090909090909091, "night": true, "probability": 0.09090909090909091, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is currently open.", "We conclude from this, that there is 0.09090909090909091% chance of it being night outside"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["837716 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 835475 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": true, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's night-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.1 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5826086956521739, "night": false, "probability": 0.5826086956521739, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 0 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 48, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.3688804150392375, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.2945753654733113, "night": true}], [1554990143.894847, {"predictions": [{"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.33289351851851856, "night": true, "probability": 0.33289351851851856, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 16.01 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.10690326453142529, "night": true, "probability": 0.10690326453142529, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 20:22 and 07:33, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 13:42 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 15753 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.09090909090909091, "night": true, "probability": 0.09090909090909091, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is currently open.", "We conclude from this, that there is 0.09090909090909091% chance of it being night outside"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["872124 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 870733 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": true, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's night-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.1 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.85, "night": false, "probability": 0.85, "reasons": ["Your phone is dying, so it's bedtime soon?"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6086956521739131, "night": false, "probability": 0.6086956521739131, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 3 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 45, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.389116460511079, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.249998, "night": true}], [1554991959.368039, {"predictions": [{"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.311875, "night": true, "probability": 0.311875, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 16.52 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.09090909090909091, "night": true, "probability": 0.09090909090909091, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is currently open.", "We conclude from this, that there is 0.09090909090909091% chance of it being night outside"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["882437 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 882575 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": true, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's night-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.1 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.7579142480831316, "night": false, "probability": 0.7579142480831316, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 11:36 and 23:37, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 14:12 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 10335 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.71, "night": false, "probability": 0.71, "reasons": ["Your phone is dying, so it's bedtime soon?"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5913043478260869, "night": false, "probability": 0.5913043478260869, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 5 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 47, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.42849989056819243, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.2809375, "night": true}], [1554993776.018909, {"predictions": [{"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.4284007653149887, "night": true, "probability": 0.4284007653149887, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 03:00 and 16:23, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 14:43 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 2869 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.2908564814814816, "night": true, "probability": 0.2908564814814816, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 17.02 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.09090909090909091, "night": true, "probability": 0.09090909090909091, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is currently open.", "We conclude from this, that there is 0.09090909090909091% chance of it being night outside"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["862772 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 862913 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": true, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's night-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.1 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.77, "night": false, "probability": 0.77, "reasons": ["Your phone is dying, so it's bedtime soon?"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5913043478260869, "night": false, "probability": 0.5913043478260869, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 5 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 47, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.40428889046097066, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.2704282407407408, "night": true}], [1554995591.698892, {"predictions": [{"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.2698379629629629, "night": true, "probability": 0.2698379629629629, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 17.52 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.1915835125740038, "night": true, "probability": 0.1915835125740038, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 22:20 and 09:39, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 15:13 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 12359 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.09090909090909091, "night": true, "probability": 0.09090909090909091, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is currently open.", "We conclude from this, that there is 0.09090909090909091% chance of it being night outside"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["817570 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 817829 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": true, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's night-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.1 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Your phone's practically dead, so it's probably around four in the morning."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5826086956521739, "night": false, "probability": 0.5826086956521739, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 4 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 48, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.4012446051748526, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.249998, "night": true}], [1554997408.166816, {"predictions": [{"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.09090909090909091, "night": true, "probability": 0.09090909090909091, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is currently open.", "We conclude from this, that there is 0.09090909090909091% chance of it being night outside"], "contribution": 0.11096316023080337}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["756742 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 750968 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.11096316023080337}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05570350643586329}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.055481580115401684}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.0011096316023080338}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's night-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": -0.11096316023080337}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.2 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.11096316023080337}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8341880857948497, "night": false, "probability": 0.8341880857948497, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:29 and 01:24, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 15:43 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 13392 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": -0.11096316023080337}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": false, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Alexander's upstairs neighbour is currently playing league"], "contribution": -0.11096316023080337}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5826086956521739, "night": false, "probability": 0.5826086956521739, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 4 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 48, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.11096316023080337}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.51, "night": false, "probability": 0.51, "reasons": ["Battery level's getting low, so it's probably around dinnertime."], "contribution": -0.11096316023080337}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.48388198839601043, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.51, "night": true}], [1554999239.259758, {"predictions": [{"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.48309844562321536, "night": true, "probability": 0.48309844562321536, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 05:04 and 18:34, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 16:14 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 677 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.24, "night": true, "probability": 0.24, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.09090909090909091, "night": true, "probability": 0.09090909090909091, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is currently open.", "We conclude from this, that there is 0.09090909090909091% chance of it being night outside"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["696018 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 699489 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": true, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's night-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.2 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": false, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Alexander's upstairs neighbour is currently playing league"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5913043478260869, "night": false, "probability": 0.5913043478260869, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 1 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 47, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.4071089903631994, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.249998, "night": true}], [1555001059.796166, {"predictions": [{"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.09090909090909091, "night": true, "probability": 0.09090909090909091, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is currently open.", "We conclude from this, that there is 0.09090909090909091% chance of it being night outside"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["649159 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 652559 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": true, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's night-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.2 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": false, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Alexander's upstairs neighbour is currently playing league"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.7294875705838523, "night": false, "probability": 0.7294875705838523, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 00:11 and 11:36, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 16:44 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 9196 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5826086956521739, "night": false, "probability": 0.5826086956521739, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 0 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 48, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.42775011309542643, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.25, "night": true}], [1555002880.166845, {"predictions": [{"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.09090909090909091, "night": true, "probability": 0.09090909090909091, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is currently open.", "We conclude from this, that there is 0.09090909090909091% chance of it being night outside"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["607355 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 606741 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": true, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's night-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.3 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.9094672740192742, "night": false, "probability": 0.9094672740192742, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 15:21 and 03:09, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 17:14 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 16409 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": false, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Alexander's upstairs neighbour is currently playing league"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6799999999999999, "night": false, "probability": 0.6799999999999999, "reasons": ["Battery level's getting low, so it's probably around dinnertime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5826086956521739, "night": false, "probability": 0.5826086956521739, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -3 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 48, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.47858175504837824, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.41630434782608694, "night": true}], [1555004696.670832, {"predictions": [{"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.43999999999999995, "night": true, "probability": 0.43999999999999995, "reasons": ["Battery level's getting low, so it's probably around dinnertime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.3908278601355042, "night": true, "probability": 0.3908278601355042, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 07:14 and 20:50, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 17:45 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 4375 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.09090909090909091, "night": true, "probability": 0.09090909090909091, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is currently open.", "We conclude from this, that there is 0.09090909090909091% chance of it being night outside"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["576040 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 576129 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": true, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's night-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.3 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": false, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Alexander's upstairs neighbour is currently playing league"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5826086956521739, "night": false, "probability": 0.5826086956521739, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -8 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 48, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.41536180389139743, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.3204139300677521, "night": true}], [1555006514.574846, {"predictions": [{"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's night-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.4 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": false, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": false, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Alexander's upstairs neighbour is currently playing league"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6488000624262868, "night": false, "probability": 0.6488000624262868, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 02:04 and 13:36, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 18:15 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 5963 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6086956521739131, "night": false, "probability": 0.6086956521739131, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -13 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 45, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": false, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.42000000000000004, "night": true, "probability": 0.42000000000000004, "reasons": ["Battery level's getting low, so it's probably around dinnertime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["546885 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 545771 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.5347909762166834, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.5668478260869565, "night": false}], [1555008329.646833, {"predictions": [{"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's night-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.3 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.9871761022792902, "night": false, "probability": 0.9871761022792902, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 17:16 and 04:58, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 18:45 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 19523 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": false, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": false, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Alexander's upstairs neighbour is currently playing league"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6434782608695653, "night": false, "probability": 0.6434782608695653, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -18 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 41, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": false, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.06000000000000005, "night": true, "probability": 0.06000000000000005, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["522430 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 521831 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.5358875302624047, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.5842391304347826, "night": false}], [1555010148.370858, {"predictions": [{"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's night-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.3 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["494603 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 06, 495851 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": false, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": false, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Alexander's upstairs neighbour is currently playing league"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6695652173913044, "night": false, "probability": 0.6695652173913044, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -21 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 38, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": false, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.33999999999999997, "night": true, "probability": 0.33999999999999997, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.29549041562089917, "night": true, "probability": 0.29549041562089917, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 09:30 and 23:09, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 19:15 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 8195 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.5870876360843503, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.5972826086956522, "night": false}], [1555011963.846842, {"predictions": [{"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's night-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.4 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["467460 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 06, 467800 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": false, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.88, "night": false, "probability": 0.88, "reasons": ["Your phone is dying, so it's bedtime soon?"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": false, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Alexander's upstairs neighbour is currently playing league"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6347826086956522, "night": false, "probability": 0.6347826086956522, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -25 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 42, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.56950816923096, "night": false, "probability": 0.56950816923096, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 03:55 and 15:34, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 19:46 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 2785 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": true, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.6228572314938844, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.7173913043478262, "night": false}], [1555013778.51501, {"predictions": [{"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.4 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["438567 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 06, 440082 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.99, "night": false, "probability": 0.99, "reasons": ["Your phone's practically dead, so it's probably around four in the morning."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": false, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": false, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Alexander's upstairs neighbour is currently playing league"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6173913043478261, "night": false, "probability": 0.6173913043478261, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -26 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 44, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": true, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.06773204330935345, "night": true, "probability": 0.06773204330935345, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 19:13 and 06:49, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 20:16 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 17323 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.5054266123047649, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.43369565217391304, "night": false}], [1555015593.194957, {"predictions": [{"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.6 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["406931 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 07, 406677 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": false, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.81, "night": false, "probability": 0.81, "reasons": ["Your phone is dying, so it's bedtime soon?"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8021496687996126, "night": false, "probability": 0.8021496687996126, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 11:51 and 01:29, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 20:46 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 12108 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": false, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Alexander's upstairs neighbour is currently playing league"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6347826086956522, "night": false, "probability": 0.6347826086956522, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -25 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 42, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": true, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.5530773564579388, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.7173913043478262, "night": false}], [1555017409.075332, {"predictions": [{"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.6 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["374737 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 07, 375601 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": false, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.87, "night": false, "probability": 0.87, "reasons": ["Your phone is dying, so it's bedtime soon?"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": false, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Alexander's upstairs neighbour is currently playing league"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6608695652173913, "night": false, "probability": 0.6608695652173913, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -24 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 39, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5090888280582733, "night": false, "probability": 0.5090888280582733, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 05:44 and 17:31, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 21:16 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 364 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": true, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.5358295327729721, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.5849791966378323, "night": false}], [1555019224.339146, {"predictions": [{"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.29000000000000004, "night": true, "probability": 0.29000000000000004, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.1482576124369272, "night": true, "probability": 0.1482576124369272, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 21:13 and 08:41, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 21:47 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 14096 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": true, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 1.6 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["347339 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 07, 348194 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": false, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": false, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Alexander's upstairs neighbour is currently playing league"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6521739130434783, "night": false, "probability": 0.6521739130434783, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -23 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 40, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.4567022937900338, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.27, "night": true}], [1555021041.36511, {"predictions": [{"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.0 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["319008 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 07, 319848 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": false, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.896583693177724, "night": false, "probability": 0.896583693177724, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 14:10 and 03:43, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 22:17 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 15893 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": false, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Alexander's upstairs neighbour is currently playing league"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6695652173913044, "night": false, "probability": 0.6695652173913044, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -21 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 38, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": true, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.43000000000000005, "night": true, "probability": 0.43000000000000005, "reasons": ["Battery level's getting low, so it's probably around dinnertime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.532178742547419, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.5497826086956522, "night": false}], [1555022860.593452, {"predictions": [{"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.0 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["296723 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 07, 292750 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": false, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": false, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Alexander's upstairs neighbour is currently playing league"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current 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at UTC 07:32 and 19:25, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 22:47 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 3451 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5800000000000001, "night": false, "probability": 0.5800000000000001, "reasons": ["Battery level's getting low, so it's probably around dinnertime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two 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"probability": 0.22961090075033103, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 23:15 and 10:35, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 23:18 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 10835 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.5217063721639769, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.45543478260869563, "night": false}], [1555026494.010827, {"predictions": [{"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 2.1 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["265803 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 07, 274753 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.9892924013835627, "night": false, "probability": 0.9892924013835627, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 16:27 and 05:53, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 23:48 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 19608 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": false, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": false, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Alexander's upstairs neighbour is currently playing league"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6799999999999999, "night": false, "probability": 0.6799999999999999, "reasons": ["Battery level's getting low, so it's probably around dinnertime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6347826086956522, "night": false, "probability": 0.6347826086956522, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -14 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 42, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", 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Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": true, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.5607737129350087, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.6271269164989408, "night": false}], [1555030127.199098, {"predictions": [{"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 3.3 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["275664 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 07, 274753 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": false, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8839699074074074, "night": false, "probability": 0.8839699074074074, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 2.78 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6872772196208439, "night": false, "probability": 0.6872772196208439, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 01:19 and 12:29, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 00:48 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 7505 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5826086956521739, "night": false, "probability": 0.5826086956521739, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -6 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 48, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.52, "night": false, "probability": 0.52, "reasons": ["Battery level's getting low, so it's probably around dinnertime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": true, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.5219876518900355, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.551304347826087, "night": false}], [1555031948.058804, {"predictions": [{"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Apparently we are banned from just-eat. We therefore have no clue."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": -0.11111111111111094, "night": true, "probability": -0.11111111111111094, "reasons": ["Because average for daytime is 7.0 and average for nighttime is 3.4, but the current average is 4.0"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": true, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. 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We therefore have no clue."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.26, "night": true, "probability": 0.26, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": true, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 3.0 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["318122 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 07, 317976 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8418981481481481, "night": false, "probability": 0.8418981481481481, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 3.79 hours!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.7388775386876234, "night": false, "probability": 0.7388775386876234, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 11:06 and 23:12, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 01:49 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 9573 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5826086956521739, "night": false, "probability": 0.5826086956521739, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 0 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 48, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.4669483652073288, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.38, "night": true}], [1555035581.178873, {"predictions": [{"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Apparently we are banned from just-eat. We therefore have no clue."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.26, "night": true, "probability": 0.26, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": true, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 2.7 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["345936 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 07, 344506 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8208796296296297, "night": false, "probability": 0.8208796296296297, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 4.30 hours!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6007704435122482, "night": false, "probability": 0.6007704435122482, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 03:28 and 14:29, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 02:19 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 4038 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5913043478260869, "night": false, "probability": 0.5913043478260869, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 1 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 47, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.4544125350806637, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.38, "night": true}], [1555037396.818834, {"predictions": [{"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Apparently we are banned from just-eat. We therefore have no clue."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.24, "night": true, "probability": 0.24, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": true, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 1.4 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["372099 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 07, 370983 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8332563817866794, "night": false, "probability": 0.8332563817866794, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 20:49 and 09:58, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 02:50 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 13355 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.7998611111111111, "night": false, "probability": 0.7998611111111111, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 4.80 hours!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5913043478260869, "night": false, "probability": 0.5913043478260869, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 1 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 47, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.47036815339365645, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.375, "night": true}], [1555039212.926875, {"predictions": [{"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Apparently we are banned from just-eat. We therefore have no clue."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.18439247684665844, "night": true, "probability": 0.18439247684665844, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 12:53 and 01:06, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 03:20 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 12647 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.09999999999999998, "night": true, "probability": 0.09999999999999998, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": true, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 1.1 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["385874 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 07, 385741 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.7788541666666666, "night": false, "probability": 0.7788541666666666, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 5.31 hours!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5913043478260869, "night": false, "probability": 0.5913043478260869, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 1 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 47, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.402878915944951, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.249998, "night": true}], [1555041028.210825, {"predictions": [{"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Apparently we are banned from just-eat. We therefore have no clue."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": true, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.6 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["398302 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 07, 396138 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.7578472222222222, "night": false, "probability": 0.7578472222222222, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 5.81 hours!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6699999999999999, "night": false, "probability": 0.6699999999999999, "reasons": ["Battery level's getting low, so it's probably around dinnertime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5826086956521739, "night": false, "probability": 0.5826086956521739, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 0 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 48, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5107348384727074, "night": false, "probability": 0.5107348384727074, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 05:42 and 16:35, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 03:50 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 430 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.4750988963622586, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.5053674192363538, "night": true}], [1555042843.381345, {"predictions": [{"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Apparently we are banned from just-eat. We therefore have no clue."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.28, "night": true, "probability": 0.28, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.25140001906997567, "night": true, "probability": 0.25140001906997567, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 22:56 and 11:55, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 04:20 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 9962 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["425544 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 425491 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": true, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.3 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.7368402777777778, "night": false, "probability": 0.7368402777777778, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 6.32 hours!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5826086956521739, "night": false, "probability": 0.5826086956521739, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 0 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 48, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.33590374937499395, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.25070000953498783, "night": true}], [1555044658.662829, {"predictions": [{"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Apparently we are banned from just-eat. We therefore have no clue."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.10725126707019139, "night": true, "probability": 0.10725126707019139, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 14:40 and 03:01, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 04:51 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 15739 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": true, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.2 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["455314 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 06, 454175 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.72, "night": false, "probability": 0.72, "reasons": ["Your phone is dying, so it's bedtime soon?"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.7158101851851852, "night": false, "probability": 0.7158101851851852, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 6.82 hours!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5826086956521739, "night": false, "probability": 0.5826086956521739, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -2 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 48, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.44213884565896255, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.375, "night": true}], [1555046475.026812, {"predictions": [{"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Apparently we are banned from just-eat. We therefore have no clue."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["462730 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 463493 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": true, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.1 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6947916666666667, "night": false, "probability": 0.6947916666666667, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 7.33 hours!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6699999999999999, "night": false, "probability": 0.6699999999999999, "reasons": ["Battery level's getting low, so it's probably around dinnertime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5826086956521739, "night": false, "probability": 0.5826086956521739, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -6 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 48, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5823875906796165, "night": false, "probability": 0.5823875906796165, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 08:00 and 18:46, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 05:21 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 3301 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.3924819960832048, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.375, "night": true}], [1555048290.946814, {"predictions": [{"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Apparently we are banned from just-eat. We therefore have no clue."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.3328118161767496, "night": true, "probability": 0.3328118161767496, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 00:58 and 13:48, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 05:51 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 6700 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.22999999999999998, "night": true, "probability": 0.22999999999999998, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": false, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.1 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["471479 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 06, 472136 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6737152777777777, "night": false, "probability": 0.6737152777777777, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 7.83 hours!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5913043478260869, "night": false, "probability": 0.5913043478260869, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -10 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 47, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.4464856201483845, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.4164059080883748, "night": true}], [1555050111.782884, {"predictions": [{"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Apparently we are banned from just-eat. We therefore have no clue."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.030398164574822195, "night": true, "probability": 0.030398164574822195, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 16:27 and 04:56, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 06:21 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 18819 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": false, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.1 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["483530 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 06, 483498 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.96, "night": false, "probability": 0.96, "reasons": ["Your phone's practically dead, so it's probably around four in the morning."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6608695652173913, "night": false, "probability": 0.6608695652173913, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -15 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 39, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6527199074074075, "night": false, "probability": 0.6527199074074075, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 8.33 hours!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.4861653030999684, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.5125, "night": true}], [1555051926.574909, {"predictions": [{"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Apparently we are banned from just-eat. We therefore have no clue."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.18999999999999995, "night": true, "probability": 0.18999999999999995, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": false, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.1 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["499204 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 06, 495851 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6766824140422215, "night": false, "probability": 0.6766824140422215, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 10:19 and 21:00, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 06:52 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 7080 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6434782608695653, "night": false, "probability": 0.6434782608695653, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -18 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 41, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6317013888888889, "night": false, "probability": 0.6317013888888889, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 8.84 hours!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.4726548386500563, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.5125, "night": true}], [1555053742.211179, {"predictions": [{"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.4134311102908596, "night": true, "probability": 0.4134311102908596, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 02:58 and 15:40, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 07:22 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 3469 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.16000000000000003, "night": true, "probability": 0.16000000000000003, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": true, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.2 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["519041 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 06, 516839 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": false, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6608695652173913, "night": false, "probability": 0.6608695652173913, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -24 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 39, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6106134259259259, "night": false, "probability": 0.6106134259259259, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 9.35 hours!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.45290917511951473, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.33171555514542983, "night": true}], [1555055564.178806, {"predictions": [{"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.049060251317045445, "night": true, "probability": 0.049060251317045445, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 18:16 and 06:52, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 07:52 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 18071 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["541338 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 543866 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": true, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.2 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.96, "night": false, "probability": 0.96, "reasons": ["Your phone's practically dead, so it's probably around four in the morning."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": false, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6173913043478261, "night": false, "probability": 0.6173913043478261, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -27 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 44, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5895601851851853, "night": false, "probability": 0.5895601851851853, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 9.85 hours!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.40050064507083805, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.249998, "night": true}], [1555057382.894842, {"predictions": [{"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.22894040661587983, "night": true, "probability": 0.22894040661587983, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 12:35 and 23:15, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 08:23 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 10862 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["560166 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 559902 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": true, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.2 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": false, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.89, "night": false, "probability": 0.89, "reasons": ["Your phone is dying, so it's bedtime soon?"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6173913043478261, "night": false, "probability": 0.6173913043478261, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -30 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 44, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5685416666666667, "night": false, "probability": 0.5685416666666667, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 10.35 hours!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.4079057814691977, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.249998, "night": true}], [1555059199.639961, {"predictions": [{"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.4912075980086119, "night": true, "probability": 0.4912075980086119, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 04:54 and 17:29, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 08:53 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 352 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["574769 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 576129 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": true, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.2 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": false, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6086956521739131, "night": false, "probability": 0.6086956521739131, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -31 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 45, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5900000000000001, "night": false, "probability": 0.5900000000000001, "reasons": ["Battery level's getting low, so it's probably around dinnertime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5475347222222222, "night": false, "probability": 0.5475347222222222, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 10.86 hours!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.40228616436706227, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.37060379900430596, "night": true}], [1555061014.502844, {"predictions": [{"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.12813141939615075, "night": true, "probability": 0.12813141939615075, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 20:06 and 08:50, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 09:23 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 14902 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.09090909090909091, "night": true, "probability": 0.09090909090909091, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is currently open.", "We conclude from this, that there is 0.09090909090909091% chance of it being night outside"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["580557 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 582210 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": true, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.2 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6173913043478261, "night": false, "probability": 0.6173913043478261, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -30 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 44, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5265046296296296, "night": false, "probability": 0.5265046296296296, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 11.36 hours!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.52, "night": false, "probability": 0.52, "reasons": ["Battery level's getting low, so it's probably around dinnertime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.2969110370235581, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.212498, "night": true}], [1555062831.46323, {"predictions": [{"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.13282820585162364, "night": true, "probability": 0.13282820585162364, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 14:53 and 01:34, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 09:54 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 14714 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.09090909090909091, "night": true, "probability": 0.09090909090909091, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is currently open.", "We conclude from this, that there is 0.09090909090909091% chance of it being night outside"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["588315 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 586017 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": false, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.2 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Your phone's practically dead, so it's probably around four in the morning."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5913043478260869, "night": false, "probability": 0.5913043478260869, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -29 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 47, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.505462962962963, "night": false, "probability": 0.505462962962963, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 11.87 hours!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.3625417172958137, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.249998, "night": true}], [1555064649.786854, {"predictions": [{"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.4844560185185185, "night": true, "probability": 0.4844560185185185, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 12.37 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.4310278378665975, "night": true, "probability": 0.4310278378665975, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 06:50 and 19:17, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 10:24 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 2764 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.37, "night": true, "probability": 0.37, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.09090909090909091, "night": true, "probability": 0.09090909090909091, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is currently open.", "We conclude from this, that there is 0.09090909090909091% chance of it being night outside"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["609185 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 609003 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": true, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.1 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6086956521739131, "night": false, "probability": 0.6086956521739131, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -28 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 45, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.30542371662234336, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.249998, "night": true}], [1555066464.950872, {"predictions": [{"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.46343750000000006, "night": true, "probability": 0.46343750000000006, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 12.88 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.44999999999999996, "night": true, "probability": 0.44999999999999996, "reasons": ["Battery level's getting low, so it's probably around dinnertime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.20852388795112892, "night": true, "probability": 0.20852388795112892, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 21:58 and 10:50, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 10:54 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 11680 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.09090909090909091, "night": true, "probability": 0.09090909090909091, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is currently open.", "We conclude from this, that there is 0.09090909090909091% chance of it being night outside"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["643294 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 652559 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": true, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.1 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6173913043478261, "night": false, "probability": 0.6173913043478261, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -27 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 44, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.29252148193400385, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.22925994397556446, "night": true}], [1555068280.173451, {"predictions": [{"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.44243055555555555, "night": true, "probability": 0.44243055555555555, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 13.38 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.09090909090909091, "night": true, "probability": 0.09090909090909091, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is currently open.", "We conclude from this, that there is 0.09090909090909091% chance of it being night outside"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.03825470316514629, "night": true, "probability": 0.03825470316514629, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 17:07 and 03:53, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 11:24 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 18504 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["684678 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 699489 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": true, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.1 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.69, "night": false, "probability": 0.69, "reasons": ["Battery level's getting low, so it's probably around dinnertime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6347826086956522, "night": false, "probability": 0.6347826086956522, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -25 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 42, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.29803107986045374, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.212498, "night": true}], [1555070095.506829, {"predictions": [{"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.42140046296296296, "night": true, "probability": 0.42140046296296296, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 13.89 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.3535527674872027, "night": true, "probability": 0.3535527674872027, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 08:46 and 21:05, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 11:55 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 5868 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.09090909090909091, "night": true, "probability": 0.09090909090909091, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is currently open.", "We conclude from this, that there is 0.09090909090909091% chance of it being night outside"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["733507 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 719116 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": true, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.1 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6799999999999999, "night": false, "probability": 0.6799999999999999, "reasons": ["Battery level's getting low, so it's probably around dinnertime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6521739130434783, "night": false, "probability": 0.6521739130434783, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -23 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 40, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.3231693528668946, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.249998, "night": true}], [1555071912.678795, {"predictions": [{"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.44999999999999996, "night": true, "probability": 0.44999999999999996, "reasons": ["Battery level's getting low, so it's probably around dinnertime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.40035879629629634, "night": true, "probability": 0.40035879629629634, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 14.39 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.2911615967900817, "night": true, "probability": 0.2911615967900817, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 23:52 and 12:54, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 12:25 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 8369 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.09090909090909091, "night": true, "probability": 0.09090909090909091, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is currently open.", "We conclude from this, that there is 0.09090909090909091% chance of it being night outside"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["784250 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 777380 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": true, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.1 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6608695652173913, "night": false, "probability": 0.6608695652173913, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -19 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 39, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.297774587434405, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.249998, "night": true}], [1555073730.470794, {"predictions": [{"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.37932870370370375, "night": true, "probability": 0.37932870370370375, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 14.90 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.09090909090909091, "night": true, "probability": 0.09090909090909091, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is currently open.", "We conclude from this, that there is 0.09090909090909091% chance of it being night outside"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.05466073520187137, "night": true, "probability": 0.05466073520187137, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 19:14 and 06:10, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 12:55 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 17846 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["834726 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 835412 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": true, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.1 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.71, "night": false, "probability": 0.71, "reasons": ["Your phone is dying, so it's bedtime soon?"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6086956521739131, "night": false, "probability": 0.6086956521739131, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -12 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 45, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.2936325151657149, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.212498, "night": true}], [1555075547.061961, {"predictions": [{"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.35832175925925924, "night": true, "probability": 0.35832175925925924, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 15.40 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.2771425016885739, "night": true, "probability": 0.2771425016885739, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 10:40 and 22:52, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 13:25 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 8931 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.09090909090909091, "night": true, "probability": 0.09090909090909091, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is currently open.", "We conclude from this, that there is 0.09090909090909091% chance of it being night outside"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["879234 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 879112 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": false, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's night-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.1 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.84, "night": false, "probability": 0.84, "reasons": ["Your phone is dying, so it's bedtime soon?"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5826086956521739, "night": false, "probability": 0.5826086956521739, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -5 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 48, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.4315815039590915, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.3177321304739166, "night": true}], [1555077362.858807, {"predictions": [{"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.37589536235455806, "night": true, "probability": 0.37589536235455806, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 01:49 and 15:01, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 13:56 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 4973 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.3373032407407407, "night": true, "probability": 0.3373032407407407, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 15.90 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.09090909090909091, "night": true, "probability": 0.09090909090909091, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is currently open.", "We conclude from this, that there is 0.09090909090909091% chance of it being night outside"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["911037 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 913637 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": false, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's night-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.1 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.69, "night": false, "probability": 0.69, "reasons": ["Battery level's getting low, so it's probably around dinnertime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5913043478260869, "night": false, "probability": 0.5913043478260869, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 1 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 47, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.42628400348587303, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.3565993015476494, "night": true}], [1555079178.778874, {"predictions": [{"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.31628472222222215, "night": true, "probability": 0.31628472222222215, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 16.41 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.20999999999999996, "night": true, "probability": 0.20999999999999996, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.14374023446159917, "night": true, "probability": 0.14374023446159917, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 21:18 and 08:22, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 14:26 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 14277 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.09090909090909091, "night": true, "probability": 0.09090909090909091, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is currently open.", "We conclude from this, that there is 0.09090909090909091% chance of it being night outside"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["923065 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 922197 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": false, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's night-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.1 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5913043478260869, "night": false, "probability": 0.5913043478260869, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 6 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 47, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.36518619961824994, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.249998, "night": true}], [1555080994.06398, {"predictions": [{"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.29518518518518533, "night": true, "probability": 0.29518518518518533, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 16.92 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.09090909090909091, "night": true, "probability": 0.09090909090909091, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is currently open.", "We conclude from this, that there is 0.09090909090909091% chance of it being night outside"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["912948 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 913637 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": true, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's night-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.2 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.7995780548199187, "night": false, "probability": 0.7995780548199187, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 12:34 and 00:39, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 14:56 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 12005 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.69, "night": false, "probability": 0.69, "reasons": ["Battery level's getting low, so it's probably around dinnertime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6, "night": false, "probability": 0.6, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 9 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 46, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.4296390275761829, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.27259259259259266, "night": true}], [1555082817.340847, {"predictions": [{"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.4624675795780133, "night": true, "probability": 0.4624675795780133, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 03:49 and 17:11, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 15:27 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 1504 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.09090909090909091, "night": true, "probability": 0.09090909090909091, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is currently open.", "We conclude from this, that there is 0.09090909090909091% chance of it being night outside"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["883931 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 883678 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": true, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's night-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.2 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": false, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Alexander's upstairs neighbour is currently playing league"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6599999999999999, "night": false, "probability": 0.6599999999999999, "reasons": ["Battery level's getting low, so it's probably around dinnertime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6, "night": false, "probability": 0.6, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 12 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 46, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.4411143892072587, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.35623378978900666, "night": true}], [1555084642.955767, {"predictions": [{"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.22697939151296898, "night": true, "probability": 0.22697939151296898, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 23:15 and 10:26, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 15:57 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 10941 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.09090909090909091, "night": true, "probability": 0.09090909090909091, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is currently open.", "We conclude from this, that there is 0.09090909090909091% chance of it being night outside"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["837644 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 835475 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": true, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's night-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.2 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": false, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Alexander's upstairs neighbour is currently playing league"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6086956521739131, "night": false, "probability": 0.6086956521739131, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 14 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 45, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5900000000000001, "night": false, "probability": 0.5900000000000001, "reasons": ["Battery level's getting low, so it's probably around dinnertime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.41638167788299774, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.249998, "night": true}], [1555086458.062843, {"predictions": [{"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.35, "night": true, "probability": 0.35, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.09090909090909091, "night": true, "probability": 0.09090909090909091, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is currently open.", "We conclude from this, that there is 0.09090909090909091% chance of it being night outside"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["785477 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 777380 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": true, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's night-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.2 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8746977996500876, "night": false, "probability": 0.8746977996500876, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 14:26 and 02:24, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 16:27 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 15016 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": false, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Alexander's upstairs neighbour is currently playing league"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6086956521739131, "night": false, "probability": 0.6086956521739131, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 13 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 45, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.4503582118944243, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.3, "night": true}], [1555088273.774964, {"predictions": [{"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.4486844607000035, "night": true, "probability": 0.4486844607000035, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 05:53 and 19:23, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 16:58 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 2056 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.09090909090909091, "night": true, "probability": 0.09090909090909091, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is currently open.", "We conclude from this, that there is 0.09090909090909091% chance of it being night outside"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["735343 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 750968 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": true, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's night-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.3 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.98, "night": false, "probability": 0.98, "reasons": ["Your phone's practically dead, so it's probably around four in the morning."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": false, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Alexander's upstairs neighbour is currently playing league"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6086956521739131, "night": false, "probability": 0.6086956521739131, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 13 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 45, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.46735710031525063, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.3493422303500018, "night": true}], [1555090090.530961, {"predictions": [{"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.09090909090909091, "night": true, "probability": 0.09090909090909091, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is currently open.", "We conclude from this, that there is 0.09090909090909091% chance of it being night outside"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["686712 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 699489 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": true, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's night-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.4 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8995023148148148, "night": false, "probability": 0.8995023148148148, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 2.41 hours!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.84, "night": false, "probability": 0.84, "reasons": ["Your phone is dying, so it's bedtime soon?"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6891250992370483, "night": false, "probability": 0.6891250992370483, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 01:12 and 12:31, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 17:28 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 7579 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6, "night": false, "probability": 0.6, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 12 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 46, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.48329437541341286, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.425, "night": true}], [1555091916.678835, {"predictions": [{"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.16000000000000003, "night": true, "probability": 0.16000000000000003, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.09090909090909091, "night": true, "probability": 0.09090909090909091, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is currently open.", "We conclude from this, that there is 0.09090909090909091% chance of it being night outside"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["636357 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 623425 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": false, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's night-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.4 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.9505839819441206, "night": false, "probability": 0.9505839819441206, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 16:18 and 04:10, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 17:58 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 18057 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8784837962962964, "night": false, "probability": 0.8784837962962964, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 2.92 hours!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6, "night": false, "probability": 0.6, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 8 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 46, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.47583107242912565, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.38749999999999996, "night": true}], [1555093732.37093, {"predictions": [{"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's night-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.6 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": false, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8574421296296296, "night": false, "probability": 0.8574421296296296, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 3.42 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.7, "night": false, "probability": 0.7, "reasons": ["Your phone is dying, so it's bedtime soon?"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5826086956521739, "night": false, "probability": 0.5826086956521739, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 4 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 48, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": false, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.3579900078261138, "night": true, "probability": 0.3579900078261138, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 08:01 and 21:38, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 18:29 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 5691 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["601708 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 598957 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.5365030694256597, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.5538043478260869, "night": false}], [1555095550.002832, {"predictions": [{"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's night-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.6 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": false, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8364236111111111, "night": false, "probability": 0.8364236111111111, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 3.93 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.71, "night": false, "probability": 0.71, "reasons": ["Your phone is dying, so it's bedtime soon?"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6091097489710915, "night": false, "probability": 0.6091097489710915, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 03:04 and 14:30, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 18:59 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 4372 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5913043478260869, "night": false, "probability": 0.5913043478260869, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -1 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 47, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": false, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["570722 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 572177 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.5572361423256907, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.6002070483985892, "night": false}], [1555097366.902855, {"predictions": [{"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.02955879908889031, "night": true, "probability": 0.02955879908889031, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 18:13 and 05:58, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 19:29 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 18852 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["537401 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 536380 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": true, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's night-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.7 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": false, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8154050925925926, "night": false, "probability": 0.8154050925925926, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 4.43 hours!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.72, "night": false, "probability": 0.72, "reasons": ["Your phone is dying, so it's bedtime soon?"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5826086956521739, "night": false, "probability": 0.5826086956521739, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -8 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 48, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.47813071561113807, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.41630434782608694, "night": true}], [1555099182.590977, {"predictions": [{"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.9 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["506844 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 06, 505329 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": false, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.81, "night": false, "probability": 0.81, "reasons": ["Your phone is dying, so it's bedtime soon?"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.794224537037037, "night": false, "probability": 0.794224537037037, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 4.94 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6086956521739131, "night": false, "probability": 0.6086956521739131, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -13 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 45, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": true, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.2635850991982577, "night": true, "probability": 0.2635850991982577, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 10:14 and 23:56, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 20:00 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 9474 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.5055417740341006, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.4361403756860854, "night": false}], [1555101014.16284, {"predictions": [{"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.8 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["476942 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 06, 476052 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": false, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.7731828703703704, "night": false, "probability": 0.7731828703703704, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 5.44 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.73, "night": false, "probability": 0.73, "reasons": ["Your phone is dying, so it's bedtime soon?"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6434782608695653, "night": false, "probability": 0.6434782608695653, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -18 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 41, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5309766626359265, "night": false, "probability": 0.5309766626359265, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 04:53 and 16:26, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 20:30 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 1241 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": true, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.5223028161563218, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.5872274617527459, "night": false}], [1555102829.91884, {"predictions": [{"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.10616871574641262, "night": true, "probability": 0.10616871574641262, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 20:07 and 07:46, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 21:00 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 15782 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": true, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.6 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["446647 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 06, 444908 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": false, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.78, "night": false, "probability": 0.78, "reasons": ["Your phone is dying, so it's bedtime soon?"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.7520949074074074, "night": false, "probability": 0.7520949074074074, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 5.95 hours!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6695652173913044, "night": false, "probability": 0.6695652173913044, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -21 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 38, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.49148540337876034, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.4597826086956522, "night": true}], [1555104652.190947, {"predictions": [{"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["415077 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 416027 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": true, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.6 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": false, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.89, "night": false, "probability": 0.89, "reasons": ["Your phone is dying, so it's bedtime soon?"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8276861228235469, "night": false, "probability": 0.8276861228235469, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 12:25 and 02:09, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 21:31 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 13132 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.7310648148148149, "night": false, "probability": 0.7310648148148149, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 6.45 hours!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6608695652173913, "night": false, "probability": 0.6608695652173913, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -24 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 39, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.4749680419046461, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.45543478260869563, "night": true}], [1555106468.878812, {"predictions": [{"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.9 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["383503 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 07, 385741 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": false, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.89, "night": false, "probability": 0.89, "reasons": ["Your phone is dying, so it's bedtime soon?"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.710011574074074, "night": false, "probability": 0.710011574074074, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 6.96 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6347826086956522, "night": false, "probability": 0.6347826086956522, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -25 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 42, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5471325765133153, "night": false, "probability": 0.5471325765133153, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 06:42 and 18:22, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 22:01 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 1888 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": true, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.5309935632735868, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.5909575926044837, "night": false}], [1555108288.254936, {"predictions": [{"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.18416620587324567, "night": true, "probability": 0.18416620587324567, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 22:03 and 09:35, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 22:31 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 12657 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": true, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.0 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["353958 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 07, 353552 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": false, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.9, "night": false, "probability": 0.9, "reasons": ["Your phone's practically dead, so it's probably around four in the morning."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6889351851851853, "night": false, "probability": 0.6889351851851853, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 7.47 hours!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6173913043478261, "night": false, "probability": 0.6173913043478261, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -26 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 44, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.4983740579505214, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.43369565217391304, "night": true}], [1555110110.754805, {"predictions": [{"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 1.0 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["326923 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 07, 327542 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.9213953036667306, "night": false, "probability": 0.9213953036667306, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 14:41 and 04:23, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 23:02 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 16887 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": false, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6678935185185185, "night": false, "probability": 0.6678935185185185, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 7.97 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6347826086956522, "night": false, "probability": 0.6347826086956522, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -25 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 42, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": true, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.36, "night": true, "probability": 0.36, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.5145056192400751, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.4973913043478261, "night": false}], [1555111927.17083, {"predictions": [{"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.09999999999999998, "night": true, "probability": 0.09999999999999998, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": true, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 1.0 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["303077 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 07, 307968 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": false, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6521739130434783, "night": false, "probability": 0.6521739130434783, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -23 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 40, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6468518518518518, "night": false, "probability": 0.6468518518518518, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 8.48 hours!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6240616572522079, "night": false, "probability": 0.6240616572522079, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 08:30 and 20:17, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 23:32 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 4971 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.46775695184562815, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.43703082862610393, "night": true}], [1555113745.510814, {"predictions": [{"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.263597300084079, "night": true, "probability": 0.263597300084079, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 00:02 and 11:24, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 00:02 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 9473 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.13, "night": true, "probability": 0.13, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": true, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 1.2 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["293756 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 07, 292750 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": false, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6608695652173913, "night": false, "probability": 0.6608695652173913, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -20 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 39, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6257870370370371, "night": false, "probability": 0.6257870370370371, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 8.98 hours!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.43918749186154227, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.2567986500420395, "night": true}], [1555115565.894925, {"predictions": [{"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.18000000000000005, "night": true, "probability": 0.18000000000000005, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.016218794200479947, "night": true, "probability": 0.016218794200479947, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 16:56 and 06:36, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 00:32 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 19387 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": true, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 1.6 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["297710 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 07, 292750 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": false, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6869565217391305, "night": false, "probability": 0.6869565217391305, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -16 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 36, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6047800925925926, "night": false, "probability": 0.6047800925925926, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 9.49 hours!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.42316261737768357, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.249998, "night": true}], [1555117380.590972, {"predictions": [{"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.21999999999999997, "night": true, "probability": 0.21999999999999997, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": true, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 1.9 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["312644 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 07, 311736 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": false, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.700761694089092, "night": false, "probability": 0.700761694089092, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 10:17 and 22:10, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 01:03 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 8045 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5913043478260869, "night": false, "probability": 0.5913043478260869, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -11 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 47, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5837731481481481, "night": false, "probability": 0.5837731481481481, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 9.99 hours!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.4738195991719439, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.41688657407407403, "night": true}], [1555119195.574885, {"predictions": [{"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 2.3 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["341385 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 07, 340842 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": false, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.83, "night": false, "probability": 0.83, "reasons": ["Your phone is dying, so it's bedtime soon?"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6542133736309002, "night": false, "probability": 0.6542133736309002, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 02:05 and 13:18, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 01:33 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 6180 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5826086956521739, "night": false, "probability": 0.5826086956521739, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -7 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 48, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5627314814814814, "night": false, "probability": 0.5627314814814814, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 10.49 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": true, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.5182957958970463, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.5726700885668277, "night": false}], [1555121013.151692, {"predictions": [{"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 1.9 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["375201 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 07, 375601 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": false, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8912663253025235, "night": false, "probability": 0.8912663253025235, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 19:16 and 08:44, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 02:03 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 15679 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5826086956521739, "night": false, "probability": 0.5826086956521739, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 0 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 48, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5417245370370372, "night": false, "probability": 0.5417245370370372, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 11.00 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": true, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.43999999999999995, "night": true, "probability": 0.43999999999999995, "reasons": ["Battery level's getting low, so it's probably around dinnertime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.5037996298326446, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.49086226851851855, "night": false}], [1555122828.606956, {"predictions": [{"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.22249140658075583, "night": true, "probability": 0.22249140658075583, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 12:04 and 00:05, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 02:33 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 11121 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": true, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. 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We therefore have no clue."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.4996759259259259, "night": true, "probability": 0.4996759259259259, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 12.01 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": true, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 1.0 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Your phone's practically dead, so it's probably around four in the morning."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["450978 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 06, 449132 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5913043478260869, "night": false, "probability": 0.5913043478260869, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 6 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 47, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5697513550688068, "night": false, "probability": 0.5697513550688068, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 04:11 and 15:16, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 03:04 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 2795 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.48672730240173495, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.49983796296296296, "night": true}], [1555126469.813674, {"predictions": [{"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Apparently we are banned from just-eat. We therefore have no clue."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.47857638888888887, "night": true, "probability": 0.47857638888888887, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 12.51 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["473835 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 472546 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": true, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 1.4 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Your phone's practically dead, so it's probably around four in the morning."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8036268078625659, "night": false, "probability": 0.8036268078625659, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 21:26 and 10:46, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 03:34 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 12167 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6, "night": false, "probability": 0.6, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 7 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 46, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.42184993306262125, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.36428819444444444, "night": true}], [1555128284.742846, {"predictions": [{"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Apparently we are banned from just-eat. We therefore have no clue."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.4575578703703703, "night": true, "probability": 0.4575578703703703, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 13.02 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.14652425477172715, "night": true, "probability": 0.14652425477172715, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:50 and 01:58, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 04:04 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 14165 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["493489 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 491189 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": true, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 1.4 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6, "night": false, "probability": 0.6, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 8 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 46, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.53, "night": false, "probability": 0.53, "reasons": ["Battery level's getting low, so it's probably around dinnertime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.3261731770951748, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.249998, "night": true}], [1555130100.530827, {"predictions": [{"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Apparently we are banned from just-eat. We therefore have no clue."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.4365393518518519, "night": true, "probability": 0.4365393518518519, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 13.52 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.13, "night": true, "probability": 0.13, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": true, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.9 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["525321 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 06, 526151 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6, "night": false, "probability": 0.6, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 8 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 46, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5163680429149633, "night": false, "probability": 0.5163680429149633, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 06:20 and 17:16, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 04:35 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 655 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.40524194956390125, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.34326967592592594, "night": true}], [1555131915.778849, {"predictions": [{"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Apparently we are banned from just-eat. We therefore have no clue."], "contribution": 0.11096316023080337}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.41539351851851847, "night": true, "probability": 0.41539351851851847, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 14.03 hours!"], "contribution": 0.11096316023080337}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.2824130070705063, "night": true, "probability": 0.2824130070705063, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 23:35 and 12:45, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 05:05 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 8719 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.11096316023080337}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": 0.11096316023080337}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["559302 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 559902 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.11096316023080337}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05570350643586329}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.055481580115401684}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.0011096316023080338}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 1.1 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.11096316023080337}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6699999999999999, "night": false, "probability": 0.6699999999999999, "reasons": ["Battery level's getting low, so it's probably around dinnertime."], "contribution": -0.11096316023080337}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6, "night": false, "probability": 0.6, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 8 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 46, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.11096316023080337}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.3611638659626386, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.2824130070705063, "night": true}], [1555133747.922754, {"predictions": [{"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Battery level's getting low, so it's probably around dinnertime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Apparently we are banned from just-eat. We therefore have no clue."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.3943402777777778, "night": true, "probability": 0.3943402777777778, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 14.54 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.07138704049140487, "night": true, "probability": 0.07138704049140487, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 15:35 and 03:49, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 05:35 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 17176 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["593921 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 592212 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": false, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.9 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6, "night": false, "probability": 0.6, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 7 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 46, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.3413102765224319, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.3221701388888889, "night": true}], [1555135562.574868, {"predictions": [{"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Apparently we are banned from just-eat. We therefore have no clue."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.37332175925925926, "night": true, "probability": 0.37332175925925926, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 15.04 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.36, "night": true, "probability": 0.36, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["626794 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 623425 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": false, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.6 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.603570824101091, "night": false, "probability": 0.603570824101091, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 08:29 and 19:18, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 06:06 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 4150 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5913043478260869, "night": false, "probability": 0.5913043478260869, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 5 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 47, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.37151607759886973, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.3666608796296296, "night": true}], [1555137378.423994, {"predictions": [{"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Apparently we are banned from just-eat. We therefore have no clue."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.3642812282241399, "night": true, "probability": 0.3642812282241399, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 01:38 and 14:39, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 06:36 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 5438 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.35225694444444444, "night": true, "probability": 0.35225694444444444, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 15.55 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["657522 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 652559 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": false, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.5 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6086956521739131, "night": false, "probability": 0.6086956521739131, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 2 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 45, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5900000000000001, "night": false, "probability": 0.5900000000000001, "reasons": ["Battery level's getting low, so it's probably around dinnertime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.37043581873687476, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.35826908633429216, "night": true}], [1555139198.22909, {"predictions": [{"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.37, "night": true, "probability": 0.37, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.33124999999999993, "night": true, "probability": 0.33124999999999993, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 16.05 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.007037350327109559, "night": true, "probability": 0.007037350327109559, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 17:22 and 05:44, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 07:06 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 19755 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["682932 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 699489 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": false, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.4 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": false, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5826086956521739, "night": false, "probability": 0.5826086956521739, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -4 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 48, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.3525743371649403, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.29062499999999997, "night": true}], [1555141013.950843, {"predictions": [{"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.3102314814814814, "night": true, "probability": 0.3102314814814814, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 16.55 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.22999999999999998, "night": true, "probability": 0.22999999999999998, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["709444 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 719116 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": true, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. 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there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6957083090162064, "night": false, "probability": 0.6957083090162064, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 10:46 and 21:27, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 07:37 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 7843 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6086956521739131, "night": false, "probability": 0.6086956521739131, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -13 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 45, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.3695526202226334, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.249998, "night": true}], [1555142829.099467, {"predictions": [{"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.44643090163024157, "night": true, "probability": 0.44643090163024157, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 03:41 and 16:33, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 08:07 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 2146 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.28921296296296306, "night": true, "probability": 0.28921296296296306, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 17.06 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["730364 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 719116 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": true, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. 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Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.2 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": false, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.65, "night": false, "probability": 0.65, "reasons": ["Battery level's getting low, so it's probably around dinnertime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5913043478260869, "night": false, "probability": 0.5913043478260869, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -29 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 47, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.3486746983373556, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.249998, "night": true}], [1555146467.810857, {"predictions": [{"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.24706018518518524, "night": true, "probability": 0.24706018518518524, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 18.07 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.21053121096158867, "night": true, "probability": 0.21053121096158867, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:03 and 23:40, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 09:08 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 11600 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.09090909090909091, "night": true, "probability": 0.09090909090909091, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is currently open.", "We conclude from this, that there is 0.09090909090909091% chance of it being night outside"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["741671 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 750968 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": true, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.2 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6086956521739131, "night": false, "probability": 0.6086956521739131, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -35 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 45, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5800000000000001, "night": false, "probability": 0.5800000000000001, "reasons": ["Battery level's getting low, so it's probably around dinnertime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.2847660116024815, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.22879569807338695, "night": true}], [1555148287.294904, {"predictions": [{"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.47462132561316345, "night": true, "probability": 0.47462132561316345, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 05:39 and 18:22, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 09:38 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 1017 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.42000000000000004, "night": true, "probability": 0.42000000000000004, "reasons": ["Battery level's getting low, so it's probably around dinnertime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.2260416666666667, "night": true, "probability": 0.2260416666666667, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 18.57 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.09090909090909091, "night": true, "probability": 0.09090909090909091, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is currently open.", "We conclude from this, that there is 0.09090909090909091% chance of it being night outside"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["733921 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 719116 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": true, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.1 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5913043478260869, "night": false, "probability": 0.5913043478260869, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -39 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 47, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.29023936925125066, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.23801883333333335, "night": true}], [1555150102.960983, {"predictions": [{"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.205011574074074, "night": true, "probability": 0.205011574074074, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 19.08 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.1615596282035754, "night": true, "probability": 0.1615596282035754, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 20:57 and 09:34, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 10:08 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 13562 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.09090909090909091, "night": true, "probability": 0.09090909090909091, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is currently open.", "We conclude from this, that there is 0.09090909090909091% chance of it being night outside"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["729849 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 719116 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": false, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.2 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.61, "night": false, "probability": 0.61, "reasons": ["Battery level's getting low, so it's probably around dinnertime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5913043478260869, "night": false, "probability": 0.5913043478260869, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -40 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 47, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.3073983867510689, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.227503787037037, "night": true}], [1555151920.791387, {"predictions": [{"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.49, "night": true, "probability": 0.49, "reasons": ["Battery level's getting low, so it's probably around dinnertime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.11532797619101764, "night": true, "probability": 0.11532797619101764, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 15:21 and 01:56, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 10:38 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 15415 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.09090909090909091, "night": true, "probability": 0.09090909090909091, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is currently open.", "We conclude from this, that there is 0.09090909090909091% chance of it being night outside"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["743709 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 750968 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": false, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.1 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": false, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Alexander's upstairs neighbour is currently playing league"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5913043478260869, "night": false, "probability": 0.5913043478260869, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -39 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 47, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.3431281179105163, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.249998, "night": true}], [1555153736.234796, {"predictions": [{"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.39580748530774296, "night": true, "probability": 0.39580748530774296, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 07:37 and 20:12, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 11:09 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 4175 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.09090909090909091, "night": true, "probability": 0.09090909090909091, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is currently open.", "We conclude from this, that there is 0.09090909090909091% chance of it being night outside"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["770434 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 777380 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": false, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.1 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.92, "night": false, "probability": 0.92, "reasons": ["Your phone's practically dead, so it's probably around four in the morning."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": false, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Alexander's upstairs neighbour is currently playing league"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5913043478260869, "night": false, "probability": 0.5913043478260869, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -38 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 47, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.4023347436702434, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.32290374265387145, "night": true}], [1555155552.018865, {"predictions": [{"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.41000000000000003, "night": true, "probability": 0.41000000000000003, "reasons": ["Battery level's getting low, so it's probably around dinnertime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.24102094733610235, "night": true, "probability": 0.24102094733610235, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 22:47 and 11:33, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 11:39 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 10378 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.09090909090909091, "night": true, "probability": 0.09090909090909091, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is currently open.", "We conclude from this, that there is 0.09090909090909091% chance of it being night outside"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["811263 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 806961 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": true, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.1 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": false, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Alexander's upstairs neighbour is currently playing league"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6, "night": false, "probability": 0.6, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -36 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 46, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.3184938365204328, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.24550847366805117, "night": true}], [1555157368.67877, {"predictions": [{"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.09090909090909091, "night": true, "probability": 0.09090909090909091, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is currently open.", "We conclude from this, that there is 0.09090909090909091% chance of it being night outside"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.040000000000000036, "night": true, "probability": 0.040000000000000036, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.019546031222514915, "night": true, "probability": 0.019546031222514915, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 17:38 and 04:16, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 12:09 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 19254 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["861152 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 860683 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": true, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.1 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": false, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Alexander's upstairs neighbour is currently playing league"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6, "night": false, "probability": 0.6, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -32 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 46, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.2692042601776338, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.13295454545454544, "night": true}], [1555159183.98, {"predictions": [{"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.3181030937334801, "night": true, "probability": 0.3181030937334801, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 09:33 and 22:00, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 12:39 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 7289 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.09090909090909091, "night": true, "probability": 0.09090909090909091, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is currently open.", "We conclude from this, that there is 0.09090909090909091% chance of it being night outside"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["904922 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 907092 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": true, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.2 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.83, "night": false, "probability": 0.83, "reasons": ["Your phone is dying, so it's bedtime soon?"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": false, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Alexander's upstairs neighbour is currently playing league"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6086956521739131, "night": false, "probability": 0.6086956521739131, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -28 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 45, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.3606419864013737, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.249998, "night": true}], [1555161006.922862, {"predictions": [{"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.32063782776285055, "night": true, "probability": 0.32063782776285055, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 00:38 and 13:33, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 13:10 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 7187 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.09090909090909091, "night": true, "probability": 0.09090909090909091, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is currently open.", "We conclude from this, that there is 0.09090909090909091% chance of it being night outside"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["916017 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 915057 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": true, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's night-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.1 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": false, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Alexander's upstairs neighbour is currently playing league"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.78, "night": false, "probability": 0.78, "reasons": ["Your phone is dying, so it's bedtime soon?"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6608695652173913, "night": false, "probability": 0.6608695652173913, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -24 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 39, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.4443677069907777, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.2853189138814253, "night": true}], [1555162822.678862, {"predictions": [{"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.09090909090909091, "night": true, "probability": 0.09090909090909091, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is currently open.", "We conclude from this, that there is 0.09090909090909091% chance of it being night outside"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.07521312736781383, "night": true, "probability": 0.07521312736781383, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 19:49 and 06:34, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 13:40 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 17023 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["920264 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 919408 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": true, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's night-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.2 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": false, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Alexander's upstairs neighbour is currently playing league"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6434782608695653, "night": false, "probability": 0.6434782608695653, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -18 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 41, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.51, "night": false, "probability": 0.51, "reasons": ["Battery level's getting low, so it's probably around dinnertime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.39996637326220585, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.249998, "night": true}], [1555164640.376216, {"predictions": [{"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.31999999999999995, "night": true, "probability": 0.31999999999999995, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.09090909090909091, "night": true, "probability": 0.09090909090909091, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is currently open.", "We conclude from this, that there is 0.09090909090909091% chance of it being night outside"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["958265 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 939918 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": true, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's night-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.2 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": false, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Alexander's upstairs neighbour is currently playing league"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.7582567047647062, "night": false, "probability": 0.7582567047647062, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 11:27 and 23:46, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 14:10 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 10349 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5913043478260869, "night": false, "probability": 0.5913043478260869, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -10 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 47, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.4367055119583237, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.285, "night": true}], [1555166456.654402, {"predictions": [{"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.43000000000000005, "night": true, "probability": 0.43000000000000005, "reasons": ["Battery level's getting low, so it's probably around dinnertime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.40311581591468837, "night": true, "probability": 0.40311581591468837, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 02:32 and 15:37, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 14:41 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 3882 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.09090909090909091, "night": true, "probability": 0.09090909090909091, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is currently open.", "We conclude from this, that there is 0.09090909090909091% chance of it being night outside"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["970007 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 939918 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": true, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's night-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.2 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": false, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Alexander's upstairs neighbour is currently playing league"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5826086956521739, "night": false, "probability": 0.5826086956521739, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 0 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 48, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.41555246687299613, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.3265579079573442, "night": true}], [1555168272.246835, {"predictions": [{"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.16702950715154197, "night": true, "probability": 0.16702950715154197, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 21:57 and 08:50, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 15:11 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 13343 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.09090909090909091, "night": true, "probability": 0.09090909090909091, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is currently open.", "We conclude from this, that there is 0.09090909090909091% chance of it being night outside"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["957610 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 939918 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": false, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's night-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.1 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.9, "night": false, "probability": 0.9, "reasons": ["Your phone's practically dead, so it's probably around four in the morning."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": false, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Alexander's upstairs neighbour is currently playing league"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5913043478260869, "night": false, "probability": 0.5913043478260869, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 6 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 47, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.46493657882389333, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.38749999999999996, "night": true}], [1555170087.858849, {"predictions": [{"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's night-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.2 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.92, "night": false, "probability": 0.92, "reasons": ["Your phone's practically dead, so it's probably around four in the morning."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.835134209031718, "night": false, "probability": 0.835134209031718, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:21 and 01:33, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 15:41 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 13430 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": false, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Alexander's upstairs neighbour is currently playing league"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6, "night": false, "probability": 0.6, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 11 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 46, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": false, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.09090909090909091, "night": true, "probability": 0.09090909090909091, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is currently open.", "We conclude from this, that there is 0.09090909090909091% chance of it being night outside"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["926645 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 926340 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.5230032749950674, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.5625, "night": false}], [1555171903.841124, {"predictions": [{"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.48831931558328395, "night": true, "probability": 0.48831931558328395, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 04:30 and 17:45, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 16:11 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 468 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.48, "night": true, "probability": 0.48, "reasons": ["Battery level's getting low, so it's probably around dinnertime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.09090909090909091, "night": true, "probability": 0.09090909090909091, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is currently open.", "We conclude from this, that there is 0.09090909090909091% chance of it being night outside"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["872467 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 870733 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": false, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's night-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.2 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": false, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Alexander's upstairs neighbour is currently playing league"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6086956521739131, "night": false, "probability": 0.6086956521739131, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 15 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 45, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.45816000488885733, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.48415965779164194, "night": true}], [1555173719.24028, {"predictions": [{"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.09090909090909091, "night": true, "probability": 0.09090909090909091, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is currently open.", "We conclude from this, that there is 0.09090909090909091% chance of it being night outside"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["818170 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 817829 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": false, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's night-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.3 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": false, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Alexander's upstairs neighbour is currently playing league"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.7438543909312665, "night": false, "probability": 0.7438543909312665, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 00:02 and 11:03, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 16:42 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 9772 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.71, "night": false, "probability": 0.71, "reasons": ["Your phone is dying, so it's bedtime soon?"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6173913043478261, "night": false, "probability": 0.6173913043478261, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 18 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 44, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.49934589884901526, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.571195652173913, "night": true}], [1555175535.574879, {"predictions": [{"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.09090909090909091, "night": true, "probability": 0.09090909090909091, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is currently open.", "We conclude from this, that there is 0.09090909090909091% chance of it being night outside"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.050000000000000044, "night": true, "probability": 0.050000000000000044, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["762195 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 750968 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": true, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's night-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.3 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.9118397917257935, "night": false, "probability": 0.9118397917257935, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 15:16 and 03:20, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 17:12 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 16504 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": false, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Alexander's upstairs neighbour is currently playing league"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6173913043478261, "night": false, "probability": 0.6173913043478261, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 20 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 44, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.42917801558189256, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.249998, "night": true}], [1555177354.515083, {"predictions": [{"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.42436809525819685, "night": true, "probability": 0.42436809525819685, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 06:31 and 19:56, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 17:42 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 3030 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.27, "night": true, "probability": 0.27, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.09090909090909091, "night": true, "probability": 0.09090909090909091, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is currently open.", "We conclude from this, that there is 0.09090909090909091% chance of it being night outside"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["720823 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 719116 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": true, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's night-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.4 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.909525462962963, "night": false, "probability": 0.909525462962963, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 2.17 hours!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6173913043478261, "night": false, "probability": 0.6173913043478261, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 20 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 44, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.4160158294565064, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.26, "night": true}], [1555179171.574839, {"predictions": [{"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.18999999999999995, "night": true, "probability": 0.18999999999999995, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["688855 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 699489 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": true, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's night-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.4 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": false, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": false, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Alexander's upstairs neighbour is currently playing league"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6585125221257432, "night": false, "probability": 0.6585125221257432, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 02:01 and 13:10, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 18:13 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 6352 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6173913043478261, "night": false, "probability": 0.6173913043478261, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 18 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 44, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.4879916522061308, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.43369565217391304, "night": true}], [1555180992.542897, {"predictions": [{"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's night-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.5 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.9876488866048645, "night": false, "probability": 0.9876488866048645, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 17:09 and 05:06, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 18:43 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 19542 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": false, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": false, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Alexander's upstairs neighbour is currently playing league"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6086956521739131, "night": false, "probability": 0.6086956521739131, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 15 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 45, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": true, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.07999999999999996, "night": true, "probability": 0.07999999999999996, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["650314 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 652559 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.5055283782315648, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.42934782608695654, "night": false}], [1555182807.966835, {"predictions": [{"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.33460867390679233, "night": true, "probability": 0.33460867390679233, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 08:35 and 22:10, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 19:13 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 6628 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.17000000000000004, "night": true, "probability": 0.17000000000000004, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["608823 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 609003 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": true, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's night-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.5 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": false, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": false, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Alexander's upstairs neighbour is currently playing league"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6, "night": false, "probability": 0.6, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 11 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 46, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.45788372282556605, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.2923043369533962, "night": true}], [1555184623.063963, {"predictions": [{"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.12, "night": true, "probability": 0.12, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["574121 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 572177 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": true, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's night-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.5 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": false, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": false, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Alexander's upstairs neighbour is currently playing league"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6086956521739131, "night": false, "probability": 0.6086956521739131, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 3 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 45, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5754713521761095, "night": false, "probability": 0.5754713521761095, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 03:56 and 15:14, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 19:43 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 3024 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.47451358369583524, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.4127356760880547, "night": true}], [1555186440.358918, {"predictions": [{"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.06644568173378729, "night": true, "probability": 0.06644568173378729, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 19:04 and 06:54, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 20:14 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 17374 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["539573 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 536380 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": true, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.4 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": false, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": false, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Alexander's upstairs neighbour is currently playing league"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.7, "night": false, "probability": 0.7, "reasons": ["Your phone is dying, so it's bedtime soon?"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5826086956521739, "night": false, "probability": 0.5826086956521739, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -4 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 48, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.3949208647821634, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.249998, "night": true}], [1555188256.19884, {"predictions": [{"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.4 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["505855 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 06, 505329 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": false, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": false, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Alexander's upstairs neighbour is currently playing league"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.7589305264134721, "night": false, "probability": 0.7589305264134721, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 10:46 and 00:28, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 20:44 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 10376 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.61, "night": false, "probability": 0.61, "reasons": ["Battery level's getting low, so it's probably around dinnertime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6086956521739131, "night": false, "probability": 0.6086956521739131, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -13 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 45, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": true, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.5306351815489487, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.6093478260869565, "night": false}], [1555190071.463209, {"predictions": [{"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.09999999999999998, "night": true, "probability": 0.09999999999999998, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": true, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.5 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["470550 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 06, 472136 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": false, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": false, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Alexander's upstairs neighbour is currently playing league"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6608695652173913, "night": false, "probability": 0.6608695652173913, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -17 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 39, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5059878620096516, "night": false, "probability": 0.5059878620096516, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 05:50 and 17:16, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 21:14 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 239 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.47140445226892025, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.3779939310048258, "night": true}], [1555191886.810798, {"predictions": [{"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.14427568697343746, "night": true, "probability": 0.14427568697343746, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 21:00 and 08:42, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 21:44 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 14255 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": true, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.5 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["437465 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 06, 435124 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": false, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.9076620370370371, "night": false, "probability": 0.9076620370370371, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 2.22 hours!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6799999999999999, "night": false, "probability": 0.6799999999999999, "reasons": ["Battery level's getting low, so it's probably around dinnertime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6521739130434783, "night": false, "probability": 0.6521739130434783, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -23 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 40, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.4978423030878294, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.45108695652173914, "night": true}], [1555193703.289328, {"predictions": [{"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.22999999999999998, "night": true, "probability": 0.22999999999999998, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["Because 12.5 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 7.0 is the expected number for daytime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": true, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["402179 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 07, 401461 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": false, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8866087962962963, "night": false, "probability": 0.8866087962962963, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 2.72 hours!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8553191881587241, "night": false, "probability": 0.8553191881587241, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:03 and 02:50, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 22:15 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 14239 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6347826086956522, "night": false, "probability": 0.6347826086956522, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -25 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 42, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.43305888276255605, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.249998, "night": true}], [1555195519.638985, {"predictions": [{"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.0 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["371933 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 07, 370983 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": false, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8656134259259259, "night": false, "probability": 0.8656134259259259, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 3.23 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6173913043478261, "night": false, "probability": 0.6173913043478261, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -26 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 44, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5857755548378978, "night": false, "probability": 0.5857755548378978, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 07:41 and 19:15, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 22:45 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 3437 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": true, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.37, "night": true, "probability": 0.37, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.5023980237593042, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.4778877774189489, "night": false}], [1555197334.254868, {"predictions": [{"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.38, "night": true, "probability": 0.38, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.2229359070346537, "night": true, "probability": 0.2229359070346537, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 22:57 and 10:32, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 23:15 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 11103 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": true, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.6 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["344931 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 07, 344506 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": false, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8444791666666667, "night": false, "probability": 0.8444791666666667, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 3.73 hours!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6173913043478261, "night": false, "probability": 0.6173913043478261, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -26 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 44, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.4712335315040955, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.315, "night": true}], [1555199160.1228, {"predictions": [{"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.7 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["326864 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 07, 327542 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.9495266642705631, "night": false, "probability": 0.9495266642705631, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 15:19 and 05:06, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 23:46 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 18014 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": false, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8234722222222223, "night": false, "probability": 0.8234722222222223, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 4.24 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6347826086956522, "night": false, "probability": 0.6347826086956522, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -25 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 42, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. 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it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.5064814579323698, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.4423913043478261, "night": false}], [1555200974.958862, {"predictions": [{"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 1.0 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["317334 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 07, 317976 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": false, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.83, "night": false, "probability": 0.83, "reasons": ["Your phone is dying, so it's bedtime soon?"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8024652777777778, "night": false, "probability": 0.8024652777777778, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 4.74 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6635492696270543, "night": false, "probability": 0.6635492696270543, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 09:29 and 21:10, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 00:16 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 6554 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6608695652173913, "night": false, "probability": 0.6608695652173913, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -22 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 39, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": true, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.5455733427185187, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.6622094174222228, "night": false}], [1555202789.758921, {"predictions": [{"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.9 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["319990 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 07, 319848 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": false, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.7814583333333334, "night": false, "probability": 0.7814583333333334, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 5.25 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6982336150883512, "night": false, "probability": 0.6982336150883512, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 00:55 and 12:20, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 00:46 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 7944 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6608695652173913, "night": false, "probability": 0.6608695652173913, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -20 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 39, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": true, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.45999999999999996, "night": true, "probability": 0.45999999999999996, "reasons": ["Battery level's getting low, so it's probably around dinnertime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.5158797928032564, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.5604347826086956, "night": false}], [1555204604.946785, {"predictions": [{"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.8 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["338895 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 07, 339244 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.9517866010760954, "night": false, "probability": 0.9517866010760954, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 17:40 and 07:24, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 01:16 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 18105 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": false, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.760462962962963, "night": false, "probability": 0.760462962962963, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 5.75 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6608695652173913, "night": false, "probability": 0.6608695652173913, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -15 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 39, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.51, "night": false, "probability": 0.51, "reasons": ["Battery level's getting low, so it's probably around dinnertime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": true, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.5394262607713708, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.5854347826086956, "night": false}], [1555206419.634805, {"predictions": [{"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.16000000000000003, "night": true, "probability": 0.16000000000000003, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": true, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.9 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["369986 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 07, 369566 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": false, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.7416263428045853, "night": false, "probability": 0.7416263428045853, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 11:18 and 23:07, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 01:47 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 9683 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.7394444444444445, "night": false, "probability": 0.7394444444444445, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 6.25 hours!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5826086956521739, "night": false, "probability": 0.5826086956521739, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -7 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 48, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.4844729569084336, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.41630434782608694, "night": true}], [1555208234.898935, {"predictions": [{"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.10999999999999999, "night": true, "probability": 0.10999999999999999, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": true, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 1.0 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["412577 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 07, 412530 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": false, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.7183564814814816, "night": false, "probability": 0.7183564814814816, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 6.76 hours!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6164250118995263, "night": false, "probability": 0.6164250118995263, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 02:58 and 14:14, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 02:17 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 4665 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5826086956521739, "night": false, "probability": 0.5826086956521739, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 0 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 48, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.46811551575276517, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.41630434782608694, "night": true}], [1555210058.002837, {"predictions": [{"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 2.0 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["450945 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 06, 449132 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.96, "night": false, "probability": 0.96, "reasons": ["Your phone's practically dead, so it's probably around four in the morning."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": false, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8591192095063329, "night": false, "probability": 0.8591192095063329, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 19:57 and 09:34, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 02:47 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 14391 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.697337962962963, "night": false, "probability": 0.697337962962963, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 7.26 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5913043478260869, "night": false, "probability": 0.5913043478260869, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 6 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 47, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": true, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.5581464600246152, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.644321155394525, "night": false}], [1555211873.503006, {"predictions": [{"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Apparently we are banned from just-eat. We therefore have no clue."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.18197115559685406, "night": true, "probability": 0.18197115559685406, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:04 and 01:01, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 03:18 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 12745 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.17000000000000004, "night": true, "probability": 0.17000000000000004, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": true, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 1.5 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["481148 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 06, 481003 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6763078703703704, "night": false, "probability": 0.6763078703703704, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 7.77 hours!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5913043478260869, "night": false, "probability": 0.5913043478260869, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 10 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 47, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.3999649478161093, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.249998, "night": true}], [1555213690.171637, {"predictions": [{"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Apparently we are banned from just-eat. We therefore have no clue."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": true, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 1.6 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["503188 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 06, 505329 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6552893518518519, "night": false, "probability": 0.6552893518518519, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 8.27 hours!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6086956521739131, "night": false, "probability": 0.6086956521739131, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 14 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 45, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5700000000000001, "night": false, "probability": 0.5700000000000001, "reasons": ["Battery level's getting low, so it's probably around dinnertime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5340670915558842, "night": false, "probability": 0.5340670915558842, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 05:01 and 16:08, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 03:48 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 1365 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.46233734129847076, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.517033545777942, "night": true}], [1555215506.002895, {"predictions": [{"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 1.2 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["529393 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 06, 526151 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.7680950554224092, "night": false, "probability": 0.7680950554224092, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 22:13 and 11:41, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 04:18 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 10743 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.76, "night": false, "probability": 0.76, "reasons": ["Your phone is dying, so it's bedtime soon?"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6342708333333333, "night": false, "probability": 0.6342708333333333, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 8.78 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6086956521739131, "night": false, "probability": 0.6086956521739131, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 16 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 45, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": false, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Apparently we are banned from just-eat. We therefore have no clue."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.5250881284108047, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.5668478260869565, "night": false}], [1555217322.062981, {"predictions": [{"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Apparently we are banned from just-eat. We therefore have no clue."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.10530578036741667, "night": true, "probability": 0.10530578036741667, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 14:51 and 02:55, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 04:48 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 15817 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["567491 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 567069 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": false, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 1.0 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6132291666666667, "night": false, "probability": 0.6132291666666667, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 9.28 hours!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6086956521739131, "night": false, "probability": 0.6086956521739131, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 17 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 45, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.56, "night": false, "probability": 0.56, "reasons": ["Battery level's getting low, so it's probably around dinnertime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.3681022166006664, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.375, "night": true}], [1555219139.961931, {"predictions": [{"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Apparently we are banned from just-eat. We therefore have no clue."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["610420 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 611489 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": false, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 1.0 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8200000000000001, "night": false, "probability": 0.8200000000000001, "reasons": ["Your phone is dying, so it's bedtime soon?"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6086956521739131, "night": false, "probability": 0.6086956521739131, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 16 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 45, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5921875000000001, "night": false, "probability": 0.5921875000000001, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 9.79 hours!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5515820177380476, "night": false, "probability": 0.5515820177380476, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 07:09 and 18:07, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 05:19 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 2067 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.4252050974926634, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.5125, "night": true}], [1555220958.654846, {"predictions": [{"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Apparently we are banned from just-eat. We therefore have no clue."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.3189951448627312, "night": true, "probability": 0.3189951448627312, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 00:24 and 13:42, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 05:49 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 7253 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["653428 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 652559 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": false, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 1.0 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.74, "night": false, "probability": 0.74, "reasons": ["Your phone is dying, so it's bedtime soon?"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6086956521739131, "night": false, "probability": 0.6086956521739131, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 16 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 45, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5711805555555556, "night": false, "probability": 0.5711805555555556, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 10.29 hours!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.39740561271601665, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.4094975724313656, "night": true}], [1555222773.278844, {"predictions": [{"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Apparently we are banned from just-eat. We therefore have no clue."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.028929067004796694, "night": true, "probability": 0.028929067004796694, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 16:37 and 04:49, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 06:19 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 18878 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["694762 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 699489 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": false, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 1.1 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6086956521739131, "night": false, "probability": 0.6086956521739131, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 14 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 45, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.550162037037037, "night": false, "probability": 0.550162037037037, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 10.80 hours!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.55, "night": false, "probability": 0.55, "reasons": ["Battery level's getting low, so it's probably around dinnertime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.35564856301797887, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.375, "night": true}], [1555224589.626781, {"predictions": [{"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Apparently we are banned from just-eat. We therefore have no clue."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.27, "night": true, "probability": 0.27, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["730095 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 719116 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": true, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.5 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6400453722638009, "night": false, "probability": 0.6400453722638009, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 09:21 and 20:10, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 06:49 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 5612 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6, "night": false, "probability": 0.6, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 11 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 46, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5291550925925925, "night": false, "probability": 0.5291550925925925, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 11.30 hours!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.3515997054046994, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.26, "night": true}], [1555226404.23292, {"predictions": [{"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.4046747563712162, "night": true, "probability": 0.4046747563712162, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 02:33 and 15:40, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 07:20 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 3820 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.32999999999999996, "night": true, "probability": 0.32999999999999996, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["761286 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 750968 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": true, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.5 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": false, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5913043478260869, "night": false, "probability": 0.5913043478260869, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 6 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 47, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5081134259259259, "night": false, "probability": 0.5081134259259259, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 11.81 hours!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.3686740441769357, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.29, "night": true}], [1555228222.323494, {"predictions": [{"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.4870833333333333, "night": true, "probability": 0.4870833333333333, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 12.31 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.049440142534662335, "night": true, "probability": 0.049440142534662335, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 18:24 and 06:44, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 07:50 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 18056 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["785100 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 777380 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": false, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.3 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": false, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.65, "night": false, "probability": 0.65, "reasons": ["Battery level's getting low, so it's probably around dinnertime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5826086956521739, "night": false, "probability": 0.5826086956521739, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 0 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 48, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.3924273476266808, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.36854166666666666, "night": true}], [1555230040.930862, {"predictions": [{"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.4660185185185185, "night": true, "probability": 0.4660185185185185, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 12.82 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["805313 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 806961 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": false, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.2 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": false, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.7310079673328992, "night": false, "probability": 0.7310079673328992, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 11:37 and 22:17, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 08:20 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 9257 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.7, "night": false, "probability": 0.7, "reasons": ["Your phone is dying, so it's bedtime soon?"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5826086956521739, "night": false, "probability": 0.5826086956521739, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -9 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 48, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.4516359317919659, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.4955092592592592, "night": true}], [1555231861.806846, {"predictions": [{"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.4860155665059391, "night": true, "probability": 0.4860155665059391, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 04:35 and 17:33, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 08:51 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 560 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.4448726851851852, "night": true, "probability": 0.4448726851851852, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 13.32 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["816386 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 817829 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": false, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.2 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": false, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6434782608695653, "night": false, "probability": 0.6434782608695653, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -18 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 41, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.51, "night": false, "probability": 0.51, "reasons": ["Battery level's getting low, so it's probably around dinnertime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.4186968760467241, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.46544412584556216, "night": true}], [1555233686.27863, {"predictions": [{"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.49, "night": true, "probability": 0.49, "reasons": ["Battery level's getting low, so it's probably around dinnertime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.42385416666666675, "night": true, "probability": 0.42385416666666675, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 13.83 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.12502795771179315, "night": true, "probability": 0.12502795771179315, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 20:10 and 08:36, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 09:21 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 15027 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.09090909090909091, "night": true, "probability": 0.09090909090909091, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is currently open.", "We conclude from this, that there is 0.09090909090909091% chance of it being night outside"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["810829 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 806961 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": true, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.2 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6347826086956522, "night": false, "probability": 0.6347826086956522, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -25 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 42, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.2870474853319336, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.212498, "night": true}], [1555235501.621457, {"predictions": [{"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.4028587962962963, "night": true, "probability": 0.4028587962962963, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 14.33 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.17761155725862376, "night": true, "probability": 0.17761155725862376, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:51 and 00:26, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 09:51 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 12919 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.09090909090909091, "night": true, "probability": 0.09090909090909091, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is currently open.", "We conclude from this, that there is 0.09090909090909091% chance of it being night outside"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.040000000000000036, "night": true, "probability": 0.040000000000000036, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["796444 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 802699 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": true, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.2 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6173913043478261, "night": false, "probability": 0.6173913043478261, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -30 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 44, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.2507305624009864, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.17630577862931188, "night": true}], [1555237316.463352, {"predictions": [{"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.4338565023271169, "night": true, "probability": 0.4338565023271169, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 06:35 and 19:24, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 10:22 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 2650 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.09090909090909091, "night": true, "probability": 0.09090909090909091, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is currently open.", "We conclude from this, that there is 0.09090909090909091% chance of it being night outside"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["790281 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 802699 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": true, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.3 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": false, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Alexander's upstairs neighbour is currently playing league"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.72, "night": false, "probability": 0.72, "reasons": ["Your phone is dying, so it's bedtime soon?"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6, "night": false, "probability": 0.6, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -33 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 46, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.36039679943635067, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.249998, "night": true}], [1555239132.174911, {"predictions": [{"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.20312055928946027, "night": true, "probability": 0.20312055928946027, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 21:58 and 10:33, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 10:52 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 11897 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.09090909090909091, "night": true, "probability": 0.09090909090909091, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is currently open.", "We conclude from this, that there is 0.09090909090909091% chance of it being night outside"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["794101 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 802699 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": true, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.2 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.9299999999999999, "night": false, "probability": 0.9299999999999999, "reasons": ["Your phone's practically dead, so it's probably around four in the morning."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": false, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Alexander's upstairs neighbour is currently playing league"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6086956521739131, "night": false, "probability": 0.6086956521739131, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -35 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 45, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.359393441864372, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.22655827964473013, "night": true}], [1555240954.921328, {"predictions": [{"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.09090909090909091, "night": true, "probability": 0.09090909090909091, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is currently open.", "We conclude from this, that there is 0.09090909090909091% chance of it being night outside"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.08300339296469955, "night": true, "probability": 0.08300339296469955, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 16:09 and 02:41, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 11:22 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 16711 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["821963 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 817829 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": true, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.2 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": false, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Alexander's upstairs neighbour is currently playing league"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6, "night": false, "probability": 0.6, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -36 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 46, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.53, "night": false, "probability": 0.53, "reasons": ["Battery level's getting low, so it's probably around dinnertime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.31532570698948253, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.212498, "night": true}], [1555242770.76636, {"predictions": [{"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.38, "night": true, "probability": 0.38, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.3551225223652539, "night": true, "probability": 0.3551225223652539, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 08:33 and 21:13, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 11:52 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 5805 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.09090909090909091, "night": true, "probability": 0.09090909090909091, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is currently open.", "We conclude from this, that there is 0.09090909090909091% chance of it being night outside"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["853425 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 853739 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": true, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.2 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": false, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Alexander's upstairs neighbour is currently playing league"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6086956521739131, "night": false, "probability": 0.6086956521739131, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -35 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 45, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.3262269387873548, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.249998, "night": true}], [1555244585.490873, {"predictions": [{"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.31000000000000005, "night": true, "probability": 0.31000000000000005, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.28109614328038707, "night": true, "probability": 0.28109614328038707, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 23:46 and 12:30, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 12:23 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 8772 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.09090909090909091, "night": true, "probability": 0.09090909090909091, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is currently open.", "We conclude from this, that there is 0.09090909090909091% chance of it being night outside"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["900944 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 899694 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": true, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.3 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": false, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Alexander's upstairs neighbour is currently playing league"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5913043478260869, "night": false, "probability": 0.5913043478260869, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -34 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 47, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.31277546516796373, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.249998, "night": true}], [1555246402.274866, {"predictions": [{"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.22999999999999998, "night": true, "probability": 0.22999999999999998, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.09090909090909091, "night": true, "probability": 0.09090909090909091, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is currently open.", "We conclude from this, that there is 0.09090909090909091% chance of it being night outside"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.015602926759365143, "night": true, "probability": 0.015602926759365143, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 18:29 and 05:01, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 12:53 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 19412 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["931911 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 932083 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": true, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.2 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": false, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Alexander's upstairs neighbour is currently playing league"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6086956521739131, "night": false, "probability": 0.6086956521739131, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -31 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 45, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.28543363915353076, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.20249999999999999, "night": true}], [1555248223.506901, {"predictions": [{"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.27735546260472715, "night": true, "probability": 0.27735546260472715, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 10:29 and 23:01, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 13:23 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 8922 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.21999999999999997, "night": true, "probability": 0.21999999999999997, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.09090909090909091, "night": true, "probability": 0.09090909090909091, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is currently open.", "We conclude from this, that there is 0.09090909090909091% chance of it being night outside"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["962338 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 939918 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": true, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's night-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.2 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": false, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Alexander's upstairs neighbour is currently playing league"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6173913043478261, "night": false, "probability": 0.6173913043478261, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -27 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 44, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.39047098815513703, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.249998, "night": true}], [1555250042.26281, {"predictions": [{"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.36025604507455655, "night": true, "probability": 0.36025604507455655, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 01:36 and 14:28, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 13:54 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 5600 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.31999999999999995, "night": true, "probability": 0.31999999999999995, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.09090909090909091, "night": true, "probability": 0.09090909090909091, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is currently open.", "We conclude from this, that there is 0.09090909090909091% chance of it being night outside"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["973345 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 939918 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": true, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's night-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.2 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": false, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Alexander's upstairs neighbour is currently playing league"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6608695652173913, "night": false, "probability": 0.6608695652173913, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -20 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 39, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.4093358917667532, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.285, "night": true}], [1555251859.574859, {"predictions": [{"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.10733889161381699, "night": true, "probability": 0.10733889161381699, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 20:38 and 07:17, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 14:24 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 15735 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.09090909090909091, "night": true, "probability": 0.09090909090909091, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is currently open.", "We conclude from this, that there is 0.09090909090909091% chance of it being night outside"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.08999999999999997, "night": true, "probability": 0.08999999999999997, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["956145 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 939918 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": true, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's night-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.3 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": false, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Alexander's upstairs neighbour is currently playing league"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6347826086956522, "night": false, "probability": 0.6347826086956522, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -14 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 42, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.36691888260154665, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.212498, "night": true}], [1555253680.718145, {"predictions": [{"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.09090909090909091, "night": true, "probability": 0.09090909090909091, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is currently open.", "We conclude from this, that there is 0.09090909090909091% chance of it being night outside"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.040000000000000036, "night": true, "probability": 0.040000000000000036, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["915539 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 915057 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": true, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's night-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.2 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": false, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Alexander's upstairs neighbour is currently playing league"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.7992264474739782, "night": false, "probability": 0.7992264474739782, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 12:23 and 00:47, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 14:54 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 11991 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5826086956521739, "night": false, "probability": 0.5826086956521739, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -5 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 48, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.4160616861696036, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.249998, "night": true}], [1555255495.706936, {"predictions": [{"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.4411817477984964, "night": true, "probability": 0.4411817477984964, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 03:28 and 16:30, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 15:25 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 2357 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.21999999999999997, "night": true, "probability": 0.21999999999999997, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.09090909090909091, "night": true, "probability": 0.09090909090909091, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is currently open.", "We conclude from this, that there is 0.09090909090909091% chance of it being night outside"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["855468 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 855066 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": true, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's night-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.2 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": false, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Alexander's upstairs neighbour is currently playing league"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6086956521739131, "night": false, "probability": 0.6086956521739131, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 2 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 45, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.4033985409067917, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.249998, "night": true}], [1555257311.626865, {"predictions": [{"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.20109022097165585, "night": true, "probability": 0.20109022097165585, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 22:50 and 09:35, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 15:55 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 11978 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.09090909090909091, "night": true, "probability": 0.09090909090909091, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is currently open.", "We conclude from this, that there is 0.09090909090909091% chance of it being night outside"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["788388 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 777380 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": true, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's night-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.3 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": false, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Alexander's upstairs neighbour is currently playing league"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.71, "night": false, "probability": 0.71, "reasons": ["Your phone is dying, so it's bedtime soon?"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6, "night": false, "probability": 0.6, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 7 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 46, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.4234996093233956, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.249998, "night": true}], [1555259127.344439, {"predictions": [{"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.09090909090909091, "night": true, "probability": 0.09090909090909091, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is currently open.", "We conclude from this, that there is 0.09090909090909091% chance of it being night outside"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["726470 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 719116 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": true, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's night-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.3 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.876337986914471, "night": false, "probability": 0.876337986914471, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 14:18 and 02:35, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 16:25 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 15081 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": false, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Alexander's upstairs neighbour is currently playing league"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.72, "night": false, "probability": 0.72, "reasons": ["Your phone is dying, so it's bedtime soon?"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6, "night": false, "probability": 0.6, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 12 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 46, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.48060358981863016, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.425, "night": true}], [1555260943.37883, {"predictions": [{"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.47497709235199753, "night": true, "probability": 0.47497709235199753, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 05:24 and 18:36, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 16:55 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 1002 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.15000000000000002, "night": true, "probability": 0.15000000000000002, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.09090909090909091, "night": true, "probability": 0.09090909090909091, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is currently open.", "We conclude from this, that there is 0.09090909090909091% chance of it being night outside"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["679812 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 699489 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": true, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's night-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.4 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": false, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Alexander's upstairs neighbour is currently playing league"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6086956521739131, "night": false, "probability": 0.6086956521739131, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 17 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 45, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.40038148628625014, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.249998, "night": true}], [1555262758.753863, {"predictions": [{"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.09090909090909091, "night": true, "probability": 0.09090909090909091, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is currently open.", "We conclude from this, that there is 0.09090909090909091% chance of it being night outside"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["640740 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 652559 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": true, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's night-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.5 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.9132407407407408, "night": false, "probability": 0.9132407407407408, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 2.08 hours!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.76, "night": false, "probability": 0.76, "reasons": ["Your phone is dying, so it's bedtime soon?"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.7082979594266076, "night": false, "probability": 0.7082979594266076, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 00:57 and 11:50, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 17:26 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 8347 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6260869565217391, "night": false, "probability": 0.6260869565217391, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 21 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 43, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.4815442289665149, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.43804347826086953, "night": true}], [1555264574.106241, {"predictions": [{"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.09999999999999998, "night": true, "probability": 0.09999999999999998, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": 0.11096316023080337}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.09090909090909091, "night": true, "probability": 0.09090909090909091, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is currently open.", "We conclude from this, that there is 0.09090909090909091% chance of it being night outside"], "contribution": 0.11096316023080337}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["610481 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 611489 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.11096316023080337}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05570350643586329}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.055481580115401684}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.0011096316023080338}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's night-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": -0.11096316023080337}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.4 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.11096316023080337}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.9526395539121466, "night": false, "probability": 0.9526395539121466, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 16:12 and 04:21, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 17:56 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 18139 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": -0.11096316023080337}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8921180555555556, "night": false, "probability": 0.8921180555555556, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 2.59 hours!"], "contribution": -0.11096316023080337}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6347826086956522, "night": false, "probability": 0.6347826086956522, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 23 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 42, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.11096316023080337}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.470495028097495, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.25, "night": true}], [1555266404.487006, {"predictions": [{"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.39114286482398086, "night": true, "probability": 0.39114286482398086, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 07:20 and 20:42, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 18:26 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 4362 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.040000000000000036, "night": true, "probability": 0.040000000000000036, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["582697 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 582210 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": true, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's night-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.4 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": false, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8710300925925926, "night": false, "probability": 0.8710300925925926, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 3.10 hours!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6434782608695653, "night": false, "probability": 0.6434782608695653, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 24 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 41, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.46130393485717824, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.32057143241199043, "night": true}], [1555268222.079157, {"predictions": [{"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's night-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.4 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Your phone's practically dead, so it's probably around four in the morning."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": false, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8499884259259259, "night": false, "probability": 0.8499884259259259, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 3.60 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6521739130434783, "night": false, "probability": 0.6521739130434783, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 22 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 40, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6236947987989908, "night": false, "probability": 0.6236947987989908, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 02:55 and 13:56, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 18:57 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 4957 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": false, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["553896 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 554692 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.5888210948140329, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.6379343559212345, "night": false}], [1555270038.926951, {"predictions": [{"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's night-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.5 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["518477 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 06, 516839 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": false, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8288773148148149, "night": false, "probability": 0.8288773148148149, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 4.11 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6173913043478261, "night": false, "probability": 0.6173913043478261, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 20 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 44, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": true, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.029836091948464816, "night": true, "probability": 0.029836091948464816, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 18:05 and 06:06, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 19:27 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 18841 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.020000000000000018, "night": true, "probability": 0.020000000000000018, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.5071750592592588, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.43369565217391304, "night": false}], [1555271863.463208, {"predictions": [{"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's night-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.7 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["489231 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 06, 489629 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": false, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8200000000000001, "night": false, "probability": 0.8200000000000001, "reasons": ["Your phone is dying, so it's bedtime soon?"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8078125, "night": false, "probability": 0.8078125, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 4.61 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6086956521739131, "night": false, "probability": 0.6086956521739131, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 15 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 45, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": true, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.3054549345297086, "night": true, "probability": 0.3054549345297086, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 09:19 and 22:50, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 19:57 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 7796 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.5943299238919685, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.7082540760869566, "night": false}], [1555273683.574855, {"predictions": [{"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.10999999999999999, "night": true, "probability": 0.10999999999999999, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": true, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.9 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["457583 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 06, 458805 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": false, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.7868055555555555, "night": false, "probability": 0.7868055555555555, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 5.12 hours!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6, "night": false, "probability": 0.6, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 9 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 46, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5409553234805742, "night": false, "probability": 0.5409553234805742, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 04:50 and 15:59, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 20:28 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 1641 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.46897973991967745, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.3954776617402871, "night": true}], [1555275498.760897, {"predictions": [{"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.10547243337602091, "night": true, "probability": 0.10547243337602091, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 19:57 and 07:52, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 20:58 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 15810 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["424987 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 425491 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": true, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 1.3 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": false, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.765775462962963, "night": false, "probability": 0.765775462962963, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 5.62 hours!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6599999999999999, "night": false, "probability": 0.6599999999999999, "reasons": ["Battery level's getting low, so it's probably around dinnertime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The 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right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["392768 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 07, 390901 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": false, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.7857006563696535, "night": false, "probability": 0.7857006563696535, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 11:25 and 01:06, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 21:28 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 11449 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.7447106481481481, "night": false, "probability": 0.7447106481481481, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 6.13 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5826086956521739, "night": false, "probability": 0.5826086956521739, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -3 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 48, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": true, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.35, "night": true, "probability": 0.35, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.5044180000141646, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.46630434782608693, "night": false}], [1555279135.19778, {"predictions": [{"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 1.7 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["361711 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 07, 360869 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": false, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.7236574074074074, "night": false, "probability": 0.7236574074074074, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 6.63 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5913043478260869, "night": false, "probability": 0.5913043478260869, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -10 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 47, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5900000000000001, "night": false, "probability": 0.5900000000000001, "reasons": ["Battery level's getting low, so it's probably around dinnertime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.540930089830353, "night": false, "probability": 0.540930089830353, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 06:44 and 18:02, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 21:59 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 1640 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": false, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.5321573204219873, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.5654650449151766, "night": false}], [1555280954.46324, {"predictions": [{"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.28, "night": true, "probability": 0.28, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.18154828398600287, "night": true, "probability": 0.18154828398600287, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 21:51 and 09:38, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 22:29 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 12761 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": false, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.0 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["334028 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 07, 334975 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": false, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": false, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Alexander's upstairs neighbour is currently playing league"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6086956521739131, "night": false, "probability": 0.6086956521739131, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -13 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 45, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.48418666134665966, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.40249999999999997, "night": true}], [1555282772.486959, {"predictions": [{"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.0 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["309817 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 07, 309598 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.95, "night": false, "probability": 0.95, "reasons": ["Your phone's practically dead, so it's probably around four in the morning."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": false, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8786151158772966, "night": false, "probability": 0.8786151158772966, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:36 and 03:24, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 22:59 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 15173 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": false, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Alexander's upstairs neighbour is currently playing league"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6869565217391305, "night": false, "probability": 0.6869565217391305, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -16 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 36, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": false, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.6046306364680356, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.7434782608695653, "night": false}], [1555284586.702861, {"predictions": [{"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 3.1 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["290229 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 07, 292750 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": false, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": false, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Alexander's upstairs neighbour is currently playing league"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6608695652173913, "night": false, "probability": 0.6608695652173913, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -19 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 39, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6219780787053651, "night": false, "probability": 0.6219780787053651, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 08:36 and 20:03, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 23:29 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 4888 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": false, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.24, "night": true, "probability": 0.24, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.521903636993563, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.5734890393526826, "night": false}], [1555286402.47883, {"predictions": [{"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.2596009553918914, "night": true, "probability": 0.2596009553918914, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 23:48 and 11:26, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 00:00 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 9633 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.16000000000000003, "night": true, "probability": 0.16000000000000003, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. 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"contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.495142372423291, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.39230047769594567, "night": true}], [1555288226.110832, {"predictions": [{"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.26, "night": true, "probability": 0.26, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.026802508064719566, "night": true, "probability": 0.026802508064719566, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 15:48 and 05:44, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 00:30 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 18963 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["Because 10.0 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 7.0 is the expected number for daytime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. 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We therefore have no clue."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": -0.7361111111111109, "night": true, "probability": -0.7361111111111109, "reasons": ["Because average for daytime is 7.0 and average for nighttime is 3.4, but the current average is 6.2"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": false, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["279993 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 07, 274753 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8702893518518519, "night": false, "probability": 0.8702893518518519, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 3.11 hours!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.7, "night": false, "probability": 0.7, "reasons": ["Your phone is dying, so it's bedtime soon?"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6990266726667343, "night": false, "probability": 0.6990266726667343, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 10:24 and 21:57, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 01:01 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 7975 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6608695652173913, "night": false, "probability": 0.6608695652173913, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -20 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 39, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.3936725398854055, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.5125, "night": true}], [1555291877.146794, {"predictions": [{"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Battery level's getting low, so it's probably around dinnertime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Apparently we are banned from just-eat. We therefore have no clue."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["Because 7.1 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 7.0 is the expected number for daytime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": false, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["291559 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 07, 292750 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8492708333333333, "night": false, "probability": 0.8492708333333333, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 3.62 hours!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6648273124168331, "night": false, "probability": 0.6648273124168331, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 01:40 and 13:12, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 01:31 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 6605 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6608695652173913, "night": false, "probability": 0.6608695652173913, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -20 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 39, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.4337469759139631, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.5, "night": true}], [1555293691.990829, {"predictions": [{"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Apparently we are banned from just-eat. We therefore have no clue."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": -0.8518518518518516, "night": true, "probability": -0.8518518518518516, "reasons": ["Because average for daytime is 7.0 and average for nighttime is 3.4, but the current average is 6.7"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": false, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["310823 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 07, 310363 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.9331375470982721, "night": false, "probability": 0.9331375470982721, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 18:03 and 07:54, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 02:01 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 17357 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8282291666666667, "night": false, "probability": 0.8282291666666667, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 4.12 hours!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6086956521739131, "night": false, "probability": 0.6086956521739131, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -13 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 45, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.52, "night": false, "probability": 0.52, "reasons": ["Battery level's getting low, so it's probably around dinnertime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.3806838761739167, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.51, "night": true}], [1555295511.154862, {"predictions": [{"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Apparently we are banned from just-eat. We therefore have no clue."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.22344030274621973, "night": true, "probability": 0.22344030274621973, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 12:12 and 23:52, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 02:32 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 11083 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.00793650793650802, "night": true, "probability": 0.00793650793650802, "reasons": ["Because average for daytime is 7.0 and average for nighttime is 3.4, but the current average is 3.6"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": false, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["342116 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 07, 340842 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8070833333333334, "night": false, "probability": 0.8070833333333334, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 4.63 hours!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5826086956521739, "night": false, "probability": 0.5826086956521739, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -7 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 48, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.51, "night": false, "probability": 0.51, "reasons": ["Battery level's getting low, so it's probably around dinnertime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.3884220699723529, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.375, "night": true}], [1555297337.155989, {"predictions": [{"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Apparently we are banned from just-eat. We therefore have no clue."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.43999999999999995, "night": true, "probability": 0.43999999999999995, "reasons": ["Battery level's getting low, so it's probably around dinnertime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": false, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 2.9 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["366327 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 07, 366210 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.7860532407407408, "night": false, "probability": 0.7860532407407408, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 5.13 hours!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5913043478260869, "night": false, "probability": 0.5913043478260869, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -1 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 47, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5865744355663319, "night": false, "probability": 0.5865744355663319, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 03:37 and 15:00, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 03:02 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 3469 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.4944940020110966, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.5125, "night": true}], [1555299153.878889, {"predictions": [{"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.9 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["378444 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 07, 380728 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8410655032980163, "night": false, "probability": 0.8410655032980163, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 20:18 and 10:05, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 03:32 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 13668 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.7650231481481481, "night": false, "probability": 0.7650231481481481, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 5.64 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6086956521739131, "night": false, "probability": 0.6086956521739131, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 3 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 45, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": false, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Battery level's getting low, so it's probably around dinnertime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Apparently we are banned from just-eat. We therefore have no clue."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.5203983586350065, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.5125, "night": false}], [1555300971.363262, {"predictions": [{"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Apparently we are banned from just-eat. We therefore have no clue."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.14706414396931866, "night": true, "probability": 0.14706414396931866, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:59 and 01:46, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 04:03 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 14143 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": false, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.4 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["394822 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 07, 396138 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.7440046296296297, "night": false, "probability": 0.7440046296296297, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 6.14 hours!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6, "night": false, "probability": 0.6, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 9 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 46, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.51, "night": false, "probability": 0.51, "reasons": ["Battery level's getting low, so it's probably around dinnertime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.460922064466579, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.505, "night": true}], [1555302787.078971, {"predictions": [{"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.3 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["427745 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 06, 429296 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8200000000000001, "night": false, "probability": 0.8200000000000001, "reasons": ["Your phone is dying, so it's bedtime soon?"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.722962962962963, "night": false, "probability": 0.722962962962963, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 6.65 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6, "night": false, "probability": 0.6, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 11 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 46, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5055120274626218, "night": false, "probability": 0.5055120274626218, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 05:38 and 16:53, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 04:33 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 220 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": false, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Apparently we are banned from just-eat. We therefore have no clue."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.5148725825354654, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.5152560137313109, "night": false}], [1555304604.918992, {"predictions": [{"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Apparently we are banned from just-eat. We therefore have no clue."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.25221941947001836, "night": true, "probability": 0.25221941947001836, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 22:36 and 12:16, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 05:03 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 9929 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.07999999999999996, "night": true, "probability": 0.07999999999999996, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": false, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.2 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["444709 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 06, 444908 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.7019560185185185, "night": false, "probability": 0.7019560185185185, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 7.15 hours!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6, "night": false, "probability": 0.6, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 12 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 46, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.43034761983237807, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.3761097097350092, "night": true}], [1555306419.87487, {"predictions": [{"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Apparently we are banned from just-eat. We therefore have no clue."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.07005797581546425, "night": true, "probability": 0.07005797581546425, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 15:46 and 03:41, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 05:33 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 17229 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": false, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.1 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["450600 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 06, 449132 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.680949074074074, "night": false, "probability": 0.680949074074074, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 7.66 hours!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6086956521739131, "night": false, "probability": 0.6086956521739131, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 14 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 45, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5900000000000001, "night": false, "probability": 0.5900000000000001, "reasons": ["Battery level's getting low, so it's probably around dinnertime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.4566415585052876, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.5125, "night": true}], [1555308236.203945, {"predictions": [{"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.2 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["455766 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 06, 454175 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": false, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.76, "night": false, "probability": 0.76, "reasons": ["Your phone is dying, so it's bedtime soon?"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.659849537037037, "night": false, "probability": 0.659849537037037, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 8.16 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6086956521739131, "night": false, "probability": 0.6086956521739131, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 13 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 45, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5776542015666799, "night": false, "probability": 0.5776542015666799, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 07:43 and 18:48, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 06:04 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 3111 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": false, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.5455162825648024, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.5931749268702965, "night": false}], [1555310057.843458, {"predictions": [{"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.1 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["468024 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 06, 467800 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": false, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6387615740740742, "night": false, "probability": 0.6387615740740742, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 8.67 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6, "night": false, "probability": 0.6, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 12 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 46, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5900000000000001, "night": false, "probability": 0.5900000000000001, "reasons": ["Battery level's getting low, so it's probably around dinnertime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": false, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.3407060665959759, "night": true, "probability": 0.3407060665959759, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 00:48 and 14:20, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 06:34 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 6383 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.5091219700558375, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.5575, "night": false}], [1555311882.050825, {"predictions": [{"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.36, "night": true, "probability": 0.36, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.006992428883859092, "night": true, "probability": 0.006992428883859092, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 17:31 and 05:34, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 07:04 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 19757 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. 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Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": false, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.2 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["502153 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 06, 505329 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": false, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.659088736687939, "night": false, "probability": 0.659088736687939, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 09:45 and 20:41, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 07:35 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 6375 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6, "night": false, "probability": 0.6, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 7 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 46, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5965740740740741, "night": false, "probability": 0.5965740740740741, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 9.68 hours!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.49713823423016773, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.560787037037037, "night": true}], [1555315526.002806, {"predictions": [{"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.42661416742075026, "night": true, "probability": 0.42661416742075026, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 02:56 and 16:19, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 08:05 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 2940 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["520934 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 521831 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": true, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.1 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": false, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.84, "night": false, "probability": 0.84, "reasons": ["Your phone is dying, so it's bedtime soon?"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6086956521739131, "night": false, "probability": 0.6086956521739131, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 3 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 45, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5755439814814816, "night": false, "probability": 0.5755439814814816, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 10.19 hours!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.4200708167563454, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.3383070837103751, "night": true}], [1555317342.27086, {"predictions": [{"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.08241137270950805, "night": true, "probability": 0.08241137270950805, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 19:16 and 07:26, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 08:35 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 16734 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["539564 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 536380 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": true, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.1 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": false, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.65, "night": false, "probability": 0.65, "reasons": ["Battery level's getting low, so it's probably around dinnertime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5826086956521739, "night": false, "probability": 0.5826086956521739, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 0 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 48, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5544907407407407, "night": false, "probability": 0.5544907407407407, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 10.69 hours!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.37162556742520186, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.249998, "night": true}], [1555319161.47884, {"predictions": [{"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.18000000000000005, "night": true, "probability": 0.18000000000000005, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.09090909090909091, "night": true, "probability": 0.09090909090909091, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is currently open.", "We conclude from this, that there is 0.09090909090909091% chance of it being night outside"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["548549 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 550616 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": true, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.2 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": false, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Alexander's upstairs neighbour is currently playing league"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.7459975874429177, "night": false, "probability": 0.7459975874429177, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 11:55 and 22:42, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 09:06 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 9858 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5826086956521739, "night": false, "probability": 0.5826086956521739, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -6 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 48, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.33995928116701524, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.21499800000000002, "night": true}], [1555320982.1588, {"predictions": [{"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.4889598620889011, "night": true, "probability": 0.4889598620889011, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 05:03 and 18:16, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 09:36 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 442 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.09090909090909091, "night": true, "probability": 0.09090909090909091, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is currently open.", "We conclude from this, that there is 0.09090909090909091% chance of it being night outside"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["555404 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 555889 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": true, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.1 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": false, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Alexander's upstairs neighbour is currently playing league"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6699999999999999, "night": false, "probability": 0.6699999999999999, "reasons": ["Battery level's getting low, so it's probably around dinnertime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6086956521739131, "night": false, "probability": 0.6086956521739131, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -13 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 45, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.36154671709765873, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.249998, "night": true}], [1555322800.422826, {"predictions": [{"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.15810955044474945, "night": true, "probability": 0.15810955044474945, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 21:02 and 09:19, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 10:06 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 13701 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.15000000000000002, "night": true, "probability": 0.15000000000000002, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.09090909090909091, "night": true, "probability": 0.09090909090909091, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is currently open.", "We conclude from this, that there is 0.09090909090909091% chance of it being night outside"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["567089 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 567069 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": true, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.2 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": false, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Alexander's upstairs neighbour is currently playing league"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6695652173913044, "night": false, "probability": 0.6695652173913044, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -21 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 38, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.2957149882287621, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.16655477522237472, "night": true}], [1555324615.790875, {"predictions": [{"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.1644373735002394, "night": true, "probability": 0.1644373735002394, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 14:08 and 00:47, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 10:37 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 13447 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.09090909090909091, "night": true, "probability": 0.09090909090909091, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is currently open.", "We conclude from this, that there is 0.09090909090909091% chance of it being night outside"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["595176 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 597090 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": true, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.2 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": false, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Alexander's upstairs neighbour is currently playing league"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.78, "night": false, "probability": 0.78, "reasons": ["Your phone is dying, so it's bedtime soon?"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6173913043478261, "night": false, "probability": 0.6173913043478261, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -27 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 44, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.34439448072976303, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.212498, "night": true}], [1555326433.106842, {"predictions": [{"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.40625033439931846, "night": true, "probability": 0.40625033439931846, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 07:07 and 20:10, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 11:07 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 3757 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.09090909090909091, "night": true, "probability": 0.09090909090909091, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is currently open.", "We conclude from this, that there is 0.09090909090909091% chance of it being night outside"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.020000000000000018, "night": true, "probability": 0.020000000000000018, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["630748 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 623425 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": true, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.2 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": false, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Alexander's upstairs neighbour is currently playing league"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6, "night": false, "probability": 0.6, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -32 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 46, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.29976295210903414, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.212498, "night": true}], [1555328252.400914, {"predictions": [{"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.48, "night": true, "probability": 0.48, "reasons": ["Battery level's getting low, so it's probably around dinnertime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.23477132086701236, "night": true, "probability": 0.23477132086701236, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 22:48 and 11:14, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 11:37 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 10629 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.09090909090909091, "night": true, "probability": 0.09090909090909091, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is currently open.", "We conclude from this, that there is 0.09090909090909091% chance of it being night outside"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["676159 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 699489 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": false, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.2 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": false, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Alexander's upstairs neighbour is currently playing league"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6, "night": false, "probability": 0.6, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -37 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 46, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.35297303431467525, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.249998, "night": true}], [1555330068.894854, {"predictions": [{"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.37, "night": true, "probability": 0.37, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.09090909090909091, "night": true, "probability": 0.09090909090909091, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is currently open.", "We conclude from this, that there is 0.09090909090909091% chance of it being night outside"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0724044279931837, "night": true, "probability": 0.0724044279931837, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 16:24 and 02:56, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 12:07 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 17135 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["734417 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 719116 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. 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Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.1 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": false, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Alexander's upstairs neighbour is currently playing league"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5913043478260869, "night": false, "probability": 0.5913043478260869, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -39 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 47, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.3397385978389867, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.249998, "night": true}], [1555333699.475375, {"predictions": [{"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.4, "night": true, "probability": 0.4, "reasons": ["Battery level's getting low, so it's probably around dinnertime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.31226053318224545, "night": true, "probability": 0.31226053318224545, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 00:36 and 13:10, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 13:08 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 7523 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.09090909090909091, "night": true, "probability": 0.09090909090909091, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is currently open.", "We conclude from this, that there is 0.09090909090909091% chance of it being night outside"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["831830 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 835412 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": true, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's night-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.1 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": false, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Alexander's upstairs neighbour is currently playing league"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5913043478260869, "night": false, "probability": 0.5913043478260869, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -39 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 47, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.40620583099311863, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.2811302665911227, "night": true}], [1555335515.378845, {"predictions": [{"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.09090909090909091, "night": true, "probability": 0.09090909090909091, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is currently open.", "We conclude from this, that there is 0.09090909090909091% chance of it being night outside"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.025592402025536587, "night": true, "probability": 0.025592402025536587, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 18:45 and 05:13, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 13:38 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 19011 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["864300 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 863212 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": true, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's night-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.1 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": false, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Alexander's upstairs neighbour is currently playing league"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6, "night": false, "probability": 0.6, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -37 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 46, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5800000000000001, "night": false, "probability": 0.5800000000000001, "reasons": ["Battery level's getting low, so it's probably around dinnertime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.3980414577445523, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.249998, "night": true}], [1555337331.890331, {"predictions": [{"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.17000000000000004, "night": true, "probability": 0.17000000000000004, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.09090909090909091, "night": true, "probability": 0.09090909090909091, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is currently open.", "We conclude from this, that there is 0.09090909090909091% chance of it being night outside"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["869723 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 868951 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": true, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's night-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.1 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": false, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Alexander's upstairs neighbour is currently playing league"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.7545700961966633, "night": false, "probability": 0.7545700961966633, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 11:09 and 23:52, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 14:09 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 10201 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6, "night": false, "probability": 0.6, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -33 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 46, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.42462293225881287, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.249998, "night": true}], [1555339148.342869, {"predictions": [{"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.3903495299527382, "night": true, "probability": 0.3903495299527382, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 02:24 and 15:07, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 14:39 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 4394 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.09090909090909091, "night": true, "probability": 0.09090909090909091, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is currently open.", "We conclude from this, that there is 0.09090909090909091% chance of it being night outside"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["851097 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 851099 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": true, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's night-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.1 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.86, "night": false, "probability": 0.86, "reasons": ["Your phone is dying, so it's bedtime soon?"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": false, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Alexander's upstairs neighbour is currently playing league"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5913043478260869, "night": false, "probability": 0.5913043478260869, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -29 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 47, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.451046580723993, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.3201747649763691, "night": true}], [1555340967.34681, {"predictions": [{"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.45999999999999996, "night": true, "probability": 0.45999999999999996, "reasons": ["Battery level's getting low, so it's probably around dinnertime."], "contribution": 0.11096316023080337}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.1199008127382607, "night": true, "probability": 0.1199008127382607, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 21:00 and 07:31, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 15:09 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 15232 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.11096316023080337}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.09090909090909091, "night": true, "probability": 0.09090909090909091, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is currently open.", "We conclude from this, that there is 0.09090909090909091% chance of it being night outside"], "contribution": 0.11096316023080337}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["805185 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 806961 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.11096316023080337}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05570350643586329}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.055481580115401684}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.0011096316023080338}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's night-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": -0.11096316023080337}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.2 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.11096316023080337}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.9042939814814814, "night": false, "probability": 0.9042939814814814, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 2.30 hours!"], "contribution": -0.11096316023080337}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6521739130434783, "night": false, "probability": 0.6521739130434783, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -23 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 40, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.11096316023080337}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.43020670892475554, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.25, "night": true}], [1555342797.797462, {"predictions": [{"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.09090909090909091, "night": true, "probability": 0.09090909090909091, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is currently open.", "We conclude from this, that there is 0.09090909090909091% chance of it being night outside"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["749834 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 750968 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": true, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's night-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.2 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8831712962962963, "night": false, "probability": 0.8831712962962963, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 2.80 hours!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8310799101318792, "night": false, "probability": 0.8310799101318792, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:03 and 01:39, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 15:40 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 13268 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.71, "night": false, "probability": 0.71, "reasons": ["Your phone is dying, so it's bedtime soon?"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6608695652173913, "night": false, "probability": 0.6608695652173913, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -17 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 39, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.48800215521288814, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.45543478260869563, "night": true}], [1555344618.273656, {"predictions": [{"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.46732963257779253, "night": true, "probability": 0.46732963257779253, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 04:11 and 17:02, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 16:10 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 1309 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.09999999999999998, "night": true, "probability": 0.09999999999999998, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.09090909090909091, "night": true, "probability": 0.09090909090909091, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is currently open.", "We conclude from this, that there is 0.09090909090909091% chance of it being night outside"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["697212 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 699489 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": true, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's night-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.2 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8620833333333333, "night": false, "probability": 0.8620833333333333, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 3.31 hours!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5826086956521739, "night": false, "probability": 0.5826086956521739, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -7 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 48, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.39857722937269924, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.249998, "night": true}], [1555346439.762798, {"predictions": [{"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.2106504468912057, "night": true, "probability": 0.2106504468912057, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 23:09 and 09:43, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 16:40 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 11595 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.09090909090909091, "night": true, "probability": 0.09090909090909091, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is currently open.", "We conclude from this, that there is 0.09090909090909091% chance of it being night outside"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.010000000000000009, "night": true, "probability": 0.010000000000000009, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["647262 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 652559 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": true, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's night-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.2 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8410648148148148, "night": false, "probability": 0.8410648148148148, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 3.81 hours!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6086956521739131, "night": false, "probability": 0.6086956521739131, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 2 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 45, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.37010966706575205, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.23032322344560285, "night": true}], [1555348255.574895, {"predictions": [{"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's night-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.3 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.97, "night": false, "probability": 0.97, "reasons": ["Your phone's practically dead, so it's probably around four in the morning."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.9078168269190866, "night": false, "probability": 0.9078168269190866, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 14:58 and 03:25, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 17:11 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 16343 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8200231481481481, "night": false, "probability": 0.8200231481481481, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 4.32 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6, "night": false, "probability": 0.6, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 9 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 46, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": true, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.09090909090909091, "night": true, "probability": 0.09090909090909091, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is currently open.", "We conclude from this, that there is 0.09090909090909091% chance of it being night outside"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["607680 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 606741 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.5057287554980271, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.425, "night": false}], [1555350075.618858, {"predictions": [{"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.45251526155502514, "night": true, "probability": 0.45251526155502514, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 06:02 and 19:02, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 17:41 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 1902 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.09090909090909091, "night": true, "probability": 0.09090909090909091, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is currently open.", "We conclude from this, that there is 0.09090909090909091% chance of it being night outside"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["576817 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 576129 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": true, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's night-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.4 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.7989583333333333, "night": false, "probability": 0.7989583333333333, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 4.83 hours!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6086956521739131, "night": false, "probability": 0.6086956521739131, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 16 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 45, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.3859228614976135, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.249998, "night": true}], [1555351897.278849, {"predictions": [{"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's night-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.4 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": false, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.81, "night": false, "probability": 0.81, "reasons": ["Your phone is dying, so it's bedtime soon?"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.7778819444444445, "night": false, "probability": 0.7778819444444445, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 5.33 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.697464127403032, "night": false, "probability": 0.697464127403032, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 01:19 and 11:58, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 18:11 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 7913 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6260869565217391, "night": false, "probability": 0.6260869565217391, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 21 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 43, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": true, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["547971 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 545771 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.5417857523641013, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.6617755419623855, "night": false}], [1555353714.816472, {"predictions": [{"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's night-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.5 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["524015 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 06, 526151 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.9838144809426685, "night": false, "probability": 0.9838144809426685, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 16:51 and 05:11, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 18:42 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 19388 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": false, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.7568402777777778, "night": false, "probability": 0.7568402777777778, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 5.84 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6434782608695653, "night": false, "probability": 0.6434782608695653, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 24 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 41, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.53, "night": false, "probability": 0.53, "reasons": ["Battery level's getting low, so it's probably around dinnertime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": true, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.6253440849658343, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.7001592693236716, "night": false}], [1555355533.325942, {"predictions": [{"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's night-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": 0.1147842056932966}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.4 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.1147842056932966}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["497309 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 06, 495851 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.1147842056932966}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": false, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": 0.1147842056932966}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6521739130434783, "night": false, "probability": 0.6521739130434783, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 25 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 40, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.1147842056932966}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": -0.001147842056932966}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.0573921028466483}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.0576216712580349}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": true, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": -0.08034894398530762}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.45999999999999996, "night": true, "probability": 0.45999999999999996, "reasons": ["Battery level's getting low, so it's probably around dinnertime."], "contribution": -0.1147842056932966}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.37108128101948523, "night": true, "probability": 0.37108128101948523, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 07:54 and 21:05, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 19:12 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 5166 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": -0.1147842056932966}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.5521137449148149, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.45999999999999996, "night": false}], [1555357355.058898, {"predictions": [{"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's night-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.5 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["471714 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 06, 472136 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": false, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.87, "night": false, "probability": 0.87, "reasons": ["Your phone is dying, so it's bedtime soon?"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": false, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Alexander's upstairs neighbour is currently playing league"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6434782608695653, "night": false, "probability": 0.6434782608695653, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 24 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 41, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6079980818970574, "night": false, "probability": 0.6079980818970574, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 03:25 and 14:11, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 19:42 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 4328 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": true, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.6259560285638852, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.7217391304347827, "night": false}], [1555359170.622904, {"predictions": [{"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.06999999999999995, "night": true, "probability": 0.06999999999999995, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.06148491247599952, "night": true, "probability": 0.06148491247599952, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 18:45 and 06:57, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 20:13 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 17573 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": true, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.6 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["436975 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 06, 435124 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": false, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": false, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Alexander's upstairs neighbour is currently playing league"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6260869565217391, "night": false, "probability": 0.6260869565217391, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 21 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 43, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.42896398908314487, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.249998, "night": true}], [1555360992.226798, {"predictions": [{"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.32999999999999996, "night": true, "probability": 0.32999999999999996, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.28767242073805577, "night": true, "probability": 0.28767242073805577, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 09:49 and 23:10, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 20:43 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 8509 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": true, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.8 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["406477 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 07, 406677 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": false, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": false, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Alexander's upstairs neighbour is currently playing league"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6086956521739131, "night": false, "probability": 0.6086956521739131, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 15 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 45, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.46803033940933075, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.30883621036902786, "night": true}], [1555362807.463203, {"predictions": [{"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.44999999999999996, "night": true, "probability": 0.44999999999999996, "reasons": ["Battery level's getting low, so it's probably around dinnertime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": true, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.9 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["374854 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 07, 375601 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": false, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": false, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Alexander's upstairs neighbour is currently playing league"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6, "night": false, "probability": 0.6, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 11 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 46, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5205840035519339, "night": false, "probability": 0.5205840035519339, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 05:27 and 16:21, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 21:13 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 824 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.49671500029599447, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.48529200177596693, "night": true}], [1555364627.026803, {"predictions": [{"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.13741851184901982, "night": true, "probability": 0.13741851184901982, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 20:38 and 08:43, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 21:43 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 14530 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.020000000000000018, "night": true, "probability": 0.020000000000000018, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": true, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 1.1 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["346200 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 07, 344506 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": false, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": false, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Alexander's upstairs neighbour is currently playing league"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5826086956521739, "night": false, "probability": 0.5826086956521739, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 4 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 48, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.42750193395843283, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.249998, "night": true}], [1555366442.854835, {"predictions": [{"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.020000000000000018, "night": true, "probability": 0.020000000000000018, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["Because 100.0 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 7.0 is the expected number for daytime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": true, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["318854 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 07, 317976 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": false, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": false, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Alexander's upstairs neighbour is currently playing league"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.7995736181341655, "night": false, "probability": 0.7995736181341655, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 11:50 and 01:21, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 22:14 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 12005 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5826086956521739, "night": false, "probability": 0.5826086956521739, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -4 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 48, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.3993481928155283, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.249998, "night": true}], [1555368259.431241, {"predictions": [{"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.0 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["297153 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 07, 292750 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": false, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": false, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Alexander's upstairs neighbour is currently playing league"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6347826086956522, "night": false, "probability": 0.6347826086956522, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -14 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 42, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5655866936108574, "night": false, "probability": 0.5655866936108574, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 07:26 and 18:30, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 22:44 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 2628 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": true, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.43000000000000005, "night": true, "probability": 0.43000000000000005, "reasons": ["Battery level's getting low, so it's probably around dinnertime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.5016971085255425, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.49779334680542875, "night": false}], [1555370078.84884, {"predictions": [{"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.45999999999999996, "night": true, "probability": 0.45999999999999996, "reasons": ["Battery level's getting low, so it's probably around dinnertime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.21374115310402303, "night": true, "probability": 0.21374115310402303, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 22:32 and 10:29, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 23:14 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 11471 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": true, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 3.0 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["278198 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 07, 274753 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": false, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": false, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Alexander's upstairs neighbour is currently playing league"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6608695652173913, "night": false, "probability": 0.6608695652173913, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -22 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 39, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.47705055986011785, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.355, "night": true}], [1555371897.48687, {"predictions": [{"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Battery level's getting low, so it's probably around dinnertime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.00793650793650802, "night": true, "probability": 0.00793650793650802, "reasons": ["Because average for daytime is 7.0 and average for nighttime is 3.4, but the current average is 3.6"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": true, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["267807 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 07, 274753 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": false, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8889298556677487, "night": false, "probability": 0.8889298556677487, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:54 and 03:35, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 23:45 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 15586 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": false, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Alexander's upstairs neighbour is currently playing league"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6086956521739131, "night": false, "probability": 0.6086956521739131, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -28 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 45, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.44962983464818085, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.375, "night": true}], [1555373714.234836, {"predictions": [{"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Battery level's getting low, so it's probably around dinnertime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": -0.32275132275132257, "night": true, "probability": -0.32275132275132257, "reasons": ["Because average for daytime is 7.0 and average for nighttime is 3.4, but the current average is 4.8"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": true, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["267593 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 07, 274753 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": false, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": false, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Alexander's upstairs neighbour is currently playing league"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6481414918847974, "night": false, "probability": 0.6481414918847974, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 09:22 and 20:32, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 00:15 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 5936 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5913043478260869, "night": false, "probability": 0.5913043478260869, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -34 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 47, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.4005575430799635, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.375, "night": true}], [1555375535.85078, {"predictions": [{"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.2898422373642262, "night": true, "probability": 0.2898422373642262, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 00:26 and 12:15, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 00:45 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 8422 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.14, "night": true, "probability": 0.14, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": -0.8518518518518516, "night": true, "probability": -0.8518518518518516, "reasons": ["Because average for daytime is 7.0 and average for nighttime is 3.4, but the current average is 6.7"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": true, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["277092 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 07, 274753 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.9111805555555555, "night": false, "probability": 0.9111805555555555, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 2.13 hours!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": false, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6, "night": false, "probability": 0.6, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -37 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 46, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.30659724508899416, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.249998, "night": true}], [1555377352.877195, {"predictions": [{"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Apparently we are banned from just-eat. We therefore have no clue."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.18999999999999995, "night": true, "probability": 0.18999999999999995, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.01920357454094046, "night": true, "probability": 0.01920357454094046, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 16:00 and 05:53, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 01:16 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 19267 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["Because 7.1 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 7.0 is the expected number for daytime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": true, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["292668 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 07, 292750 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.890150462962963, "night": false, "probability": 0.890150462962963, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 2.64 hours!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6, "night": false, "probability": 0.6, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -37 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 46, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.32327916979199195, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.21999799999999997, "night": true}], [1555379175.574885, {"predictions": [{"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Apparently we are banned from just-eat. We therefore have no clue."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["Because 8.3 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 7.0 is the expected number for daytime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": true, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["312794 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 07, 313745 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8690509259259259, "night": false, "probability": 0.8690509259259259, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 3.14 hours!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.7279363943273924, "night": false, "probability": 0.7279363943273924, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 11:12 and 22:32, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 01:46 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 9134 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.72, "night": false, "probability": 0.72, "reasons": ["Your phone is dying, so it's bedtime soon?"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6, "night": false, "probability": 0.6, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -36 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 46, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.42474861002110986, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.375, "night": true}], [1555380992.338853, {"predictions": [{"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Apparently we are banned from just-eat. We therefore have no clue."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": -0.7361111111111109, "night": true, "probability": -0.7361111111111109, "reasons": ["Because average for daytime is 7.0 and average for nighttime is 3.4, but the current average is 6.2"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": true, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["339359 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 07, 339244 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8480208333333333, "night": false, "probability": 0.8480208333333333, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 3.65 hours!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6335398044853238, "night": false, "probability": 0.6335398044853238, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 02:20 and 14:01, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 02:16 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 5351 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6, "night": false, "probability": 0.6, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -33 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 46, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5900000000000001, "night": false, "probability": 0.5900000000000001, "reasons": ["Battery level's getting low, so it's probably around dinnertime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.3429537938922955, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.375, "night": true}], [1555382809.317801, {"predictions": [{"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Apparently we are banned from just-eat. We therefore have no clue."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.4, "night": true, "probability": 0.4, "reasons": ["Battery level's getting low, so it's probably around dinnertime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.042145593869732045, "night": true, "probability": 0.042145593869732045, "reasons": ["Because average for daytime is 7.0 and average for nighttime is 3.4, but the current average is 3.4"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": true, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["365948 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 07, 366210 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.9240370727398968, "night": false, "probability": 0.9240370727398968, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 18:14 and 08:09, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 02:46 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 16993 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8269907407407407, "night": false, "probability": 0.8269907407407407, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 4.15 hours!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6086956521739131, "night": false, "probability": 0.6086956521739131, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -28 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 45, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.41515542162702357, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.325, "night": true}], [1555384626.170797, {"predictions": [{"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Apparently we are banned from just-eat. We therefore have no clue."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.19242121430277842, "night": true, "probability": 0.19242121430277842, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:03 and 00:31, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 03:17 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 12326 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": true, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 1.5 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["380070 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 07, 380728 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8059259259259259, "night": false, "probability": 0.8059259259259259, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 4.66 hours!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6521739130434783, "night": false, "probability": 0.6521739130434783, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -23 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 40, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.4233764211060152, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.25, "night": true}], [1555386446.002801, {"predictions": [{"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Apparently we are banned from just-eat. We therefore have no clue."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.22999999999999998, "night": true, "probability": 0.22999999999999998, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": true, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.6 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["391526 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 07, 390901 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.7848379629629629, "night": false, "probability": 0.7848379629629629, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 5.16 hours!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6608695652173913, "night": false, "probability": 0.6608695652173913, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -19 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 39, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5565139485384396, "night": false, "probability": 0.5565139485384396, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 04:15 and 15:48, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 03:47 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 2264 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.45101812305989947, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.375, "night": true}], [1555388268.530836, {"predictions": [{"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.3 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["420262 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 07, 418250 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.94, "night": false, "probability": 0.94, "reasons": ["Your phone's practically dead, so it's probably around four in the morning."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8304709750122536, "night": false, "probability": 0.8304709750122536, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 20:29 and 10:25, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 04:18 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 13243 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.7637731481481481, "night": false, "probability": 0.7637731481481481, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 5.67 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6086956521739131, "night": false, "probability": 0.6086956521739131, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -12 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 45, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": true, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Apparently we are banned from just-eat. We therefore have no clue."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.5269113146111929, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.5543478260869565, "night": false}], [1555390088.463249, {"predictions": [{"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Apparently we are banned from just-eat. We therefore have no clue."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.43000000000000005, "night": true, "probability": 0.43000000000000005, "reasons": ["Battery level's getting low, so it's probably around dinnertime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.11551265323549431, "night": true, "probability": 0.11551265323549431, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 14:50 and 02:26, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 04:48 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 15408 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": true, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.2 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["449747 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 06, 449132 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.7427314814814815, "night": false, "probability": 0.7427314814814815, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 6.17 hours!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5826086956521739, "night": false, "probability": 0.5826086956521739, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -4 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 48, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.4209040691974291, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.34, "night": true}], [1555391906.75049, {"predictions": [{"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Apparently we are banned from just-eat. We therefore have no clue."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": true, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.2 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["456483 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 06, 454175 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": false, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Your phone's practically dead, so it's probably around four in the morning."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.7217013888888889, "night": false, "probability": 0.7217013888888889, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 6.68 hours!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6086956521739131, "night": false, "probability": 0.6086956521739131, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 2 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 45, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5220189941002319, "night": false, "probability": 0.5220189941002319, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 06:13 and 17:37, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 05:18 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 882 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.4952010029302528, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.511009497050116, "night": true}], [1555393723.718867, {"predictions": [{"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.1 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["460912 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 06, 458805 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.98, "night": false, "probability": 0.98, "reasons": ["Your phone's practically dead, so it's probably around four in the morning."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.7006018518518519, "night": false, "probability": 0.7006018518518519, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 7.19 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5913043478260869, "night": false, "probability": 0.5913043478260869, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 5 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 47, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": false, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Apparently we are banned from just-eat. We therefore have no clue."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.2626281615398661, "night": true, "probability": 0.2626281615398661, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 22:44 and 12:38, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 05:48 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 9512 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.5053775301014837, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.5125, "night": false}], [1555395546.767192, {"predictions": [{"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.038440489381061205, "night": true, "probability": 0.038440489381061205, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 16:37 and 04:21, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 06:19 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 18496 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": false, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.2 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["464144 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 06, 463531 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": false, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6795717592592592, "night": false, "probability": 0.6795717592592592, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 7.69 hours!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.65, "night": false, "probability": 0.65, "reasons": ["Battery level's getting low, so it's probably around dinnertime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6, "night": false, "probability": 0.6, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 8 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 46, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.4923340207200267, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.5625, "night": true}], [1555397364.042824, {"predictions": [{"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.36, "night": true, "probability": 0.36, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": true, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.2 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["481466 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 06, 481793 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": false, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6585069444444445, "night": false, "probability": 0.6585069444444445, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 8.20 hours!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.601635319941261, "night": false, "probability": 0.601635319941261, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 08:12 and 19:27, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 06:49 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 4073 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6, "night": false, "probability": 0.6, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 8 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 46, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.4841781886988088, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.48, "night": true}], [1555399184.01886, {"predictions": [{"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.44999999999999996, "night": true, "probability": 0.44999999999999996, "reasons": ["Battery level's getting low, so it's probably around dinnertime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.3543147682653134, "night": true, "probability": 0.3543147682653134, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 00:59 and 14:47, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 07:19 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 5838 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": true, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.2 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["499432 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 06, 495851 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": false, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6373958333333334, "night": false, "probability": 0.6373958333333334, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 8.70 hours!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6, "night": false, "probability": 0.6, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 8 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 46, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.4693088834665539, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.40215738413265667, "night": true}], [1555401008.16288, {"predictions": [{"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.039164223744550586, "night": true, "probability": 0.039164223744550586, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 18:22 and 06:15, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 07:50 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 18467 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": true, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.1 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["518111 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 06, 516839 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": false, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6163773148148148, "night": false, "probability": 0.6163773148148148, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 9.21 hours!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6, "night": false, "probability": 0.6, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 8 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 46, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.42462812821328044, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.25, "night": true}], [1555402824.018908, {"predictions": [{"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.42000000000000004, "night": true, "probability": 0.42000000000000004, "reasons": ["Battery level's getting low, so it's probably around dinnertime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["536522 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 536380 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": true, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.1 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": false, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6823777320850222, "night": false, "probability": 0.6823777320850222, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 10:13 and 21:19, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 08:20 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 7308 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6, "night": false, "probability": 0.6, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 9 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 46, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5953356481481482, "night": false, "probability": 0.5953356481481482, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 9.71 hours!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.40730911501943085, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.335, "night": true}], [1555404642.122853, {"predictions": [{"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.4453874485996627, "night": true, "probability": 0.4453874485996627, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 03:15 and 16:54, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 08:51 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 2188 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["551688 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 550616 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": true, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.1 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.98, "night": false, "probability": 0.98, "reasons": ["Your phone's practically dead, so it's probably around four in the morning."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": false, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5913043478260869, "night": false, "probability": 0.5913043478260869, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 6 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 47, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5739351851851853, "night": false, "probability": 0.5739351851851853, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 10.23 hours!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.4317185818009112, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.34769372429983136, "night": true}], [1555406583.265241, {"predictions": [{"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.42000000000000004, "night": true, "probability": 0.42000000000000004, "reasons": ["Battery level's getting low, so it's probably around dinnertime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.10312792224831868, "night": true, "probability": 0.10312792224831868, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 19:55 and 07:47, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 09:23 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 15904 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["558800 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 559902 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": true, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.1 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": false, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6086956521739131, "night": false, "probability": 0.6086956521739131, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 3 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 45, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5518518518518518, "night": false, "probability": 0.5518518518518518, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 10.76 hours!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.3561392855228403, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.249998, "night": true}], [1555408398.623077, {"predictions": [{"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": 0.1147842056932966}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["570113 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 569069 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.1147842056932966}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": true, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.08034894398530762}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.0576216712580349}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.0573921028466483}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001147842056932966}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.2 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.1147842056932966}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": false, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": -0.1147842056932966}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.9, "night": false, "probability": 0.9, "reasons": ["Your phone's practically dead, so it's probably around four in the morning."], "contribution": -0.1147842056932966}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.7455963446751134, "night": false, "probability": 0.7455963446751134, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 11:44 and 22:51, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 09:53 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 9842 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": -0.1147842056932966}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5300694444444445, "night": false, "probability": 0.5300694444444445, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 11.28 hours!"], "contribution": -0.1147842056932966}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.43324198082905074, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.25, "night": true}], [1555410366.575054, {"predictions": [{"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.47072258800754607, "night": true, "probability": 0.47072258800754607, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 03:45 and 17:37, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 10:26 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 1173 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.41000000000000003, "night": true, "probability": 0.41000000000000003, "reasons": ["Battery level's getting low, so it's probably around dinnertime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.09090909090909091, "night": true, "probability": 0.09090909090909091, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is currently open.", "We conclude from this, that there is 0.09090909090909091% chance of it being night outside"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["592835 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 592212 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": true, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.2 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5826086956521739, "night": false, "probability": 0.5826086956521739, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -7 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 48, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5071875000000001, "night": false, "probability": 0.5071875000000001, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 11.83 hours!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.31178532288073424, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.249998, "night": true}], [1555412282.882942, {"predictions": [{"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.4858449074074074, "night": true, "probability": 0.4858449074074074, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 12.34 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.15358135804789802, "night": true, "probability": 0.15358135804789802, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 21:13 and 08:54, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 10:58 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 13882 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.14, "night": true, "probability": 0.14, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.09090909090909091, "night": true, "probability": 0.09090909090909091, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is currently open.", "We conclude from this, that there is 0.09090909090909091% chance of it being night outside"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["629937 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 623425 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": true, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.1 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6869565217391305, "night": false, "probability": 0.6869565217391305, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -16 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 36, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.26977398984196055, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.164290679023949, "night": true}], [1555414101.782878, {"predictions": [{"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Apparently we are banned from just-eat. We therefore have no clue."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.4648148148148149, "night": true, "probability": 0.4648148148148149, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 12.84 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.20993835882781842, "night": true, "probability": 0.20993835882781842, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 12:42 and 00:01, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 11:28 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 11624 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.18000000000000005, "night": true, "probability": 0.18000000000000005, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["662755 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 652559 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": true, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.1 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6521739130434783, "night": false, "probability": 0.6521739130434783, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -23 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 40, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.307243590557176, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.2299671794139092, "night": true}], [1555415917.394831, {"predictions": [{"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Apparently we are banned from just-eat. We therefore have no clue."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.4611088445660983, "night": true, "probability": 0.4611088445660983, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 05:24 and 19:15, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 11:58 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 1558 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["704768 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 699489 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": true, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.1 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.89, "night": false, "probability": 0.89, "reasons": ["Your phone is dying, so it's bedtime soon?"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": false, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Alexander's upstairs neighbour is currently playing league"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5913043478260869, "night": false, "probability": 0.5913043478260869, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -29 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 47, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.4102007660326821, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.3555544222830491, "night": true}], [1555417730.858863, {"predictions": [{"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.23106114240590553, "night": true, "probability": 0.23106114240590553, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 23:01 and 10:50, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 12:29 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 10777 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.09090909090909091, "night": true, "probability": 0.09090909090909091, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is currently open.", "We conclude from this, that there is 0.09090909090909091% chance of it being night outside"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["757761 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 750968 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": true, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.1 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.97, "night": false, "probability": 0.97, "reasons": ["Your phone's practically dead, so it's probably around four in the morning."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": false, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Alexander's upstairs neighbour is currently playing league"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6086956521739131, "night": false, "probability": 0.6086956521739131, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -35 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 45, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.36505515712407577, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.24052857120295276, "night": true}], [1555419551.574882, {"predictions": [{"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.32999999999999996, "night": true, "probability": 0.32999999999999996, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.12843172756306998, "night": true, "probability": 0.12843172756306998, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 14:44 and 01:54, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 12:59 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 14890 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.09090909090909091, "night": true, "probability": 0.09090909090909091, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is currently open.", "We conclude from this, that there is 0.09090909090909091% chance of it being night outside"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["794892 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 802699 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": true, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.1 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": false, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Alexander's upstairs neighbour is currently playing league"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5913043478260869, "night": false, "probability": 0.5913043478260869, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -38 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 47, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.30172009719152065, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.212498, "night": true}], [1555421375.198857, {"predictions": [{"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.3700064938957745, "night": true, "probability": 0.3700064938957745, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 07:39 and 21:23, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 13:29 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 5209 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.09090909090909091, "night": true, "probability": 0.09090909090909091, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is currently open.", "We conclude from this, that there is 0.09090909090909091% chance of it being night outside"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["806775 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 806961 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": true, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's night-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.1 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": false, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Alexander's upstairs neighbour is currently playing league"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.63, "night": false, "probability": 0.63, "reasons": ["Battery level's getting low, so it's probably around dinnertime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5913043478260869, "night": false, "probability": 0.5913043478260869, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -41 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 47, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.43018466105257935, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.3100032469478873, "night": true}], [1555423190.938904, {"predictions": [{"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.09090909090909091, "night": true, "probability": 0.09090909090909091, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is currently open.", "We conclude from this, that there is 0.09090909090909091% chance of it being night outside"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["838689 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 835475 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": true, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's night-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.1 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.83, "night": false, "probability": 0.83, "reasons": ["Your phone is dying, so it's bedtime soon?"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": false, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Alexander's upstairs neighbour is currently playing league"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6931200574649381, "night": false, "probability": 0.6931200574649381, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 00:46 and 12:43, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 13:59 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 7739 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5913043478260869, "night": false, "probability": 0.5913043478260869, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -38 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 47, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.4737774580166763, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.42065217391304344, "night": true}], [1555425007.926996, {"predictions": [{"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.30000000000000004, "night": true, "probability": 0.30000000000000004, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.09090909090909091, "night": true, "probability": 0.09090909090909091, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is currently open.", "We conclude from this, that there is 0.09090909090909091% chance of it being night outside"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.04608406705523205, "night": true, "probability": 0.04608406705523205, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 16:48 and 03:48, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 14:30 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 18190 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["855360 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 855066 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": true, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's night-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.1 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": false, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Alexander's upstairs neighbour is currently playing league"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6086956521739131, "night": false, "probability": 0.6086956521739131, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -35 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 45, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.377140400844853, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.249998, "night": true}], [1555426825.346533, {"predictions": [{"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.27998891289210615, "night": true, "probability": 0.27998891289210615, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 09:54 and 23:27, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 15:00 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 8816 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.09090909090909091, "night": true, "probability": 0.09090909090909091, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is currently open.", "We conclude from this, that there is 0.09090909090909091% chance of it being night outside"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["829710 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 828004 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": true, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's night-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.1 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": false, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Alexander's upstairs neighbour is currently playing league"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6599999999999999, "night": false, "probability": 0.6599999999999999, "reasons": ["Battery level's getting low, so it's probably around dinnertime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6086956521739131, "night": false, "probability": 0.6086956521739131, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -31 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 45, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.4266324713312592, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.2649944564460531, "night": true}], [1555428653.328724, {"predictions": [{"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.09090909090909091, "night": true, "probability": 0.09090909090909091, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is currently open.", "We conclude from this, that there is 0.09090909090909091% chance of it being night outside"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.010000000000000009, "night": true, "probability": 0.010000000000000009, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["782228 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 777380 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. 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at."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.2 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": false, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Alexander's upstairs neighbour is currently playing league"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6181225987858414, "night": false, "probability": 0.6181225987858414, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 02:31 and 14:35, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 15:31 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 4733 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6173913043478261, "night": false, "probability": 0.6173913043478261, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -26 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 44, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.4305349161702299, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.38749999999999996, "night": true}], [1555430475.34689, {"predictions": [{"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.42000000000000004, "night": true, "probability": 0.42000000000000004, "reasons": ["Battery level's getting low, so it's probably around dinnertime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.09090909090909091, "night": true, "probability": 0.09090909090909091, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is currently open.", "We conclude from this, that there is 0.09090909090909091% chance of it being night outside"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.03828659184399735, "night": true, "probability": 0.03828659184399735, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 18:50 and 05:44, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 16:01 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 18503 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["727524 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 719116 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": false, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's night-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.2 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": false, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Alexander's upstairs neighbour is currently playing league"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6608695652173913, "night": false, "probability": 0.6608695652173913, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -22 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 39, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.42000510399754, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.335, "night": true}], [1555432292.034805, {"predictions": [{"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's night-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.2 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.88, "night": false, "probability": 0.88, "reasons": ["Your phone is dying, so it's bedtime soon?"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.804332518190183, "night": false, "probability": 0.804332518190183, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 12:00 and 01:24, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 16:31 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 12196 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": false, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Alexander's upstairs neighbour is currently playing league"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6434782608695653, "night": false, "probability": 0.6434782608695653, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -18 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 41, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": false, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.09090909090909091, "night": true, "probability": 0.09090909090909091, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is currently open.", "We conclude from this, that there is 0.09090909090909091% chance of it being night outside"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["675464 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 652559 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.5207263224974032, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.5842391304347826, "night": false}], [1555434108.918346, {"predictions": [{"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.30000000000000004, "night": true, "probability": 0.30000000000000004, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.09090909090909091, "night": true, "probability": 0.09090909090909091, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is currently open.", "We conclude from this, that there is 0.09090909090909091% chance of it being night outside"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["635936 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 623425 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": false, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's night-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.3 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": false, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Alexander's upstairs neighbour is currently playing league"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6608695652173913, "night": false, "probability": 0.6608695652173913, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -15 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 39, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5419635603179871, "night": false, "probability": 0.5419635603179871, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 04:17 and 16:29, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 17:01 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 1681 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.45197818470370577, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.4125, "night": true}], [1555435926.112017, {"predictions": [{"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.1264119263739294, "night": true, "probability": 0.1264119263739294, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 21:02 and 07:47, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 17:32 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 14971 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.09090909090909091, "night": true, "probability": 0.09090909090909091, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is currently open.", "We conclude from this, that there is 0.09090909090909091% chance of it being night outside"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["602571 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 605731 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": true, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's night-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.3 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": false, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Alexander's upstairs neighbour is currently playing league"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.64, "night": false, "probability": 0.64, "reasons": ["Battery level's getting low, so it's probably around dinnertime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5826086956521739, "night": false, "probability": 0.5826086956521739, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -9 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 48, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.4099938094112662, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.249998, "night": true}], [1555437742.898896, {"predictions": [{"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's night-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.3 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["471146 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 06, 472136 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": false, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8891189693979785, "night": false, "probability": 0.8891189693979785, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 14:08 and 03:21, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 18:02 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 15593 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": false, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Alexander's upstairs neighbour is currently playing league"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5826086956521739, "night": false, "probability": 0.5826086956521739, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -3 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 48, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained 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Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": true, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.44999999999999996, "night": true, "probability": 0.44999999999999996, "reasons": ["Battery level's getting low, so it's probably around dinnertime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.6093103054208461, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.691304347826087, "night": false}], [1555439560.319124, {"predictions": [{"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.31000000000000005, "night": true, "probability": 0.31000000000000005, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["515095 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 514301 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": true, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's night-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.4 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": false, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": false, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Alexander's upstairs neighbour is currently playing league"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6086956521739131, "night": false, "probability": 0.6086956521739131, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 3 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 45, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5344769304023352, "night": false, "probability": 0.5344769304023352, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 06:03 and 18:23, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 18:32 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 1381 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.4869307152146874, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.42223846520116765, "night": true}], [1555441378.234877, {"predictions": [{"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.2169394489463553, "night": true, "probability": 0.2169394489463553, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 23:17 and 09:53, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 19:03 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 11343 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["490725 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 491189 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": true, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's night-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.3 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": false, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": false, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Alexander's upstairs neighbour is currently playing league"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6699999999999999, "night": false, "probability": 0.6699999999999999, "reasons": ["Battery level's getting low, so it's probably around dinnertime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5913043478260869, "night": false, "probability": 0.5913043478260869, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 10 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 47, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.48901998306437017, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.42065217391304344, "night": true}], [1555443196.37106, {"predictions": [{"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's night-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.5 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["450228 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 06, 449132 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.9711973785391697, "night": false, "probability": 0.9711973785391697, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 16:11 and 05:14, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 19:33 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 18883 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": false, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": false, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Alexander's upstairs neighbour is currently playing league"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6, "night": false, "probability": 0.6, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 12 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 46, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": true, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.040000000000000036, "night": true, "probability": 0.040000000000000036, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.5834327815449308, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.7, "night": false}], [1555445012.961756, {"predictions": [{"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.38880611789634656, "night": true, "probability": 0.38880611789634656, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 07:49 and 20:18, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 20:03 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 4456 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": true, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.5 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["423720 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 07, 423741 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": false, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": false, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Alexander's upstairs neighbour is currently playing league"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6086956521739131, "night": false, "probability": 0.6086956521739131, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 13 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 45, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.54, "night": false, "probability": 0.54, "reasons": ["Battery level's getting low, so it's probably around dinnertime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.493958147505855, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.4644030589481733, "night": true}], [1555446830.190953, {"predictions": [{"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.5 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["393410 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 07, 390901 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.98, "night": false, "probability": 0.98, "reasons": ["Your phone's practically dead, so it's probably around four in the morning."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": false, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.9003240740740741, "night": false, "probability": 0.9003240740740741, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 2.39 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6895695996909462, "night": false, "probability": 0.6895695996909462, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 01:35 and 12:04, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 20:33 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 7597 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6086956521739131, "night": false, "probability": 0.6086956521739131, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 13 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 45, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": true, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.5640487771615778, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.6491326259324297, "night": false}], [1555448645.48096, {"predictions": [{"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.05368854643620308, "night": true, "probability": 0.05368854643620308, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 18:14 and 07:05, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 21:04 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 17885 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": true, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 1.0 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["365291 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 07, 366210 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": false, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8792939814814815, "night": false, "probability": 0.8792939814814815, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 2.90 hours!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6, "night": false, "probability": 0.6, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 11 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 46, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.52, "night": false, "probability": 0.52, "reasons": ["Battery level's getting low, so it's probably around dinnertime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.47024821065980704, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.385, "night": true}], [1555450462.646949, {"predictions": [{"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.3111660582655049, "night": true, "probability": 0.3111660582655049, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 09:37 and 22:14, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 21:34 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 7567 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": true, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.8 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["342668 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 07, 343571 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": false, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.858275462962963, "night": false, "probability": 0.858275462962963, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 3.40 hours!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.62, "night": false, "probability": 0.62, "reasons": ["Battery level's getting low, so it's probably around dinnertime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6, "night": false, "probability": 0.6, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 9 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 46, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.4982864601023723, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.45558302913275245, "night": true}]], "flat_earth": [[1554755877.991584, {"predictions": [{"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.6 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["419315 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 07, 418250 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": true, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": true, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Alexander's upstairs neighbour is currently playing league"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5913043478260869, "night": true, "probability": 0.5913043478260869, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 1 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 47, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5427305523675702, "night": true, "probability": 0.5427305523675702, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 04:23 and 16:24, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 20:37 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 1712 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": true, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.21999999999999997, "night": false, "probability": 0.21999999999999997, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.5911692416828047, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.5670174500968286, "night": true}], [1554755877.991584, {"predictions": [{"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.6 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": false, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["419315 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 07, 418250 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": false, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": false, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Alexander's upstairs neighbour is currently playing league"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5913043478260869, "night": false, "probability": 0.5913043478260869, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 1 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 47, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5427305523675702, "night": false, "probability": 0.5427305523675702, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 04:23 and 16:24, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 20:38 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 1712 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": false, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": true, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": true, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.32999999999999996, "night": true, "probability": 0.32999999999999996, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": true, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, and that's where we're at."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.5170025750161381, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.533865276183785, "night": false}], [1554755877.991584, {"predictions": [{"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.6 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["419315 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 07, 418250 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": true, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.853073279598958, "night": true, "probability": 0.853073279598958, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:30 and 02:19, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 20:38 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": true, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Alexander's upstairs neighbour is currently playing league"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5913043478260869, "night": true, "probability": 0.5913043478260869, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 1 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 47, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.55, "night": true, "probability": 0.55, "reasons": ["Battery level's getting low, so it's probably around dinnertime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": true, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.6445311356187537, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.6956521739130435, "night": true}], [1554757686.830774, {"predictions": [{"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 1.2 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["384900 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 07, 385741 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.98, "night": true, "probability": 0.98, "reasons": ["Your phone's practically dead, so it's probably around four in the morning."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.9096180555555555, "night": true, "probability": 0.9096180555555555, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 2.17 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.853073279598958, "night": true, "probability": 0.853073279598958, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:30 and 02:19, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 21:08 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5826086956521739, "night": true, "probability": 0.5826086956521739, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 0 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 48, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": true, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Apparently we are banned from just-eat. We therefore have no clue."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.654608002567224, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.7178409876255659, "night": true}], [1554759498.907015, {"predictions": [{"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 1.8 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["355085 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 07, 355968 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8885532407407407, "night": true, "probability": 0.8885532407407407, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 2.67 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.853073279598958, "night": true, "probability": 0.853073279598958, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:30 and 02:19, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 21:38 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5913043478260869, "night": true, "probability": 0.5913043478260869, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -1 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 47, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": true, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Apparently we are banned from just-eat. We therefore have no clue."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.26, "night": false, "probability": 0.26, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.5935772390138154, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.5581521739130434, "night": true}], [1554761318.970883, {"predictions": [{"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["320371 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 07, 319848 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8675810185185185, "night": true, "probability": 0.8675810185185185, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 3.18 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.853073279598958, "night": true, "probability": 0.853073279598958, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:30 and 02:19, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 22:08 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.64, "night": true, "probability": 0.64, "reasons": ["Battery level's getting low, so it's probably around dinnertime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5826086956521739, "night": true, "probability": 0.5826086956521739, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 0 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 48, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": true, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Apparently we are banned from just-eat. We therefore have no clue."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.042145593869732045, "night": false, "probability": 0.042145593869732045, "reasons": ["Because average for daytime is 7.0 and average for nighttime is 3.4, but the current average is 3.4"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.5429503823032819, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.5538043478260869, "night": true}], [1554763130.282801, {"predictions": [{"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.0 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["296426 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 07, 292750 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": true, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.853073279598958, "night": true, "probability": 0.853073279598958, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:30 and 02:19, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 22:39 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8465625, "night": true, "probability": 0.8465625, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 3.68 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5826086956521739, "night": true, "probability": 0.5826086956521739, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 4 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 48, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.52, "night": true, "probability": 0.52, "reasons": ["Battery level's getting low, so it's probably around dinnertime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": true, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.6451867062709277, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.7145855978260869, "night": true}], [1554764946.998833, {"predictions": [{"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["276457 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 07, 274753 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": true, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Your phone's practically dead, so it's probably around four in the morning."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": true, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.853073279598958, "night": true, "probability": 0.853073279598958, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:30 and 02:19, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 23:09 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8255671296296296, "night": true, "probability": 0.8255671296296296, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 4.19 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6, "night": true, "probability": 0.6, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 7 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 46, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": true, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": -0.6339869281045751, "night": false, "probability": -0.6339869281045751, "reasons": ["Because average for daytime is 7.0 and average for nighttime is 3.4, but the current average is 5.9"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.5412207900936677, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.7127835648148149, "night": true}], [1554766761.250829, {"predictions": [{"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["264826 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 07, 274753 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": true, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.853073279598958, "night": true, "probability": 0.853073279598958, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:30 and 02:19, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 23:39 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8045601851851851, "night": true, "probability": 0.8045601851851851, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 4.69 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6, "night": true, "probability": 0.6, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 9 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 46, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": true, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.38, "night": false, "probability": 0.38, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": -0.15740740740740722, "night": false, "probability": -0.15740740740740722, "reasons": ["Because average for daytime is 7.0 and average for nighttime is 3.4, but the current average is 4.2"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.5350185047813947, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.5625, "night": true}], [1554768576.211397, {"predictions": [{"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.49, "night": false, "probability": 0.49, "reasons": ["Battery level's getting low, so it's probably around dinnertime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.1469267204010421, "night": false, "probability": 0.1469267204010421, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:29 and 02:20, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 00:09 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["Because 9.1 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 7.0 is the expected number for daytime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": true, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["263464 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 07, 274753 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": true, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.7835416666666667, "night": true, "probability": 0.7835416666666667, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 5.19 hours!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6, "night": true, "probability": 0.6, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 9 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 46, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.4967053655889757, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.5075, "night": false}], [1554770392.082948, {"predictions": [{"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["273914 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 07, 274753 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": true, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": true, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Your phone is dying, so it's bedtime soon?"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.7625231481481481, "night": true, "probability": 0.7625231481481481, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 5.70 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6, "night": true, "probability": 0.6, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 7 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 46, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": true, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.1469267204010421, "night": false, "probability": 0.1469267204010421, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:29 and 02:20, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 00:40 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["Because 8.3 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 7.0 is the expected number for daytime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.5207871557124325, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.5625, "night": true}], [1554772208.313822, {"predictions": [{"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Apparently we are banned from just-eat. We therefore have no clue."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.1469267204010421, "night": false, "probability": 0.1469267204010421, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:29 and 02:20, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 01:10 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": -0.7361111111111109, "night": false, "probability": -0.7361111111111109, "reasons": ["Because average for daytime is 7.0 and average for nighttime is 3.4, but the current average is 6.2"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": true, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["292970 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 07, 292750 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.99, "night": true, "probability": 0.99, "reasons": ["Your phone's practically dead, so it's probably around four in the morning."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.7415046296296297, "night": true, "probability": 0.7415046296296297, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 6.20 hours!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6086956521739131, "night": true, "probability": 0.6086956521739131, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 2 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 45, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.4400843242577895, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.5125, "night": false}], [1554774024.530804, {"predictions": [{"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Apparently we are banned from just-eat. We therefore have no clue."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.28, "night": false, "probability": 0.28, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.1469267204010421, "night": false, "probability": 0.1469267204010421, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:29 and 02:20, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 01:40 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": -0.5432098765432096, "night": false, "probability": -0.5432098765432096, "reasons": ["Because average for daytime is 7.0 and average for nighttime is 3.4, but the current average is 5.6"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": true, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["315452 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 07, 315836 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.7204861111111112, "night": true, "probability": 0.7204861111111112, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 6.71 hours!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5826086956521739, "night": true, "probability": 0.5826086956521739, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -2 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 48, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.39306730421842645, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.39, "night": false}], [1554775839.976489, {"predictions": [{"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Apparently we are banned from just-eat. We therefore have no clue."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.1469267204010421, "night": false, "probability": 0.1469267204010421, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:29 and 02:20, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 02:10 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": -0.11111111111111094, "night": false, "probability": -0.11111111111111094, "reasons": ["Because average for daytime is 7.0 and average for nighttime is 3.4, but the current average is 4.0"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": true, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["344130 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 07, 344506 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.75, "night": true, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["Your phone is dying, so it's bedtime soon?"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6994907407407407, "night": true, "probability": 0.6994907407407407, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 7.21 hours!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5826086956521739, "night": true, "probability": 0.5826086956521739, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -5 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 48, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.4664925871402371, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.5125, "night": false}], [1554777654.387545, {"predictions": [{"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 2.3 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["374460 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 07, 375601 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6784837962962963, "night": true, "probability": 0.6784837962962963, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 7.72 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5826086956521739, "night": true, "probability": 0.5826086956521739, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -4 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 48, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": true, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Apparently we are banned from just-eat. We therefore have no clue."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.22999999999999998, "night": false, "probability": 0.22999999999999998, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.1469267204010421, "night": false, "probability": 0.1469267204010421, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:29 and 02:20, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 02:41 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.5140012676957927, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.5125, "night": true}], [1554779469.286956, {"predictions": [{"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 1.3 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["392577 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 07, 390901 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6574652777777779, "night": true, "probability": 0.6574652777777779, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 8.22 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5826086956521739, "night": true, "probability": 0.5826086956521739, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -5 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 48, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": true, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Apparently we are banned from just-eat. We therefore have no clue."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.48, "night": false, "probability": 0.48, "reasons": ["Battery level's getting low, so it's probably around dinnertime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.1469267204010421, "night": false, "probability": 0.1469267204010421, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:29 and 02:20, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 03:11 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.5330830578192495, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.5125, "night": true}], [1554781285.310236, {"predictions": [{"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.5 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["404226 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 07, 406677 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6364351851851853, "night": true, "probability": 0.6364351851851853, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 8.73 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5826086956521739, "night": true, "probability": 0.5826086956521739, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -5 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 48, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.56, "night": true, "probability": 0.56, "reasons": ["Battery level's getting low, so it's probably around dinnertime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": true, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Apparently we are banned from just-eat. We therefore have no clue."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.1469267204010421, "night": false, "probability": 0.1469267204010421, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:29 and 02:20, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 03:41 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.5379972167698668, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.5425, "night": true}], [1554783102.234862, {"predictions": [{"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.3 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["427844 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 06, 429296 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.94, "night": true, "probability": 0.94, "reasons": ["Your phone's practically dead, so it's probably around four in the morning."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6154398148148148, "night": true, "probability": 0.6154398148148148, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 9.23 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5913043478260869, "night": true, "probability": 0.5913043478260869, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -10 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 47, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": true, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Apparently we are banned from just-eat. We therefore have no clue."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.1469267204010421, "night": false, "probability": 0.1469267204010421, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:29 and 02:20, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 04:11 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.568638906920162, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.5581521739130434, "night": true}], [1554784916.371037, {"predictions": [{"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.2 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["466176 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 06, 467800 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.87, "night": true, "probability": 0.87, "reasons": ["Your phone is dying, so it's bedtime soon?"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6086956521739131, "night": true, "probability": 0.6086956521739131, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -13 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 45, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5944328703703703, "night": true, "probability": 0.5944328703703703, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 9.73 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": true, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Apparently we are banned from just-eat. We therefore have no clue."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.1469267204010421, "night": false, "probability": 0.1469267204010421, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:29 and 02:20, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 04:42 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.5625042702454438, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.5597164351851851, "night": true}], [1554786731.318826, {"predictions": [{"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.1 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["481077 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 06, 481003 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.86, "night": true, "probability": 0.86, "reasons": ["Your phone is dying, so it's bedtime soon?"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6434782608695653, "night": true, "probability": 0.6434782608695653, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -18 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 41, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5733564814814816, "night": true, "probability": 0.5733564814814816, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 10.24 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": true, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Apparently we are banned from just-eat. We therefore have no clue."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.1469267204010421, "night": false, "probability": 0.1469267204010421, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:29 and 02:20, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 05:12 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.5628131218960074, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.5491782407407407, "night": true}], [1554788552.474861, {"predictions": [{"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.1 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["485582 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 06, 486296 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6695652173913044, "night": true, "probability": 0.6695652173913044, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -21 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 38, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5800000000000001, "night": true, "probability": 0.5800000000000001, "reasons": ["Battery level's getting low, so it's probably around dinnertime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.552326388888889, "night": true, "probability": 0.552326388888889, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 10.74 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": true, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Apparently we are banned from just-eat. We therefore have no clue."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.1469267204010421, "night": false, "probability": 0.1469267204010421, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:29 and 02:20, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 05:42 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.5399011938901029, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.5386631944444444, "night": true}], [1554790369.298859, {"predictions": [{"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.1 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["490272 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 06, 489629 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": true, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.74, "night": true, "probability": 0.74, "reasons": ["Your phone is dying, so it's bedtime soon?"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6695652173913044, "night": true, "probability": 0.6695652173913044, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -21 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 38, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5313078703703704, "night": true, "probability": 0.5313078703703704, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 11.25 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": true, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.1469267204010421, "night": false, "probability": 0.1469267204010421, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:29 and 02:20, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 06:13 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.5856496506802265, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.6004365438808374, "night": true}], [1554792185.798878, {"predictions": [{"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.1 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["503798 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 06, 505329 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": true, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6608695652173913, "night": true, "probability": 0.6608695652173913, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -20 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 39, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6599999999999999, "night": true, "probability": 0.6599999999999999, "reasons": ["Battery level's getting low, so it's probably around dinnertime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5102893518518519, "night": true, "probability": 0.5102893518518519, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 11.75 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": true, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.1469267204010421, "night": false, "probability": 0.1469267204010421, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:29 and 02:20, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 06:43 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.5765068031225238, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.5924999999999999, "night": true}], [1554794001.190874, {"predictions": [{"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.48928240740740747, "night": false, "probability": 0.48928240740740747, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 12.26 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.19999999999999996, "night": false, "probability": 0.19999999999999996, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.1469267204010421, "night": false, "probability": 0.1469267204010421, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:29 and 02:20, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 07:13 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["519396 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 521831 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": true, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.2 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": true, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6869565217391305, "night": true, "probability": 0.6869565217391305, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -16 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 36, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.4552634707956317, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.36964120370370374, "night": false}], [1554795816.58679, {"predictions": [{"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.4682638888888889, "night": false, "probability": 0.4682638888888889, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 12.76 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.22999999999999998, "night": false, "probability": 0.22999999999999998, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.1469267204010421, "night": false, "probability": 0.1469267204010421, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:29 and 02:20, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 07:43 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["539584 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 536380 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": true, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.2 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": true, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6347826086956522, "night": true, "probability": 0.6347826086956522, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -14 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 42, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.4516641014987986, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.35913194444444446, "night": false}], [1554797632.9029, {"predictions": [{"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.2 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.92, "night": true, "probability": 0.92, "reasons": ["Your phone's practically dead, so it's probably around four in the morning."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": true, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6086956521739131, "night": true, "probability": 0.6086956521739131, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -13 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 45, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": true, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.4472453703703704, "night": false, "probability": 0.4472453703703704, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 13.27 hours!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.1469267204010421, "night": false, "probability": 0.1469267204010421, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:29 and 02:20, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 08:14 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["563196 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 563194 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.5052386452454438, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.48612268518518514, "night": true}], [1554799448.014991, {"predictions": [{"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.4262152777777778, "night": false, "probability": 0.4262152777777778, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 13.77 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.29000000000000004, "night": false, "probability": 0.29000000000000004, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.1469267204010421, "night": false, "probability": 0.1469267204010421, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:29 and 02:20, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 08:44 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["579595 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 582210 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": true, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.2 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": true, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6347826086956522, "night": true, "probability": 0.6347826086956522, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -14 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 42, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.4531600505728727, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.3581076388888889, "night": false}], [1554801265.182848, {"predictions": [{"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.4052083333333333, "night": false, "probability": 0.4052083333333333, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 14.28 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.18999999999999995, "night": false, "probability": 0.18999999999999995, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.1469267204010421, "night": false, "probability": 0.1469267204010421, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:29 and 02:20, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 09:14 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["586074 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 586017 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.2 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": true, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6608695652173913, "night": true, "probability": 0.6608695652173913, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -17 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 39, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.41608338491264724, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.249998, "night": false}], [1554803080.390642, {"predictions": [{"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.38418981481481485, "night": false, "probability": 0.38418981481481485, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 14.78 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.31999999999999995, "night": false, "probability": 0.31999999999999995, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.1469267204010421, "night": false, "probability": 0.1469267204010421, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:29 and 02:20, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 09:44 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["593754 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 592212 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.2 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": true, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6608695652173913, "night": true, "probability": 0.6608695652173913, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -19 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 39, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.425165175036104, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.285, "night": false}], [1554804896.274915, {"predictions": [{"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.36318287037037045, "night": false, "probability": 0.36318287037037045, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 15.28 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.1469267204010421, "night": false, "probability": 0.1469267204010421, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:29 and 02:20, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 10:15 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.09090909090909091, "night": false, "probability": 0.09090909090909091, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is currently open.", "We conclude from this, that there is 0.09090909090909091% chance of it being night outside"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["612911 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 611489 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.2 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.77, "night": true, "probability": 0.77, "reasons": ["Your phone is dying, so it's bedtime soon?"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6608695652173913, "night": true, "probability": 0.6608695652173913, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -19 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 39, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.39265702057482454, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.249998, "night": false}], [1554806711.68707, {"predictions": [{"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.3421643518518519, "night": false, "probability": 0.3421643518518519, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 15.79 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.1469267204010421, "night": false, "probability": 0.1469267204010421, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:29 and 02:20, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 10:45 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.09090909090909091, "night": false, "probability": 0.09090909090909091, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is currently open.", "We conclude from this, that there is 0.09090909090909091% chance of it being night outside"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["646068 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 652559 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.1 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.99, "night": true, "probability": 0.99, "reasons": ["Your phone's practically dead, so it's probably around four in the morning."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6434782608695653, "night": true, "probability": 0.6434782608695653, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -18 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 41, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.4077895353359625, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.249998, "night": false}], [1554808527.22288, {"predictions": [{"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.41000000000000003, "night": false, "probability": 0.41000000000000003, "reasons": ["Battery level's getting low, so it's probably around dinnertime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.3211574074074074, "night": false, "probability": 0.3211574074074074, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 16.29 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.1469267204010421, "night": false, "probability": 0.1469267204010421, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:29 and 02:20, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 11:15 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.09090909090909091, "night": false, "probability": 0.09090909090909091, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is currently open.", "We conclude from this, that there is 0.09090909090909091% chance of it being night outside"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["687625 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 699489 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.2 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6086956521739131, "night": true, "probability": 0.6086956521739131, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -12 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 45, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.3548070725742878, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.249998, "night": false}], [1554810342.924365, {"predictions": [{"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.3001273148148148, "night": false, "probability": 0.3001273148148148, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 16.80 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.30000000000000004, "night": false, "probability": 0.30000000000000004, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.1469267204010421, "night": false, "probability": 0.1469267204010421, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:29 and 02:20, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 11:45 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.09090909090909091, "night": false, "probability": 0.09090909090909091, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is currently open.", "We conclude from this, that there is 0.09090909090909091% chance of it being night outside"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["729903 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 719116 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.1 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5826086956521739, "night": true, "probability": 0.5826086956521739, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -8 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 48, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.3417139851480935, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.249998, "night": false}], [1554812159.25502, {"predictions": [{"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.27910879629629637, "night": false, "probability": 0.27910879629629637, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 17.30 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.1469267204010421, "night": false, "probability": 0.1469267204010421, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:29 and 02:20, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 12:16 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.09090909090909091, "night": false, "probability": 0.09090909090909091, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is currently open.", "We conclude from this, that there is 0.09090909090909091% chance of it being night outside"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["778817 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 777380 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.1 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6799999999999999, "night": true, "probability": 0.6799999999999999, "reasons": ["Battery level's getting low, so it's probably around dinnertime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5826086956521739, "night": true, "probability": 0.5826086956521739, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -5 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 48, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.3716291086048836, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.249998, "night": false}], [1554813975.463286, {"predictions": [{"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.25810185185185197, "night": false, "probability": 0.25810185185185197, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 17.81 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.1469267204010421, "night": false, "probability": 0.1469267204010421, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:29 and 02:20, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 12:46 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.09090909090909091, "night": false, "probability": 0.09090909090909091, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is currently open.", "We conclude from this, that there is 0.09090909090909091% chance of it being night outside"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["823769 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 826993 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.1 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.94, "night": true, "probability": 0.94, "reasons": ["Your phone's practically dead, so it's probably around four in the morning."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5826086956521739, "night": true, "probability": 0.5826086956521739, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -6 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 48, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.3915451965678466, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.249998, "night": false}], [1554815790.878333, {"predictions": [{"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.23709490740740746, "night": false, "probability": 0.23709490740740746, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 18.31 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.1469267204010421, "night": false, "probability": 0.1469267204010421, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:29 and 02:20, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 13:16 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.09090909090909091, "night": false, "probability": 0.09090909090909091, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is currently open.", "We conclude from this, that there is 0.09090909090909091% chance of it being night outside"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.010000000000000009, "night": false, "probability": 0.010000000000000009, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's night-time in Australia, so it must be day-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["858041 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 858280 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.1 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5826086956521739, "night": true, "probability": 0.5826086956521739, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -9 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 48, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.22896128453080952, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.16096336020052104, "night": false}], [1554817605.39496, {"predictions": [{"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.21608796296296306, "night": false, "probability": 0.21608796296296306, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 18.81 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.10999999999999999, "night": false, "probability": 0.10999999999999999, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.09090909090909091, "night": false, "probability": 0.09090909090909091, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is currently open.", "We conclude from this, that there is 0.09090909090909091% chance of it being night outside"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's night-time in Australia, so it must be day-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["880539 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 879112 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": true, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.1 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.853073279598958, "night": true, "probability": 0.853073279598958, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:29 and 02:20, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 13:46 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6347826086956522, "night": true, "probability": 0.6347826086956522, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -14 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 42, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.32790407851388864, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.23304198148148153, "night": false}], [1554819420.926813, {"predictions": [{"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.19505787037037037, "night": false, "probability": 0.19505787037037037, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 19.32 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.09090909090909091, "night": false, "probability": 0.09090909090909091, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is currently open.", "We conclude from this, that there is 0.09090909090909091% chance of it being night outside"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's night-time in Australia, so it must be day-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["878279 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 879112 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.1 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.87, "night": true, "probability": 0.87, "reasons": ["Your phone is dying, so it's bedtime soon?"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.853073279598958, "night": true, "probability": 0.853073279598958, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:29 and 02:20, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 14:17 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6869565217391305, "night": true, "probability": 0.6869565217391305, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -16 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 36, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.36466606355146247, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.22252693518518518, "night": false}], [1554821237.294987, {"predictions": [{"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.31999999999999995, "night": false, "probability": 0.31999999999999995, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.17405092592592597, "night": false, "probability": 0.17405092592592597, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 19.82 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.09090909090909091, "night": false, "probability": 0.09090909090909091, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is currently open.", "We conclude from this, that there is 0.09090909090909091% chance of it being night outside"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's night-time in Australia, so it must be day-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["853581 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 853739 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.1 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.853073279598958, "night": true, "probability": 0.853073279598958, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:29 and 02:20, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 14:47 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6869565217391305, "night": true, "probability": 0.6869565217391305, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -16 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 36, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.3170821515144254, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.212498, "night": false}], [1554823052.875348, {"predictions": [{"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.1530324074074073, "night": false, "probability": 0.1530324074074073, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 20.33 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.09090909090909091, "night": false, "probability": 0.09090909090909091, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is currently open.", "We conclude from this, that there is 0.09090909090909091% chance of it being night outside"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's night-time in Australia, so it must be day-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["806556 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 806961 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.1 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.853073279598958, "night": true, "probability": 0.853073279598958, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:29 and 02:20, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 15:17 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6869565217391305, "night": true, "probability": 0.6869565217391305, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -16 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 36, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.65, "night": true, "probability": 0.65, "reasons": ["Battery level's getting low, so it's probably around dinnertime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.34283060830454887, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.212498, "night": false}], [1554824868.649682, {"predictions": [{"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.13201388888888888, "night": false, "probability": 0.13201388888888888, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 20.83 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.09090909090909091, "night": false, "probability": 0.09090909090909091, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is currently open.", "We conclude from this, that there is 0.09090909090909091% chance of it being night outside"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's night-time in Australia, so it must be day-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["752732 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 750968 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are 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Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.1 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.853073279598958, "night": true, "probability": 0.853073279598958, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:29 and 02:20, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 15:48 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6608695652173913, "night": true, "probability": 0.6608695652173913, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -15 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 39, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.62, "night": true, "probability": 0.62, "reasons": ["Battery level's getting low, so it's probably around dinnertime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.3364051520511941, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.212498, "night": false}], [1554826684.695041, {"predictions": [{"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.09090909090909091, "night": false, "probability": 0.09090909090909091, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is currently open.", "We conclude from this, that there is 0.09090909090909091% chance of it being night outside"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's night-time in Australia, so it must be day-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["690665 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 699489 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.2 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.853073279598958, "night": true, "probability": 0.853073279598958, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:29 and 02:20, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 16:18 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": true, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Alexander's upstairs neighbour is currently playing league"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6869565217391305, "night": true, "probability": 0.6869565217391305, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -16 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 36, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.52, "night": true, "probability": 0.52, "reasons": ["Battery level's getting low, so it's probably around dinnertime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.38591124102059826, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.249998, "night": false}], [1554828500.409332, {"predictions": [{"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.09090909090909091, "night": false, "probability": 0.09090909090909091, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is currently open.", "We conclude from this, that there is 0.09090909090909091% chance of it being night outside"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's night-time in Australia, so it must be day-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["644010 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 652559 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.2 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.853073279598958, "night": true, "probability": 0.853073279598958, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:29 and 02:20, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 16:48 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": true, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Alexander's upstairs neighbour is currently playing league"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6608695652173913, "night": true, "probability": 0.6608695652173913, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -17 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 39, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.62, "night": true, "probability": 0.62, "reasons": ["Battery level's getting low, so it's probably around dinnertime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.39207066131045337, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.249998, "night": false}], [1554830316.250596, {"predictions": [{"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.15000000000000002, "night": false, "probability": 0.15000000000000002, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.09090909090909091, "night": false, "probability": 0.09090909090909091, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is currently open.", "We conclude from this, that there is 0.09090909090909091% chance of it being night outside"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's night-time in Australia, so it must be day-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["600664 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 598957 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.3 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.853073279598958, "night": true, "probability": 0.853073279598958, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:29 and 02:20, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 17:18 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": true, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Alexander's upstairs neighbour is currently playing league"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6608695652173913, "night": true, "probability": 0.6608695652173913, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -20 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 39, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.3529039946437867, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.212498, "night": false}], [1554832134.242884, {"predictions": [{"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.38, "night": false, "probability": 0.38, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.09090909090909091, "night": false, "probability": 0.09090909090909091, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is currently open.", "We conclude from this, that there is 0.09090909090909091% chance of it being night outside"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's night-time in Australia, so it must be day-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["561197 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 561828 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.3 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.853073279598958, "night": true, "probability": 0.853073279598958, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:29 and 02:20, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 17:49 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": true, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Alexander's upstairs neighbour is currently playing league"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6608695652173913, "night": true, "probability": 0.6608695652173913, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -24 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 39, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.37207066131045335, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.249998, "night": false}], [1554833949.48694, {"predictions": [{"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's night-time in Australia, so it must be day-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["531906 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 532803 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. 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there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.853073279598958, "night": true, "probability": 0.853073279598958, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:29 and 02:20, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 18:19 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": true, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Alexander's upstairs neighbour is 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water is at the current level at nighttime is: 42, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.4648209906912175, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.4423913043478261, "night": false}], [1554835771.651056, {"predictions": [{"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.4 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["503823 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 06, 505329 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": true, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.853073279598958, "night": true, "probability": 0.853073279598958, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:29 and 02:20, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 18:49 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": true, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Alexander's upstairs neighbour is currently playing league"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.76, "night": true, "probability": 0.76, "reasons": ["Your phone is dying, so it's bedtime soon?"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6608695652173913, "night": true, "probability": 0.6608695652173913, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -24 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 39, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's night-time in Australia, so it must be day-time here."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.5553282370680291, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.7104347826086956, "night": true}], [1554837586.694995, {"predictions": [{"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.4 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["471735 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 06, 472136 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": true, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.853073279598958, "night": true, "probability": 0.853073279598958, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:29 and 02:20, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 19:19 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": true, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Alexander's upstairs neighbour is currently playing league"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6608695652173913, "night": true, "probability": 0.6608695652173913, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -22 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 39, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.30000000000000004, "night": false, "probability": 0.30000000000000004, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's night-time in Australia, so it must be day-time here."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.5169949037346958, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.48043478260869565, "night": true}], [1554839402.76391, {"predictions": [{"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.4 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["444319 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 06, 444908 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": true, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.9086689814814815, "night": true, "probability": 0.9086689814814815, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 2.19 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.853073279598958, "night": true, "probability": 0.853073279598958, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:29 and 02:20, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 19:50 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6608695652173913, "night": true, "probability": 0.6608695652173913, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -19 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 39, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.48, "night": false, "probability": 0.48, "reasons": ["Battery level's getting low, so it's probably around dinnertime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's night-time in Australia, so it must be day-time here."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.5410506521914858, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.5704347826086956, "night": true}], [1554841226.094938, {"predictions": [{"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.5 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": true, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8875462962962963, "night": true, "probability": 0.8875462962962963, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 2.70 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.853073279598958, "night": true, "probability": 0.853073279598958, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:29 and 02:20, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 20:20 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6608695652173913, "night": true, "probability": 0.6608695652173913, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -15 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 39, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6, "night": true, "probability": 0.6, "reasons": ["Battery level's getting low, so it's probably around dinnertime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["415972 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 416027 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.5492904284260538, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.6304347826086956, "night": true}], [1554843051.24008, {"predictions": [{"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.7 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["384578 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 07, 385741 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": true, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.853073279598958, "night": true, "probability": 0.853073279598958, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:29 and 02:20, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 20:51 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": true, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Alexander's upstairs neighbour is currently playing league"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5913043478260869, "night": true, "probability": 0.5913043478260869, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -10 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 47, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.24, "night": false, "probability": 0.24, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.5895311356187537, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.6956521739130435, "night": true}], [1554844866.791445, {"predictions": [{"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 1.1 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["357248 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 07, 358519 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": true, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.853073279598958, "night": true, "probability": 0.853073279598958, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:29 and 02:20, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 21:21 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": true, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Alexander's upstairs neighbour is currently playing league"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5826086956521739, "night": true, "probability": 0.5826086956521739, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -9 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 48, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.19999999999999996, "night": false, "probability": 0.19999999999999996, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.585473164604261, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.691304347826087, "night": true}], [1554846681.062825, {"predictions": [{"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 1.1 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["330502 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 07, 331291 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": true, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.853073279598958, "night": true, "probability": 0.853073279598958, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:29 and 02:20, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 21:51 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": true, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Alexander's upstairs neighbour is currently playing league"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5826086956521739, "night": true, "probability": 0.5826086956521739, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -9 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 48, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.10999999999999999, "night": false, "probability": 0.10999999999999999, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.577973164604261, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.691304347826087, "night": true}], [1554848495.966854, {"predictions": [{"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.0 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["304333 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 07, 307968 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": true, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.853073279598958, "night": true, "probability": 0.853073279598958, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:29 and 02:20, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 22:21 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": true, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Alexander's upstairs neighbour is currently playing league"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5826086956521739, "night": true, "probability": 0.5826086956521739, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -7 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 48, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.18000000000000005, "night": false, "probability": 0.18000000000000005, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.5838064979375943, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.691304347826087, "night": true}], [1554850320.494792, {"predictions": [{"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.0 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["282121 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 07, 274753 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": true, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.853073279598958, "night": true, "probability": 0.853073279598958, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:29 and 02:20, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 22:52 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": true, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Alexander's upstairs neighbour is currently playing league"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5826086956521739, "night": true, "probability": 0.5826086956521739, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -6 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 48, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": true, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.47, "night": false, "probability": 0.47, "reasons": ["Battery level's getting low, so it's probably around dinnertime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.6371398312709277, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.691304347826087, "night": true}], [1554852141.463248, {"predictions": [{"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["186965 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 07, 274753 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.9299999999999999, "night": true, "probability": 0.9299999999999999, "reasons": ["Your phone's practically dead, so it's probably around four in the morning."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": true, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.853073279598958, "night": true, "probability": 0.853073279598958, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:29 and 02:20, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 23:22 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": true, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Alexander's upstairs neighbour is currently playing league"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5826086956521739, "night": true, "probability": 0.5826086956521739, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -3 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 48, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": true, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.00793650793650802, "night": false, "probability": 0.00793650793650802, "reasons": ["Because average for daytime is 7.0 and average for nighttime is 3.4, but the current average is 3.6"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.5928012069323033, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.691304347826087, "night": true}], [1554853955.542863, {"predictions": [{"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 3.2 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["145167 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 07, 274753 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.9152083333333334, "night": true, "probability": 0.9152083333333334, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 2.03 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": true, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.853073279598958, "night": true, "probability": 0.853073279598958, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:29 and 02:20, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 23:52 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5826086956521739, "night": true, "probability": 0.5826086956521739, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -2 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 48, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.52, "night": true, "probability": 0.52, "reasons": ["Battery level's getting low, so it's probably around dinnertime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": true, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.6509071923820388, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.7178409876255659, "night": true}], [1554855770.798906, {"predictions": [{"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["210648 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 07, 274753 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": true, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8942013888888889, "night": true, "probability": 0.8942013888888889, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 2.54 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5826086956521739, "night": true, "probability": 0.5826086956521739, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 0 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 48, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.54, "night": true, "probability": 0.54, "reasons": ["Battery level's getting low, so it's probably around dinnertime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": true, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.1469267204010421, "night": false, "probability": 0.1469267204010421, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:27 and 02:21, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 00:23 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["Because 7.7 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 7.0 is the expected number for daytime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.5086444004118421, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.5325, "night": true}], [1554857585.41492, {"predictions": [{"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Your phone's practically dead, so it's probably around four in the morning."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["256273 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 07, 274753 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": true, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8731944444444444, "night": true, "probability": 0.8731944444444444, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 3.04 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5826086956521739, "night": true, "probability": 0.5826086956521739, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 0 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 48, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": true, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.1469267204010421, "night": false, "probability": 0.1469267204010421, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:27 and 02:21, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 00:53 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.042145593869732045, "night": false, "probability": 0.042145593869732045, "reasons": ["Because average for daytime is 7.0 and average for nighttime is 3.4, but the current average is 3.4"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.5487392878639493, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.5538043478260869, "night": true}], [1554859400.370903, {"predictions": [{"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Apparently we are banned from just-eat. We therefore have no clue."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.1469267204010421, "night": false, "probability": 0.1469267204010421, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:27 and 02:21, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 01:23 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": -0.06837606837606836, "night": false, "probability": -0.06837606837606836, "reasons": ["Because average for daytime is 7.0 and average for nighttime is 3.4, but the current average is 3.8"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": true, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["286980 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 07, 292750 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8521875, "night": true, "probability": 0.8521875, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 3.55 hours!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.78, "night": true, "probability": 0.78, "reasons": ["Your phone is dying, so it's bedtime soon?"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5826086956521739, "night": true, "probability": 0.5826086956521739, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -4 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 48, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.4852785706397623, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.5125, "night": false}], [1554861215.862803, {"predictions": [{"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 2.7 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["313081 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 07, 313745 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.85, "night": true, "probability": 0.85, "reasons": ["Your phone is dying, so it's bedtime soon?"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8311574074074074, "night": true, "probability": 0.8311574074074074, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 4.05 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5826086956521739, "night": true, "probability": 0.5826086956521739, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -8 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 48, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": true, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Apparently we are banned from just-eat. We therefore have no clue."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.1469267204010421, "night": false, "probability": 0.1469267204010421, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:27 and 02:21, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 01:53 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.5783907352883852, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.5538043478260869, "night": true}], [1554863032.238909, {"predictions": [{"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 2.6 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Your phone's practically dead, so it's probably around four in the morning."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["341041 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 07, 340842 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.810150462962963, "night": true, "probability": 0.810150462962963, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 4.56 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5913043478260869, "night": true, "probability": 0.5913043478260869, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -11 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 47, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": true, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Apparently we are banned from just-eat. We therefore have no clue."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.1469267204010421, "night": false, "probability": 0.1469267204010421, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:27 and 02:21, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 02:24 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.589864794265841, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.5581521739130434, "night": true}], [1554864847.418007, {"predictions": [{"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 2.0 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["366958 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 07, 366210 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.7891435185185185, "night": true, "probability": 0.7891435185185185, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 5.06 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.7, "night": true, "probability": 0.7, "reasons": ["Your phone is dying, so it's bedtime soon?"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6086956521739131, "night": true, "probability": 0.6086956521739131, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -13 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 45, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": true, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Apparently we are banned from just-eat. We therefore have no clue."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.1469267204010421, "night": false, "probability": 0.1469267204010421, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:27 and 02:21, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 02:54 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.5645634909244561, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.5668478260869565, "night": true}], [1554866662.563192, {"predictions": [{"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.8 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["381152 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 07, 380728 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.83, "night": true, "probability": 0.83, "reasons": ["Your phone is dying, so it's bedtime soon?"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.7681250000000001, "night": true, "probability": 0.7681250000000001, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 5.56 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6347826086956522, "night": true, "probability": 0.6347826086956522, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -14 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 42, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": true, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Apparently we are banned from just-eat. We therefore have no clue."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.1469267204010421, "night": false, "probability": 0.1469267204010421, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:27 and 02:21, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 03:24 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.5758191940913912, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.579891304347826, "night": true}], [1554868478.116603, {"predictions": [{"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.4 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["392865 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 07, 390901 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.7471064814814814, "night": true, "probability": 0.7471064814814814, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 6.07 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6347826086956522, "night": true, "probability": 0.6347826086956522, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -14 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 42, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": true, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Apparently we are banned from just-eat. We therefore have no clue."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.20999999999999996, "night": false, "probability": 0.20999999999999996, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.1469267204010421, "night": false, "probability": 0.1469267204010421, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:27 and 02:21, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 03:54 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.5224009842148479, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.5125, "night": true}], [1554870294.60279, {"predictions": [{"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.2 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["427514 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 06, 429296 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.7260416666666667, "night": true, "probability": 0.7260416666666667, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 6.58 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6869565217391305, "night": true, "probability": 0.6869565217391305, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -16 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 36, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": true, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Apparently we are banned from just-eat. We therefore have no clue."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.45999999999999996, "night": false, "probability": 0.45999999999999996, "reasons": ["Battery level's getting low, so it's probably around dinnertime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.1469267204010421, "night": false, "probability": 0.1469267204010421, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:27 and 02:21, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 04:25 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.5458267424005699, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.5125, "night": true}], [1554872114.103195, {"predictions": [{"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.1 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["453497 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 06, 454175 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.7050231481481481, "night": true, "probability": 0.7050231481481481, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 7.08 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6434782608695653, "night": true, "probability": 0.6434782608695653, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -18 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 41, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": true, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Apparently we are banned from just-eat. We therefore have no clue."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.20999999999999996, "night": false, "probability": 0.20999999999999996, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.1469267204010421, "night": false, "probability": 0.1469267204010421, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:27 and 02:21, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 04:55 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.519618677451563, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.5125, "night": true}], [1554873930.19485, {"predictions": [{"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.1 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["459526 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 06, 458805 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.89, "night": true, "probability": 0.89, "reasons": ["Your phone is dying, so it's bedtime soon?"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6840162037037036, "night": true, "probability": 0.6840162037037036, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 7.58 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6608695652173913, "night": true, "probability": 0.6608695652173913, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -20 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 39, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": true, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Apparently we are banned from just-eat. We therefore have no clue."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.1469267204010421, "night": false, "probability": 0.1469267204010421, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:27 and 02:21, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 05:25 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.5759840407768447, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.5929347826086956, "night": true}], [1554875745.574538, {"predictions": [{"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Apparently we are banned from just-eat. We therefore have no clue."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.30000000000000004, "night": false, "probability": 0.30000000000000004, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.1469267204010421, "night": false, "probability": 0.1469267204010421, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:27 and 02:21, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 05:55 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["462898 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 463493 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": true, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.1 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6629976851851851, "night": true, "probability": 0.6629976851851851, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 8.09 hours!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6608695652173913, "night": true, "probability": 0.6608695652173913, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -22 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 39, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.4417324975669682, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.4, "night": false}], [1554877561.490552, {"predictions": [{"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.1 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["471174 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 06, 472136 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": true, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6608695652173913, "night": true, "probability": 0.6608695652173913, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -22 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 39, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6419675925925925, "night": true, "probability": 0.6419675925925925, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 8.59 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": true, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.1469267204010421, "night": false, "probability": 0.1469267204010421, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:27 and 02:21, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 06:26 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.06999999999999995, "night": false, "probability": 0.06999999999999995, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.5383133231842522, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.5834837962962962, "night": true}], [1554879378.415133, {"predictions": [{"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.1 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["485565 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 06, 486296 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": true, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6695652173913044, "night": true, "probability": 0.6695652173913044, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -21 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 38, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.620949074074074, "night": true, "probability": 0.620949074074074, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 9.10 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.61, "night": true, "probability": 0.61, "reasons": ["Battery level's getting low, so it's probably around dinnertime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": true, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.1469267204010421, "night": false, "probability": 0.1469267204010421, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:27 and 02:21, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 06:56 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.582286417655535, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.6154745370370369, "night": true}], [1554881194.930857, {"predictions": [{"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.1 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["503257 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 06, 505329 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": true, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8200000000000001, "night": true, "probability": 0.8200000000000001, "reasons": ["Your phone is dying, so it's bedtime soon?"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6608695652173913, "night": true, "probability": 0.6608695652173913, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -19 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 39, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5999305555555556, "night": true, "probability": 0.5999305555555556, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 9.60 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": true, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.1469267204010421, "night": false, "probability": 0.1469267204010421, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:27 and 02:21, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 07:26 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.5973102367644991, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.6304000603864734, "night": true}], [1554883010.002778, {"predictions": [{"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.1469267204010421, "night": false, "probability": 0.1469267204010421, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:27 and 02:21, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 07:57 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["522867 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 521831 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.1 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": true, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6869565217391305, "night": true, "probability": 0.6869565217391305, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -16 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 36, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.64, "night": true, "probability": 0.64, "reasons": ["Battery level's getting low, so it's probably around dinnertime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5788541666666667, "night": true, "probability": 0.5788541666666667, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 10.11 hours!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.4702277840672366, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.41442708333333333, "night": false}], [1554884831.687002, {"predictions": [{"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Apparently we are banned from just-eat. We therefore have no clue."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.1469267204010421, "night": false, "probability": 0.1469267204010421, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:27 and 02:21, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 08:27 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.020000000000000018, "night": false, "probability": 0.020000000000000018, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["543037 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 543866 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.1 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6347826086956522, "night": true, "probability": 0.6347826086956522, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -14 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 42, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5577430555555556, "night": true, "probability": 0.5577430555555556, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 10.61 hours!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.3782873653876875, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.249998, "night": false}], [1554886654.350897, {"predictions": [{"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Apparently we are banned from just-eat. We therefore have no clue."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.1469267204010421, "night": false, "probability": 0.1469267204010421, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:27 and 02:21, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 08:57 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["557095 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 556795 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.1 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.9, "night": true, "probability": 0.9, "reasons": ["Your phone's practically dead, so it's probably around four in the morning."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5913043478260869, "night": true, "probability": 0.5913043478260869, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -11 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 47, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5367708333333334, "night": true, "probability": 0.5367708333333334, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 11.12 hours!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.4462498251300385, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.375, "night": false}], [1554888466.623029, {"predictions": [{"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Apparently we are banned from just-eat. We therefore have no clue."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.1469267204010421, "night": false, "probability": 0.1469267204010421, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:27 and 02:21, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 09:27 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["563292 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 563194 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": true, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.2 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.81, "night": true, "probability": 0.81, "reasons": ["Your phone is dying, so it's bedtime soon?"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5913043478260869, "night": true, "probability": 0.5913043478260869, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -10 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 47, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.515787037037037, "night": true, "probability": 0.515787037037037, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 11.62 hours!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.4661678421053472, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.5078935185185185, "night": false}], [1554890279.574858, {"predictions": [{"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Apparently we are banned from just-eat. We therefore have no clue."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.4948148148148148, "night": false, "probability": 0.4948148148148148, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 12.12 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.32999999999999996, "night": false, "probability": 0.32999999999999996, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.1469267204010421, "night": false, "probability": 0.1469267204010421, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:27 and 02:21, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 09:58 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["573804 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 572177 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.2 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5913043478260869, "night": true, "probability": 0.5913043478260869, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -10 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 47, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.3952534902534953, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.29, "night": false}], [1554892092.134917, {"predictions": [{"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Apparently we are banned from just-eat. We therefore have no clue."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.47381944444444446, "night": false, "probability": 0.47381944444444446, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 12.63 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.1469267204010421, "night": false, "probability": 0.1469267204010421, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:27 and 02:21, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 10:28 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.08999999999999997, "night": false, "probability": 0.08999999999999997, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["595197 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 597090 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.2 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5826086956521739, "night": true, "probability": 0.5826086956521739, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -8 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 48, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.37277923837480503, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.249998, "night": false}], [1554893905.65494, {"predictions": [{"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Apparently we are banned from just-eat. We therefore have no clue."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.4528472222222223, "night": false, "probability": 0.4528472222222223, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 13.13 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.19999999999999996, "night": false, "probability": 0.19999999999999996, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.1469267204010421, "night": false, "probability": 0.1469267204010421, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:27 and 02:21, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 10:58 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["629208 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 623425 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": true, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.2 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5826086956521739, "night": true, "probability": 0.5826086956521739, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -8 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 48, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.40936488652295316, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.35142361111111114, "night": false}], [1554895718.168834, {"predictions": [{"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Apparently we are banned from just-eat. We therefore have no clue."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.4318402777777778, "night": false, "probability": 0.4318402777777778, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 13.64 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.39, "night": false, "probability": 0.39, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.1469267204010421, "night": false, "probability": 0.1469267204010421, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:27 and 02:21, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 11:28 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["675548 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 652559 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": true, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.2 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5826086956521739, "night": true, "probability": 0.5826086956521739, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -5 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 48, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.4234476411525828, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.4109201388888889, "night": false}], [1554897532.510914, {"predictions": [{"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Apparently we are banned from just-eat. We therefore have no clue."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.47, "night": false, "probability": 0.47, "reasons": ["Battery level's getting low, so it's probably around dinnertime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.4108101851851852, "night": false, "probability": 0.4108101851851852, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 14.14 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.1469267204010421, "night": false, "probability": 0.1469267204010421, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:27 and 02:21, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 11:59 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["724465 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 719116 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.2 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5826086956521739, "night": true, "probability": 0.5826086956521739, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -3 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 48, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.3991951334365334, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.3304050925925926, "night": false}], [1554899349.522834, {"predictions": [{"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Apparently we are banned from just-eat. We therefore have no clue."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.1469267204010421, "night": false, "probability": 0.1469267204010421, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:27 and 02:21, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 12:29 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["775241 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 777380 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.2 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.95, "night": true, "probability": 0.95, "reasons": ["Your phone's practically dead, so it's probably around four in the morning."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": true, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Alexander's upstairs neighbour is currently playing league"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5826086956521739, "night": true, "probability": 0.5826086956521739, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -3 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 48, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.47162761800443465, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.375, "night": false}], [1554901185.793707, {"predictions": [{"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Apparently we are banned from just-eat. We therefore have no clue."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.20999999999999996, "night": false, "probability": 0.20999999999999996, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.1469267204010421, "night": false, "probability": 0.1469267204010421, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:27 and 02:21, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 13:00 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["819190 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 817829 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.2 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": true, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Alexander's upstairs neighbour is currently playing league"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6, "night": true, "probability": 0.6, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 7 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 46, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.4114102267000868, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.249998, "night": false}], [1554903004.134853, {"predictions": [{"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Apparently we are banned from just-eat. We therefore have no clue."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.13, "night": false, "probability": 0.13, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's night-time in Australia, so it must be day-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["858186 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 858280 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.1 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.853073279598958, "night": true, "probability": 0.853073279598958, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:27 and 02:21, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 13:30 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": true, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Alexander's upstairs neighbour is currently playing league"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6, "night": true, "probability": 0.6, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 7 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 46, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.38025577329991317, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.249998, "night": false}], [1554904816.766851, {"predictions": [{"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Apparently we are banned from just-eat. We therefore have no clue."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's night-time in Australia, so it must be day-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["871659 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 870733 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.1 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.99, "night": true, "probability": 0.99, "reasons": ["Your phone's practically dead, so it's probably around four in the morning."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.853073279598958, "night": true, "probability": 0.853073279598958, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:27 and 02:21, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 14:00 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": true, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Alexander's upstairs neighbour is currently playing league"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5913043478260869, "night": true, "probability": 0.5913043478260869, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 6 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 47, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.4511978022854204, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.375, "night": false}], [1554906630.174152, {"predictions": [{"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Apparently we are banned from just-eat. We therefore have no clue."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's night-time in Australia, so it must be day-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["858766 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 858280 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.1 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.853073279598958, "night": true, "probability": 0.853073279598958, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:27 and 02:21, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 14:30 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": true, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Alexander's upstairs neighbour is currently playing league"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5826086956521739, "night": true, "probability": 0.5826086956521739, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 4 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 48, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.55, "night": true, "probability": 0.55, "reasons": ["Battery level's getting low, so it's probably around dinnertime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.41380649793759433, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.375, "night": false}], [1554908443.46341, {"predictions": [{"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Apparently we are banned from just-eat. We therefore have no clue."], "contribution": 0.1147842056932966}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.4, "night": false, "probability": 0.4, "reasons": ["Battery level's getting low, so it's probably around dinnertime."], "contribution": 0.1147842056932966}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's night-time in Australia, so it must be day-time here."], "contribution": 0.1147842056932966}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["820024 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 817829 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.1147842056932966}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.08034894398530762}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.0576216712580349}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.0573921028466483}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001147842056932966}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.1 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.1147842056932966}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.853073279598958, "night": true, "probability": 0.853073279598958, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:27 and 02:21, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 15:01 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": -0.1147842056932966}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6086956521739131, "night": true, "probability": 0.6086956521739131, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 2 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 45, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.1147842056932966}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.36743317561571553, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.25, "night": false}], [1554910262.5989, {"predictions": [{"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Apparently we are banned from just-eat. We therefore have no clue."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's night-time in Australia, so it must be day-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["765326 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 777380 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.2 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8849305555555556, "night": true, "probability": 0.8849305555555556, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 2.76 hours!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.853073279598958, "night": true, "probability": 0.853073279598958, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:27 and 02:21, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 15:31 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6086956521739131, "night": true, "probability": 0.6086956521739131, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 2 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 45, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.54, "night": true, "probability": 0.54, "reasons": ["Battery level's getting low, so it's probably around dinnertime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.42222462394403554, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.375, "night": false}], [1554912075.926654, {"predictions": [{"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Apparently we are banned from just-eat. We therefore have no clue."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.030000000000000027, "night": false, "probability": 0.030000000000000027, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's night-time in Australia, so it must be day-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["707425 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 699489 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.2 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8639583333333334, "night": true, "probability": 0.8639583333333334, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 3.27 hours!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.853073279598958, "night": true, "probability": 0.853073279598958, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:27 and 02:21, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 16:01 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6086956521739131, "night": true, "probability": 0.6086956521739131, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 2 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 45, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.37797693875885036, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.249998, "night": false}], [1554913887.906506, {"predictions": [{"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Apparently we are banned from just-eat. 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We therefore have no clue."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's night-time in Australia, so it must be day-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["609673 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 609003 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. 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We therefore have no clue."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's night-time in Australia, so it must be day-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["546493 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 545771 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.3 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.853073279598958, "night": true, "probability": 0.853073279598958, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:27 and 02:21, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 18:02 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.7798958333333333, "night": true, "probability": 0.7798958333333333, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 5.28 hours!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.62, "night": true, "probability": 0.62, "reasons": ["Battery level's getting low, so it's probably around dinnertime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5826086956521739, "night": true, "probability": 0.5826086956521739, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -8 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 48, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.41796448404870545, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.375, "night": false}], [1554921150.386988, {"predictions": [{"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.4 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["518429 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 06, 516839 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.94, "night": true, "probability": 0.94, "reasons": ["Your phone's practically dead, so it's probably around four in the morning."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.853073279598958, "night": true, "probability": 0.853073279598958, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:27 and 02:21, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 18:32 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.758900462962963, "night": true, "probability": 0.758900462962963, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 5.79 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6086956521739131, "night": true, "probability": 0.6086956521739131, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -13 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 45, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Apparently we are banned from just-eat. We therefore have no clue."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's night-time in Australia, so it must be day-time here."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.5283887828946529, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.5543478260869565, "night": true}], [1554922964.557803, {"predictions": [{"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.4 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["482513 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 06, 482232 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.99, "night": true, "probability": 0.99, "reasons": ["Your phone's practically dead, so it's probably around four in the morning."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.853073279598958, "night": true, "probability": 0.853073279598958, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:27 and 02:21, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 19:02 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.7378587962962964, "night": true, "probability": 0.7378587962962964, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 6.29 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6608695652173913, "night": true, "probability": 0.6608695652173913, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -15 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 39, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Apparently we are banned from just-eat. We therefore have no clue."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's night-time in Australia, so it must be day-time here."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.5351498034260538, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.5804347826086956, "night": true}], [1554924782.57487, {"predictions": [{"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Apparently we are banned from just-eat. We therefore have no clue."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.36, "night": false, "probability": 0.36, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's night-time in Australia, so it must be day-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.5 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["444361 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 06, 444908 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.853073279598958, "night": true, "probability": 0.853073279598958, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:27 and 02:21, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 19:33 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.7168749999999999, "night": true, "probability": 0.7168749999999999, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 6.79 hours!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6608695652173913, "night": true, "probability": 0.6608695652173913, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -15 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 39, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.4809011537346958, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.43, "night": false}], [1554926596.186848, {"predictions": [{"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.5 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["417972 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 07, 418250 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.853073279598958, "night": true, "probability": 0.853073279598958, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:27 and 02:21, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 20:03 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.72, "night": true, "probability": 0.72, "reasons": ["Your phone is dying, so it's bedtime soon?"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6959027777777778, "night": true, "probability": 0.6959027777777778, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 7.30 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6086956521739131, "night": true, "probability": 0.6086956521739131, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -13 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 45, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Apparently we are banned from just-eat. We therefore have no clue."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.5881389757958874, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.6522992149758454, "night": true}], [1554928407.850856, {"predictions": [{"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.7 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["388364 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 07, 390901 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.853073279598958, "night": true, "probability": 0.853073279598958, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:27 and 02:21, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 20:33 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": true, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Alexander's upstairs neighbour is currently playing league"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6086956521739131, "night": true, "probability": 0.6086956521739131, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -12 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 45, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5800000000000001, "night": true, "probability": 0.5800000000000001, "reasons": ["Battery level's getting low, so it's probably around dinnertime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. 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Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Apparently we are banned from just-eat. We therefore have no clue."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.20999999999999996, "night": false, "probability": 0.20999999999999996, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.5521398312709277, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.5413043478260869, "night": true}], [1554933844.330209, {"predictions": [{"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 1.7 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["319910 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 07, 319848 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.853073279598958, "night": true, "probability": 0.853073279598958, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:27 and 02:21, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 22:04 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": true, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Alexander's upstairs neighbour is currently playing league"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5826086956521739, "night": true, "probability": 0.5826086956521739, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -8 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 48, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Apparently we are banned from just-eat. We therefore have no clue."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.040000000000000036, "night": false, "probability": 0.040000000000000036, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.537973164604261, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.5413043478260869, "night": true}], [1554935660.694911, {"predictions": [{"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.0 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["296428 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 07, 292750 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.853073279598958, "night": true, "probability": 0.853073279598958, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:27 and 02:21, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 22:34 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": true, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Alexander's upstairs neighbour is currently playing league"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5826086956521739, "night": true, "probability": 0.5826086956521739, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -7 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 48, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Battery level's getting low, so it's probably around dinnertime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Apparently we are banned from just-eat. We therefore have no clue."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.5763064979375944, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.5413043478260869, "night": true}], [1554937479.85486, {"predictions": [{"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Apparently we are banned from just-eat. We therefore have no clue."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.06999999999999995, "night": false, "probability": 0.06999999999999995, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": -0.32275132275132257, "night": false, "probability": -0.32275132275132257, "reasons": ["Because average for daytime is 7.0 and average for nighttime is 3.4, but the current average is 4.8"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["275059 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 07, 274753 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.853073279598958, "night": true, "probability": 0.853073279598958, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:27 and 02:21, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 23:04 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": true, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Alexander's upstairs neighbour is currently playing league"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5826086956521739, "night": true, "probability": 0.5826086956521739, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -6 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 48, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.43024388770831745, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.375, "night": false}], [1554939291.494837, {"predictions": [{"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Apparently we are banned from just-eat. We therefore have no clue."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": -0.5432098765432096, "night": false, "probability": -0.5432098765432096, "reasons": ["Because average for daytime is 7.0 and average for nighttime is 3.4, but the current average is 5.6"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["260287 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 07, 274753 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.9299999999999999, "night": true, "probability": 0.9299999999999999, "reasons": ["Your phone's practically dead, so it's probably around four in the morning."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.853073279598958, "night": true, "probability": 0.853073279598958, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:27 and 02:21, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 23:35 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": true, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Alexander's upstairs neighbour is currently playing league"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5826086956521739, "night": true, "probability": 0.5826086956521739, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -3 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 48, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.4835390082256602, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.5413043478260869, "night": false}], [1554941109.786829, {"predictions": [{"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 3.3 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["254184 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 07, 274753 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.9004050925925926, "night": true, "probability": 0.9004050925925926, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 2.39 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.86, "night": true, "probability": 0.86, "reasons": ["Your phone is dying, so it's bedtime soon?"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5913043478260869, "night": true, "probability": 0.5913043478260869, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 1 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 47, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Apparently we are banned from just-eat. We therefore have no clue."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.1469267204010421, "night": false, "probability": 0.1469267204010421, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:26 and 02:21, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 00:05 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.5565526800683102, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.5456521739130434, "night": true}], [1554942921.394834, {"predictions": [{"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Apparently we are banned from just-eat. We therefore have no clue."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.1469267204010421, "night": false, "probability": 0.1469267204010421, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:26 and 02:21, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 00:35 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["Because 16.7 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 7.0 is the expected number for daytime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["253519 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 07, 274753 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.89, "night": true, "probability": 0.89, "reasons": ["Your phone is dying, so it's bedtime soon?"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8794212962962963, "night": true, "probability": 0.8794212962962963, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 2.89 hours!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6086956521739131, "night": true, "probability": 0.6086956521739131, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 3 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 45, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.47541997240593764, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.375, "night": false}], [1554944734.846898, {"predictions": [{"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Apparently we are banned from just-eat. We therefore have no clue."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.1469267204010421, "night": false, "probability": 0.1469267204010421, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:26 and 02:21, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 01:05 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": -0.8518518518518516, "night": false, "probability": -0.8518518518518516, "reasons": ["Because average for daytime is 7.0 and average for nighttime is 3.4, but the current average is 6.7"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["262046 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 07, 274753 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8583217592592592, "night": true, "probability": 0.8583217592592592, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 3.40 hours!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.65, "night": true, "probability": 0.65, "reasons": ["Battery level's getting low, so it's probably around dinnertime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5913043478260869, "night": true, "probability": 0.5913043478260869, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 6 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 47, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.3812247479695447, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.375, "night": false}], [1554946558.250834, {"predictions": [{"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Apparently we are banned from just-eat. We therefore have no clue."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.1469267204010421, "night": false, "probability": 0.1469267204010421, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:26 and 02:21, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 01:36 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.042145593869732045, "night": false, "probability": 0.042145593869732045, "reasons": ["Because average for daytime is 7.0 and average for nighttime is 3.4, but the current average is 3.4"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["280704 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 07, 274753 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8373379629629629, "night": true, "probability": 0.8373379629629629, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 3.90 hours!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.71, "night": true, "probability": 0.71, "reasons": ["Your phone is dying, so it's bedtime soon?"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5913043478260869, "night": true, "probability": 0.5913043478260869, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 6 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 47, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.45897588542165196, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.375, "night": false}], [1554948370.918965, {"predictions": [{"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 2.5 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["313996 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 07, 313745 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8162962962962963, "night": true, "probability": 0.8162962962962963, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 4.41 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.64, "night": true, "probability": 0.64, "reasons": ["Battery level's getting low, so it's probably around dinnertime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5913043478260869, "night": true, "probability": 0.5913043478260869, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 5 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 47, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": true, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Apparently we are banned from just-eat. We therefore have no clue."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.1469267204010421, "night": false, "probability": 0.1469267204010421, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:26 and 02:21, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 02:06 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.5603769470436187, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.5581521739130434, "night": true}], [1554950189.01079, {"predictions": [{"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 2.9 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["346889 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 07, 348194 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.7953125, "night": true, "probability": 0.7953125, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 4.91 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5826086956521739, "night": true, "probability": 0.5826086956521739, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 4 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 48, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": true, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Apparently we are banned from just-eat. We therefore have no clue."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.1469267204010421, "night": false, "probability": 0.1469267204010421, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:26 and 02:21, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 02:36 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.07999999999999996, "night": false, "probability": 0.07999999999999996, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.5112369930044347, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.5125, "night": true}], [1554952001.478875, {"predictions": [{"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 2.3 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["369576 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 07, 369566 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.9299999999999999, "night": true, "probability": 0.9299999999999999, "reasons": ["Your phone's practically dead, so it's probably around four in the morning."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.7743402777777778, "night": true, "probability": 0.7743402777777778, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 5.42 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5913043478260869, "night": true, "probability": 0.5913043478260869, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 1 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 47, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": true, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Apparently we are banned from just-eat. We therefore have no clue."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.1469267204010421, "night": false, "probability": 0.1469267204010421, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:26 and 02:21, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 03:06 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.5810472788337422, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.5581521739130434, "night": true}], [1554953813.862874, {"predictions": [{"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.9 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["381026 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 07, 380728 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.92, "night": true, "probability": 0.92, "reasons": ["Your phone's practically dead, so it's probably around four in the morning."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.7533564814814815, "night": true, "probability": 0.7533564814814815, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 5.92 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5826086956521739, "night": true, "probability": 0.5826086956521739, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 0 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 48, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": true, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Apparently we are banned from just-eat. We therefore have no clue."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.1469267204010421, "night": false, "probability": 0.1469267204010421, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:26 and 02:21, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 03:37 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.5777406581278914, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.5538043478260869, "night": true}], [1554955627.242958, {"predictions": [{"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.6 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["401315 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 07, 401461 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.7323842592592593, "night": true, "probability": 0.7323842592592593, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 6.42 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5913043478260869, "night": true, "probability": 0.5913043478260869, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -1 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 47, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": true, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Apparently we are banned from just-eat. We therefore have no clue."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.18999999999999995, "night": false, "probability": 0.18999999999999995, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.1469267204010421, "night": false, "probability": 0.1469267204010421, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:26 and 02:21, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 04:07 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.5158842772905323, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.5125, "night": true}], [1554957438.986826, {"predictions": [{"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.2 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["437210 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 06, 435124 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.7113541666666667, "night": true, "probability": 0.7113541666666667, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 6.93 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5826086956521739, "night": true, "probability": 0.5826086956521739, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -2 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 48, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": true, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Apparently we are banned from just-eat. We therefore have no clue."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.47, "night": false, "probability": 0.47, "reasons": ["Battery level's getting low, so it's probably around dinnertime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.1469267204010421, "night": false, "probability": 0.1469267204010421, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:26 and 02:21, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 04:37 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.5367404652266569, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.5125, "night": true}], [1554959255.506821, {"predictions": [{"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.1 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["454854 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 06, 454175 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6903703703703703, "night": true, "probability": 0.6903703703703703, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 7.43 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5826086956521739, "night": true, "probability": 0.5826086956521739, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -4 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 48, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": true, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Apparently we are banned from just-eat. We therefore have no clue."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.48, "night": false, "probability": 0.48, "reasons": ["Battery level's getting low, so it's probably around dinnertime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.1469267204010421, "night": false, "probability": 0.1469267204010421, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:26 and 02:21, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 05:07 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.5358251488686322, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.5125, "night": true}], [1554961068.30683, {"predictions": [{"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Apparently we are banned from just-eat. We therefore have no clue."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.26, "night": false, "probability": 0.26, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.1469267204010421, "night": false, "probability": 0.1469267204010421, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:26 and 02:21, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 05:37 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["461440 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 463493 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": true, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.1 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6693981481481481, "night": true, "probability": 0.6693981481481481, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 7.93 hours!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5826086956521739, "night": true, "probability": 0.5826086956521739, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -8 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 48, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.4324107970167803, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.38, "night": false}], [1554962881.007344, {"predictions": [{"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.1 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["466541 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 06, 467800 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6484143518518519, "night": true, "probability": 0.6484143518518519, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 8.44 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5913043478260869, "night": true, "probability": 0.5913043478260869, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -11 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 47, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": true, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Apparently we are banned from just-eat. We therefore have no clue."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.27, "night": false, "probability": 0.27, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.1469267204010421, "night": false, "probability": 0.1469267204010421, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:26 and 02:21, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 06:08 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.5155534516732484, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.5125, "night": true}], [1554964693.463187, {"predictions": [{"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.2 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["479192 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 06, 479234 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.84, "night": true, "probability": 0.84, "reasons": ["Your phone is dying, so it's bedtime soon?"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6347826086956522, "night": true, "probability": 0.6347826086956522, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -14 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 42, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6274421296296295, "night": true, "probability": 0.6274421296296295, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 8.94 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": true, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Apparently we are banned from just-eat. We therefore have no clue."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.1469267204010421, "night": false, "probability": 0.1469267204010421, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:26 and 02:21, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 06:38 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.5649289548938603, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.5762210648148147, "night": true}], [1554966505.765846, {"predictions": [{"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.2 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": true, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.86, "night": true, "probability": 0.86, "reasons": ["Your phone is dying, so it's bedtime soon?"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6608695652173913, "night": true, "probability": 0.6608695652173913, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -17 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 39, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6064351851851852, "night": true, "probability": 0.6064351851851852, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 9.45 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": true, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.1469267204010421, "night": false, "probability": 0.1469267204010421, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:26 and 02:21, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 07:08 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["492928 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 491189 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.5178522892336349, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.5657175925925926, "night": true}], [1554968321.630831, {"predictions": [{"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.1469267204010421, "night": false, "probability": 0.1469267204010421, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:26 and 02:21, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 07:38 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["513227 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 514301 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": true, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.2 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": true, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6434782608695653, "night": true, "probability": 0.6434782608695653, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -18 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 41, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5853703703703703, "night": true, "probability": 0.5853703703703703, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 9.95 hours!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.54, "night": true, "probability": 0.54, "reasons": ["Battery level's getting low, so it's probably around dinnertime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.48798094597008146, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.5325, "night": false}], [1554970141.17882, {"predictions": [{"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.1469267204010421, "night": false, "probability": 0.1469267204010421, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:26 and 02:21, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 08:09 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["534082 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 532803 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.2 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": true, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6608695652173913, "night": true, "probability": 0.6608695652173913, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -19 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 39, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5643171296296297, "night": true, "probability": 0.5643171296296297, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 10.46 hours!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.53, "night": true, "probability": 0.53, "reasons": ["Battery level's getting low, so it's probably around dinnertime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.45767578460400526, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.39, "night": false}], [1554971960.822865, {"predictions": [{"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.22999999999999998, "night": false, "probability": 0.22999999999999998, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.1469267204010421, "night": false, "probability": 0.1469267204010421, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:26 and 02:21, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 08:39 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["551931 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 550616 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.3 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": true, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6434782608695653, "night": true, "probability": 0.6434782608695653, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -18 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 41, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5432870370370371, "night": true, "probability": 0.5432870370370371, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 10.96 hours!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.42947400152563703, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.249998, "night": false}], [1554973777.170832, {"predictions": [{"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.1469267204010421, "night": false, "probability": 0.1469267204010421, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:26 and 02:21, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 09:09 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.09090909090909091, "night": false, "probability": 0.09090909090909091, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is currently open.", "We conclude from this, that there is 0.09090909090909091% chance of it being night outside"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["558508 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 559902 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": true, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.2 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6608695652173913, "night": true, "probability": 0.6608695652173913, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -17 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 39, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.64, "night": true, "probability": 0.64, "reasons": ["Battery level's getting low, so it's probably around dinnertime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5222800925925926, "night": true, "probability": 0.5222800925925926, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 11.47 hours!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.42424845576000975, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.3861400462962963, "night": false}], [1554975592.686882, {"predictions": [{"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.1469267204010421, "night": false, "probability": 0.1469267204010421, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:26 and 02:21, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 09:40 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.09090909090909091, "night": false, "probability": 0.09090909090909091, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is currently open.", "We conclude from this, that there is 0.09090909090909091% chance of it being night outside"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["567025 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 567069 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": true, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.2 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6869565217391305, "night": true, "probability": 0.6869565217391305, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -16 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 36, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.51, "night": true, "probability": 0.51, "reasons": ["Battery level's getting low, so it's probably around dinnertime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.501261574074074, "night": true, "probability": 0.501261574074074, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 11.97 hours!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.4138374922602781, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.375630787037037, "night": false}], [1554977408.319036, {"predictions": [{"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.4802314814814814, "night": false, "probability": 0.4802314814814814, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 12.47 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.1469267204010421, "night": false, "probability": 0.1469267204010421, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:26 and 02:21, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 10:10 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.09090909090909091, "night": false, "probability": 0.09090909090909091, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is currently open.", "We conclude from this, that there is 0.09090909090909091% chance of it being night outside"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["580869 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 582210 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": true, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.2 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.78, "night": true, "probability": 0.78, "reasons": ["Your phone is dying, so it's bedtime soon?"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6608695652173913, "night": true, "probability": 0.6608695652173913, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -15 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 39, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.4324110715007505, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.3651157407407407, "night": false}], [1554979225.674825, {"predictions": [{"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.45893518518518517, "night": false, "probability": 0.45893518518518517, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 12.99 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.1469267204010421, "night": false, "probability": 0.1469267204010421, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:26 and 02:21, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 10:41 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.09090909090909091, "night": false, "probability": 0.09090909090909091, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is currently open.", "We conclude from this, that there is 0.09090909090909091% chance of it being night outside"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.030000000000000027, "night": false, "probability": 0.030000000000000027, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["609699 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 609003 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.1 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6608695652173913, "night": true, "probability": 0.6608695652173913, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -15 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 39, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.33896971347605914, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.212498, "night": false}], [1554981066.002805, {"predictions": [{"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.4379166666666666, "night": false, "probability": 0.4379166666666666, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 13.49 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.1469267204010421, "night": false, "probability": 0.1469267204010421, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:26 and 02:21, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 11:11 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.09090909090909091, "night": false, "probability": 0.09090909090909091, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is currently open.", "We conclude from this, that there is 0.09090909090909091% chance of it being night outside"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["646902 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 652559 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.2 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.94, "night": true, "probability": 0.94, "reasons": ["Your phone's practically dead, so it's probably around four in the morning."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6869565217391305, "night": true, "probability": 0.6869565217391305, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -16 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 36, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.41522541664299417, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.249998, "night": false}], [1554982881.729591, {"predictions": [{"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.4168981481481482, "night": false, "probability": 0.4168981481481482, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 13.99 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.1469267204010421, "night": false, "probability": 0.1469267204010421, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:26 and 02:21, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 11:41 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.09090909090909091, "night": false, "probability": 0.09090909090909091, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is currently open.", "We conclude from this, that there is 0.09090909090909091% chance of it being night outside"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["693323 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 699489 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.2 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.64, "night": true, "probability": 0.64, "reasons": ["Battery level's getting low, so it's probably around dinnertime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6347826086956522, "night": true, "probability": 0.6347826086956522, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -14 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 42, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.3841260473461611, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.249998, "night": false}], [1554984697.814954, {"predictions": [{"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.39587962962962964, "night": false, "probability": 0.39587962962962964, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 14.50 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.37, "night": false, "probability": 0.37, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.1469267204010421, "night": false, "probability": 0.1469267204010421, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:26 and 02:21, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 12:11 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.09090909090909091, "night": false, "probability": 0.09090909090909091, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is currently open.", "We conclude from this, that there is 0.09090909090909091% chance of it being night outside"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["742761 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 750968 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.2 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5913043478260869, "night": true, "probability": 0.5913043478260869, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -11 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 47, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.35625131573048746, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.249998, "night": false}], [1554986513.334854, {"predictions": [{"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.37487268518518524, "night": false, "probability": 0.37487268518518524, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 15.00 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.1469267204010421, "night": false, "probability": 0.1469267204010421, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:26 and 02:21, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 12:42 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.09090909090909091, "night": false, "probability": 0.09090909090909091, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is currently open.", "We conclude from this, that there is 0.09090909090909091% chance of it being night outside"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["794930 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 802699 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.1 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.84, "night": true, "probability": 0.84, "reasons": ["Your phone is dying, so it's bedtime soon?"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5826086956521739, "night": true, "probability": 0.5826086956521739, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -4 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 48, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.392942766012291, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.249998, "night": false}], [1554988328.530845, {"predictions": [{"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.35386574074074073, "night": false, "probability": 0.35386574074074073, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 15.51 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.1469267204010421, "night": false, "probability": 0.1469267204010421, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:26 and 02:21, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 13:12 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.09090909090909091, "night": false, "probability": 0.09090909090909091, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is currently open.", "We conclude from this, that there is 0.09090909090909091% chance of it being night outside"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.010000000000000009, "night": false, "probability": 0.010000000000000009, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's night-time in Australia, so it must be day-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["837716 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 835475 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.1 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5826086956521739, "night": true, "probability": 0.5826086956521739, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 0 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 48, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.2386921873085873, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.16096336020052104, "night": false}], [1554990143.894847, {"predictions": [{"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.36, "night": false, "probability": 0.36, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.3328472222222222, "night": false, "probability": 0.3328472222222222, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 16.01 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.09090909090909091, "night": false, "probability": 0.09090909090909091, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is currently open.", "We conclude from this, that there is 0.09090909090909091% chance of it being night outside"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's night-time in Australia, so it must be day-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["872124 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 870733 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.1 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.853073279598958, "night": true, "probability": 0.853073279598958, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:26 and 02:21, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 13:42 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6086956521739131, "night": true, "probability": 0.6086956521739131, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 3 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 45, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.327126770408682, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.249998, "night": false}], [1554991959.368039, {"predictions": [{"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.31182870370370364, "night": false, "probability": 0.31182870370370364, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 16.52 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.09090909090909091, "night": false, "probability": 0.09090909090909091, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is currently open.", "We conclude from this, that there is 0.09090909090909091% chance of it being night outside"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's night-time in Australia, so it must be day-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["882437 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 882575 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.1 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.853073279598958, "night": true, "probability": 0.853073279598958, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:26 and 02:21, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 14:12 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.72, "night": true, "probability": 0.72, "reasons": ["Your phone is dying, so it's bedtime soon?"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5913043478260869, "night": true, "probability": 0.5913043478260869, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 5 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 47, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.3539259518364866, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.249998, "night": false}], [1554993776.018909, {"predictions": [{"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.32999999999999996, "night": false, "probability": 0.32999999999999996, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.2908101851851851, "night": false, "probability": 0.2908101851851851, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 17.02 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.09090909090909091, "night": false, "probability": 0.09090909090909091, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is currently open.", "We conclude from this, that there is 0.09090909090909091% chance of it being night outside"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's night-time in Australia, so it must be day-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["862772 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 862913 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.1 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.853073279598958, "night": true, "probability": 0.853073279598958, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:26 and 02:21, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 14:43 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5913043478260869, "night": true, "probability": 0.5913043478260869, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 5 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 47, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.31967440862661006, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.249998, "night": false}], [1554995591.698892, {"predictions": [{"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.2697800925925926, "night": false, "probability": 0.2697800925925926, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 17.53 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.09090909090909091, "night": false, "probability": 0.09090909090909091, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is currently open.", "We conclude from this, that there is 0.09090909090909091% chance of it being night outside"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's night-time in Australia, so it must be day-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["817570 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 817829 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. 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"reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:26 and 02:21, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 16:14 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": true, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Alexander's upstairs neighbour is currently playing league"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5913043478260869, "night": true, "probability": 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random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.09090909090909091, "night": false, "probability": 0.09090909090909091, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is currently open.", "We conclude from this, that there is 0.09090909090909091% chance of it being night outside"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.07999999999999996, "night": false, "probability": 0.07999999999999996, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's night-time in Australia, so it must be day-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["649159 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 652559 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.2 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.853073279598958, "night": true, "probability": 0.853073279598958, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:26 and 02:21, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 16:44 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": true, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Alexander's upstairs neighbour is currently playing league"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5826086956521739, "night": true, "probability": 0.5826086956521739, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 0 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 48, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.3405489221800186, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.212498, "night": false}], [1555002880.166845, {"predictions": [{"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.09090909090909091, "night": false, "probability": 0.09090909090909091, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is currently open.", "We conclude from this, that there is 0.09090909090909091% chance of it being night outside"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's night-time in Australia, so it must be day-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["607355 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 606741 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. 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"reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:26 and 02:21, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 17:14 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": true, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Alexander's upstairs neighbour is currently playing league"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.72, "night": true, "probability": 0.72, "reasons": ["Your phone is dying, so it's bedtime soon?"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5826086956521739, "night": true, "probability": 0.5826086956521739, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -3 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 48, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.3938822555133519, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.249998, "night": false}], [1555004696.670832, {"predictions": [{"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.09090909090909091, "night": false, "probability": 0.09090909090909091, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is currently open.", "We conclude from this, that there is 0.09090909090909091% chance of it being night outside"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's night-time in Australia, so it must be day-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["576040 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 576129 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.3 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.853073279598958, "night": true, "probability": 0.853073279598958, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:26 and 02:21, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 17:45 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": true, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Alexander's upstairs neighbour is currently playing league"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5826086956521739, "night": true, "probability": 0.5826086956521739, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -8 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 48, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.3338822555133519, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.212498, "night": false}], [1555006514.574846, {"predictions": [{"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's night-time in Australia, so it must be day-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["546885 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 545771 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": true, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.4 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": true, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.853073279598958, "night": true, "probability": 0.853073279598958, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:26 and 02:21, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 18:15 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": true, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Alexander's upstairs neighbour is currently playing league"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6086956521739131, "night": true, "probability": 0.6086956521739131, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -13 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 45, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.51, "night": true, "probability": 0.51, "reasons": ["Battery level's getting low, so it's probably around dinnertime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.4759804109810726, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.5175, "night": false}], [1555008329.646833, {"predictions": [{"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.3 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": true, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.853073279598958, "night": true, "probability": 0.853073279598958, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:26 and 02:21, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 18:45 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": true, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Alexander's upstairs neighbour is currently playing league"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.79, "night": true, "probability": 0.79, "reasons": ["Your phone is dying, so it's bedtime soon?"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6434782608695653, "night": true, "probability": 0.6434782608695653, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -18 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 41, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": true, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's night-time in Australia, so it must be day-time here."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["522430 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 521831 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.5022122950390436, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.5842391304347826, "night": true}], [1555010148.370858, {"predictions": [{"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.3 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["494603 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 06, 495851 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": true, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.853073279598958, "night": true, "probability": 0.853073279598958, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:26 and 02:21, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 19:16 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": true, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Alexander's upstairs neighbour is currently playing league"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6695652173913044, "night": true, "probability": 0.6695652173913044, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -21 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 38, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": true, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.30000000000000004, "night": false, "probability": 0.30000000000000004, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's night-time in Australia, so it must be day-time here."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.5468862080825219, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.5972826086956522, "night": true}], [1555011963.846842, {"predictions": [{"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.4 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["467460 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 06, 467800 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": true, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.853073279598958, "night": true, "probability": 0.853073279598958, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:26 and 02:21, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 19:46 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": true, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Alexander's upstairs neighbour is currently playing league"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6347826086956522, "night": true, "probability": 0.6347826086956522, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -25 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 42, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.56, "night": true, "probability": 0.56, "reasons": ["Battery level's getting low, so it's probably around dinnertime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. 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the day."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.5939876573578842, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.7173913043478262, "night": true}], [1555017409.075332, {"predictions": [{"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.6 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["374737 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 07, 375601 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.92, "night": true, "probability": 0.92, "reasons": ["Your phone's practically dead, so it's probably around four in the morning."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": true, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.853073279598958, "night": true, "probability": 0.853073279598958, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:26 and 02:21, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 21:17 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": true, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Alexander's upstairs neighbour is currently playing league"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6608695652173913, "night": true, "probability": 0.6608695652173913, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -24 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 39, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.6519949037346958, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.826536639799479, "night": true}], [1555019224.339146, {"predictions": [{"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 1.6 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["347339 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 07, 348194 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": true, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.89, "night": true, "probability": 0.89, "reasons": ["Your phone is dying, so it's bedtime soon?"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.853073279598958, "night": true, "probability": 0.853073279598958, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:26 and 02:21, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 21:47 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": true, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Alexander's upstairs neighbour is currently playing league"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6521739130434783, "night": true, "probability": 0.6521739130434783, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -23 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 40, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. 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Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.08999999999999997, "night": false, "probability": 0.08999999999999997, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.5835528747491885, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.7347826086956522, "night": true}], [1555022860.593452, {"predictions": [{"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.0 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["296723 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 07, 292750 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": true, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.853073279598958, "night": true, "probability": 0.853073279598958, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:26 and 02:21, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 22:47 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": true, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Alexander's upstairs neighbour is currently playing league"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6608695652173913, "night": true, "probability": 0.6608695652173913, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -20 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 39, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.18000000000000005, "night": false, "probability": 0.18000000000000005, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.5903282370680291, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.7304347826086957, "night": true}], [1555024677.362803, {"predictions": [{"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 1.9 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["276156 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 07, 274753 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": true, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.853073279598958, "night": true, "probability": 0.853073279598958, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:26 and 02:21, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 23:18 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": true, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Alexander's upstairs neighbour is currently playing league"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6608695652173913, "night": true, "probability": 0.6608695652173913, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -17 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 39, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.19999999999999996, "night": false, "probability": 0.19999999999999996, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.5919949037346958, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.7304347826086957, "night": true}], [1555026494.010827, {"predictions": [{"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 2.1 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["265803 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 07, 274753 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": true, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.853073279598958, "night": true, "probability": 0.853073279598958, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:26 and 02:21, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 23:48 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": true, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Alexander's upstairs neighbour is currently playing league"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6347826086956522, "night": true, "probability": 0.6347826086956522, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -14 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 42, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.10999999999999999, "night": false, "probability": 0.10999999999999999, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.5823209906912176, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.7173913043478262, "night": true}], [1555028309.818776, {"predictions": [{"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 2.8 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["264465 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 07, 274753 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": true, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.904988425925926, "night": true, "probability": 0.904988425925926, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 2.28 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6799999999999999, "night": true, "probability": 0.6799999999999999, "reasons": ["Battery level's getting low, so it's probably around dinnertime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5913043478260869, "night": true, "probability": 0.5913043478260869, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -10 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 47, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.1469267204010421, "night": false, "probability": 0.1469267204010421, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:25 and 02:22, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 00:18 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.5761012911794212, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.6356521739130434, "night": true}], [1555030127.199098, {"predictions": [{"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 3.3 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["275664 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 07, 274753 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": true, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.89, "night": true, "probability": 0.89, "reasons": ["Your phone is dying, so it's bedtime soon?"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.883912037037037, "night": true, "probability": 0.883912037037037, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 2.79 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5826086956521739, "night": true, "probability": 0.5826086956521739, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -6 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 48, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.1469267204010421, "night": false, "probability": 0.1469267204010421, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:25 and 02:22, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 00:49 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.5911202877575211, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.7332603663446055, "night": true}], [1555031948.058804, {"predictions": [{"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Apparently we are banned from just-eat. We therefore have no clue."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.1469267204010421, "night": false, "probability": 0.1469267204010421, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:25 and 02:22, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 01:19 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": -0.11111111111111094, "night": false, "probability": -0.11111111111111094, "reasons": ["Because average for daytime is 7.0 and average for nighttime is 3.4, but the current average is 4.0"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["295853 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 07, 292750 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8628935185185185, "night": true, "probability": 0.8628935185185185, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 3.29 hours!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8200000000000001, "night": true, "probability": 0.8200000000000001, "reasons": ["Your phone is dying, so it's bedtime soon?"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5826086956521739, "night": true, "probability": 0.5826086956521739, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -2 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 48, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.45677615195505195, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.375, "night": false}], [1555033764.10688, {"predictions": [{"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 3.0 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["318122 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 07, 317976 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8418518518518519, "night": true, "probability": 0.8418518518518519, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 3.80 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.78, "night": true, "probability": 0.78, "reasons": ["Your phone is dying, so it's bedtime soon?"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5826086956521739, "night": true, "probability": 0.5826086956521739, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 0 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 48, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Apparently we are banned from just-eat. We therefore have no clue."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.1469267204010421, "night": false, "probability": 0.1469267204010421, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:25 and 02:22, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 01:49 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.544281938992089, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.5413043478260869, "night": true}], [1555035581.178873, {"predictions": [{"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 2.7 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["345936 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 07, 344506 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8208449074074073, "night": true, "probability": 0.8208449074074073, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 4.30 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6699999999999999, "night": true, "probability": 0.6699999999999999, "reasons": ["Battery level's getting low, so it's probably around dinnertime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5913043478260869, "night": true, "probability": 0.5913043478260869, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 1 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 47, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Apparently we are banned from just-eat. We therefore have no clue."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.1469267204010421, "night": false, "probability": 0.1469267204010421, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:25 and 02:22, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 02:19 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.5340893313028781, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.5456521739130434, "night": true}], [1555037396.818834, {"predictions": [{"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 1.4 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["372099 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 07, 370983 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.99, "night": true, "probability": 0.99, "reasons": ["Your phone's practically dead, so it's probably around four in the morning."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.7998263888888889, "night": true, "probability": 0.7998263888888889, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 4.80 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5913043478260869, "night": true, "probability": 0.5913043478260869, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 1 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 47, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Apparently we are banned from just-eat. We therefore have no clue."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.1469267204010421, "night": false, "probability": 0.1469267204010421, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:25 and 02:22, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 02:50 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.5590044547596682, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.5456521739130434, "night": true}], [1555039212.926875, {"predictions": [{"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 1.1 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["385874 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 07, 385741 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.87, "night": true, "probability": 0.87, "reasons": ["Your phone is dying, so it's bedtime soon?"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.7788078703703704, "night": true, "probability": 0.7788078703703704, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 5.31 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5913043478260869, "night": true, "probability": 0.5913043478260869, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 1 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 47, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Apparently we are banned from just-eat. We therefore have no clue."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.1469267204010421, "night": false, "probability": 0.1469267204010421, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:25 and 02:22, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 03:20 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.5472529115497916, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.5456521739130434, "night": true}], [1555041028.210825, {"predictions": [{"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.6 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["398302 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 07, 396138 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.757800925925926, "night": true, "probability": 0.757800925925926, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 5.81 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5826086956521739, "night": true, "probability": 0.5826086956521739, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 0 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 48, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5700000000000001, "night": true, "probability": 0.5700000000000001, "reasons": ["Battery level's getting low, so it's probably around dinnertime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Apparently we are banned from just-eat. We therefore have no clue."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.1469267204010421, "night": false, "probability": 0.1469267204010421, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:25 and 02:22, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 03:50 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.5197776951649284, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.535, "night": true}], [1555042843.381345, {"predictions": [{"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Apparently we are banned from just-eat. We therefore have no clue."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.1469267204010421, "night": false, "probability": 0.1469267204010421, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:25 and 02:22, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 04:20 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["425544 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 425491 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.3 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.7367939814814815, "night": true, "probability": 0.7367939814814815, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 6.32 hours!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6799999999999999, "night": true, "probability": 0.6799999999999999, "reasons": ["Battery level's getting low, so it's probably around dinnertime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5826086956521739, "night": true, "probability": 0.5826086956521739, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 0 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 48, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.44386044979455813, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.375, "night": false}], [1555044658.662829, {"predictions": [{"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.2 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["455314 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 06, 454175 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.7157754629629629, "night": true, "probability": 0.7157754629629629, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 6.82 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5826086956521739, "night": true, "probability": 0.5826086956521739, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -2 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 48, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Apparently we are banned from just-eat. We therefore have no clue."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.47, "night": false, "probability": 0.47, "reasons": ["Battery level's getting low, so it's probably around dinnertime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.1469267204010421, "night": false, "probability": 0.1469267204010421, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:25 and 02:22, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 04:51 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.5079422399180149, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.485, "night": true}], [1555046475.026812, {"predictions": [{"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Apparently we are banned from just-eat. We therefore have no clue."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.1469267204010421, "night": false, "probability": 0.1469267204010421, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:25 and 02:22, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 05:21 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["462730 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 463493 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.1 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.9, "night": true, "probability": 0.9, "reasons": ["Your phone's practically dead, so it's probably around four in the morning."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6947569444444444, "night": true, "probability": 0.6947569444444444, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 7.33 hours!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5826086956521739, "night": true, "probability": 0.5826086956521739, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -6 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 48, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.45869069670813833, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.375, "night": false}], [1555048290.946814, {"predictions": [{"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.1 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["471479 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 06, 472136 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.97, "night": true, "probability": 0.97, "reasons": ["Your phone's practically dead, so it's probably around four in the morning."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6736805555555556, "night": true, "probability": 0.6736805555555556, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 7.83 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5913043478260869, "night": true, "probability": 0.5913043478260869, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -10 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 47, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": true, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Apparently we are banned from just-eat. We therefore have no clue."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.1469267204010421, "night": false, "probability": 0.1469267204010421, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:25 and 02:22, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 05:51 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.5759923019818903, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.5581521739130434, "night": true}], [1555050111.782884, {"predictions": [{"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.1 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["483530 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 06, 483498 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6608695652173913, "night": true, "probability": 0.6608695652173913, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -15 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 39, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6526736111111111, "night": true, "probability": 0.6526736111111111, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 8.34 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": true, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Apparently we are banned from just-eat. We therefore have no clue."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.27, "night": false, "probability": 0.27, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.1469267204010421, "night": false, "probability": 0.1469267204010421, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:25 and 02:22, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 06:22 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.5217054913941287, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.5125, "night": true}], [1555051926.574909, {"predictions": [{"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.1 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["499204 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 06, 495851 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6434782608695653, "night": true, "probability": 0.6434782608695653, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -18 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 41, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6316550925925926, "night": true, "probability": 0.6316550925925926, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 8.84 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": true, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Apparently we are banned from just-eat. We therefore have no clue."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.38, "night": false, "probability": 0.38, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.1469267204010421, "night": false, "probability": 0.1469267204010421, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:25 and 02:22, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 06:52 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.5276713394886, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.5125, "night": true}], [1555053742.211179, {"predictions": [{"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.2 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["519041 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 06, 516839 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": true, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6799999999999999, "night": true, "probability": 0.6799999999999999, "reasons": ["Battery level's getting low, so it's probably around dinnertime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6608695652173913, "night": true, "probability": 0.6608695652173913, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -24 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 39, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6105671296296296, "night": true, "probability": 0.6105671296296296, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 9.35 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.1469267204010421, "night": false, "probability": 0.1469267204010421, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:25 and 02:22, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 07:22 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.5573632846040052, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.6357183474235104, "night": true}], [1555055564.178806, {"predictions": [{"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.1469267204010421, "night": false, "probability": 0.1469267204010421, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:25 and 02:22, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 07:52 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.12, "night": false, "probability": 0.12, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["541338 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 543866 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.2 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": true, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6173913043478261, "night": true, "probability": 0.6173913043478261, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -27 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 44, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5895254629629629, "night": true, "probability": 0.5895254629629629, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 9.85 hours!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.4219866239759859, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.249998, "night": false}], [1555057382.894842, {"predictions": [{"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.1469267204010421, "night": false, "probability": 0.1469267204010421, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:25 and 02:22, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 08:23 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["560166 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 559902 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.2 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.9299999999999999, "night": true, "probability": 0.9299999999999999, "reasons": ["Your phone's practically dead, so it's probably around four in the morning."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": true, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6173913043478261, "night": true, "probability": 0.6173913043478261, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -30 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 44, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5684953703703703, "night": true, "probability": 0.5684953703703703, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 10.36 hours!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.4877341162599365, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.4092476851851852, "night": false}], [1555059199.639961, {"predictions": [{"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.1469267204010421, "night": false, "probability": 0.1469267204010421, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:25 and 02:22, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 08:53 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["574769 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 576129 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.2 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": true, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.74, "night": true, "probability": 0.74, "reasons": ["Your phone is dying, so it's bedtime soon?"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6086956521739131, "night": true, "probability": 0.6086956521739131, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -31 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 45, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5474884259259258, "night": true, "probability": 0.5474884259259258, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 10.86 hours!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.46942556654174006, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.3987442129629629, "night": false}], [1555061014.502844, {"predictions": [{"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.1469267204010421, "night": false, "probability": 0.1469267204010421, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:25 and 02:22, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 09:23 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.09090909090909091, "night": false, "probability": 0.09090909090909091, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is currently open.", "We conclude from this, that there is 0.09090909090909091% chance of it being night outside"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["580557 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 582210 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.2 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6799999999999999, "night": true, "probability": 0.6799999999999999, "reasons": ["Battery level's getting low, so it's probably around dinnertime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6173913043478261, "night": true, "probability": 0.6173913043478261, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -30 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 44, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5264583333333333, "night": true, "probability": 0.5264583333333333, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 11.37 hours!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.39514012074927435, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.249998, "night": false}], [1555062831.46323, {"predictions": [{"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.32999999999999996, "night": false, "probability": 0.32999999999999996, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.1469267204010421, "night": false, "probability": 0.1469267204010421, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:25 and 02:22, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 09:54 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.09090909090909091, "night": false, "probability": 0.09090909090909091, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is currently open.", "We conclude from this, that there is 0.09090909090909091% chance of it being night outside"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["588315 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 586017 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": true, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.2 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5913043478260869, "night": true, "probability": 0.5913043478260869, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -29 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 47, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5054166666666666, "night": true, "probability": 0.5054166666666666, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 11.87 hours!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.3912127354835739, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.29, "night": false}], [1555064649.786854, {"predictions": [{"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.4844097222222222, "night": false, "probability": 0.4844097222222222, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 12.37 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.1469267204010421, "night": false, "probability": 0.1469267204010421, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:25 and 02:22, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 10:24 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.09090909090909091, "night": false, "probability": 0.09090909090909091, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is currently open.", "We conclude from this, that there is 0.09090909090909091% chance of it being night outside"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["609185 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 609003 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.1 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.87, "night": true, "probability": 0.87, "reasons": ["Your phone is dying, so it's bedtime soon?"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6086956521739131, "night": true, "probability": 0.6086956521739131, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -28 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 45, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.40674476547552235, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.249998, "night": false}], [1555066464.950872, {"predictions": [{"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.4634027777777777, "night": false, "probability": 0.4634027777777777, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 12.88 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.20999999999999996, "night": false, "probability": 0.20999999999999996, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.1469267204010421, "night": false, "probability": 0.1469267204010421, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:25 and 02:22, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 10:54 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.09090909090909091, "night": false, "probability": 0.09090909090909091, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is currently open.", "We conclude from this, that there is 0.09090909090909091% chance of it being night outside"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["643294 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 652559 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.1 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6173913043478261, "night": true, "probability": 0.6173913043478261, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -27 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 44, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.3507188244529781, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.22999799999999998, "night": false}], [1555068280.173451, {"predictions": [{"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.44238425925925917, "night": false, "probability": 0.44238425925925917, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 13.38 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.1469267204010421, "night": false, "probability": 0.1469267204010421, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:25 and 02:22, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 11:24 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.09090909090909091, "night": false, "probability": 0.09090909090909091, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is currently open.", "We conclude from this, that there is 0.09090909090909091% chance of it being night outside"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["684678 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 699489 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.1 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.9299999999999999, "night": true, "probability": 0.9299999999999999, "reasons": ["Your phone's practically dead, so it's probably around four in the morning."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6347826086956522, "night": true, "probability": 0.6347826086956522, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -25 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 42, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.41041655660542037, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.249998, "night": false}], [1555070095.506829, {"predictions": [{"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.4213541666666667, "night": false, "probability": 0.4213541666666667, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 13.89 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.1469267204010421, "night": false, "probability": 0.1469267204010421, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:25 and 02:22, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 11:55 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.09090909090909091, "night": false, "probability": 0.09090909090909091, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is currently open.", "We conclude from this, that there is 0.09090909090909091% chance of it being night outside"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["733507 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 719116 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.1 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.72, "night": true, "probability": 0.72, "reasons": ["Your phone is dying, so it's bedtime soon?"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6521739130434783, "night": true, "probability": 0.6521739130434783, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -23 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 40, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.3926133242516898, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.249998, "night": false}], [1555071912.678795, {"predictions": [{"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.40031249999999996, "night": false, "probability": 0.40031249999999996, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 14.39 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.1469267204010421, "night": false, "probability": 0.1469267204010421, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:25 and 02:22, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 12:25 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.09090909090909091, "night": false, "probability": 0.09090909090909091, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is currently open.", "We conclude from this, that there is 0.09090909090909091% chance of it being night outside"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["784250 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 777380 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.1 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6608695652173913, "night": true, "probability": 0.6608695652173913, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -19 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 39, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.52, "night": true, "probability": 0.52, "reasons": ["Battery level's getting low, so it's probably around dinnertime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.3749178230439604, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.249998, "night": false}], [1555073730.470794, {"predictions": [{"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.3792939814814814, "night": false, "probability": 0.3792939814814814, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 14.90 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.17000000000000004, "night": false, "probability": 0.17000000000000004, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.1469267204010421, "night": false, "probability": 0.1469267204010421, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:25 and 02:22, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 12:55 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.09090909090909091, "night": false, "probability": 0.09090909090909091, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is currently open.", "We conclude from this, that there is 0.09090909090909091% chance of it being night outside"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["834726 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 835412 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.1 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6086956521739131, "night": true, "probability": 0.6086956521739131, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -12 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 45, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.3396517870804606, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.212498, "night": false}], [1555075547.061961, {"predictions": [{"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.35827546296296287, "night": false, "probability": 0.35827546296296287, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 15.40 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.09090909090909091, "night": false, "probability": 0.09090909090909091, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is currently open.", "We conclude from this, that there is 0.09090909090909091% chance of it being night outside"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's night-time in Australia, so it must be day-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["879234 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 879112 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": true, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.1 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.95, "night": true, "probability": 0.95, "reasons": ["Your phone's practically dead, so it's probably around four in the morning."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.853073279598958, "night": true, "probability": 0.853073279598958, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:25 and 02:22, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 13:25 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5826086956521739, "night": true, "probability": 0.5826086956521739, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -5 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 48, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.4054052107602655, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.30413773148148143, "night": false}], [1555077362.858807, {"predictions": [{"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.33725694444444443, "night": false, "probability": 0.33725694444444443, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 15.91 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.20999999999999996, "night": false, "probability": 0.20999999999999996, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.09090909090909091, "night": false, "probability": 0.09090909090909091, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is currently open.", "We conclude from this, that there is 0.09090909090909091% chance of it being night outside"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's night-time in Australia, so it must be day-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["911037 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 913637 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": true, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.1 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.853073279598958, "night": true, "probability": 0.853073279598958, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:25 and 02:22, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 13:56 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5913043478260869, "night": true, "probability": 0.5913043478260869, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 1 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 47, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.3427116385648817, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.249998, "night": false}], [1555079178.778874, {"predictions": [{"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.31625000000000003, "night": false, "probability": 0.31625000000000003, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 16.41 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.09090909090909091, "night": false, "probability": 0.09090909090909091, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is currently open.", "We conclude from this, that there is 0.09090909090909091% chance of it being night outside"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.08999999999999997, "night": false, "probability": 0.08999999999999997, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's night-time in Australia, so it must be day-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["923065 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 922197 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": true, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.1 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.853073279598958, "night": true, "probability": 0.853073279598958, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:25 and 02:22, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 14:26 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5913043478260869, "night": true, "probability": 0.5913043478260869, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 6 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 47, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.33096105986117796, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.249998, "night": false}], [1555080994.06398, {"predictions": [{"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.49, "night": false, "probability": 0.49, "reasons": ["Battery level's getting low, so it's probably around dinnertime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.29513888888888884, "night": false, "probability": 0.29513888888888884, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 16.92 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.09090909090909091, "night": false, "probability": 0.09090909090909091, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is currently open.", "We conclude from this, that there is 0.09090909090909091% chance of it being night outside"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's night-time in Australia, so it must be day-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["912948 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 913637 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.2 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.853073279598958, "night": true, "probability": 0.853073279598958, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:25 and 02:22, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 14:56 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6, "night": true, "probability": 0.6, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 9 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 46, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.3340931049497448, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.249998, "night": false}], [1555082817.340847, {"predictions": [{"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.09090909090909091, "night": false, "probability": 0.09090909090909091, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is currently open.", "We conclude from this, that there is 0.09090909090909091% chance of it being night outside"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's night-time in Australia, so it must be day-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["883931 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 883678 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. 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Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.2 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.853073279598958, "night": true, "probability": 0.853073279598958, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:25 and 02:22, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 15:57 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": true, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Alexander's upstairs neighbour is currently playing league"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.62, "night": true, "probability": 0.62, "reasons": ["Battery level's getting low, so it's probably around dinnertime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6086956521739131, "night": true, "probability": 0.6086956521739131, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 14 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 45, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.3877228352234968, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.249998, "night": false}], [1555086458.062843, {"predictions": [{"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.09999999999999998, "night": false, "probability": 0.09999999999999998, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.09090909090909091, "night": false, "probability": 0.09090909090909091, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is currently open.", "We conclude from this, that there is 0.09090909090909091% chance of it being night outside"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's night-time in Australia, so it must be day-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["785477 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 777380 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.2 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.853073279598958, "night": true, "probability": 0.853073279598958, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:25 and 02:22, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 16:27 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": true, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Alexander's upstairs neighbour is currently playing league"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6086956521739131, "night": true, "probability": 0.6086956521739131, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 13 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 45, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.3443895018901635, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.212498, "night": false}], [1555088273.774964, {"predictions": [{"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.26, "night": false, "probability": 0.26, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.09090909090909091, "night": false, "probability": 0.09090909090909091, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is currently open.", "We conclude from this, that there is 0.09090909090909091% chance of it being night outside"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's night-time in Australia, so it must be day-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["735343 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 750968 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.3 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.853073279598958, "night": true, "probability": 0.853073279598958, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:25 and 02:22, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 16:58 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": true, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Alexander's upstairs neighbour is currently playing league"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6086956521739131, "night": true, "probability": 0.6086956521739131, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 13 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 45, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.35772283522349685, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.249998, "night": false}], [1555090090.530961, {"predictions": [{"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.13, "night": false, "probability": 0.13, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.09090909090909091, "night": false, "probability": 0.09090909090909091, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is currently open.", "We conclude from this, that there is 0.09090909090909091% chance of it being night outside"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's night-time in Australia, so it must be day-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["686712 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 699489 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.4 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8994560185185185, "night": true, "probability": 0.8994560185185185, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 2.41 hours!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.853073279598958, "night": true, "probability": 0.853073279598958, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:25 and 02:22, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 17:28 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6, "night": true, "probability": 0.6, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 12 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 46, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.35445286575221396, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.212498, "night": false}], [1555091916.678835, {"predictions": [{"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.09090909090909091, "night": false, "probability": 0.09090909090909091, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is currently open.", "We conclude from this, that there is 0.09090909090909091% chance of it being night outside"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's night-time in Australia, so it must be day-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["636357 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 623425 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": true, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.4 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8784375, "night": true, "probability": 0.8784375, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 2.92 hours!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.853073279598958, "night": true, "probability": 0.853073279598958, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:25 and 02:22, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 17:58 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6, "night": true, "probability": 0.6, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 8 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 46, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.51, "night": true, "probability": 0.51, "reasons": ["Battery level's getting low, so it's probably around dinnertime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.41353465587567073, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.38, "night": false}], [1555093732.37093, {"predictions": [{"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.14, "night": false, "probability": 0.14, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's night-time in Australia, so it must be day-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["601708 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 598957 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": true, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.6 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": true, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8574074074074074, "night": true, "probability": 0.8574074074074074, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 3.42 hours!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.853073279598958, "night": true, "probability": 0.853073279598958, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:25 and 02:22, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 18:29 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5826086956521739, "night": true, "probability": 0.5826086956521739, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 4 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 48, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.44775711522154493, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.38749999999999996, "night": false}], [1555095550.002832, {"predictions": [{"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.31999999999999995, "night": false, "probability": 0.31999999999999995, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's night-time in Australia, so it must be day-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["570722 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 572177 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": true, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.6 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": true, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.853073279598958, "night": true, "probability": 0.853073279598958, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:25 and 02:22, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 18:59 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8363773148148148, "night": true, "probability": 0.8363773148148148, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 3.93 hours!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5913043478260869, "night": true, "probability": 0.5913043478260869, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -1 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 47, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.461729245186655, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.42249999999999993, "night": false}], [1555097366.902855, {"predictions": [{"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.12, "night": false, "probability": 0.12, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's night-time in Australia, so it must be day-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["537401 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 536380 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.7 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": true, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.853073279598958, "night": true, "probability": 0.853073279598958, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:25 and 02:22, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 19:29 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8153587962962963, "night": true, "probability": 0.8153587962962963, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 4.43 hours!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5826086956521739, "night": true, "probability": 0.5826086956521739, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -8 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 48, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.4134197309622857, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.249998, "night": false}], [1555099182.590977, {"predictions": [{"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.9 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["506844 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 06, 505329 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": true, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.853073279598958, "night": true, "probability": 0.853073279598958, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:25 and 02:22, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 20:00 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.7941666666666667, "night": true, "probability": 0.7941666666666667, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 4.94 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.63, "night": true, "probability": 0.63, "reasons": ["Battery level's getting low, so it's probably around dinnertime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6086956521739131, "night": true, "probability": 0.6086956521739131, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -13 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 45, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.6229942998699615, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.7120833333333334, "night": true}], [1555101014.16284, {"predictions": [{"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.8 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["476942 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 06, 476052 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": true, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.853073279598958, "night": true, "probability": 0.853073279598958, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:25 and 02:22, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 20:30 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.7731481481481481, "night": true, "probability": 0.7731481481481481, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 5.44 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6434782608695653, "night": true, "probability": 0.6434782608695653, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -18 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 41, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.48, "night": false, "probability": 0.48, "reasons": ["Battery level's getting low, so it's probably around dinnertime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.6116413073847227, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.7083132045088567, "night": true}], [1555102829.91884, {"predictions": [{"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.6 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["446647 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 06, 444908 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": true, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.853073279598958, "night": true, "probability": 0.853073279598958, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:25 and 02:22, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 21:00 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.7520486111111111, "night": true, "probability": 0.7520486111111111, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 5.95 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6695652173913044, "night": true, "probability": 0.6695652173913044, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -21 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 38, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.17000000000000004, "night": false, "probability": 0.17000000000000004, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.5862235923417811, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.7108069142512077, "night": true}], [1555104652.190947, {"predictions": [{"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.6 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": true, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.853073279598958, "night": true, "probability": 0.853073279598958, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:25 and 02:22, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 21:31 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.7310300925925926, "night": true, "probability": 0.7310300925925926, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 6.46 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6608695652173913, "night": true, "probability": 0.6608695652173913, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -24 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 39, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.44999999999999996, "night": false, "probability": 0.44999999999999996, "reasons": ["Battery level's getting low, so it's probably around dinnertime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["415077 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 416027 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.5237474114507451, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.5554347826086956, "night": true}], [1555106468.878812, {"predictions": [{"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.9 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["383503 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 07, 385741 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": true, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.853073279598958, "night": true, "probability": 0.853073279598958, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:25 and 02:22, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 22:01 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.7099652777777778, "night": true, "probability": 0.7099652777777778, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 6.96 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6347826086956522, "night": true, "probability": 0.6347826086956522, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -25 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 42, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.53, "night": true, "probability": 0.53, "reasons": ["Battery level's getting low, so it's probably around dinnertime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.609818097172699, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.6723739432367151, "night": true}], [1555108288.254936, {"predictions": [{"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.0 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["353958 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 07, 353552 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": true, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.853073279598958, "night": true, "probability": 0.853073279598958, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:25 and 02:22, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 22:31 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6888773148148148, "night": true, "probability": 0.6888773148148148, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 7.47 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6173913043478261, "night": true, "probability": 0.6173913043478261, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -26 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 44, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.08999999999999997, "night": false, "probability": 0.08999999999999997, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.5699448248967999, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.6531343095813205, "night": true}], [1555110110.754805, {"predictions": [{"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 1.0 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["326923 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 07, 327542 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": true, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.853073279598958, "night": true, "probability": 0.853073279598958, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:25 and 02:22, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 23:02 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6678472222222223, "night": true, "probability": 0.6678472222222223, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 7.97 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6347826086956522, "night": true, "probability": 0.6347826086956522, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -25 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 42, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.44999999999999996, "night": false, "probability": 0.44999999999999996, "reasons": ["Battery level's getting low, so it's probably around dinnertime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.5996415925430694, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.6513149154589373, "night": true}], [1555111927.17083, {"predictions": [{"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 1.0 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["303077 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 07, 307968 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": true, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.853073279598958, "night": true, "probability": 0.853073279598958, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:25 and 02:22, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 23:32 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6521739130434783, "night": true, "probability": 0.6521739130434783, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -23 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 40, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6468055555555556, "night": true, "probability": 0.6468055555555556, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 8.48 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5900000000000001, "night": true, "probability": 0.5900000000000001, "reasons": ["Battery level's getting low, so it's probably around dinnertime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.6110040623498326, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.649489734299517, "night": true}], [1555113745.510814, {"predictions": [{"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 1.2 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["293756 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 07, 292750 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": true, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6608695652173913, "night": true, "probability": 0.6608695652173913, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -20 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 39, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6257407407407407, "night": true, "probability": 0.6257407407407407, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 8.98 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.1469267204010421, "night": false, "probability": 0.1469267204010421, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:23 and 02:23, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 00:02 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.13, "night": false, "probability": 0.13, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.5127944188632645, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.43787037037037035, "night": true}], [1555115565.894925, {"predictions": [{"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 1.6 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["297710 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 07, 292750 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": true, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6869565217391305, "night": true, "probability": 0.6869565217391305, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -16 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 36, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6047337962962964, "night": true, "probability": 0.6047337962962964, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 9.49 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.1469267204010421, "night": false, "probability": 0.1469267204010421, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:23 and 02:23, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 00:32 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.06999999999999995, "night": false, "probability": 0.06999999999999995, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.5082177532030391, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.4273668981481482, "night": true}], [1555117380.590972, {"predictions": [{"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 1.9 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["312644 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 07, 311736 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": true, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5913043478260869, "night": true, "probability": 0.5913043478260869, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -11 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 47, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5837268518518519, "night": true, "probability": 0.5837268518518519, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 9.99 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.53, "night": true, "probability": 0.53, "reasons": ["Battery level's getting low, so it's probably around dinnertime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.1469267204010421, "night": false, "probability": 0.1469267204010421, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:23 and 02:23, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 01:03 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.536829493339915, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.556863425925926, "night": true}], [1555119195.574885, {"predictions": [{"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 2.3 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["341385 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 07, 340842 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": true, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5826086956521739, "night": true, "probability": 0.5826086956521739, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -7 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 48, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5626851851851851, "night": true, "probability": 0.5626851851851851, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 10.50 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.19999999999999996, "night": false, "probability": 0.19999999999999996, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.1469267204010421, "night": false, "probability": 0.1469267204010421, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:23 and 02:23, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 01:33 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.5068513834365335, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.40634259259259253, "night": true}], [1555121013.151692, {"predictions": [{"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 1.9 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["375201 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 07, 375601 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": true, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5826086956521739, "night": true, "probability": 0.5826086956521739, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 0 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 48, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5416782407407408, "night": true, "probability": 0.5416782407407408, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 11.00 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.53, "night": true, "probability": 0.53, "reasons": ["Battery level's getting low, so it's probably around dinnertime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.1469267204010421, "night": false, "probability": 0.1469267204010421, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:23 and 02:23, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 02:03 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.5326008047328298, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.5358391203703704, "night": true}], [1555122828.606956, {"predictions": [{"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 2.0 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["418427 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 07, 418250 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": true, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.72, "night": true, "probability": 0.72, "reasons": ["Your phone is dying, so it's bedtime soon?"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5826086956521739, "night": true, "probability": 0.5826086956521739, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 4 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 48, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5206481481481482, "night": true, "probability": 0.5206481481481482, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 11.50 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.1469267204010421, "night": false, "probability": 0.1469267204010421, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:23 and 02:23, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 02:34 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.5466816303501136, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.551628421900161, "night": true}], [1555124645.463302, {"predictions": [{"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 1.0 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["450978 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 06, 449132 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.89, "night": true, "probability": 0.89, "reasons": ["Your phone is dying, so it's bedtime soon?"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5913043478260869, "night": true, "probability": 0.5913043478260869, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 6 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 47, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Apparently we are banned from just-eat. We therefore have no clue."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.499537037037037, "night": false, "probability": 0.499537037037037, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 12.01 hours!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.1469267204010421, "night": false, "probability": 0.1469267204010421, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:23 and 02:23, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 03:04 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.5256470087720139, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.4997685185185185, "night": true}], [1555126469.813674, {"predictions": [{"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Apparently we are banned from just-eat. We therefore have no clue."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.4785300925925926, "night": false, "probability": 0.4785300925925926, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 12.52 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.4, "night": false, "probability": 0.4, "reasons": ["Battery level's getting low, so it's probably around dinnertime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.1469267204010421, "night": false, "probability": 0.1469267204010421, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:23 and 02:23, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 03:34 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["473835 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 472546 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 1.4 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6, "night": true, "probability": 0.6, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 7 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 46, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.4004544010828029, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.325, "night": false}], [1555128284.742846, {"predictions": [{"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Apparently we are banned from just-eat. We therefore have no clue."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.45751157407407417, "night": false, "probability": 0.45751157407407417, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 13.02 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.29000000000000004, "night": false, "probability": 0.29000000000000004, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.1469267204010421, "night": false, "probability": 0.1469267204010421, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:23 and 02:23, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 04:04 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["493489 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 491189 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 1.4 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6, "night": true, "probability": 0.6, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 8 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 46, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.3895361912062597, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.27, "night": false}], [1555130100.530827, {"predictions": [{"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Apparently we are banned from just-eat. We therefore have no clue."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.43650462962962966, "night": false, "probability": 0.43650462962962966, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 13.52 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.26, "night": false, "probability": 0.26, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.1469267204010421, "night": false, "probability": 0.1469267204010421, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:23 and 02:23, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 04:35 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.9 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["525321 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 06, 526151 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6, "night": true, "probability": 0.6, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 8 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 46, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.4686189458358893, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.34825231481481483, "night": false}], [1555131915.778849, {"predictions": [{"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Apparently we are banned from just-eat. We therefore have no clue."], "contribution": 0.11096316023080337}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.41530092592592593, "night": false, "probability": 0.41530092592592593, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 14.03 hours!"], "contribution": 0.11096316023080337}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.1469267204010421, "night": false, "probability": 0.1469267204010421, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:23 and 02:23, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 05:05 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.11096316023080337}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.010000000000000009, "night": false, "probability": 0.010000000000000009, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": 0.11096316023080337}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["559302 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 559902 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.11096316023080337}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05570350643586329}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.055481580115401684}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.0011096316023080338}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": -0.11096316023080337}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 1.1 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.11096316023080337}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6, "night": true, "probability": 0.6, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 8 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 46, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.11096316023080337}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.3797476042115425, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.25, "night": false}], [1555133747.922754, {"predictions": [{"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Apparently we are banned from just-eat. We therefore have no clue."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.42000000000000004, "night": false, "probability": 0.42000000000000004, "reasons": ["Battery level's getting low, so it's probably around dinnertime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.3942939814814814, "night": false, "probability": 0.3942939814814814, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 14.54 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.1469267204010421, "night": false, "probability": 0.1469267204010421, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:23 and 02:23, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 05:35 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["593921 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 592212 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": true, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.9 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6, "night": true, "probability": 0.6, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 7 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 46, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.42426805849021026, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.40714699074074073, "night": false}], [1555135562.574868, {"predictions": [{"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Apparently we are banned from just-eat. We therefore have no clue."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.373275462962963, "night": false, "probability": 0.373275462962963, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 15.04 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.1469267204010421, "night": false, "probability": 0.1469267204010421, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:23 and 02:23, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 06:06 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["626794 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 623425 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": true, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.6 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.79, "night": true, "probability": 0.79, "reasons": ["Your phone is dying, so it's bedtime soon?"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5913043478260869, "night": true, "probability": 0.5913043478260869, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 5 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 47, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.4526252109325077, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.4366377314814815, "night": false}], [1555137378.423994, {"predictions": [{"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Apparently we are banned from just-eat. We therefore have no clue."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.3522222222222223, "night": false, "probability": 0.3522222222222223, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 15.55 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.1469267204010421, "night": false, "probability": 0.1469267204010421, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:23 and 02:23, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 06:36 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["657522 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 652559 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": true, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.5 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6086956521739131, "night": true, "probability": 0.6086956521739131, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 2 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 45, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.3864867162330981, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.30111111111111116, "night": false}], [1555139198.22909, {"predictions": [{"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.33120370370370367, "night": false, "probability": 0.33120370370370367, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 16.05 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.1469267204010421, "night": false, "probability": 0.1469267204010421, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:23 and 02:23, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 07:06 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["682932 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 699489 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": true, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.4 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": true, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.89, "night": true, "probability": 0.89, "reasons": ["Your phone is dying, so it's bedtime soon?"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5826086956521739, "night": true, "probability": 0.5826086956521739, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -4 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 48, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.4908945933130766, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.4281018518518518, "night": false}], [1555141013.950843, {"predictions": [{"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.31019675925925927, "night": false, "probability": 0.31019675925925927, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 16.56 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.1469267204010421, "night": false, "probability": 0.1469267204010421, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:23 and 02:23, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 07:37 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["709444 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 719116 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.3 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": true, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": true, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Your phone is dying, so it's bedtime soon?"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6086956521739131, "night": true, "probability": 0.6086956521739131, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -13 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 45, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.4546512609861845, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.28009837962962963, "night": false}], [1555142829.099467, {"predictions": [{"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.2891666666666667, "night": false, "probability": 0.2891666666666667, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 17.06 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.1469267204010421, "night": false, "probability": 0.1469267204010421, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:23 and 02:23, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 08:07 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["730364 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 719116 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.2 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.9299999999999999, "night": true, "probability": 0.9299999999999999, "reasons": ["Your phone's practically dead, so it's probably around four in the morning."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": true, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6695652173913044, "night": true, "probability": 0.6695652173913044, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -21 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 38, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.4688045503715844, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.26958333333333334, "night": false}], [1555144645.166912, {"predictions": [{"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.30000000000000004, "night": false, "probability": 0.30000000000000004, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.2680787037037037, "night": false, "probability": 0.2680787037037037, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 17.57 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.1469267204010421, "night": false, "probability": 0.1469267204010421, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:23 and 02:23, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 08:37 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["742232 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 750968 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.2 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": true, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5913043478260869, "night": true, "probability": 0.5913043478260869, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -29 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 47, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.4080254809942361, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.25903935185185184, "night": false}], [1555146467.810857, {"predictions": [{"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.45999999999999996, "night": false, "probability": 0.45999999999999996, "reasons": ["Battery level's getting low, so it's probably around dinnertime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.24701388888888898, "night": false, "probability": 0.24701388888888898, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 18.07 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.1469267204010421, "night": false, "probability": 0.1469267204010421, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:23 and 02:23, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 09:08 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.09090909090909091, "night": false, "probability": 0.09090909090909091, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is currently open.", "We conclude from this, that there is 0.09090909090909091% chance of it being night outside"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["741671 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 750968 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.2 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6086956521739131, "night": true, "probability": 0.6086956521739131, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -35 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 45, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.3527951126977446, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.2485049444444445, "night": false}], [1555148287.294904, {"predictions": [{"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.38, "night": false, "probability": 0.38, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.22600694444444447, "night": false, "probability": 0.22600694444444447, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 18.58 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.1469267204010421, "night": false, "probability": 0.1469267204010421, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:23 and 02:23, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 09:38 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.09090909090909091, "night": false, "probability": 0.09090909090909091, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is currently open.", "We conclude from this, that there is 0.09090909090909091% chance of it being night outside"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["733921 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 719116 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.1 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5913043478260869, "night": true, "probability": 0.5913043478260869, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -39 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 47, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.3429285919650554, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.23800147222222223, "night": false}], [1555150102.960983, {"predictions": [{"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.20496527777777784, "night": false, "probability": 0.20496527777777784, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 19.08 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.1469267204010421, "night": false, "probability": 0.1469267204010421, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:23 and 02:23, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 10:08 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.09090909090909091, "night": false, "probability": 0.09090909090909091, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is currently open.", "We conclude from this, that there is 0.09090909090909091% chance of it being night outside"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["729849 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 719116 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": true, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.2 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5913043478260869, "night": true, "probability": 0.5913043478260869, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -40 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 47, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.54, "night": true, "probability": 0.54, "reasons": ["Battery level's getting low, so it's probably around dinnertime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.38367511974283314, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.249998, "night": false}], [1555151920.791387, {"predictions": [{"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.1469267204010421, "night": false, "probability": 0.1469267204010421, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:23 and 02:23, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 10:38 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.12, "night": false, "probability": 0.12, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.09090909090909091, "night": false, "probability": 0.09090909090909091, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is currently open.", "We conclude from this, that there is 0.09090909090909091% chance of it being night outside"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["743709 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 750968 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": true, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.1 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": true, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Alexander's upstairs neighbour is currently playing league"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5913043478260869, "night": true, "probability": 0.5913043478260869, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -39 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 47, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.398261346594685, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.249998, "night": false}], [1555153736.234796, {"predictions": [{"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.1469267204010421, "night": false, "probability": 0.1469267204010421, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:23 and 02:23, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 11:09 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.09090909090909091, "night": false, "probability": 0.09090909090909091, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is currently open.", "We conclude from this, that there is 0.09090909090909091% chance of it being night outside"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["770434 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 777380 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": true, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.1 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": true, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Alexander's upstairs neighbour is currently playing league"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6799999999999999, "night": true, "probability": 0.6799999999999999, "reasons": ["Battery level's getting low, so it's probably around dinnertime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5913043478260869, "night": true, "probability": 0.5913043478260869, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -38 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 47, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.4449280132613517, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.38749999999999996, "night": false}], [1555155552.018865, {"predictions": [{"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.1469267204010421, "night": false, "probability": 0.1469267204010421, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:23 and 02:23, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 11:39 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.09090909090909091, "night": false, "probability": 0.09090909090909091, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is currently open.", "We conclude from this, that there is 0.09090909090909091% chance of it being night outside"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["811263 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 806961 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.1 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.95, "night": true, "probability": 0.95, "reasons": ["Your phone's practically dead, so it's probably around four in the morning."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": true, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Alexander's upstairs neighbour is currently playing league"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6, "night": true, "probability": 0.6, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -36 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 46, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.4389859842758444, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.249998, "night": false}], [1555157368.67877, {"predictions": [{"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.1469267204010421, "night": false, "probability": 0.1469267204010421, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:23 and 02:23, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 12:09 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.09090909090909091, "night": false, "probability": 0.09090909090909091, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is currently open.", "We conclude from this, that there is 0.09090909090909091% chance of it being night outside"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.08999999999999997, "night": false, "probability": 0.08999999999999997, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["861152 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 860683 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.1 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": true, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Alexander's upstairs neighbour is currently playing league"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6, "night": true, "probability": 0.6, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -32 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 46, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.36731931760917774, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.212498, "night": false}], [1555159183.98, {"predictions": [{"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.1469267204010421, "night": false, "probability": 0.1469267204010421, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:23 and 02:23, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 12:40 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.09090909090909091, "night": false, "probability": 0.09090909090909091, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is currently open.", "We conclude from this, that there is 0.09090909090909091% chance of it being night outside"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["904922 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 907092 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.2 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": true, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Alexander's upstairs neighbour is currently playing league"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6086956521739131, "night": true, "probability": 0.6086956521739131, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -28 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 45, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5900000000000001, "night": true, "probability": 0.5900000000000001, "reasons": ["Battery level's getting low, so it's probably around dinnertime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.40971062195700386, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.249998, "night": false}], [1555161006.922862, {"predictions": [{"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.1469267204010421, "night": false, "probability": 0.1469267204010421, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:23 and 02:23, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 13:10 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.09090909090909091, "night": false, "probability": 0.09090909090909091, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is currently open.", "We conclude from this, that there is 0.09090909090909091% chance of it being night outside"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's night-time in Australia, so it must be day-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["916017 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 915057 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.1 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": true, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Alexander's upstairs neighbour is currently playing league"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.74, "night": true, "probability": 0.74, "reasons": ["Your phone is dying, so it's bedtime soon?"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6608695652173913, "night": true, "probability": 0.6608695652173913, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -24 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 39, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.343225114710627, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.212498, "night": false}], [1555162822.678862, {"predictions": [{"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.49, "night": false, "probability": 0.49, "reasons": ["Battery level's getting low, so it's probably around dinnertime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.09090909090909091, "night": false, "probability": 0.09090909090909091, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is currently open.", "We conclude from this, that there is 0.09090909090909091% chance of it being night outside"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's night-time in Australia, so it must be day-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["920264 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 919408 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.2 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.853073279598958, "night": true, "probability": 0.853073279598958, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:23 and 02:23, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 13:40 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": true, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Alexander's upstairs neighbour is currently playing league"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6434782608695653, "night": true, "probability": 0.6434782608695653, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -18 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 41, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.3797880526148012, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.249998, "night": false}], [1555164640.376216, {"predictions": [{"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.09090909090909091, "night": false, "probability": 0.09090909090909091, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is currently open.", "We conclude from this, that there is 0.09090909090909091% chance of it being night outside"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's night-time in Australia, so it must be day-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["958265 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 939918 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.2 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.853073279598958, "night": true, "probability": 0.853073279598958, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:23 and 02:23, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 14:10 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.85, "night": true, "probability": 0.85, "reasons": ["Your phone is dying, so it's bedtime soon?"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": true, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Alexander's upstairs neighbour is currently playing league"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5913043478260869, "night": true, "probability": 0.5913043478260869, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -10 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 47, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.40544022652784467, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.249998, "night": false}], [1555166456.654402, {"predictions": [{"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.09090909090909091, "night": false, "probability": 0.09090909090909091, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is currently open.", "We conclude from this, that there is 0.09090909090909091% chance of it being night outside"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's night-time in Australia, so it must be day-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["970007 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 939918 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.2 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.853073279598958, "night": true, "probability": 0.853073279598958, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:23 and 02:23, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 14:41 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.85, "night": true, "probability": 0.85, "reasons": ["Your phone is dying, so it's bedtime soon?"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": true, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Alexander's upstairs neighbour is currently playing league"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5826086956521739, "night": true, "probability": 0.5826086956521739, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 0 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 48, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.40471558884668524, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.249998, "night": false}], [1555168272.246835, {"predictions": [{"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.09090909090909091, "night": false, "probability": 0.09090909090909091, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is currently open.", "We conclude from this, that there is 0.09090909090909091% chance of it being night outside"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's night-time in Australia, so it must be day-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["957610 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 939918 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": true, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.1 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.94, "night": true, "probability": 0.94, "reasons": ["Your phone's practically dead, so it's probably around four in the morning."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.853073279598958, "night": true, "probability": 0.853073279598958, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:23 and 02:23, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 15:11 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": true, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Alexander's upstairs neighbour is currently playing league"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5913043478260869, "night": true, "probability": 0.5913043478260869, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 6 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 47, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.4421068931945113, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.38749999999999996, "night": false}], [1555170087.858849, {"predictions": [{"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.09090909090909091, "night": false, "probability": 0.09090909090909091, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is currently open.", "We conclude from this, that there is 0.09090909090909091% chance of it being night outside"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's night-time in Australia, so it must be day-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["926645 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 926340 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": true, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.2 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.92, "night": true, "probability": 0.92, "reasons": ["Your phone's practically dead, so it's probably around four in the morning."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.853073279598958, "night": true, "probability": 0.853073279598958, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:23 and 02:23, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 15:41 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": true, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Alexander's upstairs neighbour is currently playing league"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6, "night": true, "probability": 0.6, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 11 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 46, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.4411648642090041, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.38749999999999996, "night": false}], [1555171903.841124, {"predictions": [{"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.29000000000000004, "night": false, "probability": 0.29000000000000004, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.09090909090909091, "night": false, "probability": 0.09090909090909091, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is currently open.", "We conclude from this, that there is 0.09090909090909091% chance of it being night outside"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's night-time in Australia, so it must be day-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["872467 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 870733 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": true, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.2 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.853073279598958, "night": true, "probability": 0.853073279598958, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:23 and 02:23, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 16:11 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": true, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Alexander's upstairs neighbour is currently playing league"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6086956521739131, "night": true, "probability": 0.6086956521739131, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 15 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 45, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.38938950189016347, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.27, "night": false}], [1555173719.24028, {"predictions": [{"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.09090909090909091, "night": false, "probability": 0.09090909090909091, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is currently open.", "We conclude from this, that there is 0.09090909090909091% chance of it being night outside"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's night-time in Australia, so it must be day-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["818170 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 817829 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": true, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.3 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.853073279598958, "night": true, "probability": 0.853073279598958, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:23 and 02:23, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 16:42 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.85, "night": true, "probability": 0.85, "reasons": ["Your phone is dying, so it's bedtime soon?"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": true, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Alexander's upstairs neighbour is currently playing league"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6173913043478261, "night": true, "probability": 0.6173913043478261, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 18 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 44, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.4367808062379896, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.38749999999999996, "night": false}], [1555175535.574879, {"predictions": [{"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.09090909090909091, "night": false, "probability": 0.09090909090909091, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is currently open.", "We conclude from this, that there is 0.09090909090909091% chance of it being night outside"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's night-time in Australia, so it must be day-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["762195 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 750968 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.3 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.853073279598958, "night": true, "probability": 0.853073279598958, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:23 and 02:23, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 17:12 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": true, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Alexander's upstairs neighbour is currently playing league"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6173913043478261, "night": true, "probability": 0.6173913043478261, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 20 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 44, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.35761413957132293, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.249998, "night": false}], [1555177354.515083, {"predictions": [{"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.13, "night": false, "probability": 0.13, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.09090909090909091, "night": false, "probability": 0.09090909090909091, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is currently open.", "We conclude from this, that there is 0.09090909090909091% chance of it being night outside"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's night-time in Australia, so it must be day-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["720823 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 719116 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.4 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.9094791666666666, "night": true, "probability": 0.9094791666666666, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 2.17 hours!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.853073279598958, "night": true, "probability": 0.853073279598958, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:23 and 02:23, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 17:42 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6173913043478261, "night": true, "probability": 0.6173913043478261, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 20 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 44, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.3567374034602118, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.212498, "night": false}], [1555179171.574839, {"predictions": [{"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.49, "night": false, "probability": 0.49, "reasons": ["Battery level's getting low, so it's probably around dinnertime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's night-time in Australia, so it must be day-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["688855 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 699489 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. 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Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.5 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": true, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.87, "night": true, "probability": 0.87, "reasons": ["Your phone is dying, so it's bedtime soon?"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.853073279598958, "night": true, "probability": 0.853073279598958, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:23 and 02:23, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 18:43 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": true, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Alexander's upstairs neighbour is currently playing league"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6086956521739131, "night": true, "probability": 0.6086956521739131, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 15 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 45, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.47681374431440593, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.42934782608695654, "night": false}], [1555182807.966835, {"predictions": [{"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.010000000000000009, "night": false, "probability": 0.010000000000000009, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's night-time in Australia, so it must be day-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["608823 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 609003 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM 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Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.5 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": true, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.853073279598958, "night": true, "probability": 0.853073279598958, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:23 and 02:23, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 19:13 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": true, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Alexander's upstairs neighbour is currently playing league"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6, "night": true, "probability": 0.6, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 11 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 46, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.40442243996657984, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.249998, "night": false}], [1555184623.063963, {"predictions": [{"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's night-time in Australia, so it must be day-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["574121 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 572177 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.5 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": true, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.853073279598958, "night": true, "probability": 0.853073279598958, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:23 and 02:23, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 19:43 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": true, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Alexander's upstairs neighbour is currently playing league"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6599999999999999, "night": true, "probability": 0.6599999999999999, "reasons": ["Battery level's getting low, so it's probably around dinnertime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6086956521739131, "night": true, "probability": 0.6086956521739131, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 3 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 45, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.4593137443144059, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.42934782608695654, "night": false}], [1555186440.358918, {"predictions": [{"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.09999999999999998, "night": false, "probability": 0.09999999999999998, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["539573 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 536380 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.4 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": true, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.853073279598958, "night": true, "probability": 0.853073279598958, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:23 and 02:23, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 20:14 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": true, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Alexander's upstairs neighbour is currently playing league"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5826086956521739, "night": true, "probability": 0.5826086956521739, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -4 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 48, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.49380649793759435, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.41630434782608694, "night": false}], [1555188256.19884, {"predictions": [{"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.4 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["505855 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 06, 505329 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": true, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.853073279598958, "night": true, "probability": 0.853073279598958, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:23 and 02:23, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 20:44 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": true, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Alexander's upstairs neighbour is currently playing league"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6086956521739131, "night": true, "probability": 0.6086956521739131, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -13 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 45, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.53, "night": true, "probability": 0.53, "reasons": ["Battery level's getting low, so it's probably around dinnertime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.6151470776477392, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.7043478260869566, "night": true}], [1555190071.463209, {"predictions": [{"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.5 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["470550 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 06, 472136 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": true, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.87, "night": true, "probability": 0.87, "reasons": ["Your phone is dying, so it's bedtime soon?"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.853073279598958, "night": true, "probability": 0.853073279598958, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:23 and 02:23, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 21:14 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": true, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Alexander's upstairs neighbour is currently playing league"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6608695652173913, "night": true, "probability": 0.6608695652173913, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -17 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 39, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.6478282370680291, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.826536639799479, "night": true}], [1555191886.810798, {"predictions": [{"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.5 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["437465 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 06, 435124 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": true, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.9075925925925926, "night": true, "probability": 0.9075925925925926, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 2.22 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.853073279598958, "night": true, "probability": 0.853073279598958, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:23 and 02:23, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 21:45 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6521739130434783, "night": true, "probability": 0.6521739130434783, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -23 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 40, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.030000000000000027, "night": false, "probability": 0.030000000000000027, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.5860696487695858, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.7526235963212181, "night": true}], [1555193703.289328, {"predictions": [{"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["402179 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 07, 401461 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": true, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8865740740740741, "night": true, "probability": 0.8865740740740741, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 2.72 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.853073279598958, "night": true, "probability": 0.853073279598958, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:23 and 02:23, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 22:15 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6347826086956522, "night": true, "probability": 0.6347826086956522, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -25 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 42, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.30000000000000004, "night": false, "probability": 0.30000000000000004, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["Because 12.5 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 7.0 is the expected number for daytime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.522035496864057, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.4673913043478261, "night": true}], [1555195519.638985, {"predictions": [{"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.0 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["371933 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 07, 370983 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": true, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.9, "night": true, "probability": 0.9, "reasons": ["Your phone's practically dead, so it's probably around four in the morning."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8655671296296297, "night": true, "probability": 0.8655671296296297, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 3.23 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.853073279598958, "night": true, "probability": 0.853073279598958, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:23 and 02:23, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 22:45 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6173913043478261, "night": true, "probability": 0.6173913043478261, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -26 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 44, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.6521689761313678, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.8593202046142938, "night": true}], [1555197334.254868, {"predictions": [{"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.6 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["344931 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 07, 344506 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": true, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.853073279598958, "night": true, "probability": 0.853073279598958, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:23 and 02:23, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 23:15 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8444444444444444, "night": true, "probability": 0.8444444444444444, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 3.73 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.79, "night": true, "probability": 0.79, "reasons": ["Your phone is dying, so it's bedtime soon?"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6173913043478261, "night": true, "probability": 0.6173913043478261, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -26 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 44, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.641242085699269, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.8172222222222223, "night": true}], [1555199160.1228, {"predictions": [{"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.7 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["326864 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 07, 327542 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": true, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.853073279598958, "night": true, "probability": 0.853073279598958, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:23 and 02:23, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 23:46 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8234375, "night": true, "probability": 0.8234375, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 4.24 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6347826086956522, "night": true, "probability": 0.6347826086956522, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -25 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 42, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.21999999999999997, "night": false, "probability": 0.21999999999999997, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.5934407823578842, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.7291100543478262, "night": true}], [1555200974.958862, {"predictions": [{"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 1.0 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["317334 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 07, 317976 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": true, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.87, "night": true, "probability": 0.87, "reasons": ["Your phone is dying, so it's bedtime soon?"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8024305555555555, "night": true, "probability": 0.8024305555555555, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 4.74 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6608695652173913, "night": true, "probability": 0.6608695652173913, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -22 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 39, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.1469267204010421, "night": false, "probability": 0.1469267204010421, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:22 and 02:24, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 00:16 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.5891852367644991, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.7316500603864734, "night": true}], [1555202789.758921, {"predictions": [{"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.9 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["319990 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 07, 319848 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": true, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.7814236111111111, "night": true, "probability": 0.7814236111111111, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 5.25 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6608695652173913, "night": true, "probability": 0.6608695652173913, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -20 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 39, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.37, "night": false, "probability": 0.37, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.1469267204010421, "night": false, "probability": 0.1469267204010421, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:22 and 02:24, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 00:46 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.5457679913941287, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.5154347826086956, "night": true}], [1555204604.946785, {"predictions": [{"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.8 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["338895 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 07, 339244 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": true, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.7604166666666666, "night": true, "probability": 0.7604166666666666, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 5.75 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6608695652173913, "night": true, "probability": 0.6608695652173913, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -15 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 39, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.44999999999999996, "night": false, "probability": 0.44999999999999996, "reasons": ["Battery level's getting low, so it's probably around dinnertime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.1469267204010421, "night": false, "probability": 0.1469267204010421, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:22 and 02:24, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 01:16 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.5506840793570916, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.5554347826086956, "night": true}], [1555206419.634805, {"predictions": [{"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.9 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["369986 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 07, 369566 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": true, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.7394097222222222, "night": true, "probability": 0.7394097222222222, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 6.25 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5826086956521739, "night": true, "probability": 0.5826086956521739, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -7 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 48, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.30000000000000004, "night": false, "probability": 0.30000000000000004, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.1469267204010421, "night": false, "probability": 0.1469267204010421, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:22 and 02:24, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 01:47 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.5299117615229532, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.44130434782608696, "night": true}], [1555208234.898935, {"predictions": [{"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 1.0 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["412577 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 07, 412530 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": true, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.77, "night": true, "probability": 0.77, "reasons": ["Your phone is dying, so it's bedtime soon?"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.7183101851851852, "night": true, "probability": 0.7183101851851852, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 6.76 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5826086956521739, "night": true, "probability": 0.5826086956521739, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 0 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 48, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.1469267204010421, "night": false, "probability": 0.1469267204010421, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:22 and 02:24, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 02:17 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.5673201334365334, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.6504594404186795, "night": true}], [1555210058.002837, {"predictions": [{"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 2.0 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["450945 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 06, 449132 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": true, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6972916666666666, "night": true, "probability": 0.6972916666666666, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 7.26 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5913043478260869, "night": true, "probability": 0.5913043478260869, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 6 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 47, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.41000000000000003, "night": false, "probability": 0.41000000000000003, "reasons": ["Battery level's getting low, so it's probably around dinnertime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.1469267204010421, "night": false, "probability": 0.1469267204010421, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:22 and 02:24, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 02:47 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.5362932279078163, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.5006521739130434, "night": true}], [1555211873.503006, {"predictions": [{"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 1.5 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["481148 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 06, 481003 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6762731481481481, "night": true, "probability": 0.6762731481481481, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 7.77 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5913043478260869, "night": true, "probability": 0.5913043478260869, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 10 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 47, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Apparently we are banned from just-eat. We therefore have no clue."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.44999999999999996, "night": false, "probability": 0.44999999999999996, "reasons": ["Battery level's getting low, so it's probably around dinnertime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.1469267204010421, "night": false, "probability": 0.1469267204010421, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:22 and 02:24, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 03:18 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.5037083513646065, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.475, "night": true}], [1555213690.171637, {"predictions": [{"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Apparently we are banned from just-eat. We therefore have no clue."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.18999999999999995, "night": false, "probability": 0.18999999999999995, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.1469267204010421, "night": false, "probability": 0.1469267204010421, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:22 and 02:24, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 03:48 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 1.6 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["503188 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 06, 505329 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6552546296296295, "night": true, "probability": 0.6552546296296295, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 8.27 hours!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6086956521739131, "night": true, "probability": 0.6086956521739131, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 14 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 45, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.4817394168503821, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.375, "night": false}], [1555215506.002895, {"predictions": [{"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 1.2 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["529393 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 06, 526151 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.634236111111111, "night": true, "probability": 0.634236111111111, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 8.78 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6086956521739131, "night": true, "probability": 0.6086956521739131, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 16 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 45, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": true, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Apparently we are banned from just-eat. We therefore have no clue."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.47, "night": false, "probability": 0.47, "reasons": ["Battery level's getting low, so it's probably around dinnertime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.1469267204010421, "night": false, "probability": 0.1469267204010421, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:22 and 02:24, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 04:18 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.5324878736405055, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.5125, "night": true}], [1555217322.062981, {"predictions": [{"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Apparently we are banned from just-eat. We therefore have no clue."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.19999999999999996, "night": false, "probability": 0.19999999999999996, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.1469267204010421, "night": false, "probability": 0.1469267204010421, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:22 and 02:24, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 04:48 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["567491 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 567069 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": true, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 1.0 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6131944444444444, "night": true, "probability": 0.6131944444444444, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 9.28 hours!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6086956521739131, "night": true, "probability": 0.6086956521739131, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 17 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 45, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.42490106808494993, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.375, "night": false}], [1555219139.961931, {"predictions": [{"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Apparently we are banned from just-eat. We therefore have no clue."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.27, "night": false, "probability": 0.27, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.1469267204010421, "night": false, "probability": 0.1469267204010421, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:22 and 02:24, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 05:19 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["610420 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 611489 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": true, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 1.0 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6086956521739131, "night": true, "probability": 0.6086956521739131, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 16 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 45, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5921412037037037, "night": true, "probability": 0.5921412037037037, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 9.79 hours!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.42897996468988825, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.385, "night": false}], [1555220958.654846, {"predictions": [{"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Apparently we are banned from just-eat. We therefore have no clue."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.1469267204010421, "night": false, "probability": 0.1469267204010421, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:22 and 02:24, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 05:49 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["653428 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 652559 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": true, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 1.0 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.97, "night": true, "probability": 0.97, "reasons": ["Your phone's practically dead, so it's probably around four in the morning."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6086956521739131, "night": true, "probability": 0.6086956521739131, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 16 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 45, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5711342592592592, "night": true, "probability": 0.5711342592592592, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 10.29 hours!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.48556271931951783, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.5125, "night": false}], [1555222773.278844, {"predictions": [{"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Apparently we are banned from just-eat. We therefore have no clue."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.1469267204010421, "night": false, "probability": 0.1469267204010421, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:22 and 02:24, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 06:19 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["694762 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 699489 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": true, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 1.1 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8200000000000001, "night": true, "probability": 0.8200000000000001, "reasons": ["Your phone is dying, so it's bedtime soon?"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6086956521739131, "night": true, "probability": 0.6086956521739131, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 14 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 45, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5501157407407407, "night": true, "probability": 0.5501157407407407, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 10.80 hours!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.4713111761096413, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.5125, "night": false}], [1555224589.626781, {"predictions": [{"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Apparently we are banned from just-eat. We therefore have no clue."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.20999999999999996, "night": false, "probability": 0.20999999999999996, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.1469267204010421, "night": false, "probability": 0.1469267204010421, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:22 and 02:24, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 06:50 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["730095 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 719116 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.5 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6, "night": true, "probability": 0.6, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 11 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 46, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5291087962962964, "night": true, "probability": 0.5291087962962964, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 11.30 hours!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.3888359597247782, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.249998, "night": false}], [1555226404.23292, {"predictions": [{"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.1469267204010421, "night": false, "probability": 0.1469267204010421, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:22 and 02:24, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 07:20 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["761286 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 750968 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.5 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": true, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5913043478260869, "night": true, "probability": 0.5913043478260869, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 6 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 47, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5700000000000001, "night": true, "probability": 0.5700000000000001, "reasons": ["Battery level's getting low, so it's probably around dinnertime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5080671296296297, "night": true, "probability": 0.5080671296296297, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 11.81 hours!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.45052451648806324, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.37903356481481487, "night": false}], [1555228222.323494, {"predictions": [{"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.487025462962963, "night": false, "probability": 0.487025462962963, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 12.31 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.16000000000000003, "night": false, "probability": 0.16000000000000003, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.1469267204010421, "night": false, "probability": 0.1469267204010421, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:22 and 02:24, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 07:50 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["785100 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 777380 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": true, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.3 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": true, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5826086956521739, "night": true, "probability": 0.5826086956521739, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 0 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 48, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.4430464065846816, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.3685127314814815, "night": false}], [1555230040.930862, {"predictions": [{"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.46594907407407404, "night": false, "probability": 0.46594907407407404, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 12.82 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.1469267204010421, "night": false, "probability": 0.1469267204010421, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:22 and 02:24, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 08:20 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.030000000000000027, "night": false, "probability": 0.030000000000000027, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["805313 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 806961 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": true, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.2 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": true, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5826086956521739, "night": true, "probability": 0.5826086956521739, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -9 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 48, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.4304567075106075, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.357974537037037, "night": false}], [1555231861.806846, {"predictions": [{"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.44483796296296296, "night": false, "probability": 0.44483796296296296, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 13.32 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.22999999999999998, "night": false, "probability": 0.22999999999999998, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.1469267204010421, "night": false, "probability": 0.1469267204010421, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:22 and 02:24, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 08:51 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["816386 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 817829 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": true, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.2 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": true, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6434782608695653, "night": true, "probability": 0.6434782608695653, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -18 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 41, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.45043657868613085, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.3474189814814815, "night": false}], [1555233686.27863, {"predictions": [{"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.4238194444444444, "night": false, "probability": 0.4238194444444444, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 13.83 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.1469267204010421, "night": false, "probability": 0.1469267204010421, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:22 and 02:24, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 09:21 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.09090909090909091, "night": false, "probability": 0.09090909090909091, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is currently open.", "We conclude from this, that there is 0.09090909090909091% chance of it being night outside"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["810829 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 806961 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.2 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.64, "night": true, "probability": 0.64, "reasons": ["Battery level's getting low, so it's probably around dinnertime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6347826086956522, "night": true, "probability": 0.6347826086956522, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -25 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 42, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.38470282203751915, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.249998, "night": false}], [1555235501.621457, {"predictions": [{"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.4028124999999999, "night": false, "probability": 0.4028124999999999, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 14.33 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.1469267204010421, "night": false, "probability": 0.1469267204010421, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:22 and 02:24, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 09:51 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.09090909090909091, "night": false, "probability": 0.09090909090909091, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is currently open.", "We conclude from this, that there is 0.09090909090909091% chance of it being night outside"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["796444 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 802699 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.2 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.65, "night": true, "probability": 0.65, "reasons": ["Battery level's getting low, so it's probably around dinnertime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6173913043478261, "night": true, "probability": 0.6173913043478261, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -30 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 44, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.38233630130482993, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.249998, "night": false}], [1555237316.463352, {"predictions": [{"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.1469267204010421, "night": false, "probability": 0.1469267204010421, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:22 and 02:24, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 10:22 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.10999999999999999, "night": false, "probability": 0.10999999999999999, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.09090909090909091, "night": false, "probability": 0.09090909090909091, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is currently open.", "We conclude from this, that there is 0.09090909090909091% chance of it being night outside"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["790281 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 802699 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.3 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": true, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Alexander's upstairs neighbour is currently playing league"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6, "night": true, "probability": 0.6, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -33 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 46, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.3689859842758444, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.212498, "night": false}], [1555239132.174911, {"predictions": [{"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.44999999999999996, "night": false, "probability": 0.44999999999999996, "reasons": ["Battery level's getting low, so it's probably around dinnertime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.1469267204010421, "night": false, "probability": 0.1469267204010421, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:22 and 02:24, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 10:52 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.09090909090909091, "night": false, "probability": 0.09090909090909091, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is currently open.", "We conclude from this, that there is 0.09090909090909091% chance of it being night outside"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["794101 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 802699 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.2 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": true, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Alexander's upstairs neighbour is currently playing league"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6086956521739131, "night": true, "probability": 0.6086956521739131, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -35 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 45, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.39804395529033715, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.249998, "night": false}], [1555240954.921328, {"predictions": [{"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.44999999999999996, "night": false, "probability": 0.44999999999999996, "reasons": ["Battery level's getting low, so it's probably around dinnertime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.1469267204010421, "night": false, "probability": 0.1469267204010421, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:22 and 02:24, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 11:22 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.09090909090909091, "night": false, "probability": 0.09090909090909091, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is currently open.", "We conclude from this, that there is 0.09090909090909091% chance of it being night outside"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["821963 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 817829 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. 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"Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": true, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Alexander's upstairs neighbour is currently playing league"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6086956521739131, "night": true, "probability": 0.6086956521739131, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -35 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime 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players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["915539 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 915057 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.2 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.853073279598958, "night": true, "probability": 0.853073279598958, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:22 and 02:24, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 14:54 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": true, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Alexander's upstairs neighbour is currently playing league"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5826086956521739, "night": true, "probability": 0.5826086956521739, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -5 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 48, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.34721558884668524, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.212498, "night": false}], [1555255495.706936, {"predictions": [{"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.38, "night": false, "probability": 0.38, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.09090909090909091, "night": false, "probability": 0.09090909090909091, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is currently open.", "We conclude from this, that there is 0.09090909090909091% chance of it being night outside"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's night-time in Australia, so it must be day-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["855468 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 855066 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.2 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.853073279598958, "night": true, "probability": 0.853073279598958, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:22 and 02:24, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 15:25 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": true, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Alexander's upstairs neighbour is currently playing league"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6086956521739131, "night": true, "probability": 0.6086956521739131, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 2 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 45, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.36772283522349686, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.249998, "night": false}], [1555257311.626865, {"predictions": [{"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.09090909090909091, "night": false, "probability": 0.09090909090909091, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is currently open.", "We conclude from this, that there is 0.09090909090909091% chance of it being night outside"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's night-time in Australia, so it must be day-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["788388 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 777380 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. 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Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.3 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.98, "night": true, "probability": 0.98, "reasons": ["Your phone's practically dead, so it's probably around four in the morning."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.853073279598958, "night": true, "probability": 0.853073279598958, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:22 and 02:24, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 16:25 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": true, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Alexander's upstairs neighbour is currently playing league"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6, "night": true, "probability": 0.6, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 12 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 46, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.4169981975423374, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.249998, "night": false}], [1555260943.37883, {"predictions": [{"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.4, "night": false, "probability": 0.4, "reasons": ["Battery level's getting low, so it's probably around dinnertime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.09090909090909091, "night": false, "probability": 0.09090909090909091, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is currently open.", "We conclude from this, that there is 0.09090909090909091% chance of it being night outside"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's night-time in Australia, so it must be day-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["679812 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 699489 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.4 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.853073279598958, "night": true, "probability": 0.853073279598958, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:22 and 02:24, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 16:55 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": true, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Alexander's upstairs neighbour is currently playing league"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6086956521739131, "night": true, "probability": 0.6086956521739131, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 17 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 45, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.3693895018901635, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.249998, "night": false}], [1555262758.753863, {"predictions": [{"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.44999999999999996, "night": false, "probability": 0.44999999999999996, "reasons": ["Battery level's getting low, so it's probably around dinnertime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.09090909090909091, "night": false, "probability": 0.09090909090909091, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is currently open.", "We conclude from this, that there is 0.09090909090909091% chance of it being night outside"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's night-time in Australia, so it must be day-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["640740 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 652559 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.5 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.9132060185185185, "night": true, "probability": 0.9132060185185185, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 2.08 hours!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.853073279598958, "night": true, "probability": 0.853073279598958, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:22 and 02:24, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 17:26 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6260869565217391, "night": true, "probability": 0.6260869565217391, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 21 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 43, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.3844392787956922, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.249998, "night": false}], [1555264574.106241, {"predictions": [{"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.16000000000000003, "night": false, "probability": 0.16000000000000003, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": 0.11096316023080337}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.09090909090909091, "night": false, "probability": 0.09090909090909091, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is currently open.", "We conclude from this, that there is 0.09090909090909091% chance of it being night outside"], "contribution": 0.11096316023080337}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's night-time in Australia, so it must be day-time here."], "contribution": 0.11096316023080337}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["610481 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 611489 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.11096316023080337}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05570350643586329}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.055481580115401684}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.0011096316023080338}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.4 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.11096316023080337}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8920138888888889, "night": true, "probability": 0.8920138888888889, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 2.59 hours!"], "contribution": -0.11096316023080337}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.853073279598958, "night": true, "probability": 0.853073279598958, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:22 and 02:24, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 17:56 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": -0.11096316023080337}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6347826086956522, "night": true, "probability": 0.6347826086956522, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 23 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 42, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.11096316023080337}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.3759795334629627, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.249996, "night": false}], [1555266404.487006, {"predictions": [{"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.4, "night": false, "probability": 0.4, "reasons": ["Battery level's getting low, so it's probably around dinnertime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's night-time in Australia, so it must be day-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["582697 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 582210 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.4 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": true, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8709837962962963, "night": true, "probability": 0.8709837962962963, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 3.10 hours!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.853073279598958, "night": true, "probability": 0.853073279598958, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:22 and 02:24, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 18:26 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6434782608695653, "night": true, "probability": 0.6434782608695653, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 24 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 41, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.44646094473040165, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.325, "night": false}], [1555268222.079157, {"predictions": [{"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.18999999999999995, "night": false, "probability": 0.18999999999999995, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's night-time in Australia, so it must be day-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["553896 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 554692 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": true, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.4 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": true, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.853073279598958, "night": true, "probability": 0.853073279598958, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:22 and 02:24, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 18:57 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8499537037037037, "night": true, "probability": 0.8499537037037037, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 3.60 hours!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6521739130434783, "night": true, "probability": 0.6521739130434783, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 22 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 40, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.4570997413621783, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.38749999999999996, "night": false}], [1555270038.926951, {"predictions": [{"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.5 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["518477 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 06, 516839 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": true, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.853073279598958, "night": true, "probability": 0.853073279598958, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:22 and 02:24, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 19:27 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8288310185185185, "night": true, "probability": 0.8288310185185185, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 4.11 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6173913043478261, "night": true, "probability": 0.6173913043478261, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 20 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 44, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.33999999999999997, "night": false, "probability": 0.33999999999999997, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's night-time in Australia, so it must be day-time here."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.5191076335387752, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.478695652173913, "night": true}], [1555271863.463208, {"predictions": [{"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.7 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["489231 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 06, 489629 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": true, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.853073279598958, "night": true, "probability": 0.853073279598958, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:22 and 02:24, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 19:58 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8077662037037037, "night": true, "probability": 0.8077662037037037, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 4.61 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6086956521739131, "night": true, "probability": 0.6086956521739131, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 15 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 45, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.48, "night": false, "probability": 0.48, "reasons": ["Battery level's getting low, so it's probably around dinnertime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's night-time in Australia, so it must be day-time here."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.5282942612897146, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.5443478260869565, "night": true}], [1555273683.574855, {"predictions": [{"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.9 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["457583 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 06, 458805 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": true, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.853073279598958, "night": true, "probability": 0.853073279598958, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:22 and 02:24, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 20:28 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.7867592592592593, "night": true, "probability": 0.7867592592592593, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 5.12 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6, "night": true, "probability": 0.6, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 9 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 46, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.26, "night": false, "probability": 0.26, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.5908190449048515, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.6933796296296296, "night": true}], [1555275498.760897, {"predictions": [{"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.06999999999999995, "night": false, "probability": 0.06999999999999995, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["424987 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 425491 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 1.3 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": true, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.853073279598958, "night": true, "probability": 0.853073279598958, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:22 and 02:24, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 20:58 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.7657407407407407, "night": true, "probability": 0.7657407407407407, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 5.62 hours!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6086956521739131, "night": true, "probability": 0.6086956521739131, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 3 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 45, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.49062547270946766, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.42934782608695654, "night": false}], [1555277314.986794, {"predictions": [{"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 1.1 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["392768 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 07, 390901 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.92, "night": true, "probability": 0.92, "reasons": ["Your phone's practically dead, so it's probably around four in the morning."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": true, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.853073279598958, "night": true, "probability": 0.853073279598958, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:22 and 02:24, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 21:28 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.7446759259259259, "night": true, "probability": 0.7446759259259259, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 6.13 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5826086956521739, "night": true, "probability": 0.5826086956521739, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -3 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 48, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.6408628250980881, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.7988746027624419, "night": true}], [1555279135.19778, {"predictions": [{"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 1.7 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["361711 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 07, 360869 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": true, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.853073279598958, "night": true, "probability": 0.853073279598958, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:22 and 02:24, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 21:59 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.7236111111111111, "night": true, "probability": 0.7236111111111111, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 6.63 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5913043478260869, "night": true, "probability": 0.5913043478260869, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -10 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 47, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": true, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.18999999999999995, "night": false, "probability": 0.18999999999999995, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.608165394878013, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.657457729468599, "night": true}], [1555280954.46324, {"predictions": [{"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.0 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["334028 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 07, 334975 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": true, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.853073279598958, "night": true, "probability": 0.853073279598958, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:22 and 02:24, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 22:29 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": true, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Alexander's upstairs neighbour is currently playing league"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6086956521739131, "night": true, "probability": 0.6086956521739131, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -13 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 45, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": true, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.07999999999999996, "night": false, "probability": 0.07999999999999996, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.6068137443144059, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.7043478260869566, "night": true}], [1555282772.486959, {"predictions": [{"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.0 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["309817 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 07, 309598 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": true, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.853073279598958, "night": true, "probability": 0.853073279598958, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:22 and 02:24, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 22:59 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": true, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Alexander's upstairs neighbour is currently playing league"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6869565217391305, "night": true, "probability": 0.6869565217391305, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -16 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 36, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": true, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.06000000000000005, "night": false, "probability": 0.06000000000000005, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.6116688167781741, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.7434782608695653, "night": true}], [1555284586.702861, {"predictions": [{"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 3.1 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["290229 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 07, 292750 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": true, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.853073279598958, "night": true, "probability": 0.853073279598958, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:22 and 02:24, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 23:29 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": true, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Alexander's upstairs neighbour is currently playing league"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6608695652173913, "night": true, "probability": 0.6608695652173913, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -19 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 39, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": true, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.07999999999999996, "night": false, "probability": 0.07999999999999996, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.6111615704013624, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.7304347826086957, "night": true}], [1555286402.47883, {"predictions": [{"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 3.0 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["279530 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 07, 274753 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.9125, "night": true, "probability": 0.9125, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 2.10 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": true, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6695652173913044, "night": true, "probability": 0.6695652173913044, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -21 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 38, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": true, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.37, "night": false, "probability": 0.37, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.1469267204010421, "night": false, "probability": 0.1469267204010421, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:21 and 02:25, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 00:00 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.5865823281493622, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.5972826086956522, "night": true}], [1555288226.110832, {"predictions": [{"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Your phone's practically dead, so it's probably around four in the morning."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["276635 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 07, 274753 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": true, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8914699074074074, "night": true, "probability": 0.8914699074074074, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 2.60 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6695652173913044, "night": true, "probability": 0.6695652173913044, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -21 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 38, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": true, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.1469267204010421, "night": false, "probability": 0.1469267204010421, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:21 and 02:25, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 00:30 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["Because 10.0 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 7.0 is the expected number for daytime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.5539964870999795, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.5972826086956522, "night": true}], [1555290042.854834, {"predictions": [{"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Apparently we are banned from just-eat. We therefore have no clue."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.1469267204010421, "night": false, "probability": 0.1469267204010421, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:21 and 02:25, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 01:01 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": -0.7361111111111109, "night": false, "probability": -0.7361111111111109, "reasons": ["Because average for daytime is 7.0 and average for nighttime is 3.4, but the current average is 6.2"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": true, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["279993 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 07, 274753 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8702430555555556, "night": true, "probability": 0.8702430555555556, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 3.11 hours!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6608695652173913, "night": true, "probability": 0.6608695652173913, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -20 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 39, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6599999999999999, "night": true, "probability": 0.6599999999999999, "reasons": ["Battery level's getting low, so it's probably around dinnertime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.4276603525052398, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.5125, "night": false}], [1555291877.146794, {"predictions": [{"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Apparently we are banned from just-eat. We therefore have no clue."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.1469267204010421, "night": false, "probability": 0.1469267204010421, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:21 and 02:25, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 01:31 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["Because 7.1 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 7.0 is the expected number for daytime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": true, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["291559 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 07, 292750 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8492361111111111, "night": true, "probability": 0.8492361111111111, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 3.62 hours!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6608695652173913, "night": true, "probability": 0.6608695652173913, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -20 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 39, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.55, "night": true, "probability": 0.55, "reasons": ["Battery level's getting low, so it's probably around dinnertime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.478085699727462, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.5125, "night": false}], [1555293691.990829, {"predictions": [{"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Apparently we are banned from just-eat. We therefore have no clue."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.1469267204010421, "night": false, "probability": 0.1469267204010421, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:21 and 02:25, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 02:01 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": -0.8518518518518516, "night": false, "probability": -0.8518518518518516, "reasons": ["Because average for daytime is 7.0 and average for nighttime is 3.4, but the current average is 6.7"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": true, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["310823 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 07, 310363 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8281712962962963, "night": true, "probability": 0.8281712962962963, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 4.12 hours!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6086956521739131, "night": true, "probability": 0.6086956521739131, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -13 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 45, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.37599481808495, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.375, "night": false}], [1555295511.154862, {"predictions": [{"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["342116 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 07, 340842 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.95, "night": true, "probability": 0.95, "reasons": ["Your phone's practically dead, so it's probably around four in the morning."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8070486111111111, "night": true, "probability": 0.8070486111111111, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 4.63 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5826086956521739, "night": true, "probability": 0.5826086956521739, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -7 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 48, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": true, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Apparently we are banned from just-eat. We therefore have no clue."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.1469267204010421, "night": false, "probability": 0.1469267204010421, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:21 and 02:25, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 02:32 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.00793650793650802, "night": false, "probability": 0.00793650793650802, "reasons": ["Because average for daytime is 7.0 and average for nighttime is 3.4, but the current average is 3.6"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.5020430445917362, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.5125, "night": true}], [1555297337.155989, {"predictions": [{"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 2.9 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["366327 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 07, 366210 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.7860185185185186, "night": true, "probability": 0.7860185185185186, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 5.14 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5913043478260869, "night": true, "probability": 0.5913043478260869, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -1 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 47, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": true, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Apparently we are banned from just-eat. We therefore have no clue."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.1469267204010421, "night": false, "probability": 0.1469267204010421, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:21 and 02:25, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 03:02 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.06999999999999995, "night": false, "probability": 0.06999999999999995, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.5103537988954706, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.5125, "night": true}], [1555299153.878889, {"predictions": [{"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.9 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["378444 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 07, 380728 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.7649768518518518, "night": true, "probability": 0.7649768518518518, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 5.64 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6086956521739131, "night": true, "probability": 0.6086956521739131, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 3 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 45, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": true, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Apparently we are banned from just-eat. We therefore have no clue."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.21999999999999997, "night": false, "probability": 0.21999999999999997, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.1469267204010421, "night": false, "probability": 0.1469267204010421, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:21 and 02:25, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 03:32 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.5225496020355672, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.5125, "night": true}], [1555300971.363262, {"predictions": [{"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.4 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["394822 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 07, 396138 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.7439699074074073, "night": true, "probability": 0.7439699074074073, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 6.14 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6, "night": true, "probability": 0.6, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 9 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 46, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": true, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Apparently we are banned from just-eat. We therefore have no clue."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.28, "night": false, "probability": 0.28, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.1469267204010421, "night": false, "probability": 0.1469267204010421, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:21 and 02:25, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 04:03 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.5250743856507041, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.5125, "night": true}], [1555302787.078971, {"predictions": [{"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.3 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["427745 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 06, 429296 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.9299999999999999, "night": true, "probability": 0.9299999999999999, "reasons": ["Your phone's practically dead, so it's probably around four in the morning."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.7229282407407407, "night": true, "probability": 0.7229282407407407, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 6.65 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6, "night": true, "probability": 0.6, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 11 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 46, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": true, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Apparently we are banned from just-eat. We therefore have no clue."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.1469267204010421, "night": false, "probability": 0.1469267204010421, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:21 and 02:25, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 04:33 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.5774875800951486, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.5625, "night": true}], [1555304604.918992, {"predictions": [{"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.2 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["444709 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 06, 444908 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.78, "night": true, "probability": 0.78, "reasons": ["Your phone is dying, so it's bedtime soon?"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.7019212962962963, "night": true, "probability": 0.7019212962962963, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 7.15 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6, "night": true, "probability": 0.6, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 12 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 46, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": true, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Apparently we are banned from just-eat. We therefore have no clue."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.1469267204010421, "night": false, "probability": 0.1469267204010421, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:21 and 02:25, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 05:03 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.5632370013914448, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.5625, "night": true}], [1555306419.87487, {"predictions": [{"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.1 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["450600 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 06, 449132 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6809027777777779, "night": true, "probability": 0.6809027777777779, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 7.66 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6086956521739131, "night": true, "probability": 0.6086956521739131, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 14 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 45, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": true, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Apparently we are banned from just-eat. We therefore have no clue."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.21999999999999997, "night": false, "probability": 0.21999999999999997, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.1469267204010421, "night": false, "probability": 0.1469267204010421, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:21 and 02:25, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 05:33 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.5155434291960611, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.5125, "night": true}], [1555308236.203945, {"predictions": [{"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.2 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["455766 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 06, 454175 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": true, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6799999999999999, "night": true, "probability": 0.6799999999999999, "reasons": ["Battery level's getting low, so it's probably around dinnertime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6598148148148149, "night": true, "probability": 0.6598148148148149, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 8.16 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6086956521739131, "night": true, "probability": 0.6086956521739131, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 13 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 45, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": true, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.1469267204010421, "night": false, "probability": 0.1469267204010421, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:21 and 02:25, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 06:04 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.5862860989491475, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.634255233494364, "night": true}], [1555310057.843458, {"predictions": [{"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.1 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["468024 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 06, 467800 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": true, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6387037037037038, "night": true, "probability": 0.6387037037037038, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 8.67 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6, "night": true, "probability": 0.6, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 12 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 46, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": true, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.1469267204010421, "night": false, "probability": 0.1469267204010421, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:21 and 02:25, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 06:34 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.14, "night": false, "probability": 0.14, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.5388022020087289, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.5625, "night": true}], [1555311882.050825, {"predictions": [{"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.2 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["484536 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 06, 484217 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": true, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6175694444444444, "night": true, "probability": 0.6175694444444444, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 9.18 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5913043478260869, "night": true, "probability": 0.5913043478260869, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 10 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 47, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": true, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.36, "night": false, "probability": 0.36, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.1469267204010421, "night": false, "probability": 0.1469267204010421, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:21 and 02:25, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 07:05 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.5546497093892978, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.5581521739130434, "night": true}], [1555313707.574878, {"predictions": [{"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.2 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["502153 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 06, 505329 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": true, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.64, "night": true, "probability": 0.64, "reasons": ["Battery level's getting low, so it's probably around dinnertime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6, "night": true, "probability": 0.6, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 7 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 46, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5965277777777778, "night": true, "probability": 0.5965277777777778, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 9.68 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": true, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.1469267204010421, "night": false, "probability": 0.1469267204010421, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:21 and 02:25, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 07:35 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.5769542081815683, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.5982638888888889, "night": true}], [1555315526.002806, {"predictions": [{"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.1469267204010421, "night": false, "probability": 0.1469267204010421, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:21 and 02:25, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 08:05 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.12, "night": false, "probability": 0.12, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["520934 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 521831 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.1 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": true, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6086956521739131, "night": true, "probability": 0.6086956521739131, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 3 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 45, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5754976851851852, "night": true, "probability": 0.5754976851851852, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 10.19 hours!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.42009300481334505, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.249998, "night": false}], [1555317342.27086, {"predictions": [{"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.1469267204010421, "night": false, "probability": 0.1469267204010421, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:21 and 02:25, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 08:35 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.06000000000000005, "night": false, "probability": 0.06000000000000005, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["539564 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 536380 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.1 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": true, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5826086956521739, "night": true, "probability": 0.5826086956521739, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 0 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 48, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5544444444444445, "night": true, "probability": 0.5544444444444445, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 10.69 hours!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.4111646550414717, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.249998, "night": false}], [1555319161.47884, {"predictions": [{"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.44999999999999996, "night": false, "probability": 0.44999999999999996, "reasons": ["Battery level's getting low, so it's probably around dinnertime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.1469267204010421, "night": false, "probability": 0.1469267204010421, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:21 and 02:25, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 09:06 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.09090909090909091, "night": false, "probability": 0.09090909090909091, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is currently open.", "We conclude from this, that there is 0.09090909090909091% chance of it being night outside"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["548549 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 550616 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.2 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": true, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Alexander's upstairs neighbour is currently playing league"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5826086956521739, "night": true, "probability": 0.5826086956521739, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -6 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 48, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.3958700422468589, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.249998, "night": false}], [1555320982.1588, {"predictions": [{"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.1469267204010421, "night": false, "probability": 0.1469267204010421, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:21 and 02:25, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 09:36 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.09090909090909091, "night": false, "probability": 0.09090909090909091, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is currently open.", "We conclude from this, that there is 0.09090909090909091% chance of it being night outside"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["555404 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 555889 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.1 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.96, "night": true, "probability": 0.96, "reasons": ["Your phone's practically dead, so it's probably around four in the morning."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": true, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Alexander's upstairs neighbour is currently playing league"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6086956521739131, "night": true, "probability": 0.6086956521739131, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -13 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 45, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.4405439552903372, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.249998, "night": false}], [1555322800.422826, {"predictions": [{"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.38, "night": false, "probability": 0.38, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.1469267204010421, "night": false, "probability": 0.1469267204010421, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:21 and 02:25, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 10:06 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.09090909090909091, "night": false, "probability": 0.09090909090909091, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is currently open.", "We conclude from this, that there is 0.09090909090909091% chance of it being night outside"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["567089 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 567069 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. 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Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": true, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.2 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": true, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Alexander's upstairs neighbour is currently playing league"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6, "night": true, "probability": 0.6, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -37 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 46, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.4098193176091777, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.25, "night": false}], [1555330068.894854, {"predictions": [{"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.28, "night": false, "probability": 0.28, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.1469267204010421, "night": false, "probability": 0.1469267204010421, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:21 and 02:25, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 12:08 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.09090909090909091, "night": false, "probability": 0.09090909090909091, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is currently open.", "We conclude from this, that there is 0.09090909090909091% chance of it being night outside"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["734417 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 719116 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. 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We therefore have no clue."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.1469267204010421, "night": false, "probability": 0.1469267204010421, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:21 and 02:25, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 12:38 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["788623 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 777380 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.1 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": true, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Alexander's upstairs neighbour is currently playing league"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.69, "night": true, "probability": 0.69, "reasons": ["Battery level's getting low, so it's probably around dinnertime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5913043478260869, "night": true, "probability": 0.5913043478260869, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -39 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 47, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.4506855890189274, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.375, "night": false}], [1555333699.475375, {"predictions": [{"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.32999999999999996, "night": false, "probability": 0.32999999999999996, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.1469267204010421, "night": false, "probability": 0.1469267204010421, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:21 and 02:25, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 13:08 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.09090909090909091, "night": false, "probability": 0.09090909090909091, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is currently open.", "We conclude from this, that there is 0.09090909090909091% chance of it being night outside"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's night-time in Australia, so it must be day-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["831830 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 835412 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.1 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": true, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Alexander's upstairs neighbour is currently playing league"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5913043478260869, "night": true, "probability": 0.5913043478260869, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -39 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 47, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.303261346594685, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.212498, "night": false}], [1555335515.378845, {"predictions": [{"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.09090909090909091, "night": false, "probability": 0.09090909090909091, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is currently open.", "We conclude from this, that there is 0.09090909090909091% chance of it being night outside"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's night-time in Australia, so it must be day-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["864300 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 863212 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.1 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.853073279598958, "night": true, "probability": 0.853073279598958, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:21 and 02:25, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 13:38 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8200000000000001, "night": true, "probability": 0.8200000000000001, "reasons": ["Your phone is dying, so it's bedtime soon?"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": true, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Alexander's upstairs neighbour is currently playing league"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6, "night": true, "probability": 0.6, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -37 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 46, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.4036648642090041, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.249998, "night": false}], [1555337331.890331, {"predictions": [{"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.09090909090909091, "night": false, "probability": 0.09090909090909091, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is currently open.", "We conclude from this, that there is 0.09090909090909091% chance of it being night outside"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's night-time in Australia, so it must be day-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["869723 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 868951 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.1 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.853073279598958, "night": true, "probability": 0.853073279598958, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:21 and 02:25, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 14:09 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": true, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Alexander's upstairs neighbour is currently playing league"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": true, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Your phone is dying, so it's bedtime soon?"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6, "night": true, "probability": 0.6, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -33 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 46, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.4019981975423374, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.249998, "night": false}], [1555339148.342869, {"predictions": [{"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.33999999999999997, "night": false, "probability": 0.33999999999999997, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.09090909090909091, "night": false, "probability": 0.09090909090909091, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is currently open.", "We conclude from this, that there is 0.09090909090909091% chance of it being night outside"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's night-time in Australia, so it must be day-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["851097 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 851099 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.1 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.853073279598958, "night": true, "probability": 0.853073279598958, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:21 and 02:25, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 14:39 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": true, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Alexander's upstairs neighbour is currently playing league"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5913043478260869, "night": true, "probability": 0.5913043478260869, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -29 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 47, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.36294022652784463, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.249998, "night": false}], [1555340967.34681, {"predictions": [{"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.09090909090909091, "night": false, "probability": 0.09090909090909091, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is currently open.", "We conclude from this, that there is 0.09090909090909091% chance of it being night outside"], "contribution": 0.11096316023080337}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's night-time in Australia, so it must be day-time here."], "contribution": 0.11096316023080337}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["805185 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 806961 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.11096316023080337}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05570350643586329}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.055481580115401684}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.0011096316023080338}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.2 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.11096316023080337}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.9041898148148149, "night": true, "probability": 0.9041898148148149, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 2.30 hours!"], "contribution": -0.11096316023080337}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.853073279598958, "night": true, "probability": 0.853073279598958, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:21 and 02:25, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 15:09 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": -0.11096316023080337}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.76, "night": true, "probability": 0.76, "reasons": ["Your phone is dying, so it's bedtime soon?"], "contribution": -0.11096316023080337}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6521739130434783, "night": true, "probability": 0.6521739130434783, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -23 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 40, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.11096316023080337}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.4332129180333038, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.25, "night": false}], [1555342797.797462, {"predictions": [{"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.18000000000000005, "night": false, "probability": 0.18000000000000005, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.09090909090909091, "night": false, "probability": 0.09090909090909091, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is currently open.", "We conclude from this, that there is 0.09090909090909091% chance of it being night outside"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's night-time in Australia, so it must be day-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["749834 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 750968 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.2 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8831249999999999, "night": true, "probability": 0.8831249999999999, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 2.81 hours!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.853073279598958, "night": true, "probability": 0.853073279598958, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:21 and 02:25, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 15:40 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6608695652173913, "night": true, "probability": 0.6608695652173913, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -17 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 39, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.36233107797712, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.21499800000000002, "night": false}], [1555344618.273656, {"predictions": [{"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.09090909090909091, "night": false, "probability": 0.09090909090909091, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is currently open.", "We conclude from this, that there is 0.09090909090909091% chance of it being night outside"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's night-time in Australia, so it must be day-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["697212 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 699489 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.2 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.862037037037037, "night": true, "probability": 0.862037037037037, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 3.31 hours!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.853073279598958, "night": true, "probability": 0.853073279598958, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:21 and 02:25, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 16:10 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.84, "night": true, "probability": 0.84, "reasons": ["Your phone is dying, so it's bedtime soon?"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5826086956521739, "night": true, "probability": 0.5826086956521739, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -7 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 48, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.40905200859977164, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.249998, "night": false}], [1555346439.762798, {"predictions": [{"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.09090909090909091, "night": false, "probability": 0.09090909090909091, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is currently open.", "We conclude from this, that there is 0.09090909090909091% chance of it being night outside"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's night-time in Australia, so it must be day-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["647262 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 652559 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.2 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.853073279598958, "night": true, "probability": 0.853073279598958, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:21 and 02:25, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 16:40 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8410185185185185, "night": true, "probability": 0.8410185185185185, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 3.82 hours!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.84, "night": true, "probability": 0.84, "reasons": ["Your phone is dying, so it's bedtime soon?"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6086956521739131, "night": true, "probability": 0.6086956521739131, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 2 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 45, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.40947437843337336, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.249998, "night": false}], [1555348255.574895, {"predictions": [{"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.09090909090909091, "night": false, "probability": 0.09090909090909091, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is currently open.", "We conclude from this, that there is 0.09090909090909091% chance of it being night outside"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's night-time in Australia, so it must be day-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["607680 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 606741 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.3 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.853073279598958, "night": true, "probability": 0.853073279598958, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:21 and 02:25, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 17:11 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8199537037037037, "night": true, "probability": 0.8199537037037037, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 4.32 hours!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.72, "night": true, "probability": 0.72, "reasons": ["Your phone is dying, so it's bedtime soon?"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6, "night": true, "probability": 0.6, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 9 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 46, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.39699433951764607, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.249998, "night": false}], [1555350075.618858, {"predictions": [{"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.15000000000000002, "night": false, "probability": 0.15000000000000002, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.09090909090909091, "night": false, "probability": 0.09090909090909091, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is currently open.", "We conclude from this, that there is 0.09090909090909091% chance of it being night outside"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's night-time in Australia, so it must be day-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["576817 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 576129 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.4 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.853073279598958, "night": true, "probability": 0.853073279598958, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:21 and 02:25, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 17:41 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.7988657407407408, "night": true, "probability": 0.7988657407407408, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 4.83 hours!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6086956521739131, "night": true, "probability": 0.6086956521739131, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 16 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 45, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.3484616469518919, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.212498, "night": false}], [1555351897.278849, {"predictions": [{"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's night-time in Australia, so it must be day-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["547971 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 545771 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.4 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": true, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.89, "night": true, "probability": 0.89, "reasons": ["Your phone is dying, so it's bedtime soon?"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.853073279598958, "night": true, "probability": 0.853073279598958, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:21 and 02:25, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 18:11 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.7778356481481481, "night": true, "probability": 0.7778356481481481, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 5.33 hours!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6260869565217391, "night": true, "probability": 0.6260869565217391, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 21 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 43, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.47808265702240377, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.43804347826086953, "night": false}], [1555353714.816472, {"predictions": [{"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.5 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["524015 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 06, 526151 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.98, "night": true, "probability": 0.98, "reasons": ["Your phone's practically dead, so it's probably around four in the morning."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": true, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.853073279598958, "night": true, "probability": 0.853073279598958, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:21 and 02:25, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 18:42 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.7567939814814815, "night": true, "probability": 0.7567939814814815, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 5.84 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6434782608695653, "night": true, "probability": 0.6434782608695653, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 24 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 41, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's night-time in Australia, so it must be day-time here."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.5686117934958337, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.7001361211755234, "night": true}], [1555355533.325942, {"predictions": [{"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.10999999999999999, "night": false, "probability": 0.10999999999999999, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": 0.1147842056932966}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's night-time in Australia, so it must be day-time here."], "contribution": 0.1147842056932966}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.08034894398530762}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.0576216712580349}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.0573921028466483}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001147842056932966}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.4 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.1147842056932966}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["497309 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 06, 495851 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": -0.1147842056932966}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": true, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": -0.1147842056932966}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.853073279598958, "night": true, "probability": 0.853073279598958, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:21 and 02:25, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 19:12 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": -0.1147842056932966}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6521739130434783, "night": true, "probability": 0.6521739130434783, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 25 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 40, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.1147842056932966}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.47320392660385785, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.25, "night": false}], [1555357355.058898, {"predictions": [{"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.5 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["471714 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 06, 472136 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": true, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.853073279598958, "night": true, "probability": 0.853073279598958, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:21 and 02:25, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 19:42 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": true, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Alexander's upstairs neighbour is currently playing league"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6434782608695653, "night": true, "probability": 0.6434782608695653, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 24 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 41, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime 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Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's night-time in Australia, so it must be day-time here."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.5380456283723769, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.6067391304347827, "night": true}], [1555359170.622904, {"predictions": [{"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.6 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["436975 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 06, 435124 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": true, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.87, "night": true, "probability": 0.87, "reasons": ["Your phone is dying, so it's bedtime soon?"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.853073279598958, "night": true, "probability": 0.853073279598958, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:21 and 02:25, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 20:13 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": true, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Alexander's upstairs neighbour is currently playing league"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6260869565217391, "night": true, "probability": 0.6260869565217391, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 21 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 43, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.6449296863433914, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.826536639799479, "night": true}], [1555360992.226798, {"predictions": [{"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.8 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["406477 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 07, 406677 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": true, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.853073279598958, "night": true, "probability": 0.853073279598958, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:21 and 02:25, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 20:43 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": true, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Alexander's upstairs neighbour is currently playing league"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6086956521739131, "night": true, "probability": 0.6086956521739131, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 15 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 45, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Battery level's getting low, so it's probably around dinnertime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.6126470776477393, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.7043478260869566, "night": true}], [1555362807.463203, {"predictions": [{"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.9 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["374854 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 07, 375601 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": true, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.853073279598958, "night": true, "probability": 0.853073279598958, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:21 and 02:25, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 21:13 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": true, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Alexander's upstairs neighbour is currently playing league"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6, "night": true, "probability": 0.6, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 11 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 46, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.16000000000000003, "night": false, "probability": 0.16000000000000003, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.5835891066332465, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.7, "night": true}], [1555364627.026803, {"predictions": [{"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 1.1 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["346200 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 07, 344506 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": true, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.853073279598958, "night": true, "probability": 0.853073279598958, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:21 and 02:25, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 21:43 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": true, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Alexander's upstairs neighbour is currently playing league"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5900000000000001, "night": true, "probability": 0.5900000000000001, "reasons": ["Battery level's getting low, so it's probably around dinnertime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5826086956521739, "night": true, "probability": 0.5826086956521739, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 4 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 48, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.617973164604261, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.6950000000000001, "night": true}], [1555366442.854835, {"predictions": [{"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["318854 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 07, 317976 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": true, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.853073279598958, "night": true, "probability": 0.853073279598958, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:21 and 02:25, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 22:14 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": true, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Alexander's upstairs neighbour is currently playing league"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5826086956521739, "night": true, "probability": 0.5826086956521739, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -4 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 48, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.21999999999999997, "night": false, "probability": 0.21999999999999997, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["Because 100.0 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 7.0 is the expected number for daytime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.5038064979375944, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.41630434782608694, "night": true}], [1555368259.431241, {"predictions": [{"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.0 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["297153 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 07, 292750 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": true, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.853073279598958, "night": true, "probability": 0.853073279598958, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:21 and 02:25, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 22:44 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": true, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Alexander's upstairs neighbour is currently playing league"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6347826086956522, "night": true, "probability": 0.6347826086956522, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -14 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 42, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.21999999999999997, "night": false, "probability": 0.21999999999999997, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.5914876573578842, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.7173913043478262, "night": true}], [1555370078.84884, {"predictions": [{"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 3.0 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["278198 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 07, 274753 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": true, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.853073279598958, "night": true, "probability": 0.853073279598958, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:21 and 02:25, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 23:14 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": true, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Alexander's upstairs neighbour is currently playing league"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6608695652173913, "night": true, "probability": 0.6608695652173913, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -22 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 39, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.43999999999999995, "night": false, "probability": 0.43999999999999995, "reasons": ["Battery level's getting low, so it's probably around dinnertime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.6119949037346958, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.7304347826086957, "night": true}], [1555371897.48687, {"predictions": [{"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["267807 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 07, 274753 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": true, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.853073279598958, "night": true, "probability": 0.853073279598958, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:21 and 02:25, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 23:45 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": true, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Alexander's upstairs neighbour is currently playing league"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6086956521739131, "night": true, "probability": 0.6086956521739131, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -28 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 45, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.39, "night": false, "probability": 0.39, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.00793650793650802, "night": false, "probability": 0.00793650793650802, "reasons": ["Because average for daytime is 7.0 and average for nighttime is 3.4, but the current average is 3.6"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.520808453309115, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.49934782608695655, "night": true}], [1555373714.234836, {"predictions": [{"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.19999999999999996, "night": false, "probability": 0.19999999999999996, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.1469267204010421, "night": false, "probability": 0.1469267204010421, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:20 and 02:25, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 00:15 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": -0.32275132275132257, "night": false, "probability": -0.32275132275132257, "reasons": ["Because average for daytime is 7.0 and average for nighttime is 3.4, but the current average is 4.8"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["267593 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 07, 274753 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": true, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": true, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Alexander's upstairs neighbour is currently playing league"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5913043478260869, "night": true, "probability": 0.5913043478260869, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -34 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 47, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.41712297878965054, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.249998, "night": false}], [1555375535.85078, {"predictions": [{"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.1469267204010421, "night": false, "probability": 0.1469267204010421, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:20 and 02:25, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 00:45 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": -0.8518518518518516, "night": false, "probability": -0.8518518518518516, "reasons": ["Because average for daytime is 7.0 and average for nighttime is 3.4, but the current average is 6.7"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["277092 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 07, 274753 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.99, "night": true, "probability": 0.99, "reasons": ["Your phone's practically dead, so it's probably around four in the morning."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.9111342592592593, "night": true, "probability": 0.9111342592592593, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 2.13 hours!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": true, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6, "night": true, "probability": 0.6, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -37 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 46, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.4488504273173708, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.425, "night": false}], [1555377352.877195, {"predictions": [{"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Apparently we are banned from just-eat. We therefore have no clue."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.1469267204010421, "night": false, "probability": 0.1469267204010421, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:20 and 02:25, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 01:16 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["Because 7.1 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 7.0 is the expected number for daytime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["292668 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 07, 292750 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.99, "night": true, "probability": 0.99, "reasons": ["Your phone's practically dead, so it's probably around four in the morning."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8900347222222222, "night": true, "probability": 0.8900347222222222, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 2.64 hours!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6, "night": true, "probability": 0.6, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -37 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 46, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.48391312021860533, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.375, "night": false}], [1555379175.574885, {"predictions": [{"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Apparently we are banned from just-eat. We therefore have no clue."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.22999999999999998, "night": false, "probability": 0.22999999999999998, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.1469267204010421, "night": false, "probability": 0.1469267204010421, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:20 and 02:25, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 01:46 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["Because 8.3 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 7.0 is the expected number for daytime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["312794 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 07, 313745 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8690046296296297, "night": true, "probability": 0.8690046296296297, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 3.14 hours!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6, "night": true, "probability": 0.6, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -36 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 46, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.41882727916922263, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.249998, "night": false}], [1555380992.338853, {"predictions": [{"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Apparently we are banned from just-eat. We therefore have no clue."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.1469267204010421, "night": false, "probability": 0.1469267204010421, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:20 and 02:25, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 02:16 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": -0.7361111111111109, "night": false, "probability": -0.7361111111111109, "reasons": ["Because average for daytime is 7.0 and average for nighttime is 3.4, but the current average is 6.2"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["339359 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 07, 339244 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.87, "night": true, "probability": 0.87, "reasons": ["Your phone is dying, so it's bedtime soon?"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8479745370370371, "night": true, "probability": 0.8479745370370371, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 3.65 hours!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6, "night": true, "probability": 0.6, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -33 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 46, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.409065512193914, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.375, "night": false}], [1555382809.317801, {"predictions": [{"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Apparently we are banned from just-eat. We therefore have no clue."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.1469267204010421, "night": false, "probability": 0.1469267204010421, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:20 and 02:25, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 02:47 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.042145593869732045, "night": false, "probability": 0.042145593869732045, "reasons": ["Because average for daytime is 7.0 and average for nighttime is 3.4, but the current average is 3.4"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.010000000000000009, "night": false, "probability": 0.010000000000000009, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["365948 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 07, 366210 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8269560185185185, "night": true, "probability": 0.8269560185185185, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 4.15 hours!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6086956521739131, "night": true, "probability": 0.6086956521739131, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -28 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 45, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.40122666541360047, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.249998, "night": false}], [1555384626.170797, {"predictions": [{"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 1.5 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["380070 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 07, 380728 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.95, "night": true, "probability": 0.95, "reasons": ["Your phone's practically dead, so it's probably around four in the morning."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8058912037037037, "night": true, "probability": 0.8058912037037037, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 4.66 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6521739130434783, "night": true, "probability": 0.6521739130434783, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -23 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 40, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Apparently we are banned from just-eat. We therefore have no clue."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.1469267204010421, "night": false, "probability": 0.1469267204010421, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:20 and 02:25, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 03:17 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.5612489864290187, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.5760869565217391, "night": true}], [1555386446.002801, {"predictions": [{"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.6 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["391526 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 07, 390901 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.7847916666666667, "night": true, "probability": 0.7847916666666667, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 5.17 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6608695652173913, "night": true, "probability": 0.6608695652173913, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -19 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 39, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Apparently we are banned from just-eat. We therefore have no clue."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.31999999999999995, "night": false, "probability": 0.31999999999999995, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.1469267204010421, "night": false, "probability": 0.1469267204010421, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:20 and 02:25, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 03:47 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.5077153293570916, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.41, "night": true}], [1555388268.530836, {"predictions": [{"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.3 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["420262 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 07, 418250 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.7637268518518519, "night": true, "probability": 0.7637268518518519, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 5.67 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6086956521739131, "night": true, "probability": 0.6086956521739131, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -12 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 45, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Apparently we are banned from just-eat. We therefore have no clue."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.48, "night": false, "probability": 0.48, "reasons": ["Battery level's getting low, so it's probably around dinnertime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.1469267204010421, "night": false, "probability": 0.1469267204010421, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:20 and 02:25, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 04:18 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.5149454353689006, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.49, "night": true}], [1555390088.463249, {"predictions": [{"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.2 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["449747 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 06, 449132 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.97, "night": true, "probability": 0.97, "reasons": ["Your phone's practically dead, so it's probably around four in the morning."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.7426851851851852, "night": true, "probability": 0.7426851851851852, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 6.18 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5826086956521739, "night": true, "probability": 0.5826086956521739, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -4 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 48, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Apparently we are banned from just-eat. We therefore have no clue."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.1469267204010421, "night": false, "probability": 0.1469267204010421, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:20 and 02:25, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 04:48 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.5518513834365334, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.5413043478260869, "night": true}], [1555391906.75049, {"predictions": [{"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.2 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["456483 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 06, 454175 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.7216550925925926, "night": true, "probability": 0.7216550925925926, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 6.68 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6086956521739131, "night": true, "probability": 0.6086956521739131, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 2 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 45, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Apparently we are banned from just-eat. We therefore have no clue."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.48, "night": false, "probability": 0.48, "reasons": ["Battery level's getting low, so it's probably around dinnertime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.1469267204010421, "night": false, "probability": 0.1469267204010421, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:20 and 02:25, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 05:18 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.511439455430629, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.49, "night": true}], [1555393723.718867, {"predictions": [{"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.1 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["460912 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 06, 458805 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.85, "night": true, "probability": 0.85, "reasons": ["Your phone is dying, so it's bedtime soon?"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.7005555555555556, "night": true, "probability": 0.7005555555555556, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 7.19 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5913043478260869, "night": true, "probability": 0.5913043478260869, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 5 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 47, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": true, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Apparently we are banned from just-eat. We therefore have no clue."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.1469267204010421, "night": false, "probability": 0.1469267204010421, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:20 and 02:25, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 05:49 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.5682318853152237, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.5581521739130434, "night": true}], [1555395546.767192, {"predictions": [{"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.2 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["464144 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 06, 463531 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": true, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.679525462962963, "night": true, "probability": 0.679525462962963, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 7.69 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6, "night": true, "probability": 0.6, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 8 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 46, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": true, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.20999999999999996, "night": false, "probability": 0.20999999999999996, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.1469267204010421, "night": false, "probability": 0.1469267204010421, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:20 and 02:25, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 06:19 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.548037348613667, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.5625, "night": true}], [1555397364.042824, {"predictions": [{"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.2 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["481466 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 06, 481793 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": true, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.71, "night": true, "probability": 0.71, "reasons": ["Your phone is dying, so it's bedtime soon?"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6584606481481481, "night": true, "probability": 0.6584606481481481, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 8.20 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6, "night": true, "probability": 0.6, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 8 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 46, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.1469267204010421, "night": false, "probability": 0.1469267204010421, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:20 and 02:25, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 06:49 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.5587819473790991, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.629230324074074, "night": true}], [1555399184.01886, {"predictions": [{"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.2 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["499432 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 06, 495851 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": true, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.637349537037037, "night": true, "probability": 0.637349537037037, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 8.70 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6, "night": true, "probability": 0.6, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 8 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 46, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.1469267204010421, "night": false, "probability": 0.1469267204010421, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:20 and 02:25, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 07:20 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.040000000000000036, "night": false, "probability": 0.040000000000000036, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.5011893547865066, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.425, "night": true}], [1555401008.16288, {"predictions": [{"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.1 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["518111 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 06, 516839 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": true, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6699999999999999, "night": true, "probability": 0.6699999999999999, "reasons": ["Battery level's getting low, so it's probably around dinnertime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6163310185185185, "night": true, "probability": 0.6163310185185185, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 9.21 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6, "night": true, "probability": 0.6, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 8 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 46, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.1469267204010421, "night": false, "probability": 0.1469267204010421, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:20 and 02:25, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 07:50 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.55193781157663, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.6081655092592593, "night": true}], [1555402824.018908, {"predictions": [{"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.1469267204010421, "night": false, "probability": 0.1469267204010421, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:20 and 02:25, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 08:20 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["536522 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 536380 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. 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Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.0573921028466483}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001147842056932966}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": -0.1147842056932966}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.2 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.1147842056932966}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": true, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": -0.1147842056932966}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5292592592592593, "night": true, "probability": 0.5292592592592593, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 11.30 hours!"], "contribution": -0.1147842056932966}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.4096529072418456, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.249996, "night": false}], [1555410366.575054, {"predictions": [{"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.1469267204010421, "night": false, "probability": 0.1469267204010421, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:20 and 02:25, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 10:27 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.09090909090909091, "night": false, "probability": 0.09090909090909091, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is currently open.", "We conclude from this, that there is 0.09090909090909091% chance of it being night outside"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["592835 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 592212 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.2 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6799999999999999, "night": true, "probability": 0.6799999999999999, "reasons": ["Battery level's getting low, so it's probably around dinnertime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5826086956521739, "night": true, "probability": 0.5826086956521739, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -7 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 48, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5068518518518519, "night": true, "probability": 0.5068518518518519, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 11.84 hours!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.39060769656784655, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.249998, "night": false}], [1555412282.882942, {"predictions": [{"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.4857986111111111, "night": false, "probability": 0.4857986111111111, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 12.34 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.1469267204010421, "night": false, "probability": 0.1469267204010421, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:20 and 02:25, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 10:58 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.09090909090909091, "night": false, "probability": 0.09090909090909091, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is currently open.", "We conclude from this, that there is 0.09090909090909091% chance of it being night outside"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["629937 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 623425 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.1 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.75, "night": true, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["Your phone is dying, so it's bedtime soon?"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6869565217391305, "night": true, "probability": 0.6869565217391305, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -16 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 36, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.40338224534669787, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.249998, "night": false}], [1555414101.782878, {"predictions": [{"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Apparently we are banned from just-eat. We therefore have no clue."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.46478009259259256, "night": false, "probability": 0.46478009259259256, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 12.85 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.42000000000000004, "night": false, "probability": 0.42000000000000004, "reasons": ["Battery level's getting low, so it's probably around dinnertime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.1469267204010421, "night": false, "probability": 0.1469267204010421, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:20 and 02:25, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 11:28 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["662755 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 652559 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.1 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6521739130434783, "night": true, "probability": 0.6521739130434783, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -23 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 40, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.40532306050309275, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.335, "night": false}], [1555415917.394831, {"predictions": [{"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Apparently we are banned from just-eat. We therefore have no clue."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.1469267204010421, "night": false, "probability": 0.1469267204010421, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:20 and 02:25, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 11:58 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["704768 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 699489 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.1 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": true, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Alexander's upstairs neighbour is currently playing league"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.69, "night": true, "probability": 0.69, "reasons": ["Battery level's getting low, so it's probably around dinnertime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5913043478260869, "night": true, "probability": 0.5913043478260869, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -29 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 47, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.4506855890189274, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.375, "night": false}], [1555417730.858863, {"predictions": [{"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.15000000000000002, "night": false, "probability": 0.15000000000000002, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.1469267204010421, "night": false, "probability": 0.1469267204010421, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:20 and 02:25, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 12:29 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.09090909090909091, "night": false, "probability": 0.09090909090909091, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is currently open.", "We conclude from this, that there is 0.09090909090909091% chance of it being night outside"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["757761 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 750968 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.1 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": true, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Alexander's upstairs neighbour is currently playing league"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6086956521739131, "night": true, "probability": 0.6086956521739131, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -35 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 45, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.3730439552903372, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.212498, "night": false}], [1555419551.574882, {"predictions": [{"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.32999999999999996, "night": false, "probability": 0.32999999999999996, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.1469267204010421, "night": false, "probability": 0.1469267204010421, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:20 and 02:25, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 12:59 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be daytime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.09090909090909091, "night": false, "probability": 0.09090909090909091, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is currently open.", "We conclude from this, that there is 0.09090909090909091% chance of it being night outside"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["794892 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 802699 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. 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-0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5913043478260869, "night": true, "probability": 0.5913043478260869, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -38 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 47, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.4096068931945113, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.249998, "night": false}], [1555425007.926996, {"predictions": [{"name": "Phone Battery 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Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.1 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.853073279598958, "night": true, "probability": 0.853073279598958, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:20 and 02:25, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 14:30 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": true, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Alexander's upstairs neighbour is currently playing league"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6086956521739131, "night": true, "probability": 0.6086956521739131, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -35 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 45, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.3768895018901635, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.249998, "night": false}], [1555426825.346533, {"predictions": [{"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.43000000000000005, "night": false, "probability": 0.43000000000000005, "reasons": ["Battery level's getting low, so it's probably around dinnertime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.09090909090909091, "night": false, "probability": 0.09090909090909091, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is currently open.", "We conclude from this, that there is 0.09090909090909091% chance of it being night outside"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's night-time in Australia, so it must be day-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["829710 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 828004 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.1 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.853073279598958, "night": true, "probability": 0.853073279598958, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:20 and 02:25, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 15:00 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": true, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Alexander's upstairs neighbour is currently playing league"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6086956521739131, "night": true, "probability": 0.6086956521739131, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -31 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 45, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.3718895018901635, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.249998, "night": false}], [1555428653.328724, {"predictions": [{"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.09090909090909091, "night": false, "probability": 0.09090909090909091, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is currently open.", "We conclude from this, that there is 0.09090909090909091% chance of it being night outside"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's night-time in Australia, so it must be day-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["782228 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 777380 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": true, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.2 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.95, "night": true, "probability": 0.95, "reasons": ["Your phone's practically dead, so it's probably around four in the morning."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.853073279598958, "night": true, "probability": 0.853073279598958, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:20 and 02:25, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 15:31 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": true, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Alexander's upstairs neighbour is currently playing league"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6173913043478261, "night": true, "probability": 0.6173913043478261, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -26 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 44, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.4451141395713229, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.38749999999999996, "night": false}], [1555430475.34689, {"predictions": [{"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.49, "night": false, "probability": 0.49, "reasons": ["Battery level's getting low, so it's probably around dinnertime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.09090909090909091, "night": false, "probability": 0.09090909090909091, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is currently open.", "We conclude from this, that there is 0.09090909090909091% chance of it being night outside"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's night-time in Australia, so it must be day-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["727524 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 719116 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": true, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.2 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.853073279598958, "night": true, "probability": 0.853073279598958, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:20 and 02:25, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 16:01 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": true, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Alexander's upstairs neighbour is currently playing league"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6608695652173913, "night": true, "probability": 0.6608695652173913, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -22 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 39, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.4104039946437867, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.37, "night": false}], [1555432292.034805, {"predictions": [{"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.09090909090909091, "night": false, "probability": 0.09090909090909091, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is currently open.", "We conclude from this, that there is 0.09090909090909091% chance of it being night outside"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's night-time in Australia, so it must be day-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["675464 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 652559 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": true, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.2 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.853073279598958, "night": true, "probability": 0.853073279598958, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:20 and 02:25, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 16:31 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": true, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Alexander's upstairs neighbour is currently playing league"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.72, "night": true, "probability": 0.72, "reasons": ["Your phone is dying, so it's bedtime soon?"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6434782608695653, "night": true, "probability": 0.6434782608695653, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -18 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 41, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.4281213859481345, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.38749999999999996, "night": false}], [1555434108.918346, {"predictions": [{"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.29000000000000004, "night": false, "probability": 0.29000000000000004, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.09090909090909091, "night": false, "probability": 0.09090909090909091, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is currently open.", "We conclude from this, that there is 0.09090909090909091% chance of it being night outside"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's night-time in Australia, so it must be day-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["635936 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 623425 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": true, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.3 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.853073279598958, "night": true, "probability": 0.853073279598958, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:20 and 02:25, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 17:02 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": true, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Alexander's upstairs neighbour is currently playing league"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6608695652173913, "night": true, "probability": 0.6608695652173913, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -15 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 39, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.39373732797712, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.27, "night": false}], [1555435926.112017, {"predictions": [{"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.09090909090909091, "night": false, "probability": 0.09090909090909091, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is currently open.", "We conclude from this, that there is 0.09090909090909091% chance of it being night outside"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's night-time in Australia, so it must be day-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["602571 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 605731 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.3 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.92, "night": true, "probability": 0.92, "reasons": ["Your phone's practically dead, so it's probably around four in the morning."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.853073279598958, "night": true, "probability": 0.853073279598958, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:20 and 02:25, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 17:32 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": true, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Alexander's upstairs neighbour is currently playing league"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5826086956521739, "night": true, "probability": 0.5826086956521739, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -9 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 48, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.4105489221800186, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.249998, "night": false}], [1555437742.898896, {"predictions": [{"name": "Nearby Traffic 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outside!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.853073279598958, "night": true, "probability": 0.853073279598958, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:20 and 02:25, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 18:02 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": true, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Alexander's upstairs neighbour is currently playing league"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5826086956521739, "night": true, "probability": 0.5826086956521739, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at -3 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 48, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.43999999999999995, "night": false, "probability": 0.43999999999999995, "reasons": ["Battery level's getting low, so it's probably around dinnertime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's night-time in Australia, so it must be day-time here."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.5221398312709277, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.5113043478260869, "night": true}], [1555439560.319124, {"predictions": [{"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.08999999999999997, "night": false, "probability": 0.08999999999999997, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's night-time in Australia, so it must be day-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["515095 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 514301 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.4 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": true, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.853073279598958, "night": true, "probability": 0.853073279598958, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:20 and 02:25, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 18:32 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": true, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Alexander's upstairs neighbour is currently playing league"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6086956521739131, "night": true, "probability": 0.6086956521739131, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 3 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 45, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.4118137443144059, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.249998, "night": false}], [1555441378.234877, {"predictions": [{"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.45999999999999996, "night": false, "probability": 0.45999999999999996, "reasons": ["Battery level's getting low, so it's probably around dinnertime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's night-time in Australia, so it must be day-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["490725 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the day of April 06, 491189 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be daytime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": 0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": 0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": 0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.3 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": true, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.853073279598958, "night": true, "probability": 0.853073279598958, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:20 and 02:25, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 19:03 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": true, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Alexander's upstairs neighbour is currently playing league"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5913043478260869, "night": true, "probability": 0.5913043478260869, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 10 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 47, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.4411978022854204, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.355, "night": false}], [1555443196.37106, {"predictions": [{"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.5 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["450228 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 06, 449132 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": true, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.853073279598958, "night": true, "probability": 0.853073279598958, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:20 and 02:25, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 19:33 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": true, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Alexander's upstairs neighbour is currently playing league"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6699999999999999, "night": true, "probability": 0.6699999999999999, "reasons": ["Battery level's getting low, so it's probably around dinnertime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6, "night": true, "probability": 0.6, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 12 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 46, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its daytime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's nighttime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.0, "night": false, "probability": 0.0, "reasons": ["It's night-time in Australia, so it must be day-time here."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.5427557732999132, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.635, "night": true}], [1555445012.961756, {"predictions": [{"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.5 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["423720 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 07, 423741 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": true, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.853073279598958, "night": true, "probability": 0.853073279598958, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:20 and 02:25, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 20:03 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": true, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Alexander's upstairs neighbour is currently playing league"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6086956521739131, "night": true, "probability": 0.6086956521739131, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 13 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 45, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.12, "night": false, "probability": 0.12, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.5809804109810726, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.7043478260869566, "night": true}], [1555446830.190953, {"predictions": [{"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.5 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["393410 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 07, 390901 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": true, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.9002777777777777, "night": true, "probability": 0.9002777777777777, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 2.39 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.853073279598958, "night": true, "probability": 0.853073279598958, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:20 and 02:25, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 20:34 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6086956521739131, "night": true, "probability": 0.6086956521739131, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 13 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 45, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["Battery level's good, so it's probably still early in the day."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.6001702257958874, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.7308844658864355, "night": true}], [1555448645.48096, {"predictions": [{"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 1.0 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["365291 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 07, 366210 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": true, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8792476851851851, "night": true, "probability": 0.8792476851851851, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 2.90 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.853073279598958, "night": true, "probability": 0.853073279598958, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:20 and 02:25, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 21:04 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6, "night": true, "probability": 0.6, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 11 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 46, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Battery level's getting low, so it's probably around dinnertime."], "contribution": -0.10296540362438221}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.6185264137320119, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.726536639799479, "night": true}], [1555450462.646949, {"predictions": [{"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.8 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["342668 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 07, 343571 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": true, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8582291666666666, "night": true, "probability": 0.8582291666666666, "reasons": ["Alexanders upstairs neighbour has not played league for 3.40 hours!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.853073279598958, "night": true, "probability": 0.853073279598958, "reasons": ["The \"ISS\" is obviously a studio in Hollywood", "The sun rises and sets at UTC 13:20 and 02:25, respectively, in Hollywood.", "It is currently 21:34 UTC", "Therefore, it is daytime in the Hollywood studio.", "Hollywood is 14149 km away, so we are on the other side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Phone Battery Level", "description": "If the battery is low, it's probably bedtime soon.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.83, "night": true, "probability": 0.83, "reasons": ["Your phone is dying, so it's bedtime soon?"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.6, "night": true, "probability": 0.6, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 9 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 46, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 dimensions", "We are using a SVM. Apparently that's a poor idea."], "contribution": -0.051482701812191105}, {"name": "Camera Image", "description": "The contents of the camera image", "weight": 0.502, "weighted_probability": 0.249996, "night": false, "probability": 0.498, "reasons": ["Camera image was light, so the sun is still shining."], "contribution": -0.05168863261943987}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.175, "night": false, "probability": 0.25, "reasons": ["There were many recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists must be busy at work then.", "And since journalists only work during the day, it must be daytime."], "contribution": -0.07207578253706755}], "weighted_probabilities_mean": 0.6442748705221354, "weighted_probabilities_median": 0.841536639799479, "night": true}]]}
\ No newline at end of file
diff --git a/server/plot.py b/server/plot.py
new file mode 100644
index 0000000..1c393fd
--- /dev/null
+++ b/server/plot.py
@@ -0,0 +1,81 @@
+import json
+from datetime import datetime, timedelta
+
+import matplotlib.pyplot as plt
+from matplotlib.patches import Patch
+
+
+def is_night(dt: datetime):
+    return dt.hour < 6 or dt.hour >= 22
+
+
+with open("history.json", "r") as f:
+    data = json.load(f)
+
+
+data = data["normal"]
+
+times = []
+probs = []
+colors = []
+corrects = []
+for timestamp, d in data:
+    time = datetime.fromtimestamp(timestamp)
+    times.append(time)
+    probs.append(d["weighted_probabilities_mean"])
+
+    correct = d["night"] == is_night(time)
+    corrects.append(correct)
+    colors.append("#95c1a6" if correct else "#ffa695")
+
+fig, ax = plt.subplots()
+#ax.grid()
+ax.margins(0.01)
+
+#ax.plot(times, probs, "black", marker=".", markeredgecolor="green", markerfacecolor="green")
+
+ax.plot(times, probs, "black", zorder=1, marker=".", markersize=3)
+#ax.scatter(times, probs, c=colors, alpha=1.0, marker=".", zorder=2)
+
+plt.xlabel('Time')
+plt.ylabel('Probability of Night')
+
+#ax.xaxis.set_major_formatter(mdates.DateFormatter('%H:%M'))
+
+night_color = "#e5e5ff"
+day_color = "#ffffe5"
+tfrom = datetime(2019, 4, 8, 22)
+tto = datetime(2019, 4, 9, 6)
+
+ticks = []
+while True:
+    ax.axvspan(tfrom, tto, facecolor=night_color if is_night(tfrom) else day_color, alpha=1.0)
+    ticks.append((tfrom, tfrom.strftime("%H:%M")))
+
+    if tto >= max(times):
+        break
+
+    tfrom = tto
+
+    if is_night(tfrom):
+        tto = tto.replace(hour=6) + timedelta(days=1)
+    else:
+        tto = tto.replace(hour=22)
+
+plt.xticks(*zip(*ticks))
+
+ax.axhline(0.5, color="black", linewidth=0.5)
+
+ax.fill_between(times, probs, 0.5, where=[is_night(t) != bool(round(p)) for t, p in zip(times, probs)], facecolor="#ffa695", interpolate=True, zorder=100)
+ax.fill_between(times, probs, 0.5, where=[is_night(t) == bool(round(p)) for t, p in zip(times, probs)], facecolor="#95c1a6", interpolate=True, zorder=100)
+
+
+legend_elements = [Patch([0], [0], color=night_color, label='Night'),
+                   Patch([0], [0], color="#ffff70", label='Day'),
+                   Patch([0], [0], color='#95c1a6', label='Correct'),
+                   Patch([0], [0], color='#ffa695', label='Wrong')]
+ax.legend(handles=legend_elements, loc="upper left", framealpha=1.0)
+
+plt.title(f"Nightr: {sum(corrects) / len(corrects):.0%} of the time, it works every time")
+
+plt.show()