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5.4 MiB
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5.4 MiB
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{"normal": [[1554755877.991584, {"predictions": [{"name": "Australia", "description": "Using time in Australia", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["It's day-time in Australia, so it must be night-time here."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Nearby Traffic situation", "description": "How many cars are currently driving around Aarhus?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["Because 0.6 cars are driving around Aarhus right now and 3.4 is the expected number for nighttime"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Steam Players Online", "description": "How many players are playing Dota 2?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 1.0, "night": true, "probability": 1.0, "reasons": ["419315 people are currently playing Dota 2.", "On the night of April 07, 418250 were playing Dota 2.", "Therefore, it must currently be nighttime."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Pizza Availability", "description": "Is this random Kiosk in Vester Alle open?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.91, "night": true, "probability": 0.91, "reasons": ["Our favorite pizza place, stop2shop, is closed.", "We can conclude from this, that there is 0.9% chance of it currently being night outside!"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Legends of Nighttime", "description": "Is Alexanders upstairs neighbour currently playing League of Legends?", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.8, "night": true, "probability": 0.8, "reasons": ["Alexander's upstairs neighbour is currently playing league"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "Tidal Measurements", "description": "Determine whether or not it is night in Aarhus based on the current water level and which month we are in, based\non number of cars driving across The Storb\u00e6ltsbro.", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5913043478260869, "night": true, "probability": 0.5913043478260869, "reasons": ["The number of cars having driven on the Storb\u00e6ltsbro is 2799622.0, in the current year", "The number of cars having driven over it in the last year is 13029955.0, thus the frequency is: 4.65", "The month is therefore April", "The water level is currently at 1 in the Aarhus Bay", "The number of times the water is at the current level at nighttime is: 47, compared to the total amount of times in April, being 115"], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "The International Space Station", "description": "It is night if it is night on the ISS and it is currently orbiting above us. http://www.isstracker.com/", "weight": 1.0, "weighted_probability": 0.5427305523675702, "night": true, "probability": 0.5427305523675702, "reasons": ["The sun rises and sets at UTC 04:23 and 16:24, respectively, at the ISS's location.", "It is currently 20:37 UTC", "Therefore, it is nighttime on board the ISS.", "The ISS is 1712 km away, so we are on the same side of the earth.", "So it must be nighttime where we are."], "contribution": 0.10296540362438221}, {"name": "TV2 News", "description": "The number of articles releases in the last few hours on TV2.dk", "weight": 0.7, "weighted_probability": 0.5249999999999999, "night": true, "probability": 0.75, "reasons": ["There were few recent articles on TV2 News", "The journalists are therefore either sleeping or busy brainstorming new innovative clickbait methods."], "contribution": 0.07207578253706755}, {"name": "Bing AI", "description": "It's nighttime if Bing says it's daytime.", "weight": 0.01, "weighted_probability": 0.005, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["Bing says its nighttime.", "But we don't really trust it (who does?).", "Let's guess it's daytime."], "contribution": -0.001029654036243822}, {"name": "ML Parking", "description": "An SVM trained on two data points, which is capable of guessing 0.5 no matter what.", "weight": 0.5, "weighted_probability": 0.25, "night": false, "probability": 0.5, "reasons": ["We only have two data points", "Our only two data points have 11 di
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